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Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) AI Stock Analysis

GB:CDGP

Chapel Down Group plc

(LSE:CDGP)

Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:GBX 43.00â–²(0.84% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/30/26

The overall score of 52 reflects a company with strong price momentum and decent revenue growth, but significant fundamental risks. The primary drag is the extremely high valuation (P/E of 380.8) combined with weak cash flow generation and rising debt. While the technical trend is positive, the underlying financials do not yet support the current market price, creating a high-risk profile.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthThe growth indicator and 2025 rebound show that demand can recover after a softer year. Sustained sales expansion would improve operating leverage, support brand investment, and help absorb fixed production and distribution costs over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Rising LeverageDebt has increased materially without a comparable expansion in equity, reducing financial flexibility. Higher leverage can make the business more sensitive to earnings weakness, limit funding choices, and increase the importance of converting growth into reliable profits.

Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%GB:CDGP+7.59%EWC+24.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
GBP 72.90M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
68.36K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
223.7
Beta (1Y)
0.38
Revenue Growth
22.07%
EPS Growth
―
Country
UK
Employees
97
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Chapel Down Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chapel Down Group Plc, through its associated entities, is engaged in the creation and distribution of alcoholic drinks for consumers in the United Kingdom and across global markets. The company's diverse portfolio includes an array of spirits, such...

How the Company Makes Money

Chapel Down Group plc makes money primarily by producing and selling alcoholic beverages, with revenues generated from multiple channels. (1) Product sales (core): The main revenue stream is the sale of English sparkling and still wines and associate...

Chapel Down Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. Revenue growth of 13% and improving gross margins to 47% are positive, but profitability is thin with a 1.2% net margin. The balance sheet shows rising leverage (debt-to-equity of 0.68) and weak cash flow generation, with negative free cash flow in five of the last six years, significantly weighing on the score.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.94M19.44M16.35M17.20M15.00M16.64M
Gross Profit10.18M9.16M7.92M8.91M7.71M7.05M
EBITDA1.44M1.29M-513.46K2.84M1.62M1.88M
Net Income318.00K230.00K-1.31M1.53M784.37K1.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.88M63.38M58.37M51.12M46.46M37.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments321.00K262.00K981.96K1.00M5.80M9.22M
Total Debt23.89M22.63M19.95M10.13M9.46M2.83M
Total Liabilities31.21M30.32M25.71M16.79M14.21M6.68M
Stockholders Equity32.67M33.05M32.65M34.33M32.25M31.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-702.00K-1.40M-6.32M-3.73M-2.77M151.62K
Operating Cash Flow1.01M8,000-3.84M-1.91M-646.02K1.26M
Investing Cash Flow-1.71M-1.41M-2.47M-1.76M-2.12M-1.11M
Financing Cash Flow573.00K683.00K6.23M-1.13M-646.59K4.21M

Chapel Down Group plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price42.64

Price Trends

50DMA46.28Negative
100DMA45.35Negative
200DMA40.69Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-1.03Positive
RSI33.83Neutral
STOCH30.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CDGP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 42.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.19, below the 50-day MA of 46.28, and above the 200-day MA of 40.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CDGP.

Chapel Down Group plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

GB:CDGP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:FEVRGB:FEVR64NeutralGBP 1.00B43.7411.88%1.28%1.74%2.83%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
GB:CDGPGB:CDGP52NeutralGBP 72.90M223.680.97%―22.07%―
GB:CCRGB:CCR52NeutralGBP 380.12M112.320.81%4.64%-2.97%-79.32%
GB:WINEGB:WINE49NeutralGBP 37.56M-6.33-10.61%―-20.43%-38.55%
GB:VINOGB:VINO42NeutralGBP 12.13M-13.42-5.03%―3.37%-181.12%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%GB:CDGPGB:FEVRGB:WINEGB:CCRGB:VINOGB:ADBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GB:CDGP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:CDGPChapel Down Group plc42.503.007.59%
GB:FEVRFevertree Drinks PLC943.50122.6214.94%
GB:WINENaked Wines plc57.60-12.60-17.95%
GB:CCRC&C Group Plc107.80-24.29-18.39%
GB:VINOVirgin Wines UK PLC25.50-23.50-47.96%
GB:ADBAdnams plc Class B1125.00-775.00-40.79%

Chapel Down Group plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Chapel Down lifts profit outlook as sparkling wine growth boosts H1 results

Positive
Sep 23, 2026

Chapel Down reported strong unaudited results for the half year to 30 June 2026, with net sales revenue up 19% to £9.4m and broad-based growth across all channels, particularly a 26% rise in Traditional Method Sparkling wines. Gross margin impro...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Chapel Down sets date for H1 2026 results and investor presentation

Positive
Sep 15, 2026

Chapel Down Group plc, England’s largest winemaker and a leading brand in the fast‑emerging English wine region, plans to publish its interim results for the six months to 30 June 2026 on 23 September 2026. From its substantial vineyard b...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 24, 2026