Golden Agri-Resources (GARPY) AI Stock Analysis

Golden Agri-Resources

(Other OTC:GARPY)

Select Model

Rating:70Outperform

Price Target:$27.00▲(25.58% Upside)

Action:upgraded

Date:08/06/26

The overall score of 70 reflects a solid financial foundation with healthy balance sheet and cash flows, coupled with attractive valuation. Technical indicators are neutral but show some positive momentum. The low P/E and decent dividend yield provide a margin of safety, while the company's stable revenue growth supports future performance.

Positive Factors

Revenue RecoveryThe return to strong revenue growth indicates that Golden Agri-Resources has regained operating scale after the 2023 decline. Continued expansion across its integrated palm-oil value chain can support utilization, customer coverage, and reinvestment capacity over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Volatile ProfitabilityEarnings remain materially below the 2022 peak despite the revenue recovery, showing that higher sales have not translated into consistently strong profitability. This reduces confidence in durable earnings power and leaves results exposed to pricing, cost, and product-mix pressures.

Golden Agri-Resources (GARPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap: $2.52B
Dividend Yield: 3.91%
Average Volume (3M): 847
Price to Earnings (P/E): 4.4
Beta (1Y): 0.25
Revenue Growth: 12.07%
EPS Growth: -3.89%
Country: US
Employees: 99,000
Sector: Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength: 62
Industry: Agricultural Farm Products

Golden Agri-Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Golden Agri-Resources Ltd, an investment holding company, operates as an integrated palm oil plantation company in China, Indonesia, India, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Plantations and Palm Oil Mills; and Pa...

How the Company Makes Money

GAR makes money mainly by selling palm-based products produced and processed through its integrated supply chain. Its core revenue streams typically include: (1) Upstream plantation and milling: revenue generated from the production and sale/transfer...

Golden Agri-Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Golden Agri-Resources shows solid revenue growth (8.7% in 2025) and positive profitability, though gross margins narrowed to 14.7%. Balance sheet is healthy with debt-to-equity of 0.60, down from 0.74, and strong cash flow rebound ($1.17B operating cash flow). Overall financial health is sound.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.02B	12.95B	10.91B	9.76B	11.44B	10.18B
Gross Profit	1.54B	1.90B	2.05B	1.83B	3.03B	2.35B
EBITDA	1.15B	1.26B	1.15B	952.70M	1.74B	1.22B
Net Income	283.44M	400.20M	364.55M	197.60M	782.10M	476.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	11.44B	10.67B	10.69B	9.72B	9.90B	9.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.14B	1.14B	999.83M	1.14B	1.15B	666.02M
Total Debt	3.51B	3.25B	3.71B	3.06B	2.98B	3.00B
Total Liabilities	5.66B	4.94B	5.32B	4.54B	4.65B	4.72B
Stockholders Equity	5.46B	5.42B	5.10B	4.93B	5.00B	4.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	738.19M	-410.47M	238.22M	885.48M	357.68M
Operating Cash Flow	0	1.17B	-80.91M	554.54M	1.09B	564.79M
Investing Cash Flow	0	-543.98M	-626.21M	-604.61M	-705.86M	-196.19M
Financing Cash Flow	0	-539.17M	680.07M	-175.97M	-292.87M	-282.66M

Golden Agri-Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price21.50

Price Trends

50DMA24.36Negative

100DMA23.01Negative

200DMA22.96Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.85Negative

RSI37.57Neutral

STOCH81.57Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GARPY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.64, below the 50-day MA of 24.36, and below the 200-day MA of 22.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GARPY.

Golden Agri-Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

GARPY against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GARPY	70Outperform	$2.78B	4.37	9.74%	3.91%	12.07%	-3.89%
ANDE	65Neutral	$2.18B	12.28	14.15%	1.25%	-5.20%	120.12%
ADM	63Neutral	$37.07B	20.76	7.73%	2.73%	-0.79%	60.09%
Sector *	62Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
LND	52Neutral	$315.49M	-19.13	-4.37%	1.80%	10.11%	-167.71%
AGRO	49Neutral	$1.40B	29.41	3.03%	3.10%	7.20%	-10.41%
BG	49Neutral	$18.57B	15.76	7.22%	3.01%	55.48%	-36.15%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

GARPY and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
GARPY	Golden Agri-Resources Ltd Unsponsored Adr	21.50	0.61	2.91%
AGRO	Adecoagro	9.56	1.99	26.24%
ADM	Archer-Daniels-Midland Company	75.77	17.36	29.71%
BG	Bunge Global Sa	94.22	2.67	2.92%
ANDE	The Andersons	63.97	18.14	39.58%
LND	Brasilagro Cia Brasileira De Propriedades Agricolas ADR	3.20	-0.45	-12.28%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026

Golden Agri-Resources AI Stock Analysis