TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Greencoat UK Wind (UKW) AI Stock Analysis

Top Page

GB:UKW

Greencoat UK Wind

(LSE:UKW)

Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:GBX 120.00â–²(0.93% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

GB:UKW scores 57, driven primarily by weaker financial performance due to sharp profitability volatility, recent losses, and free cash flow dropping to zero in 2025, partially offset by consistently positive operating cash flow and a not-overstretched balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, but overbought signals add risk. Valuation is pressured by an extremely high P/E, with the high dividend yield providing some offset.

Positive Factors
Operating Cash FlowConsistently positive operating cash flow (~£274m in 2025) indicates the core wind asset portfolio generates real cash from operations. That durable cash generation supports maintenance capex, servicing of debt, and the capacity to pay dividends even when reported earnings swing.
Negative Factors
Profitability VolatilityLarge swings from multi-year profits to deep losses (net margin -48% in 2025) reduce visibility of sustainable earnings. This volatility complicates dividend forecasting, increases reliance on non-operating items or valuation changes, and raises investor uncertainty about recurring cash available.

Greencoat UK Wind (UKW) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%GB:UKW+30.18%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 2.57B
Dividend Yield
8.86%
Average Volume (3M)
3.96M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
371.6
Beta (1Y)
0.43
Revenue Growth
9.05%
EPS Growth
―
Country
UK
Employees
0
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Asset Management

Greencoat UK Wind Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greencoat UK Wind PLC specializes in renewable energy infrastructure, focusing its investments on wind generation assets and both onshore and offshore wind farm projects exceeding 10 megawatts in capacity. For offshore wind farms, the fund targets in...

How the Company Makes Money

UKW makes money by owning wind farms that generate electricity and then monetizing the output and related contractual/support revenues. Its primary revenue stream is electricity sales: wind farms produce power that is sold into the UK electricity mar...

Greencoat UK Wind Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial statements show mixed quality: strong and consistently positive operating cash flow (about £274m in 2025) and a manageable balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.60 in 2025), but profitability is highly volatile with a swing into losses in 2024–2025 (including negative EBIT and a deep 2025 net margin of -48%). Free cash flow fell to zero in 2025, which weakens near-term financial strength despite the cash generation at the operating line.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue435.79M400.23M-33.63M234.38M579.03M376.95M
Gross Profit413.80M377.02M-33.63M234.38M1.03B350.24M
EBITDA89.82M-98.61M-38.65M193.98M986.64M393.91M
Net Income6.95M-192.62M-55.41M126.19M953.86M363.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.61B4.64B5.19B5.60B4.98B4.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.04M14.22M188.00K21.80M19.78M4.80M
Total Debt1.69B1.72B1.76B1.79B1.10B950.00M
Total Liabilities1.72B1.75B1.78B1.81B1.11B956.28M
Stockholders Equity2.89B2.88B3.41B3.79B3.87B3.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow317.42M273.86M391.01M359.80M545.85M242.26M
Operating Cash Flow317.42M273.86M391.01M359.80M545.85M242.26M
Investing Cash Flow109.22M110.75M54.64M-773.47M-475.34M-563.49M
Financing Cash Flow-367.21M-376.18M-461.66M415.69M-55.53M318.14M

Greencoat UK Wind Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price118.90

Price Trends

50DMA112.91Positive
100DMA108.80Positive
200DMA101.26Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.80Negative
RSI68.52Neutral
STOCH86.70Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:UKW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 118.90 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 115.01, above the 50-day MA of 112.91, and above the 200-day MA of 101.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:UKW.

Greencoat UK Wind Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

GB:UKW against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:FSGGB:FSG75OutperformGBP 519.70M12.4146.72%5.75%7.26%30.92%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
GB:UKWGB:UKW57NeutralGBP 2.57B371.560.24%8.86%9.05%―
GB:GSFGB:GSF50NeutralGBP 252.55M-2.08-28.75%17.88%102.27%-2044.26%
GB:EGTGB:EGT44NeutralGBP 28.31M-9.05-30.47%――-34.88%
GB:RNEWGB:RNEW44Neutral$18.78M-1.11-41.11%52.88%54.08%50.80%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%GB:UKWGB:GSFGB:FSGGB:RNEWGB:EGTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:UKW and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:UKWGreencoat UK Wind118.9027.4730.05%
GB:GSFGore Street Energy Storage Fund PLC50.00-2.22-4.25%
GB:FSGForesight Group Holdings Ltd.471.5036.978.51%
GB:RNEWEcofin U.S. Renewables Infrastructure Trust Plc0.14-0.02-13.38%
GB:EGTEuropean Green Transition Plc10.504.2568.00%

Greencoat UK Wind Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Greencoat UK Wind Delivers Strong Cash Generation as Shares Trade on Deep Discount

Positive
Jul 31, 2026

Greencoat UK Wind reported a robust first half of 2026, with total shareholder return of 9.2% and a 4.4% return on NAV, largely driven by dividends. Net cash generation reached £221.6 million, ahead of budget, as electricity output came in 4.9%...

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing

Greencoat UK Wind posts strong H1 cash generation and lifts inflation-linked dividend target

Positive
Jul 30, 2026

Greencoat UK Wind reported a robust first half of 2026, with its wind portfolio generating 3,003 GWh of electricity, 4.9% above budget, driving net cash generation of £222 million and a dividend cover of 1.9 times. Net asset value stood at &#163...

Business Operations and Strategy

Greencoat UK Wind flagged in new Kepler research for long-term investors

Positive
Jul 2, 2026

Greencoat UK Wind has highlighted a new in-depth research note on the trust produced by Kepler Trust Intelligence’s investment companies team, aimed at providing long-term investors with a comprehensive reference on the fund’s fundamental...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Greencoat UK Wind Updates Total Voting Rights and Share Capital

Neutral
Jul 1, 2026

Greencoat UK Wind PLC reported that as of 30 June 2026 it had 2,158,617,409 ordinary shares in issue, each carrying one vote at general meetings, and 148,831,247 shares held in treasury. The company confirmed that the total voting rights figure of 2,...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Greencoat UK Wind boosts treasury stock with latest share buyback

Positive
Jun 30, 2026

Greencoat UK Wind PLC is a London-listed investment company focused on acquiring and managing operational UK wind farms, providing investors with exposure to renewable energy infrastructure and long-term income streams. The company holds a large issu...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Greencoat UK Wind Sets Half-Year Results Date and Activates Share Buyback Plan

Positive
Jun 23, 2026

Greencoat UK Wind PLC will publish its net asset value, quarterly dividend and half-year results for the period to 30 June 2026 on 30 July 2026, alongside a live webcast for investors and analysts that will be available via its website. The company i...

Other

Greencoat UK Wind Director Buys 30,000 Shares

Positive
Jun 11, 2026

Greencoat UK Wind has disclosed that non-executive director Caoimhe Giblin purchased 30,000 ordinary shares in the company at a price of £1.015 per share. The transaction, executed on 9 June 2026 on the London Stock Exchange’s Main Market,...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Greencoat UK Wind Confirms Total Voting Rights After Treasury Share Update

Neutral
Jun 1, 2026

Greencoat UK Wind PLC has reported that, as of market close on 29 May 2026, it has 2,158,742,409 issued ordinary shares of 1 pence each admitted to trading, each carrying one vote at general meetings. The company also holds 148,706,247 shares in trea...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackShareholder Meetings

Greencoat UK Wind Wins Strong Shareholder Backing at AGM

Positive
May 20, 2026

Greencoat UK Wind reported that all 19 resolutions at its latest annual general meeting were approved, with shareholders voting by a large majority to continue the company in its current closed-ended investment structure. The high turnout and 97.08%...

Other

Greencoat UK Wind Chairman Buys 50,000 Shares on London Market

Positive
May 14, 2026

Greencoat UK Wind has disclosed that its chairman, Lucinda Riches, purchased 50,000 ordinary shares in the company on 13 May 2026. The transaction, executed on the London Stock Exchange’s Main Market at a price of £1.01657 per share, repre...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Greencoat UK Wind Updates Share Transfer and Voting Rights After Treasury Reissue

Neutral
May 7, 2026

Greencoat UK Wind has reinstated 275,033 treasury shares with full voting rights and issued them to its investment manager, Schroders Greencoat LLP, as part of the fee arrangements under their Investment Management Agreement. The shares, relating to...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026