Want to see GB:DUKE full AI Analyst Report?
Duke Capital (DUKE) AI Stock Analysis
Duke Capital
(LSE:DUKE)
The score is driven primarily by solid-but-mixed financial performance (strong FY2026 revenue rebound and profitability offset by volatile margins, rising debt, and highly inconsistent free cash flow) and supportive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by very weak technicals, with the stock in a pronounced downtrend and deeply oversold momentum readings.
Duke Capital (DUKE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
- Market Cap
- GBP 93.38M
- Dividend Yield
- 15.14%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 1.65M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 8.5
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.26
- Revenue Growth
- -2.21%
- EPS Growth
- 354.17%
- Country
- UK
- Employees
- 18
- Sector
- Financial
- Sector Strength
- 68
- Industry
- Asset Management
Duke Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Duke Capital Limited operates as a private equity firm primarily engaged in Management Buyouts (MBOs), buy-and-build strategies, mid-market investments, minority buyouts, restructuring endeavors, and royalty financing for small to medium-sized enterp...
How the Company Makes Money
DUKE makes money by providing capital to portfolio companies under structured financing agreements that are designed to generate recurring contractual cash flows. Its primary revenue stream is the ongoing payments it receives from these agreements (t...
Duke Capital Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income statement strength is supported by a sharp FY2026 revenue rebound (+90.8% YoY) and generally strong profitability, but results look uneven with volatile margins and years where profits exceed revenue (suggesting non-core influences). The balance sheet shows a meaningful equity base with historically moderate leverage, yet debt has risen materially (≈18m in FY2021 to ≈99m in FY2026). Cash flow is the main drag: operating cash flow is positive, but free cash flow is highly volatile and reported as zero in FY2026, increasing uncertainty around cash generation.
Income Statement
78PositiveBalance Sheet
74PositiveCash Flow
56Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 28.64M | 28.64M | 15.01M | 25.39M | 21.88M | 18.36M |
| Gross Profit | 28.39M | 28.39M | 6.40M | 19.04M | 21.20M | 16.62M |
| EBITDA | 20.96M | 20.97M | 15.16M | 27.38M | 26.70M | 23.50M |
| Net Income | 10.99M | 10.99M | 2.00M | 11.61M | 19.59M | 20.39M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 276.15M | 276.15M | 268.60M | 238.31M | 221.52M | 183.73M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 79.33M | 79.33M | 19.77M | 36.26M | 41.73M | 26.54M |
| Total Debt | 99.43M | 99.43M | 88.33M | 70.88M | 55.07M | 48.85M |
| Total Liabilities | 101.32M | 101.32M | 91.05M | 73.03M | 57.26M | 50.79M |
| Stockholders Equity | 174.83M | 174.83M | 177.55M | 165.28M | 164.26M | 132.94M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 10.43M | 0 | 21.52M | 16.92M | 10.72M | 71.92M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 17.43M | 13.22M | 21.52M | 16.92M | 10.72M | 9.34M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -20.55M | -20.55M | -22.87M | -26.38M | -25.17M | -61.83M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -8.29M | -4.08M | 18.33M | -2.75M | 17.71M | 56.49M |
Duke Capital Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:DUKE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.68, below the 50-day MA of 25.10, and below the 200-day MA of 25.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.93 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:DUKE.
Duke Capital Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
GB:CLIG77Outperform- GB:DUKE66Neutral
GB:MERC61Neutral
GB:REC61Neutral
GB:IPX58Neutral
GB:LIO56Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB:CLIG | 77Outperform | GBP 214.94M | 11.89 | 15.69% | 5.01% | 5.81% | 19.19% |
| Sector * | 68Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
| GB:DUKE | 66Neutral | GBP 93.38M | 8.49 | 6.27% | 15.14% | -2.21% | 354.17% |
| GB:MERC | 61Neutral | GBP 127.84M | -15.02 | -4.78% | 3.28% | -2.25% | -350.00% |
| GB:REC | 61Neutral | GBP 88.76M | 11.91 | 27.84% | 7.69% | -3.44% | -16.56% |
| GB:IPX | 58Neutral | GBP 111.91M | 8.73 | 11.90% | 10.82% | -22.86% | -56.06% |
| GB:LIO | 56Neutral | GBP 170.76M | 17.71 | 8.74% | 6.88% | -20.90% | -41.22% |
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB:DUKE | Duke Capital Ltd | 18.50 | -6.26 | -25.29% | |
| GB:CLIG | City of London Investment | 444.00 | 97.74 | 28.23% | |
| GB:IPX | Impax Asset Management | 92.40 | -82.03 | -47.03% | |
| GB:LIO | Liontrust Asset Management | 276.00 | -9.75 | -3.41% | |
| GB:MERC | Mercia Asset Management Plc | 30.50 | 1.53 | 5.28% | |
| GB:REC | Record plc | 46.80 | -8.37 | -15.18% |
Duke Capital Corporate Events
Duke Capital Holds Cash Revenue Steady as Portfolio Restructuring Advances
NeutralDuke Capital has responded to recent share price volatility by reporting that total cash revenue for the quarter to 30 September held steady at £7.0m, with interim dividends of 1.4p covered by free cash flow and a broadly diversified portfolio a...
Duke Capital Declares Q2 Interim Dividend to Sustain Shareholder Income
PositiveDuke Capital Limited, an AIM-listed provider of hybrid capital solutions for SMEs in Europe and North America, focuses on long-term corporate mortgage-style financing that aligns its returns with client business growth. The Guernsey-based firm target...
Duke Capital Shareholders Approve All Resolutions at 2026 AGM
PositiveDuke Capital Limited reported that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting held on 25 August 2026 were duly passed by shareholders. The company will publish detailed voting results on its website, underscoring routine but successful sh...
Duke Capital Expands LTIP Awards and Tops Up EBT with New Share Issue
NeutralDuke Capital’s remuneration committee has granted 4,589,000 conditional performance share awards under its long-term incentive plan for the year to 31 March 2026, with significant allocations to CEO Neil Johnson and executive director Charlie C...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026