Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA (GOFPY) AI Stock Analysis

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA

(Other OTC:GOFPY)

Select Model

Rating:65Neutral

Price Target:$7.00▲(10.44% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:09/15/26

The overall score of 65 reflects a company with strong operational momentum and attractive valuation, offset by significant financial risk and weak market sentiment. The most impactful positive factors are the robust cash flow generation, reaffirmed growth guidance, and a very high dividend yield. These are counterbalanced by a highly leveraged balance sheet and a bearish technical trend, with the stock trading below all major moving averages. The earnings call sentiment is positive, but the market's current pricing reflects concerns over debt and margin compression.

Positive Factors

Revenue and cash-flow momentumStrong revenue expansion combined with free cash flow closely tracking net income indicates that reported growth is converting into usable cash. This supports reinvestment, shareholder distributions, and debt management while providing a durable foundation for earnings over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Elevated leverageLeverage at the high end of the historic range reduces financial flexibility and leaves more cash flow committed to balance-sheet obligations. It may constrain acquisitions, distributions, and other investment choices if operating performance weakens or planned investments take longer to mature.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA (GOFPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap: $4.51B
Dividend Yield: 9.09%
Average Volume (3M): 121.86K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 10.4
Beta (1Y): 0.48
Revenue Growth: 74.52%
EPS Growth: -18.09%
Country: US
Employees: 1,315
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Allwyn AG provides lottery and gaming operating services. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Luxembourg.

How the Company Makes Money

GOFPY makes money primarily by operating gambling and lottery products and retaining a portion of customer stakes as gross gaming revenue (GGR), which is generally calculated as the amount wagered (or ticket sales) minus payouts to winners. Key reven...

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-23.56%|Next Earnings Date:Jun 09, 2020

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Management reported 27% net revenue growth, 29% adjusted EBITDA growth, 43% adjusted EBITDA minus CapEx growth, continued Betano and digital momentum, strong PrizePicks engagement, lower CapEx, shareholder distributions, and reaffirmed 2026 guidance. The main challenges were weaker U.K. GGR and expected U.K. revenue below the initial range, lower North America EBITDA due to World Cup marketing and variable costs, elevated EBITDA adjustments, leverage at the high end of its historic range, and regulatory and competitive uncertainty in the U.S.

Positive Updates

Strong Group Revenue and EBITDA Growth

Q2 net revenue increased 27% year-on-year, adjusted EBITDA increased 29%, and adjusted EBITDA minus CapEx grew 43%, reflecting continued momentum in Continental Europe, the consolidation of PrizePicks, and higher contribution and cash flow from the U.K. following the completion of retail and digital transitions.

Negative Updates

U.K. GGR Decline and Digital Transition Friction

U.K. GGR was notably weaker year-on-year, reflecting record EuroMillions jackpot cycles in the comparative quarter and friction related to the digital re-platforming, including an impact on player journeys.

Company Guidance

Allwyn reaffirmed its group outlook for 2026, continuing to expect consolidated net revenue growth in the mid to high twenties before one-off impacts and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 37% of net revenue; for the rest of 2026, net revenue in the U.K. is expected to be below the range that was initially anticipated, although guidance for net revenue in aggregate is unchanged. The company said the guidance previously provided on one-offs is still good indication of where it expects those to be, with the brand investment expected to be the key component of adjustments to EBITDA in subsequent quarters, and said the rebranding in Greece is expected to continue to run for a number of quarters still. Q4 is typically the biggest quarter of the year, the Austria tax headwind will fall away in Q3, and the Lottoitalia headwind will fall away starting in Q4.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. Cash flow generation is a clear strength (Score 78), with strong free cash flow conversion. However, the balance sheet is a significant concern (Score 45) due to a dramatic increase in leverage, with total debt ballooning to over 8.3 billion. The income statement (Score 72) shows robust revenue growth but compressing profit margins. The aggressive debt-fueled growth strategy creates a riskier financial profile.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

78Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.28B	1.26B	1.57B	1.44B	1.33B	1.04B
Gross Profit	1.03B	699.00M	962.93M	852.35M	1.11B	605.84M
EBITDA	935.89M	786.94M	835.32M	744.50M	876.08M	543.76M
Net Income	401.92M	464.34M	485.78M	408.32M	592.33M	259.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	19.99B	2.18B	2.00B	2.10B	2.57B	2.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.81B	773.25M	494.87M	490.89M	728.07M	863.99M
Total Debt	8.40B	968.14M	681.41M	686.58M	835.51M	1.10B
Total Liabilities	13.34B	1.70B	1.39B	1.33B	1.50B	1.75B
Stockholders Equity	4.77B	423.06M	579.41M	740.65M	1.04B	910.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	960.90M	686.91M	672.09M	497.92M	637.00M	469.17M
Operating Cash Flow	1.03B	697.69M	704.85M	527.59M	659.80M	493.38M
Investing Cash Flow	726.49M	-237.55M	-18.49M	92.63M	-53.23M	-39.10M
Financing Cash Flow	-509.16M	-191.70M	-683.60M	-857.32M	-742.49M	-100.80M

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price6.34

Price Trends

50DMA6.97Negative

100DMA7.32Negative

200DMA7.72Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.18Positive

RSI41.41Neutral

STOCH8.42Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOFPY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.51, below the 50-day MA of 6.97, and below the 200-day MA of 7.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GOFPY.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GOFPY against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CDRO	76Outperform	$393.31M	60.26	31.40%	―	6.33%	-150.96%
CHDN	70Outperform	$6.50B	14.70	37.45%	0.46%	4.18%	16.31%
RSI	70Outperform	$2.81B	35.28	21.96%	―	38.66%	9.55%
SGHC	68Neutral	$5.43B	14.64	45.70%	4.12%	17.33%	176.52%
GOFPY	65Neutral	$9.84B	10.35	14.90%	9.09%	74.52%	-18.09%
DKNG	64Neutral	$18.60B	-62.08	-26.30%	―	15.03%	46.89%
Sector *	61Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

GOFPY and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
GOFPY	Greek Organization Of Football Prognostics	6.34	-2.99	-32.08%
CHDN	Churchill Downs	94.83	-3.40	-3.46%
DKNG	Draftkings Inc	20.91	-9.66	-31.60%
RSI	Rush Street Interactive, Inc.	12.12	-4.81	-28.41%
SGHC	Super Group (Sghc) Limited	10.69	0.57	5.64%
CDRO	Codere Online	8.65	2.53	41.34%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 15, 2026

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA AI Stock Analysis