Duke Capital (DUKE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: N/A
• Dividend Yield: 9.66%
• Average Volume (3M): 437.67K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 64.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.22
• Revenue Growth: -2.74%
• EPS Growth: -82.86%
• Country: UK
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): 0.00
• Shares Outstanding: 509,815,770
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 505,803
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 437,674
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £35.50
• Price Target Upside: 22.41% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 55 Neutral
• Price Target: 30.00p ▲(3.45% Upside)

Duke Capital's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its stable financial foundation and attractive dividend yield. However, challenges in revenue and profitability, coupled with bearish technical indicators, weigh on the score. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.

Duke Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Duke Capital Limited is a private equity firm specializing in Management Buyouts, buy-and-build strategies, mid-market, minority buyouts, restructuring investments & royalty financing in small and medium size businesses. It does not invest in start-ups, tight margin business models. It does not make venture capital investments. The firm makes investments in every sector with preference towards manufacturing, services, healthcare & IT services. It makes equity investments between £5 million ($6.36 million) and 30 million ($38.18 million) having EBITDA between £2 million ($2.54 million) and £10 million ($12.72 million). It also finances through loan sizes between £10 million ($12.72 million) and £30 million ($38.18 million). It focuses on intellectual property assets and stable, cash flowing businesses, no debt or low levels of debt, and owners not wanting to give up control or existing management wanting to become owners through an MBO. It seeks to provides capital to companies in exchange for rights to a small percentage of future revenues. The firm prefers government and/or regulatory licensed businesses. It prefers board representation in its portfolio companies. It seeks to have minority stakes in its portfolio companies. Duke Capital Limited was founded in 2015 and is based in Guernsey, Guernsey with additional offices in Guernsey, Guernsey and London, United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Duke Capital generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from management fees and performance fees associated with its asset management services. The company charges management fees based on the assets under management (AUM) and earns additional performance fees when investments exceed predefined benchmarks. Additionally, Duke Capital earns revenue from advisory services provided to clients in mergers and acquisitions, as well as from underwriting and trading activities in capital markets. Strategic partnerships with institutional investors and financial technology firms further bolster its revenue potential by expanding its service offerings and enhancing operational efficiency.

Duke Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Duke Capital's financial performance is challenged by a significant decline in revenue and profitability margins. The income statement reflects reduced efficiency and profitability, while the balance sheet maintains a stable debt-to-equity ratio and strong equity ratio. Cash flow performance is stable, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.

Income Statement

Duke Capital's income statement shows a significant decline in revenue by 39.17% in the most recent period, indicating potential challenges in maintaining its revenue streams. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, reflecting reduced efficiency in managing production costs. The net profit margin also declined, suggesting lower profitability. However, the company has maintained positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, albeit at lower levels than previous years, indicating some operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity has decreased significantly, reflecting reduced profitability for shareholders. However, the equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure with a good proportion of equity financing.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a slight decline in free cash flow growth, but the company maintains a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable at 1.0, demonstrating consistent cash flow performance relative to earnings.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	15.01M	15.01M	25.39M	21.88M	18.36M	11.77M
Gross Profit	6.40M	6.40M	19.04M	21.20M	16.62M	11.22M
EBITDA	3.29M	738.00K	28.47M	0.00	-1.72M	0.00
Net Income	2.00M	2.00M	11.61M	19.59M	20.39M	13.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	268.60M	268.60M	238.31M	221.52M	183.73M	105.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	19.77M	19.77M	36.26M	41.73M	26.54M	15.96M
Total Debt	88.33M	88.33M	70.88M	55.07M	48.85M	18.13M
Total Liabilities	91.05M	91.05M	73.03M	57.26M	50.79M	20.13M
Stockholders Equity	177.55M	177.55M	165.28M	164.26M	132.94M	85.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	10.28M	21.52M	16.92M	10.72M	71.92M	9.40M
Operating Cash Flow	17.16M	21.52M	16.92M	10.72M	9.34M	7.53M
Investing Cash Flow	-22.87M	-22.87M	-26.38M	-25.17M	-61.83M	-8.42M
Financing Cash Flow	22.69M	18.33M	-2.75M	17.71M	56.49M	-1.83M

Duke Capital Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 29.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:DUKE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.63, above the 50-day MA of 28.87, and above the 200-day MA of 27.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:DUKE.

Duke Capital Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
DUKE	55 Neutral	―	64.44	1.17%	9.66%	-2.74%	-82.86%
GUN	47 Neutral	£2.19M	-1.94	―	―	―	80.00%
CHP	44 Neutral	£3.10M	―	―	―	―	―
BRH	43 Neutral	£1.69M	-1.26	―	―	-100.24%	84.97%
JADE	38 Underperform	£443.01K	-0.03	152.59%	―	―	―
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%

Duke Capital Corporate Events

Duke Capital Announces Successful AGM Resolution Outcomes

Duke Capital Limited announced the successful passing of all resolutions at its recent Annual General Meeting, indicating strong shareholder support for its strategic direction. This development reinforces Duke’s position in the market as a reliable provider of hybrid capital solutions, potentially enhancing its operational capabilities and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Duke Capital Announces New Performance Share Awards and Vesting of Previous Awards

Duke Capital Limited has announced the approval of 4,663,000 conditional rights to acquire ordinary shares under its Long-Term Incentive Plan (LTIP) for the financial year ending March 2025. The performance share awards (PSAs) will vest over three years, contingent on performance conditions related to shareholder return and cash distribution per share. Additionally, 1,318,233 PSAs from the 2022 financial year have vested, with some shares sold to cover tax liabilities. This move underscores Duke Capital’s commitment to aligning employee incentives with company performance, potentially enhancing its market position and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Duke Capital Releases 2025 Annual Report and AGM Notice

Duke Capital Limited has announced the release of its 2025 Annual Report and Accounts, along with the Notice of its Annual General Meeting (AGM), which will be held on August 4, 2025, in Guernsey. This announcement underscores Duke Capital’s commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement, reflecting its strategic focus on delivering attractive risk-adjusted returns and maintaining robust communication with its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Duke Capital Demonstrates Resilience Amid Economic Challenges in FY25

Duke Capital Limited reported its financial results for the year ending March 31, 2025, demonstrating resilience and strategic execution amid challenging economic conditions. The company saw a 6% increase in recurring cash revenue but experienced a decrease in total cash revenue and net income due to a lack of investment exits and a non-cash reduction in portfolio value. Despite these challenges, Duke maintained a stable dividend and robust liquidity position, underscoring its disciplined capital allocation and income-generating model. The company made significant follow-on investments in existing partners, enhancing its portfolio’s value and supporting M&A activities. Looking forward, Duke Capital anticipates improved conditions with easing inflation and interest rates, which could enhance its attractiveness to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Duke Capital Declares Interim Dividend for Q1 2025

Duke Capital Limited announced an interim dividend of 0.70 pence per share for the first quarter of its financial year, reflecting its commitment to providing attractive returns to shareholders. This decision underscores Duke’s strategic focus on capital preservation and dividend yield, reinforcing its market position as a reliable provider of hybrid capital solutions for SMEs in Europe and North America.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.