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Tritax Big Box REIT PLC (GB:BBOX)
LSE:BBOX
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Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:BBOX

Tritax Big Box REIT

(LSE:BBOX)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
160.00p
▲(12.44% Upside)
Tritax Big Box REIT demonstrates strong financial performance and strategic growth potential, particularly in logistics and data centers, as highlighted in the earnings call. The stock's valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Technical indicators are neutral, suggesting no immediate trend direction. The company's financial stability is solid, though increased leverage and past revenue volatility are potential risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant increase in net rental income reflects strong demand for logistics properties, supporting sustainable revenue growth and enhancing long-term profitability.
Strategic Execution
Successful strategic initiatives, such as asset integration and data center expansion, position the company for future growth and competitive advantage in the logistics sector.
Growth Outlook
The ambitious growth target underscores the company's strong market position and strategic focus on expanding rental income and development pipelines, ensuring long-term value creation.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage
Rising debt levels could limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and maintain stable cash flows.
Revenue Volatility
Past revenue volatility may indicate challenges in maintaining consistent growth, which could affect investor confidence and the company's ability to achieve long-term financial targets.
Market Vacancy
Rising vacancy rates and reduced speculative development could hinder future occupancy rates and rental income growth, challenging the company's market position.

Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Tritax Big Box REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTritax Big Box REIT plc is the only listed vehicle dedicated to investing in very large logistics warehouse assets (Big Boxes) in the UK and is committed to delivering attractive and sustainable returns for shareholders. Investing in and actively managing existing built investments, land suitable for Big Box development and developments predominantly delivered through pre-let forward funded basis, the Company focuses on large, well-located, modern Big Box logistics assets, let to institutional-grade tenants on long-term leases (typically at least 12 years in length) with upward-only rent reviews and geographic and tenant diversification throughout the UK. The Company seeks to exploit the significant opportunity in this sub-sector of the UK logistics market owing to strong tenant demand and limited supply of Big Boxes. The Company is a real estate investment trust to which Part 12 of the UK Corporation Tax Act 2010 applies (REIT), is listed on the premium segment of the Official List of the UK Financial Conduct Authority and is a constituent of the FTSE 250, FTSE EPRA/NAREIT and MSCI indices.
How the Company Makes MoneyTritax Big Box REIT generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of logistics properties. The company leases its properties to a diverse range of tenants, including major retailers and logistics companies, typically under long-term leases that provide stable and predictable cash flows. Additionally, the REIT may benefit from property appreciation and value enhancement initiatives, such as refurbishments or expansions, which can lead to increased rental rates. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to expand its portfolio and enhance its market presence, further contributing to its revenue streams.

Tritax Big Box REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance and strategic execution, with significant potential for future growth driven by logistics and data center developments. However, challenges such as noncore asset performance issues and increased market vacancy are noted. The positive aspects significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EPS increased by 6.4%, dividend per share grew by 4.9%, and property valuation performance led to EPRA NTA per share growth of 1.4%. Net rental income increased by 17.3% to over GBP 149 million.
Successful Strategic Execution
Integration of UKCM Logistics assets and a second data center opportunity secured. Successful refinancing of two debt facilities and a strong balance sheet with a portfolio value increase of 4.2% to GBP 6.8 billion.
Growth Drivers and Outlook
Potential to deliver earnings growth of 50% by the end of 2030, driven by record rental reversion, logistics development pipeline, and data center developments. Anticipated rental income increase from GBP 300 million to GBP 790 million per annum.
Operational Achievements
Achieved GBP 5.6 million in rental growth through asset management and development pipeline progress with 0.8 million square feet of developments completing.
Sustainability and ESG Ratings
Progress towards 2025 sustainability targets with strong ESG ratings, including MSCI, GRESB, and CDP.
Negative Updates
Noncore Asset Performance Issues
Reduction related to noncore asset performance and an impairment recorded against a single site due to planning-related delays.
Increased Market Vacancy Rate
Market vacancy increased to 7.1% with a lower speculative development pipeline due to macroeconomic uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During the recent call, Tritax Big Box provided a comprehensive update on its performance for the first half of 2025, highlighting significant growth and strategic progress. Key financial metrics included a 6.4% increase in adjusted EPS, a 4.9% rise in dividend per share, and a 1.4% growth in EPRA NTA per share to 188.2p. The company reported a total accounting return of 3.6% for the six months, with net rental income increasing by 17.3% to over GBP 149 million. Tritax achieved a 4.2% increase in portfolio value to GBP 6.8 billion, supported by a GBP 92 million gain on revaluation and GBP 278 million in asset disposals. Strategically, Tritax integrated UKCM Logistics assets, secured a second data center opportunity, and successfully refinanced two debt facilities, driving future earnings growth potential and superior risk-adjusted returns. The company reiterated its guidance to deliver a 50% increase in earnings by 2030, emphasizing strong operational performance and strategic execution across logistics and data center developments.

Tritax Big Box REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tritax Big Box REIT's financial statements reflect strong growth and profitability, particularly in the latest year, with efficient cost management and solid cash flow generation. While the company is financially stable with a robust equity base, potential risks include increased leverage and past revenue volatility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The income statement shows impressive revenue growth with a significant turnaround from negative to positive revenue in 2024. Gross profit margins are high, and there is a notable improvement in net income from 2023 to 2024. The EBIT margin is exceptionally strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, the volatility in revenue from 2022 to 2023, due to the negative figures, poses potential stability concerns.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet displays a solid equity ratio, indicating strong financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, reflecting manageable leverage. The company has increased its stockholders' equity significantly over the years. However, the increase in total debt from 2023 to 2024 requires attention, as it may impact future financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals consistent free cash flow generation with a positive operating cash flow trend, supporting the company's operational efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash management. However, the fluctuations in capital expenditures and investing cash flow suggest potential volatility in investment activities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue243.95M294.30M228.80M-573.50M996.10M487.30M
Gross Profit223.55M276.10M222.50M-607.70M964.80M464.70M
EBITDA214.10M266.00M179.10M0.000.000.00
Net Income341.80M445.50M70.00M-599.40M972.60M449.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.99B6.70B5.10B5.16B5.59B4.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.10M80.60M36.40M47.40M70.90M57.60M
Total Debt2.16B1.95B1.62B1.61B1.35B1.34B
Total Liabilities2.35B2.13B1.77B1.81B1.52B1.49B
Stockholders Equity4.63B4.57B3.33B3.35B4.08B2.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow161.00M195.40M185.30M177.40M191.90M7.60M
Operating Cash Flow161.00M195.40M185.30M177.40M196.10M137.60M
Investing Cash Flow-183.00M-82.30M-67.20M-302.10M-327.30M-150.20M
Financing Cash Flow39.50M-68.70M-81.30M101.20M144.50M49.00M

Tritax Big Box REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price142.30
Price Trends
50DMA
139.35
Positive
100DMA
141.10
Positive
200DMA
137.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.66
Negative
RSI
58.88
Neutral
STOCH
84.68
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BBOX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 142.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 138.62, above the 50-day MA of 139.35, and above the 200-day MA of 137.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.68 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:BBOX.

Tritax Big Box REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
£3.53B8.309.42%5.51%35.06%127.62%
74
Outperform
1.84B9.127.87%4.93%2.44%-18.76%
74
Outperform
4.18B10.528.50%6.80%122.74%60.58%
71
Outperform
8.60B13.874.93%4.70%-4.77%0.00%
66
Neutral
4.17B10.536.08%5.91%0.97%0.00%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BBOX
Tritax Big Box REIT
142.30
-11.40
-7.42%
BYLOF
Big Yellow Group
12.80
-3.68
-22.33%
GB:LAND
Land Securities Group plc REIT
561.50
-66.40
-10.57%
GB:LMP
LondonMetric Property
179.40
-14.50
-7.48%
GB:SHED
Urban Logistics REIT plc
156.00
38.98
33.31%
GB:SGRO
Segro plc (REIT)
636.00
-208.54
-24.69%

Tritax Big Box REIT Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Tritax Big Box REIT Finalizes Warehouse REIT Bid Without Increase
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has announced that it will not be increasing its cash and share offer for the acquisition of Warehouse REIT PLC, despite a competitive bid from Wapping Bidco Ltd. The decision reflects Tritax’s commitment to disciplined capital allocation and its belief that a higher offer would not benefit its shareholders. This move concludes the bidding process for Warehouse REIT, with Tritax maintaining its strategic focus on efficient capital management and potential future M&A opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £153.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Announces Significant Share Purchase by Management
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has announced the purchase of 1,817,423 ordinary shares by its management team and partners, including persons discharging managerial responsibilities (PDMRs) and abrdn Holdings Limited. This acquisition, conducted under the terms of the Investment Management Agreement, reflects the company’s strategy to align management interests with shareholders and could potentially enhance stakeholder confidence in its operational and market strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2025