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Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA
(OTC:GOFPY)
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Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-5.88% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/15/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong revenue and free-cash-flow momentum, but balance-sheet leverage and debt coverage are key risks). Valuation is a positive support with a moderate P/E and high dividend yield. Offsetting these, technical indicators are bearish with the price below major moving averages and negative MACD. The latest earnings call was constructive with reaffirmed guidance, though tempered by weaker U.K. expectations and elevated leverage.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue and cash generation
Sharp revenue growth combined with free cash flow that closely tracks net income indicates strong earnings conversion and operating momentum. This supports continued investment, shareholder distributions, and debt management while providing a durable foundation for growth over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
High leverage reduces financial flexibility and leaves more cash flow committed to balance-sheet demands. It may constrain acquisitions, investment, and shareholder returns, while weaker operating cash-flow coverage of debt increases sensitivity to any sustained slowdown in earnings or cash generation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong revenue and cash generation
Sharp revenue growth combined with free cash flow that closely tracks net income indicates strong earnings conversion and operating momentum. This supports continued investment, shareholder distributions, and debt management while providing a durable foundation for growth over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA (GOFPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$11.34B
Dividend Yield9.8%
Average Volume (3M)11.30K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.4
Beta (1Y)0.47
Revenue Growth74.52%
EPS Growth-18.09%
CountryUS
Employees1,315
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryGambling, Resorts & Casinos
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.52
Shares Outstanding1,613,565,000
10 Day Avg. Volume4,927
30 Day Avg. Volume11,302
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.91
Price to Book (P/B)15.96
Price to Sales (P/S)5.38
P/FCF Ratio9.83
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Allwyn AG provides lottery and gaming operating services. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Luxembourg....
How the Company Makes Money
GOFPY makes money primarily by operating gambling and lottery products and retaining a portion of customer stakes as gross gaming revenue (GGR), which is generally calculated as the amount wagered (or ticket sales) minus payouts to winners. Key re...
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly positive overall. Management reported 27% net revenue growth, 29% adjusted EBITDA growth, 43% adjusted EBITDA minus CapEx growth, continued Betano and digital momentum, strong PrizePicks engagement, lower CapEx, shareholder distributions, and reaffirmed 2026 guidance. The main challenges were weaker U.K. GGR and expected U.K. revenue below the initial range, lower North America EBITDA due to World Cup marketing and variable costs, elevated EBITDA adjustments, leverage at the high end of its historic range, and regulatory and competitive uncertainty in the U.S.Positive Updates
Strong Group Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Q2 net revenue increased 27% year-on-year, adjusted EBITDA increased 29%, and adjusted EBITDA minus CapEx grew 43%, reflecting continued momentum in Continental Europe, the consolidation of PrizePicks, and higher contribution and cash flow from the U.K. following the completion of retail and digital transitions.
Negative Updates
U.K. GGR Decline and Digital Transition Friction
U.K. GGR was notably weaker year-on-year, reflecting record EuroMillions jackpot cycles in the comparative quarter and friction related to the digital re-platforming, including an impact on player journeys.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Group Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Q2 net revenue increased 27% year-on-year, adjusted EBITDA increased 29%, and adjusted EBITDA minus CapEx grew 43%, reflecting continued momentum in Continental Europe, the consolidation of PrizePicks, and higher contribution and cash flow from the U.K. following the completion of retail and digital transitions.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Allwyn reaffirmed its group outlook for 2026, continuing to expect consolidated net revenue growth in the mid to high twenties before one-off impacts and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 37% of net revenue; for the rest of 2026, net revenue in the U.K. is expected to be below the range that was initially anticipated, although guidance for net revenue in aggregate is unchanged. The company said the guidance previously provided on one-offs is still good indication of where it expects those to be, with the brand investment expected to be the key component of adjustments to EBITDA in subsequent quarters, and said the rebranding in Greece is expected to continue to run for a number of quarters still. Q4 is typically the biggest quarter of the year, the Austria tax headwind will fall away in Q3, and the Lottoitalia headwind will fall away starting in Q4.Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
74
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.28B | 1.26B | 1.57B | 1.44B | 1.33B | 1.04B |
| Gross Profit | 1.03B | 699.00M | 962.93M | 852.35M | 1.11B | 605.84M |
| EBITDA | 935.89M | 786.94M | 835.32M | 744.50M | 875.98M | 543.66M |
| Net Income | 401.92M | 464.34M | 485.78M | 408.32M | 592.33M | 259.43M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 19.99B | 2.18B | 2.00B | 2.10B | 2.57B | 2.70B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.81B | 773.25M | 494.87M | 490.89M | 728.07M | 863.99M |
| Total Debt | 8.40B | 968.14M | 681.41M | 686.58M | 835.51M | 1.10B |
| Total Liabilities | 13.34B | 1.70B | 1.39B | 1.33B | 1.50B | 1.75B |
| Stockholders Equity | 4.77B | 423.06M | 579.41M | 740.65M | 1.04B | 910.86M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 960.90M | 686.91M | 672.09M | 497.92M | 637.00M | 469.17M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.03B | 697.69M | 704.85M | 527.59M | 659.80M | 493.38M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 726.49M | -237.55M | -18.49M | 92.63M | -53.23M | -39.10M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -509.16M | -191.70M | -683.60M | -857.32M | -742.49M | -100.80M |
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Technical Analysis
Negative
8.50
Price Trends
7.76
Negative
7.66
Negative
8.43
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.10
Positive
34.66
Neutral
6.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOFPY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.90, above the 50-day MA of 7.76, and above the 200-day MA of 8.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GOFPY.
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $6.83B | 18.23 | 45.70% | 3.23% | 17.33% | 176.52% | |
72 Outperform | $5.62B | 14.13 | 36.57% | 0.53% | 5.73% | -0.56% | |
72 Outperform | $6.04B | 84.28 | 20.44% | ― | 34.29% | 14.69% | |
67 Neutral | $423.78M | 265.65 | 5.25% | ― | 6.33% | -150.96% | |
65 Neutral | $11.34B | 11.44 | 14.90% | 9.80% | 74.52% | -18.09% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
56 Neutral | $21.92B | -72.24 | -26.30% | ― | 15.03% | 46.89% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GOFPY
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA
7.24
-3.50
-32.59%
CHDN
Churchill Downs
82.65
-13.08
-13.66%
DKNG
DraftKings
24.33
-18.31
-42.94%
RSI
Rush Street Interactive
25.89
4.73
22.35%
SGHC
Super Group (SGHC)
13.31
0.97
7.83%
CDRO
Codere Online
9.69
2.79
40.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.