Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

Greene County Bancorp (GCBC) AI Stock Analysis

134 Followers
GCBC

Greene County Bancorp

(NASDAQ:GCBC)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:$39.00â–²(9.55% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/12/26

The overall score of 67 reflects a stable regional bank with strengthening fundamentals. The primary strength is its financial performance, particularly a very conservative, deleveraged balance sheet and high-quality cash flow. This is supported by shareholder-friendly corporate actions, such as debt redemption and a concentrated dividend policy. The valuation is reasonable with a low P/E, and technicals are neutral. The main area to monitor is the pressure on gross margins, which tempers the otherwise positive financial picture.

Positive Factors
Revenue and earnings growthSustained multi-year revenue and net income growth indicates that GCBC is expanding its earnings base rather than relying only on isolated gains. The roughly 30% TTM net margin provides meaningful internal capacity to support operations, capital strength, and continued lending activity.
Negative Factors
Margin volatilityThe recovery in profitability is encouraging, but the history of margin compression shows that earnings can be sensitive to pricing, credit, and interest-rate conditions. Such variability makes the current margin level less certain and could pressure future earnings if banking conditions become less favorable.

Greene County Bancorp (GCBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%GCBC+64.56%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$606.11M
Dividend Yield
1.18%
Average Volume (3M)
30.42K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.6
Beta (1Y)
0.44
Revenue Growth
7.77%
EPS Growth
32.33%
Country
US
Employees
215
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Greene County Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greene County Bancorp, Inc. serves as the parent organization for The Bank of Greene County, delivering a diverse range of financial solutions throughout the United States. Its array of deposit products encompasses savings accounts, interest-bearing...

How the Company Makes Money

Greene County Bancorp makes money primarily through its banking subsidiary by earning interest income on loans and investment securities and by generating fee-based (noninterest) income from certain banking services. 1) Net interest income (core earn...

Greene County Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is solid, driven by a strong balance sheet (Score: 78) with low debt and improving ROE, and robust cash flow generation (Score: 72) with excellent earnings quality. The income statement (Score: 65) shows a strong TTM recovery in revenue and net margins, though gross margin pressure persists. Overall, the company demonstrates strengthening fundamentals and a conservative capital structure.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue147.69M145.79M132.94M117.57M96.77M75.58M
Gross Profit95.53M90.55M74.04M64.12M74.44M66.86M
EBITDA52.21M47.97M35.73M27.75M36.70M33.73M
Net Income44.65M41.02M31.14M24.77M30.79M27.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.24B3.18B3.04B2.83B2.70B2.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.36B386.12M504.34M543.23M482.15M481.18M
Total Debt66.17M155.15M128.06M199.14M49.49M173.01M
Total Liabilities2.96B2.91B2.80B2.62B2.52B2.41B
Stockholders Equity285.98M277.83M238.84M206.00M183.28M157.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.76M41.56M27.29M23.40M26.57M34.30M
Operating Cash Flow54.20M42.30M27.98M24.91M28.11M35.35M
Investing Cash Flow-206.25M-176.93M-210.17M-129.24M661.00K-471.18M
Financing Cash Flow132.47M96.46M174.87M98.28M98.67M355.06M

Greene County Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price35.60

Price Trends

50DMA34.99Positive
100DMA34.33Positive
200DMA29.18Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.30Positive
RSI52.14Neutral
STOCH26.91Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GCBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.60 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.60, above the 50-day MA of 34.99, and above the 200-day MA of 29.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GCBC.

Greene County Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

GCBC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
OBTOBT83Outperform$534.57M10.7316.74%1.80%2.57%23.36%
RBKBRBKB75Outperform$204.52M14.836.49%―9.53%104.84%
CHMGCHMG69Neutral$413.27M10.6814.49%1.62%18.85%184.40%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
GCBCGCBC67Neutral$606.45M13.5916.39%1.18%7.77%32.33%
PBFSPBFS62Neutral$451.00M35.013.88%―17.83%-36.83%
AROWAROW48Neutral$716.94M14.579.63%3.11%13.56%26.88%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%80%GCBCAROWCHMGRBKBPBFSOBTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GCBC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GCBCGreene County35.6014.2366.61%
AROWArrow Financial Corporation38.6210.0134.98%
CHMGChemung Financial Corp85.1135.6872.17%
RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp13.056.0185.40%
PBFSPioneer Bancorp18.335.0738.24%
OBTOrange County Bancorp, Inc.40.0315.4763.00%

Greene County Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

Greene Bancorp Holds 2026 Annual Stockholders Meeting

Neutral
Nov 10, 2026

On November 7, 2026, Greene County Bancorp, Inc., now known as Greene Bancorp, Inc., held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Stockholders elected Christopher Cannucciari and Peter W. Hogan, CPA, as directors for three-year terms and ratified Bo...

Regulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

Greene County Bancorp Stockholders Approve Greene Bancorp Name Change

Neutral
Nov 9, 2026

Greene County Bancorp, Inc., now Greene Bancorp, Inc., is a mid-tier savings and loan holding company.On November 7, 2026, stockholders approved changing the company’s legal name to Greene Bancorp, Inc., with the amendment effective that day. The Boa...

Business Operations and StrategyDividends

Greene County Bancorp Maintains Quarterly Dividend Payout Policy

Positive
Oct 21, 2026

On October 21, 2026, Greene County Bancorp, Inc. announced that its board approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.11 per share on common stock, maintaining an annual dividend rate of $0.44 per share, unchanged from the prior quarter. The dividend re...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Greene County Bancorp Redeems Subordinated Notes to Optimize Capital

Positive
Sep 15, 2026

On September 15, 2026, Greene County Bancorp, Inc. redeemed $10.0 million in principal of its 3.00% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due September 15, 2031. The redemption was executed at par plus accrued and unpaid interest, and the company...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2026