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Cadogan Petroleum PLC (GB:CAD)
LSE:CAD
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Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CAD

Cadogan Petroleum

(LSE:CAD)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
3.50 p
▼(-6.67% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance—recurring losses and notably negative operating/free cash flow in 2025—despite a relatively conservative balance sheet. Technicals add further pressure given the stock’s position below key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E) and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and sizable equity provide a structural cushion for a cyclical E&P business, preserving access to capital and reducing default risk. Over a 2–6 month horizon this balance-sheet strength supports survival through commodity volatility and funding of near-term operations or selective investment.
Negative Factors
Recurring net losses
Persistent bottom-line losses indicate the company is not consistently generating returns on capital. Over months this undermines retained earnings, limits internal funding for capex or redevelopment, and raises the bar for sustainable profitability even if revenues recover episodically.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and sizable equity provide a structural cushion for a cyclical E&P business, preserving access to capital and reducing default risk. Over a 2–6 month horizon this balance-sheet strength supports survival through commodity volatility and funding of near-term operations or selective investment.
Read all positive factors

Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Cadogan Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Cadogan Petroleum plc, with its subsidiaries, specializes in the exploration, development, and extraction of natural gas, oil, and condensate, primarily within Ukraine. Its business operations are structured across three segments: Exploration and ...
How the Company Makes Money
Cadogan Petroleum makes money primarily by monetizing hydrocarbons produced from its oil and gas assets. Revenue is generated through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and/or associated products produced from fields in which the company holds an...

Cadogan Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a strong 2025 revenue rebound (~78% YoY), profitability and cash generation remain weak. The income statement reflects recurring net losses (including 2025 and a very large loss in 2024) and materially weaker gross margin in 2025 vs 2024, while cash flow shows meaningful operating cash outflow and deeply negative free cash flow in 2025. The balance sheet is comparatively stronger with conservative leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.21 in 2025), but negative returns indicate the capital base has not consistently produced profits.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.79M9.15M7.55M8.47M8.79M
Gross Profit1.24M4.11M2.16M2.94M1.43M
EBITDA-306.00K-4.61M-760.00K-755.00K-1.44M
Net Income-1.14M-6.23M1.26M-1.56M-5.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.70M31.13M38.29M37.43M42.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.62M14.38M14.15M13.93M15.01M
Total Debt5.97M173.00K235.00K107.00K206.00K
Total Liabilities7.61M2.06M1.85M1.91M1.99M
Stockholders Equity28.10M29.07M36.44M35.29M40.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.13M-357.00K-628.00K-967.00K2.04M
Operating Cash Flow-2.26M691.00K-570.00K-874.00K2.19M
Investing Cash Flow-9.32M-248.00K738.00K4.00K-151.00K
Financing Cash Flow9.61M-118.00K-132.00K0.000.00

Cadogan Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.75
Price Trends
50DMA
3.76
Positive
100DMA
3.92
Positive
200DMA
4.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
98.39
Negative
STOCH
42.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CAD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.77, below the 50-day MA of 3.76, and below the 200-day MA of 4.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 98.39 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CAD.

Cadogan Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
52
Neutral
£15.62M-17.52-1.67%-22.80%95.24%
52
Neutral
£40.55M-3.78-19.41%-20.46%35.99%
43
Neutral
£10.05M-8.74-5.47%-38.61%83.33%
42
Neutral
£9.97M-6.94-16.51%77.78%
37
Underperform
£4.40M-0.54-36.79%1.61%-36.65%-1031.15%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CAD
Cadogan Petroleum
4.00
0.25
6.67%
GB:ANGS
Angus Energy
0.19
-0.05
-20.83%
GB:STAR
IGas Energy
21.00
14.50
223.08%
GB:UOG
United Oil & Gas Plc
0.21
0.04
28.12%
GB:UKOG
UK Oil & Gas Investments
0.01
0.00
0.00%
GB:UJO
Union Jack Oil
3.05
-2.10
-40.78%

Cadogan Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Cadogan Energy Solutions AGM Vote Reveals Support for Board but Resistance to Extra Powers
Neutral
Jun 29, 2026
Cadogan Energy Solutions reported the outcome of its Annual General Meeting, where shareholders approved 11 resolutions covering the annual financial report, directors’ remuneration, re-election of most incumbent directors and the company&#8...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cadogan details $2.8m Ukraine tax payments from 2025 oil and gas operations
Neutral
Jun 5, 2026
Cadogan Energy Solutions has reported its 2025 payments to governments related to its oil and gas exploration, development and extraction activities, in line with UK disclosure regulations. The group, which operates primarily in Ukraine, prepared ...
Other
Cadogan Director Increases Stake with Share Purchase
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
Cadogan Energy Solutions reported that non‑executive director Michel Meeus bought 412,500 ordinary shares in the company at £0.04 per share on 1 June 2026. Following the transaction, Meeus now owns 16,236,151 shares, representing about ...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Cadogan Energy Sends 2025 Report and Sets June 2025 AGM in London
Neutral
Jun 1, 2026
Cadogan Energy Solutions has mailed its 2025 Annual Financial Report and the notice of its 2026 Annual General Meeting to shareholders, and will make digital copies available via its website and the UK National Storage Mechanism, with filing at th...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026