tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
GoodRx Holdings (GDRX)
NASDAQ:GDRX
US Market

GoodRx Holdings (GDRX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,193 Followers

Top Page

GD

GoodRx Holdings

(NASDAQ:GDRX)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(12.22%Upside)
GoodRx Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, but faces challenges with overvaluation, technical pressures, and macroeconomic risks. The company's robust financial health and strategic leadership changes could mitigate some risks and support future growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company's first quarter performance, highlighted by another quarter of margin expansion and strong EBITDA generation, increases our conviction on this front.
Leadership and Partnerships
New CEO Wendy Barnes appears to have a strong grasp on the business and is deepening partnerships with pharmacies, PBMs, and manufacturers - improving the durability and value proposition of the company.
Market Position
GoodRx's marketplace is evolving into more of a utility, reducing competitive risks and strengthening its staying power.
Negative Factors
Bankruptcy Impact
The second Rite Aid bankruptcy may create some choppiness, total exposure is manageable (around 5% of revenue), and management is already in discussions with potential file buyers to ensure continuity of GDRX access throughout the process.
Pricing and Revenue
Prescription pricing increased across the platform, which drove a miss on overall MACs.
Retail Pharmacy Changes
MACs declined in line with expectations due to changes in the retail pharmacy landscape (i.e., the Rite Aid bankruptcy).

GoodRx Holdings (GDRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GoodRx Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGoodRx Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, offers information and tools that enable consumers to compare prices and save on their prescription drug purchases in the United States. The company operates a price comparison platform that provides consumers with curated, geographically relevant prescription pricing, and access to negotiated prices through GoodRx codes that are used to save money on prescriptions across the United States. It also offers other healthcare products and services, including subscriptions, pharma manufacturer solutions, and telehealth services. It serves pharmacy benefit managers that manage formularies and prescription transactions, including establishing pricing between consumers and pharmacies. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoodRx generates revenue primarily through its prescription transaction revenue model. The company earns money by providing consumers with access to discounts on prescription drugs; when a consumer uses a discount at a pharmacy, GoodRx receives a fee from the pharmacy or the pharmacy benefit manager (PBM). Additionally, GoodRx offers a subscription service called GoodRx Gold, which provides consumers with even deeper discounts on prescriptions for a monthly fee. GoodRx also generates revenue through advertising and telehealth services, partnering with pharmaceutical manufacturers and healthcare providers to reach consumers through its platform. Key partnerships with major pharmacies and PBMs play a significant role in facilitating these transactions and ensuring wide acceptance of GoodRx discounts.

GoodRx Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Monthly Active Consumers
Monthly Active Consumers
Tracks the number of unique users engaging with the platform each month, indicating user retention, platform popularity, and potential for monetization.
Chart InsightsGoodRx's Monthly Active Consumers have shown fluctuations, with a recent decline in 2025 attributed to increased prescription pricing. Despite this, the company is experiencing revenue growth and strong financial performance, supported by a robust balance sheet and expanding manufacturer solutions. However, challenges such as the Rite Aid bankruptcy and macroeconomic uncertainties could impact future consumer engagement. The new leadership team is expected to navigate these challenges, leveraging brand trust and strategic partnerships to stabilize and potentially grow the consumer base.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

GoodRx Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.80%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook with several positive developments such as revenue growth, strong financial performance, and expanding manufacturer solutions. However, challenges like the Rite Aid bankruptcy, pressure on monthly active consumers, and macroeconomic uncertainties present potential setbacks.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Strong Financial Performance
Total revenue for the first quarter was $203 million, up 3% versus the prior year, with adjusted EBITDA of $69.8 million rising 11%. The company has a strong balance sheet with $301 million in cash and $392.7 million in total liquidity.
Manufacturer Solutions Growth
Manufacturer solutions grew by 17% year-over-year, with an expectation of 20% growth for the full year, driven by expanded partnerships and deeper drug portfolio penetration.
New Leadership Appointments
Wendy Barnes completed her first 100 days as CEO, appointing key leaders like Aaron Crittenden as President of RX Marketplace and Scott Pope as Chief Pharmacy Officer, strengthening the leadership team.
Recognition and Brand Trust
GoodRx was recognized as one of Newsweek and USA Today's 2025 Most Trusted Brands, highlighting its strong consumer trust and brand presence.
Negative Updates
Impact of Rite Aid Bankruptcy
The recent announcement of Rite Aid's bankruptcy is creating uncertainty, though it is forecasted to be less than 5% of total revenue in 2025.
Pressure on Monthly Active Consumers (MACs)
Due to increased prescription pricing, there has been pressure on monthly active consumers, with MACs down mid-single digits year-over-year.
Challenges in the Macroeconomic Environment
Ongoing uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment, including regulatory changes, tariffs, and shifting consumer sentiment, could impact business performance.
Company Guidance
During the GoodRx First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance for the fiscal year, projecting total revenue between $810 million and $840 million, with anticipated growth of 2% to 6% compared to 2024. The company also slightly increased and narrowed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range between $273 million and $287 million, representing 5% to 10% growth from the previous year. In the first quarter, GoodRx reported total revenue of $203 million, a 3% increase from the prior year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $69.8 million, reflecting an 11% year-over-year rise and a margin of 34.4%. GoodRx's prescription transaction revenue and manufacturer solutions revenue grew by 2% and 17%, respectively. The company ended the quarter with $301 million in cash and deployed approximately $100 million to repurchase shares, with $189 million remaining under its repurchase program. The guidance did not incorporate potential impacts from the recent Rite Aid bankruptcy announcement, as Rite Aid is projected to represent less than 5% of GoodRx's 2025 revenue.

GoodRx Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GoodRx Holdings demonstrates robust revenue growth and improving profitability, supported by a strong balance sheet with reduced leverage. Cash flow management is stable, though historical volatility in net income and cash flows suggests some risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
GoodRx Holdings shows a consistent increase in revenue over recent years, indicating healthy growth. The gross profit margin is strong, over 90%, suggesting effective cost management. However, net profit margins have fluctuated, with recent improvements after earlier losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown positive trends, moving from negative to positive, indicating improved operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
GoodRx Holdings maintains a healthy equity ratio, reflecting a solid financial base with stockholders' equity making up over 50% of total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating reduced leverage risk. However, the company has experienced volatility in net income, impacting the return on equity, which has been negative in recent years but is now positive.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The company's free cash flow has improved, although it experienced some fluctuations in recent years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests adequate cash generation relative to net income, despite previous years of negative net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is stable, indicating effective cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
792.32M750.26M766.55M745.42M550.70M
Gross Profit
744.11M683.34M701.48M698.71M521.11M
EBIT
65.85M-27.01M11.01M13.41M-275.72M
EBITDA
153.92M108.82M68.54M48.00M-257.11M
Net Income Common Stockholders
16.39M-8.87M-32.83M-25.25M-293.62M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
448.35M672.30M757.16M941.11M968.69M
Total Assets
1.39B1.59B1.60B1.61B1.47B
Total Debt
56.68M711.07M717.02M702.33M704.92M
Net Debt
-391.67M38.77M-40.14M-238.78M-263.77M
Total Liabilities
663.41M826.84M789.80M775.95M758.75M
Stockholders Equity
724.66M761.96M814.83M831.68M711.36M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
163.00K82.53M91.57M144.32M95.52M
Operating Cash Flow
163.00K138.29M146.78M178.78M131.34M
Investing Cash Flow
-70.35M-55.77M-210.50M-178.73M-91.62M
Financing Cash Flow
-337.50M-167.40M-120.23M-30.53M905.82M

GoodRx Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.01
Price Trends
50DMA
4.28
Negative
100DMA
4.51
Negative
200DMA
5.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
54.75
Neutral
STOCH
85.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GDRX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.00, below the 50-day MA of 4.28, and below the 200-day MA of 5.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GDRX.

GoodRx Holdings Risk Analysis

GoodRx Holdings disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GoodRx Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our revenue growth rate has declined in recent periods and may continue to decrease in the future. Q4, 2023
2.
We may be unable to realize expected benefits from our restructuring and cost reduction efforts and our business might be adversely affected. Q4, 2023
3.
We use and may expand our use of AI and machine learning in our business and challenges with properly managing their use could result in reputational harm, competitive harm and legal liability, and adversely affect our results of operations. Q4, 2023

GoodRx Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.88B37.5910.11%9.47%-7.81%
64
Neutral
$865.70M45.295.40%0.42%3.36%7.51%
62
Neutral
$1.41B53.974.43%4.35%
56
Neutral
$1.68B-43.33%22.29%-32.89%
DHDH
54
Neutral
$510.72M-86.36%-3.04%-152.59%
54
Neutral
$5.28B3.29-45.38%2.80%16.77%-0.08%
48
Neutral
$1.25B-54.49%-2.54%-322.03%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings
4.22
-4.57
-51.99%
HSTM
HealthStream
28.30
0.28
1.00%
TDOC
Teladoc
6.93
-4.10
-37.17%
PGNY
Progyny
21.36
-6.57
-23.52%
SDGR
Schrodinger
23.84
0.44
1.88%
DH
Definitive Healthcare Corp
3.56
-2.10
-37.10%

GoodRx Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
GoodRx Holdings Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 3, 2025, GoodRx Holdings, Inc. conducted its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where significant decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. Stockholders elected three Class II directors, ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, and approved the executive compensation plan, reflecting strong shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GDRX) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoodRx Holdings stock, see the GDRX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.