Chapel Down Group plc (GB:CDGP)
LSE:CDGP
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Chapel Down Group plc
(LSE:CDGP)
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
43.00 p
▲(13.16% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/30/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash generation (consistently negative free cash flow) and rising leverage, despite improving revenue and a return to modest profitability. Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, but momentum is overstretched, and valuation is a key headwind due to an exceptionally high P/E with no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Revenue Recovery & Return to Profit
A rebound in revenue and a return to modest net profit in 2025 indicates underlying demand resilience for Chapel Down’s branded wines. Over the next 2–6 months this strengthens the company's ability to sustain core operations, supports margin recovery efforts, and provides a firmer base for converting sales into future cash flows if maintained.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Free Cash Flow
Consistently negative free cash flow is a material structural weakness: it forces reliance on external financing to fund operations and ageing inventory, limits the ability to self-fund growth or weather vintages, and raises execution risk if profitability improvements fail to translate into durable cash generation over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Recovery & Return to Profit
A rebound in revenue and a return to modest net profit in 2025 indicates underlying demand resilience for Chapel Down’s branded wines. Over the next 2–6 months this strengthens the company's ability to sustain core operations, supports margin recovery efforts, and provides a firmer base for converting sales into future cash flows if maintained.
Read all positive factors
Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£77.19M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)37.59K
Price to Earnings (P/E)335.9
Beta (1Y)0.59
Revenue Growth18.91%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUK
Employees86
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryBeverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)<0.01
Shares Outstanding171,524,320
10 Day Avg. Volume37,218
30 Day Avg. Volume37,587
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.42
Price to Book (P/B)1.97
Price to Sales (P/S)3.35
P/FCF Ratio-46.46
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)<0.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)£22.09M
Chapel Down Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Chapel Down Group Plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of alcoholic beverages in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers wines and spirits, including gin, vodka, English Aperitif, and cocktail sets, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Chapel Down Group plc primarily makes money by producing and selling branded English wine (notably sparkling wine) and related products through multiple routes to market. The main revenue stream is the sale of finished bottled wine to customers: (...
Chapel Down Group plc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 19.44M | 16.35M | 17.20M | 15.00M | 16.64M |
| Gross Profit | 9.16M | 7.92M | 8.91M | 7.71M | 7.05M |
| EBITDA | 1.29M | -513.46K | 2.84M | 1.62M | 1.88M |
| Net Income | 230.00K | -1.31M | 1.53M | 784.37K | 1.23M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 63.38M | 58.37M | 51.12M | 46.46M | 37.80M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 262.00K | 981.96K | 1.00M | 5.80M | 9.22M |
| Total Debt | 22.63M | 19.95M | 10.13M | 9.46M | 2.83M |
| Total Liabilities | 30.32M | 25.71M | 16.79M | 14.21M | 6.68M |
| Stockholders Equity | 33.05M | 32.65M | 34.33M | 32.25M | 31.12M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -1.40M | -6.32M | -3.73M | -2.77M | 151.62K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 8.00K | -3.84M | -1.91M | -646.02K | 1.26M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.41M | -2.47M | -1.76M | -2.12M | -1.11M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 683.00K | 6.23M | -1.13M | -646.59K | 4.21M |
Chapel Down Group plc Technical Analysis
Positive
38.00
Price Trends
35.61
Positive
35.37
Positive
37.63
Positive
Market Momentum
2.88
Negative
87.83
Negative
80.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CDGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.15, above the 50-day MA of 35.61, and above the 200-day MA of 37.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 87.83 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CDGP.
Chapel Down Group plc Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
57 Neutral | £848.84M | 37.88 | 9.32% | 2.11% | -11.80% | -8.61% | |
56 Neutral | £17.37M | 125.34 | 5.67% | ― | 1.50% | -91.42% | |
54 Neutral | £49.49M | -35.88 | -2.23% | ― | -15.87% | 90.20% | |
54 Neutral | £339.60M | 120.05 | 0.62% | 4.05% | -3.68% | -77.33% | |
49 Neutral | £77.19M | 335.94 | -6.01% | ― | 18.91% | ― |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
GB:CDGP
Chapel Down Group plc
45.00
5.00
12.50%
GB:FEVR
Fevertree Drinks
738.50
-123.85
-14.36%
GB:WINE
Naked Wines plc
74.10
-17.90
-19.46%
GB:CCR
C&C Group Plc
92.20
-70.17
-43.22%
GB:VINO
Virgin Wines UK PLC
36.50
-28.00
-43.41%
GB:ADB
Adnams plc Class B
1,750.00
500.00
40.00%
Chapel Down Group plc Corporate Events
Financial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Chapel Down Publishes 2025 Annual Report and Schedules June AGM
Neutral
May 20, 2026
Chapel Down Group plc, a leading English wine producer listed on AIM, operates more than 1,000 acres of vineyards and has built a strong brand through award-winning wines, prominent sports and cultural partnerships, and a visitor-focused winery in...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Chapel Down lifts sales and returns to profit as premium strategy and brand push pay off
Positive
Apr 29, 2026
Chapel Down reported strong 2025 results, with net sales revenue up 19% to £19.4m and adjusted EBITDA (excluding biological fair value movements) up 25% to £3.7m, driven by double-digit wine-related sales growth across Off-Trade, On-Trad...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Chapel Down sets 29 April date for 2025 results and investor briefing
Neutral
Apr 21, 2026
Chapel Down Group plc will publish its annual results for the year ended 31 December 2025 on 29 April 2026, marking a key update for shareholders in the AIM‑listed English winemaker. Management will host a live online presentation that day v...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.