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Gaia (GAIA) AI Stock Analysis
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Gaia
(NASDAQ:GAIA)
GAIA scores 44 primarily due to weak financial performance driven by ongoing losses and deteriorated TTM operating/free cash flow, despite a comparatively stable low-debt balance sheet. Technicals also weigh on the score as the stock trades below key moving averages with weak momentum. The earnings call adds only modest support—cost savings and strong unit economics are positives, but guidance was softened (no Q4 breakeven) and near-term revenue/cash constraints remain.
Gaia Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by GeographyBreaks down revenue by country or region to show where Gaia earns most of its money and where growth is coming from. High concentration in one market increases exposure to local economic swings, currency moves, and competitive pressure, while geographic diversification can reveal untapped growth opportunities. For Gaia, regional splits also reflect how well its content and marketing translate across cultures and whether expansion is driving sustainable subscriber gains.
The U.S. is the clear revenue engine with pronounced Q4 seasonality, while International is smaller and has shown less consistent momentum. A U.S. sequential pullback in Q1 2026 suggests the company’s channel rebalancing and recent price increases are already damping top‑line momentum. Management’s explicit plan to cut lower‑value third‑party subscribers will likely pressure near‑term growth (Q2–Q3) but should lift ARPU, margins and cash generation into late‑2026, making short‑term volatility a tradeoff for improved long‑term profitability.
The FlyGaia (GAIA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $36.87M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 115.18K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -6.0
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.20
- Revenue Growth
- 3.22%
- EPS Growth
- -19.05%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 112
- Sector
- Communication Services
- Sector Strength
- 60
- Industry
- Entertainment
Gaia Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Gaia, Inc. operates a digital streaming subscription platform and an online community tailored for a niche global audience, including members in the United States, Canada, and Australia. Its extensive digital content library features approximately 10...
How the Company Makes Money
Gaia primarily makes money through recurring subscription revenue from its direct-to-consumer streaming service. Customers pay for access to Gaia’s content library under subscription plans (e.g., periodic memberships), and this subscription base is t...
Gaia Earnings Call Summary
The call presents a balanced view: management is executing a deliberate strategic shift toward higher-quality direct members and advancing content, AI and product initiatives while delivering measurable cost discipline (>$3M annualized savings, G&A cut ~48%). However, these strategic changes and a temporary spike in acquisition costs led to a 5% revenue decline, margin pressure (gross margin down 1.4 ppt), a wider net loss ($3.0M), and a constrained cash balance ($5.3M). Management has revised near-term profitability expectations (no breakeven in Q4) and is now prioritizing free cash flow, while emphasizing that product and community investments should support improved retention and longer-term financial health.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Gaia said Q3 should be similar to Q2 (the revenue trough) with sequential revenue growth into Q4, but it is no longer targeting breakeven net income in Q4 and is instead focused on returning to positive free cash flow in Q4; Q2 revenue was $23.3M (down 5% YoY), gross profit $19.9M with an 85.3% gross margin (vs. 86.7% prior year), operating expenses $21.6M (vs. $20.6M), G&A $1.5M (vs. $2.9M), and a net loss of $3.0M or ($0.12) per share (vs. $1.8M or ($0.07)); cash was $5.3M at June 30 with a fully available $10M credit line, seasonality reduced cash inflows by $2.4M versus Q1, the company has identified/realized over $3M of annualized savings and expects cost benefits by year-end, annualized gross profit per employee rose to $819K, and management reiterated unit economics of direct members with LTV > $500 vs. CAC $85 (~6:1), a targeted 20% improvement in both churn and growth by Q4, and that a temporary CPA spike in April–May tied to an advertising algorithm change has been corrected.
Gaia Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financials are mixed but currently pressured. Income statement quality is weak with flat-to-slightly down TTM revenue and continued operating/net losses despite very strong gross margins. Cash flow is a key concern with negative TTM operating and free cash flow (recent cash burn), while the balance sheet is a relative strength with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.11) but negative ROE.
Income Statement
34NegativeBalance Sheet
66PositiveCash Flow
38Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 98.13M | 98.95M | 90.36M | 80.42M | 82.03M | 79.57M |
| Gross Profit | 82.84M | 86.16M | 77.81M | 68.79M | 71.12M | 69.05M |
| EBITDA | 11.81M | 13.38M | 13.19M | 11.97M | 13.16M | 15.13M |
| Net Income | -5.96M | -4.49M | -5.23M | -5.80M | -3.89M | 3.73M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 147.69M | 154.65M | 141.22M | 130.27M | 135.18M | 133.68M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 5.27M | 13.54M | 5.86M | 7.77M | 11.56M | 10.27M |
| Total Debt | 14.38M | 14.79M | 11.51M | 12.44M | 22.34M | 14.92M |
| Total Liabilities | 49.64M | 52.52M | 47.20M | 43.49M | 49.32M | 43.46M |
| Stockholders Equity | 84.27M | 87.95M | 80.67M | 85.50M | 84.79M | 90.22M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -5.41M | -377.00K | 1.94M | 596.00K | -6.74M | 3.53M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -1.79M | 5.67M | 6.92M | 5.87M | 11.52M | 20.87M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -11.75M | -10.05M | -15.00M | -5.28M | -19.10M | -23.86M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 4.89M | 12.05M | 6.17M | -4.38M | 8.88M | 655.00K |
Gaia Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GAIA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.37, above the 50-day MA of 1.40, and below the 200-day MA of 2.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GAIA.
Gaia Risk Analysis
Gaia disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gaia reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Latest Risks Added
1 New RiskGaia Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
AMC60Neutral
RDI55Neutral
LVO47Neutral
STRZ46Neutral- GAIA44Neutral
CNVS43Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector * | 60Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% |
| AMC | 60Neutral | $2.73B | -2.88 | 31.43% | ― | 6.41% | -19.34% |
| RDI | 55Neutral | $52.72M | -2.96 | 63.61% | ― | -2.17% | 25.32% |
| LVO | 47Neutral | $40.31M | -1.66 | 114.87% | ― | -23.12% | 13.43% |
| STRZ | 46Neutral | $381.24M | -0.91 | -97.02% | ― | ― | ― |
| GAIA | 44Neutral | $36.87M | -6.02 | -6.90% | ― | 3.22% | -19.05% |
| CNVS | 43Neutral | $38.88M | -2.49 | -27.24% | ― | 6.28% | -410.92% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIA | Gaia Inc | 1.45 | -3.60 | -71.29% | |
| CNVS | Cineverse Corp. | 1.46 | -1.46 | -50.00% | |
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings | 3.06 | 0.48 | 18.60% | |
| RDI | Reading International | 1.63 | 0.26 | 18.98% | |
| LVO | Liveone, Inc. | 2.94 | -2.25 | -43.35% | |
| STRZ | Starz Entertainment Corp | 22.09 | 11.36 | 105.87% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026