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Volution Group Plc (GB:FAN)
:FAN
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Volution (FAN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:FAN

Volution

(LSE:FAN)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
647.00p
▼(-5.55% Downside)
Volution's overall stock score is primarily driven by its strong financial performance, which is a significant strength. However, the bearish technical indicators and relatively high valuation dampen the overall score. The lack of earnings call data and notable corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective product positioning, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt management, bolstering long-term stability.
Profit Margins
High profit margins reflect operational efficiency and pricing power, crucial for sustaining profitability and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Earnings Decline
Declining earnings per share could indicate challenges in cost management or market conditions, potentially impacting investor confidence and growth.
Leverage Concerns
While currently manageable, any increase in leverage could strain financial resources and limit strategic flexibility, affecting long-term resilience.
Technical Weakness
Persistent technical weakness may reflect underlying market skepticism, potentially affecting capital raising and investor sentiment over time.

Volution (FAN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Volution Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVolution Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies ventilation products to residential and commercial construction markets in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, Australasia, and internationally. The company offers unitary extractor fans for use in bathrooms and kitchens; MVHR and MEV systems; rigid, semi-rigid, and flexible ducting products and accessories; mechanical heat recovery units; air handling units, fan coils, and hybrid ventilation products; underfloor heating, heated towel rails, radiators, and storage and panel heaters; wall, box, and tower fans, as well as portable air conditioners; hand dryers and insect killers; and sensors, controllers, and ducting products. It also manufactures blowers and motors for the heating and ventilation industry, such as direct and belt-drive fans, fandecks, double inlet centrifugal blowers, motorized impellers, and combustion blowers. The company sells its products principally under the Vent-Axia, Manrose, Diffusion, Airtech, National Ventilation, Breathing Buildings, Torin-Sifan, Fresh, PAX, VoltAir, Kair, Air Connection, inVENTer, Ventilair, ClimaRad, ERI, Rtek, Simx, and Ventair brands. Volution Group plc was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Crawley, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyVolution generates revenue through the sale of its ventilation products and systems, which are sold to a diverse customer base including contractors, builders, and distributors. The company has multiple key revenue streams, including direct sales of products, installation services, and maintenance contracts. Additionally, Volution benefits from strategic partnerships with construction firms and energy efficiency organizations, which help drive demand for its products. The company also engages in research and development to create new product lines that align with emerging market trends, thus enhancing its competitive edge and revenue potential.

Volution Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 09, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong overall performance with significant revenue growth, successful acquisitions, and strategic geographic expansion. While there were minor challenges such as a slight reduction in profit margins and regional market weaknesses, the positive aspects, particularly the strong cash conversion, geographic diversification, and sustainability progress, outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 20.6%, with a 5.7% organic growth on a constant currency basis. The highest revenue growth was in the U.K. at 9.5%.
Successful Acquisition
The Fantech acquisition contributed significantly to inorganic revenue growth, making it the largest acquisition to date.
Cash Conversion and Leverage
Cash conversion was 109%, and leverage decreased to 1.2x despite significant acquisitions.
Sustainability Progress
Significant progress on ESG metrics, with 77.3% of revenue from low carbon sales and improvements in accident frequency rate.
Geographic Expansion
Increased presence from 4 to 17 countries, with 63% of revenue from non-U.K. customers.
Strong Performance in Australasia
Adjusted operating profit increased by 83.5% in the Australasia region, largely due to the Fantech acquisition.
Negative Updates
Operating Profit Margin Reduction
Adjusted operating profit margin slightly reduced from 22.5% to 22.3% due to Fantech dilution.
Challenges in Continental Europe
The market in Germany and the Nordics remains weak, impacting overall performance in these regions.
OEM Segment Challenges
The OEM segment had been a drag on performance over the last few years but showed signs of improvement.
Increased Financing Costs
Finance costs increased by 40% year-over-year due to borrowings for Fantech and ClimaRad acquisitions.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Volution reported a strong fiscal year 2025, highlighting several key metrics. Revenue increased by 20.6%, or nearly 22% on a constant currency basis, with organic revenue growth at 5.7%. The highest revenue growth was seen in the U.K. at 9.5%, supported by regulatory developments. Despite a slight reduction in adjusted operating profit margin to 22.3% due to the Fantech acquisition, the organic margin expanded by 50 basis points. Cash conversion was robust at 109%, and the company maintained a leverage ratio of 1.2x after significant acquisitions. Return on invested capital stood at 25.2%. The company also made progress in ESG initiatives, with 71.2% of revenue from low carbon sales and an improvement in the accident frequency rate. Looking forward, Volution is optimistic about continued organic and inorganic growth, supported by strategic investments in capacity and operational excellence.

Volution Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Volution displays strong financial performance with solid profitability, a stable balance sheet, and robust cash flow generation. Key metrics include a 6% revenue growth, a 51.3% gross profit margin, and a 20.2% EBIT margin. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35 and a strong equity ratio of 57.1%. Cash flow is strong with a 20.2% free cash flow growth rate.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Volution has demonstrated strong revenue growth of approximately 6% in the latest period, with a solid gross profit margin of 51.3% and a net profit margin of 12.3%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 20.2% and 24.0% respectively, indicating a robust operating performance. These metrics suggest solid profitability and operational efficiency, though continued focus on maintaining cost efficiencies will be important.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, indicating moderate leverage which is manageable. The return on equity is a respectable 17.4%, reflecting effective utilization of shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 57.1%, suggesting a strong capital structure. The balance sheet reflects financial stability, though any increase in leverage should be monitored.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Volution's cash flow statement highlights a significant free cash flow growth rate of 20.2% year-over-year, and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.77, which indicates effective cash generation capabilities. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.60, showing strong cash conversion. Overall, the company exhibits a strong cash flow position, supporting its financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue362.96M347.61M328.01M307.70M272.59M216.64M
Gross Profit172.95M178.27M143.36M127.80M110.16M79.94M
EBITDA80.18M82.76M79.13M73.11M58.38M37.64M
Net Income39.70M42.80M37.37M35.61M20.84M9.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets589.37M430.31M440.65M411.37M383.98M326.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.68M18.24M21.24M14.63M19.96M18.49M
Total Debt196.40M85.99M120.46M108.03M108.32M92.20M
Total Liabilities339.38M184.39M214.40M203.06M198.69M150.91M
Stockholders Equity249.99M245.92M226.25M208.21M185.29M175.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow74.20M68.33M56.83M31.97M45.73M34.62M
Operating Cash Flow79.03M75.71M64.79M38.98M50.43M39.17M
Investing Cash Flow-117.20M-19.59M-37.48M-24.26M-46.69M-5.15M
Financing Cash Flow31.25M-58.83M-17.82M-19.63M-2.40M-27.00M

Volution Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price685.00
Price Trends
50DMA
639.98
Positive
100DMA
628.02
Positive
200DMA
584.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
10.60
Negative
RSI
69.62
Neutral
STOCH
61.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:FAN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 685 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 636.95, above the 50-day MA of 639.98, and above the 200-day MA of 584.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:FAN.

Volution Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
£161.91M9.7216.23%4.27%4.67%93.06%
70
Outperform
£896.27M18.267.68%2.89%5.88%107.36%
66
Neutral
£130.41M17.437.23%4.07%5.51%-33.75%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
£1.31B-0.94%2.17%-4.34%-220.12%
62
Neutral
£244.66M69.571.63%3.61%-6.12%-86.98%
61
Neutral
£1.36B32.6516.10%1.42%20.57%-3.18%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:FAN
Volution
658.00
54.49
9.03%
GB:EPWN
Epwin Group plc
119.50
19.79
19.85%
GB:ECEL
Eurocell
129.00
-38.66
-23.06%
GB:NXR
Norcros
288.00
43.80
17.94%
GB:GEN
Genuit Group
368.00
-97.72
-20.98%
GB:TPK
Travis Perkins
628.50
-244.12
-27.98%

Volution Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced its total voting rights, with an issued share capital of 200 million ordinary shares, of which 197,987,230 carry voting rights. This update is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s rules, impacting how they manage their interests in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
Volution Group Reports Strong Financial Performance and Growth Prospects
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

Volution Group plc has reported strong financial performance for the fiscal year ending July 31, 2025, with expectations of adjusted earnings per share slightly exceeding market consensus. The company anticipates over 5% organic revenue growth and more than 20% total revenue growth, partly due to the acquisition of Fantech. The UK market showed robust growth in residential revenue, while Continental Europe and Australasia also performed well. Despite currency translation impacts, Volution expects operating margins to remain stable and cash conversion to exceed targets, supporting future investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Volution Group to Release Pre-Close Trading Update
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

Volution Group plc announced its intention to release a pre-close trading update for the financial year ending 31 July 2025. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning in the market for energy-efficient indoor air quality solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Volution Group Announces Key Board and Committee Changes
Neutral
Jul 11, 2025

Volution Group plc announced changes to its Board and Committees, appointing Celia Baxter as the new Remuneration Committee Chair and Designated Non-Executive Director for workforce engagement. Claire Tiney will retire from the Board and various committees after nine years of service, with the company expressing gratitude for her significant contributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £690.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced its total voting rights, with an issued share capital of 200,000,000 ordinary shares, of which 197,975,141 carry voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interest in the company, in compliance with the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced its total voting rights, with the company’s issued share capital consisting of 200,000,000 ordinary shares, of which 197,970,539 carry voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interests in the company under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Volution Group Announces New Director Appointment
Positive
May 22, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced the appointment of Emmanuelle Dubu as a non-executive director of Bodycote plc, effective from June 23, 2025. This strategic move may enhance Volution’s industry positioning by fostering stronger leadership connections and potentially influencing future collaborations or market strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025