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Orange County Bancorp (OBT)
NASDAQ:OBT
US Market
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Orange County Bancorp (OBT) AI Stock Analysis

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OBT

Orange County Bancorp

(NASDAQ:OBT)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$42.00
▲(11.05% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/23/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, improved leverage, solid ROE, and cash flow supporting earnings) and favorable valuation (low P/E with a dividend). Offsetting this are weaker near-term technicals (below 20/50-day averages, muted momentum) and a recent TTM revenue decline, while corporate events provide only a modest positive tailwind.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
Strong margins and return on equity indicate that Orange County Bancorp is converting its relationship-based banking activities into substantial earnings. If these levels remain supported by lending and deposits, they provide capital for growth, resilience, and continued shareholder distributions.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue Contraction
The recent revenue decline suggests that underlying growth in lending, deposits, pricing, or fee activity has softened even though profitability remains strong. If weaker top-line momentum persists, it could limit operating leverage, reduce reinvestment capacity, and make future earnings growth more dependent on cost control.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Profitability
Strong margins and return on equity indicate that Orange County Bancorp is converting its relationship-based banking activities into substantial earnings. If these levels remain supported by lending and deposits, they provide capital for growth, resilience, and continued shareholder distributions.
Read all positive factors

Orange County Bancorp (OBT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orange County Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orange County Bancorp, Inc., a bank holding company, through its subsidiaries, provides commercial and consumer banking products and services. The company operates in Business Banking, Private Banking, and Trust & Wealth Management segments. It ac...
How the Company Makes Money
Orange County Bancorp primarily generates earnings through its subsidiary bank by (1) net interest income and (2) noninterest income, less operating costs and credit losses. 1) Net interest income (primary driver): The bank earns interest and fee...

Orange County Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability for a regional bank (TTM net margin ~31%, operating margin ~34%) with improved leverage/capital profile (debt-to-equity ~0.11) and solid ROE (~16%). Cash generation supports earnings (FCF ~98% of net income). Key risks are the recent TTM revenue decline (~-3.6%) and historical variability in leverage and cash-flow growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue150.68M158.13M143.09M131.07M96.00M76.00M
Gross Profit119.05M119.46M99.92M93.82M80.35M69.60M
EBITDA52.22M53.10M36.77M39.12M31.97M28.34M
Net Income47.39M41.61M27.88M29.48M24.36M21.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.80B2.66B2.51B2.49B2.29B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments730.83M362.57M594.11M637.33M619.54M770.98M
Total Debt34.60M34.55M143.09M254.02M150.95M22.38M
Total Liabilities2.49B2.38B2.32B2.32B2.15B1.96B
Stockholders Equity306.63M284.36M185.53M165.38M138.14M182.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow65.49M41.33M32.87M40.96M28.94M18.36M
Operating Cash Flow66.78M43.85M34.60M44.50M30.48M20.32M
Investing Cash Flow-36.22M-74.15M-29.42M-144.92M-434.11M-291.31M
Financing Cash Flow128.76M84.20M-2.23M161.72M183.53M455.93M

Orange County Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.82
Price Trends
50DMA
38.03
Negative
100DMA
36.75
Positive
200DMA
34.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
49.72
Neutral
STOCH
44.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OBT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.89, below the 50-day MA of 38.03, and above the 200-day MA of 34.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OBT.

Orange County Bancorp Risk Analysis

Orange County Bancorp disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orange County Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orange County Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$531.51M11.1810.65%1.85%2.06%14.90%
76
Outperform
$531.33M12.2713.95%1.20%9.03%108.77%
74
Outperform
$505.88M10.6316.44%1.91%6.51%38.77%
71
Outperform
$495.18M9.1011.72%3.50%35.31%190.50%
71
Outperform
$515.42M11.5612.38%2.62%-1.11%17.59%
70
Outperform
$492.22M14.336.18%―12.29%97.75%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OBT
Orange County Bancorp
37.73
13.52
55.86%
HBCP
Home Bancorp
67.53
13.48
24.95%
BSRR
Sierra Bancorp
39.76
11.65
41.44%
BWFG
Bankwell Financial Group
66.65
24.10
56.65%
PDLB
Ponce Financial Group Inc
20.35
5.77
39.57%
COFS
ChoiceOne Financial Services
33.11
5.54
20.11%

Orange County Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orange County Bancorp Highlights Strategy at Investor Forum
Positive
Sep 23, 2026
On September 23, 2026, Orange County Bancorp, Inc., parent of Orange Bank Trust Company and Orange Investment Advisors, distributed an investor slide presentation outlining its operating and growth strategies and recent financial performance, inc...
Dividends
Orange County Bancorp Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 21, 2026
On August 21, 2026, Orange County Bancorp, Inc. declared a cash dividend of $0.18 per share on its common stock, marking a capital return to its shareholders. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on September 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 23, 2026