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Capita PLC (GB:CPI)
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Capita plc (CPI) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CPI

Capita plc

(LSE:CPI)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
263.00p
▲(1.74% Upside)
Capita plc's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in cash flow and revenue, despite some positive trends in equity. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, and the valuation is moderate. The lack of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.

Capita plc (CPI) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Capita plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapita plc provides consulting, digital, and software products and services to clients in the private and public sectors in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through Public Service, Experience, and Portfolio divisions. The company offers solutions for finance and accounting, procurement, property and infrastructure, travel and event, and workplace administration. It also provides customer experience transformation, contact management, collection, complaint handling, customer acquisition and retention, customer experience system and software, and data and analytics. In addition, the company offers capita licensing and support, support, digital policing, and engineering practice; education service and local education authority software; various solutions that help businesses create connected experiences that deliver right message across organisations, customers, and suppliers; solutions for central and local government services; corporate learning, fire service college, employability, and capita apprenticeship solutions; and employer branding and marketing, flexible workforce solutions, agile resourcing solutions, executive and specialist recruitment, background checking and vetting, and digital HR management and transformation solutions. Further, it provides pension administration and software, pensions consulting, and data, insights, and remediation solutions; automation, critical communication systems, finance and payment software, local education authority software, management information systems, and workforce management software solutions; cloud, cyber security, digital connectivity, IT services, robotic process automation, and workplace IT; and actuarial, defence, financial, healthcare, housing, legal, public safety, utility, and welfare and employability services. The company was formerly known as The Capita Group plc and changed its name to Capita plc in January 2012. Capita plc was founded in 1984 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapita generates revenue primarily through its consulting and outsourcing services, which involve long-term contracts with both public and private sector clients. Key revenue streams include fees for ongoing management and delivery of services, performance-based payments, and project-based work. The company has established significant partnerships with various government agencies and large corporations, allowing it to secure substantial contracts that contribute to its earnings. Additionally, Capita invests in technology and innovation, creating software solutions that provide recurring revenue through licensing and maintenance fees. Overall, the company’s diverse portfolio of services and strategic partnerships enable it to maintain a steady revenue flow while adapting to market demands.

Capita plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Capita plc faces several financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability pressures, high debt levels, and negative cash flow trends. However, there are some positive trends in equity and net income.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Capita plc's income statement reveals a challenging financial performance. Recent results show declining revenue with a negative revenue growth rate. The company has struggled with profitability, evidenced by negative EBIT margins and fluctuating net profit margins, although there is some improvement in net income in the latest periods. Gross profit margins have been relatively stable but aren't sufficient to significantly boost overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet analysis indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting significant leverage, which is a potential risk. However, there has been an improvement in stockholders' equity over the years, although it remains low compared to total liabilities. The equity ratio has shown some positive trends, indicating a slow recovery in equity levels.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The company's cash flow statement shows ongoing challenges. Operating cash flow has been negative in recent years, indicating difficulties in generating cash from operations. Free cash flow has also been negative, and while there have been improvements in some periods, the overall trend poses concerns for liquidity and cash management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.42B2.81B3.01B3.18B3.32B
Gross Profit516.50M592.10M581.40M508.60M538.90M
EBITDA269.50M54.90M238.00M508.70M214.20M
Net Income76.70M-178.10M74.80M224.70M14.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.84B2.00B2.55B3.14B3.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments254.00M155.40M396.80M317.60M460.90M
Total Debt680.30M721.00M903.30M1.24B1.60B
Total Liabilities1.64B1.88B2.20B2.85B3.81B
Stockholders Equity199.90M113.00M330.20M274.50M-134.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-75.30M-101.90M24.00M-237.20M308.90M
Operating Cash Flow-25.20M-40.30M71.90M-179.10M396.30M
Investing Cash Flow201.20M9.70M344.10M395.20M-34.30M
Financing Cash Flow-51.50M-76.30M-340.70M-259.70M-331.30M

Capita plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price258.50
Price Trends
50DMA
271.00
Negative
100DMA
264.38
Negative
200DMA
236.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.09
Negative
RSI
56.34
Neutral
STOCH
71.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CPI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 258.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 245.62, below the 50-day MA of 271.00, and above the 200-day MA of 236.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CPI.

Capita plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
564.71M16.3011.60%2.79%6.55%18.44%
77
Outperform
2.21B46.165.25%1.60%0.84%-62.73%
71
Outperform
326.54M12.975.28%14.10%-0.78%0.00%
70
Outperform
1.81B16.9024.71%3.11%14.34%-16.43%
64
Neutral
368.33M39.215.30%2.23%6.90%0.00%
59
Neutral
£294.04M18.009.00%-4.87%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CPI
Capita plc
258.50
-46.00
-15.11%
GB:JSG
Johnson Service
143.40
-9.00
-5.91%
GB:MTO
Mitie Group plc
138.40
22.68
19.60%
GB:RST
Restore
269.00
10.99
4.26%
GB:RWS
RWS Holdings
88.30
-59.20
-40.14%
GB:SRP
Serco Group plc
220.20
47.95
27.84%

Capita plc Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Director Acquires Additional Shares
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

Capita plc announced that Jack Clarke, an Independent Non-Executive Director, has purchased 5,165 ordinary shares of the company, representing 0.0045% of its issued share capital. This transaction is in compliance with the UK Market Abuse Regulation, and it highlights the director’s confidence in the company’s prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Hold with a £298.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Announces Director Shareholding Transaction
Positive
Sep 5, 2025

Capita plc announced a transaction involving Scott Hill, the Chief People Officer, who made an initial notification of a monthly share purchase under the Capita Share Ownership Plan. This transaction reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to employee engagement and investment in its workforce, potentially impacting its market positioning by demonstrating confidence in its future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Hold with a £298.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Updates Total Voting Rights
Neutral
Sep 1, 2025

Capita plc has announced an update regarding its total voting rights, stating that as of August 31, 2025, the company has 114,359,758 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote. This figure is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s rules. Additionally, 460,111 shares held by the Capita Employee Benefit Trust are excluded from the company’s EPS calculation, impacting financial metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Hold with a £298.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Capita plc Appoints RBC Capital Markets as Joint Corporate Broker
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

Capita plc has appointed RBC Capital Markets as a Joint Corporate Broker alongside its existing broker, Barclays Bank PLC, effective immediately. This strategic move is likely to enhance Capita’s market positioning by leveraging RBC Capital Markets’ expertise, potentially benefiting stakeholders by strengthening the company’s financial advisory capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Hold with a £298.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Executive Shareholding Update
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

Capita plc announced a transaction involving Xenia Walters, the Chief Strategy and Transformation Officer, who exercised and retained restricted share awards under the Capita Executive Plan 2021. This transaction, conducted in compliance with the UK Market Abuse Regulation, involved the acquisition of 47,222 ordinary shares at a nil cost, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning executive interests with shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Capita Extends Strategic Partnership with ScottishPower to Enhance Customer Experience
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Capita plc has secured a three-year extension of its partnership with ScottishPower, focusing on enhancing customer experience through innovation and operational excellence. The extension will see services transition to Capita’s sustainable delivery hub in Cape Town, and will leverage advanced technologies like Centrical and CCAi to improve productivity and customer service, reflecting a commitment to sustainable and innovative service delivery.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita CEO Adolfo Hernandez Vests Third Tranche of Share Award
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Capita plc announced that Adolfo Hernandez, the Chief Executive Officer, has vested the third tranche of shares awarded under a buy-out share award. This vesting involved 126,505 ordinary shares, with Hernandez personally funding £154,886 to cover tax liabilities, resulting in his total holding of 503,650 shares, which is 0.44% of the company’s issued share capital. This transaction was disclosed in compliance with the UK Market Abuse Regulation, highlighting transparency in executive share dealings.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Announces Monthly Share Purchase by Chief People Officer
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Capita plc has announced a transaction involving Scott Hill, the Chief People Officer, who has made a monthly share purchase under the Capita Share Ownership Plan. This notification is part of the company’s regular disclosure of transactions by individuals in managerial positions, ensuring transparency and adherence to regulatory requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2025