tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Shell (UK) (GB:SHEL)
LSE:SHEL
Advertisement

Shell (UK) (SHEL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,353 Followers

Top Page

GB:SHEL

Shell (UK)

(LSE:SHEL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
3,042.00p
▲(9.56% Upside)
Shell's overall stock score reflects its strong financial stability and strategic achievements, such as cost reductions and LNG Canada start-up. The attractive valuation with a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield further supports the score. However, challenges in revenue growth and specific segments like Chemicals & Products need attention.
Positive Factors
Cost Reductions
Ongoing cost reductions enhance Shell's operational efficiency and profitability, supporting long-term financial health and competitiveness.
LNG Canada Start-Up
The LNG Canada project strengthens Shell's position in the LNG market, offering strategic advantages and potential revenue growth.
Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Strong cash flow and consistent share buybacks demonstrate Shell's robust cash generation ability and commitment to shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth suggests challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.
Challenging Chemical & Products Segment
Persistent challenges in the Chemicals & Products segment could strain profitability and require strategic adjustments to improve performance.
Exploration Program Reset
Resetting the exploration program indicates past inefficiencies and may delay new resource development, impacting future growth.

Shell (UK) (SHEL) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Shell (UK) Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShell plc operates as an energy and petrochemical company Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and Rest of the Americas. The company operates through Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals and Products, and Renewables and Energy Solutions segments. It explores for and extracts crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids; markets and transports oil and gas; produces gas-to-liquids fuels and other products; and operates upstream and midstream infrastructure necessary to deliver gas to market. The company also markets and trades natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), crude oil, electricity, carbon-emission rights; and markets and sells LNG as a fuel for heavy-duty vehicles and marine vessels. In addition, it trades in and refines crude oil and other feed stocks, such ase low-carbon fuels, lubricants, bitumen, sulphur, gasoline, diesel, heating oil, aviation fuel, and marine fuel; produces and sells petrochemicals for industrial use; and manages oil sands activities. Further, the company produces base chemicals comprising ethylene, propylene, and aromatics, as well as intermediate chemicals, such as styrene monomer, propylene oxide, solvents, detergent alcohols, ethylene oxide, and ethylene glycol. Additionally, it generates electricity through wind and solar resources; produces and sells hydrogen; and provides electric vehicle charging services, as well as electricity storage. The company was formerly known as Royal Dutch Shell plc and changed its name to Shell plc in January 2022. Shell plc was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyShell generates revenue from several key streams. The upstream segment earns money through the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas, which is sold in global markets. The downstream segment generates income from refining crude oil into various products, including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, as well as from the sale of lubricants and chemicals. Additionally, Shell has a growing presence in the retail sector, with revenues coming from the sale of fuels and convenience store products at its service stations. The company also invests heavily in renewable energy initiatives, which are becoming increasingly important to its revenue model. Strategic partnerships with other energy firms, technology providers, and governments enhance Shell's capabilities and access to new markets, further contributing to its earnings.

Shell (UK) Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view of Shell's financial performance and strategic progress. While there were significant achievements such as cost reductions and LNG Canada start-up, challenges in the Chemicals & Products segment and exploration program were highlighted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Structural Cost Reductions
Shell achieved $800 million in structural cost reductions in the first half of 2025, bringing the total since 2022 to $3.9 billion. This is on track for the target of $5 billion to $7 billion by the end of 2028.
LNG Canada Start-Up
A major milestone was the start-up of LNG Canada, with Shell holding a 40% working interest. This project offers strategic advantages with shorter transit routes to Asia.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Shell delivered $11.9 billion of cash flow from operations in Q2 and announced a $3.5 billion share buyback program, marking the 15th consecutive quarter of significant buybacks.
Resilient Marketing Performance
Marketing recorded its best Q2 results in nearly a decade, driven by strong performance in Mobility and Lubricants.
Negative Updates
Challenging Chemical & Products Segment
The Chemicals & Products division faced another challenging quarter with continued weak margins and unplanned downtime.
Impact of Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
The macro environment remained challenging with geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties affecting trade flows and commodity prices.
Exploration Program Reset
Shell acknowledged a significant reset of its exploration program due to underwhelming past performance.
Company Guidance
In their second quarter 2025 financial results announcement, Shell's CEO Wael Sawan and CFO Sinead Gorman highlighted robust achievements despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. Shell reported $4.3 billion in adjusted earnings and $11.9 billion in cash flow from operations. The company achieved $800 million in structural cost reductions in the first half of 2025, bringing total savings to $3.9 billion since 2022, with a target of $5-7 billion by 2028. The launch of LNG Canada, where Shell holds a 40% interest, marked a strategic milestone, contributing to a 4-5% growth target in LNG sales. Further progress included final investment decisions in Egypt and Trinidad and Tobago to bolster LNG feed gas supply. Shell also announced a $3.5 billion share buyback, marking the 15th consecutive quarter of $3 billion or more in buybacks, with total shareholder distributions reaching 46% of cash flow from operations (CFFO).

Shell (UK) Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Shell demonstrates financial stability with strong balance sheet metrics and efficient operations. However, the recent decline in revenue and free cash flow growth could pose challenges. The company needs to focus on reversing the negative growth trends to maintain its financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Shell's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has maintained a stable gross profit margin and net profit margin over the years, with a slight decline in the TTM period. The revenue growth rate has been negative recently, indicating a contraction in sales. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Shell's balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio in the TTM period, indicating prudent financial management. The return on equity has decreased but remains positive, suggesting profitability. The equity ratio is stable, showing a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth in the TTM period, which could be a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio also remains robust.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue272.01B284.31B316.62B381.31B261.50B180.54B
Gross Profit40.42B45.94B47.21B78.78B35.85B-12.99B
EBITDA53.06B61.65B60.36B92.55B56.51B2.22B
Net Income13.60B16.09B19.36B42.31B20.10B-21.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets387.92B387.61B406.27B443.02B404.38B379.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.68B39.11B38.77B40.25B36.97B31.83B
Total Debt75.73B77.14B81.64B83.80B89.09B108.01B
Total Liabilities204.83B207.44B217.91B250.43B229.05B220.73B
Stockholders Equity181.14B178.31B186.61B190.47B171.97B155.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.69B35.09B31.20B45.81B26.11B17.52B
Operating Cash Flow49.06B54.69B54.19B68.41B45.10B34.10B
Investing Cash Flow-17.65B-15.15B-17.73B-22.45B-4.76B-13.28B
Financing Cash Flow-37.63B-38.44B-38.23B-41.95B-34.66B-7.22B

Shell (UK) Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2776.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2672.36
Positive
100DMA
2616.42
Positive
200DMA
2569.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
26.91
Negative
RSI
64.04
Neutral
STOCH
83.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SHEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2776.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2677.95, above the 50-day MA of 2672.36, and above the 200-day MA of 2569.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 26.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:SHEL.

Shell (UK) Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
£160.63B16.087.54%3.90%-8.55%-22.62%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
£66.65B5.45%
64
Neutral
£66.65B0.64%5.33%
63
Neutral
£66.56B166.000.82%5.68%-9.96%-92.38%
61
Neutral
£3.46B21.62-11.32%8.36%123.03%-330.89%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:SHEL
Shell (UK)
2,776.50
290.12
11.67%
GB:HBR
Harbour Energy
208.60
-32.58
-13.51%
GB:BP.A
BP plc
150.00
7.11
4.98%
GB:BP.B
BP plc
165.00
15.56
10.41%
GB:BP
BP p.l.c.
432.60
47.08
12.21%
GB:WG
John Wood
18.44
-109.66
-85.60%

Shell (UK) Corporate Events

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Shell plc Advances Share Buy-Back Program
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

Shell plc announced the purchase of its own shares as part of an ongoing buy-back program, initially announced on 31 July 2025. The transactions, executed by HSBC Bank plc, are part of both on-market and off-market buy-back strategies, adhering to regulatory frameworks such as the UK Listing Rules and Market Abuse Regulations. This move is expected to impact Shell’s financial structure by reducing the number of outstanding shares, potentially increasing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SHEL) stock is a Buy with a £30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shell (UK) stock, see the GB:SHEL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Shell plc Advances Share Buy-Back Program
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Shell plc announced the purchase of its own shares as part of an ongoing share buy-back program, which was initially revealed on 31 July 2025. The program is being executed under the guidance of HSBC Bank plc and adheres to both UK and EU regulations, reflecting Shell’s strategic efforts to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SHEL) stock is a Buy with a £30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shell (UK) stock, see the GB:SHEL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Shell plc Advances Share Buy-Back Programme
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

Shell plc announced the purchase of its own shares as part of an ongoing buy-back program initiated on 31 July 2025. This move, executed through various trading venues, is part of Shell’s strategy to manage its capital structure and return value to shareholders, aligning with regulatory frameworks such as the UK Listing Rules and Market Abuse Regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SHEL) stock is a Buy with a £2936.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shell (UK) stock, see the GB:SHEL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Shell Announces Q2 2025 Dividend Payments in Euros and GBP
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Shell plc announced the euro and pound sterling equivalent dividend payments for the second quarter of 2025, following the initial announcement of a US$0.358 per ordinary share dividend. The dividends, payable on September 22, 2025, have been converted from US dollars based on recent market exchange rates. This announcement highlights Shell’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns amidst its broader strategic focus on energy transition and market adaptation.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SHEL) stock is a Buy with a £2936.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shell (UK) stock, see the GB:SHEL Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Shell plc Advances Share Buy-Back Program
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

Shell plc announced the purchase of its own shares as part of an ongoing buy-back program, which was initially announced on 31 July 2025. This program, managed independently by HSBC Bank plc, involves both on-market and off-market transactions and adheres to regulatory frameworks such as the UK Listing Rules and Market Abuse Regulations. The initiative is expected to impact Shell’s capital structure by reducing the number of outstanding shares, potentially enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SHEL) stock is a Buy with a £3000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shell (UK) stock, see the GB:SHEL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2025