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Liberty Media Liberty Formula One (FWONB) AI Stock Analysis

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FWONB

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One

(Other OTC:FWONB)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:$103.00â–²(11.47% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (healthy margins and strong free cash flow) and favorable technical trend (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). These positives are moderated by a high P/E valuation and near-term operating variability highlighted on the earnings call (calendar-driven OIBDA swings, higher expenses, and geopolitical/calendar uncertainty), alongside the recent TTM revenue decline.

Positive Factors
Digital Audience GrowthRapid growth in social reach, video consumption, and digital subscriptions strengthens F1’s global audience proposition. A larger, younger digital following can improve media-rights pricing, sponsor value, direct monetization, and brand resilience across future commercial cycles.
Negative Factors
Calendar-Driven Revenue VolatilityThe business remains sensitive to race scheduling and the timing of season-based revenue recognition, which can create substantial swings in reported revenue and operating profit. Even when underlying demand is healthy, calendar disruptions can reduce near-term financial visibility and operating leverage.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Operating Income by Segment

-$200.00M-$100.00M$0.00$100.00M$200.00M$300.00MSep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One (FWONB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%FWONB-1.97%SPY+15.52%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$22.81B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
150
Price to Earnings (P/E)
49.5
Beta (1Y)
0.33
Revenue Growth
12.23%
EPS Growth
47.39%
Country
US
Employees
1,674
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Entertainment

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Formula One Group operates within the global motorsports sector, managing the commercial rights for the acclaimed Formula 1 World Championship. This premier motor racing competition unfolds over roughly nine months, featuring teams contending for the...

How the Company Makes Money

The Formula One Group generates revenue primarily by commercializing the rights and demand surrounding the Formula 1 championship. Its core revenue streams generally include: (1) Media rights: F1 sells the right to broadcast and distribute races and...

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2018
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Management highlighted robust demand, record or sold-out attendance, expanding digital engagement, hospitality and licensing momentum, calendar expansion, stronger MotoGP leadership, and continued investment in growth. These positives outweighed the stated headwinds, including Formula 1's 5% year-to-date adjusted OIBDA decline, MotoGP's year-to-date revenue and adjusted OIBDA declines, the corporate adjusted OIBDA loss, higher Formula 1 expenses, and geopolitical-related calendar uncertainty.

Positive Updates

Strong Overall Operating Performance
Derek Chang said Liberty Media's operating businesses performed "incredibly well" and had a great third quarter, with management remaining confident in the growth trajectory of Formula 1 and MotoGP.

Negative Updates

Formula 1 Year-to-Date Adjusted OIBDA Decline
Formula 1 year-to-date revenue was relatively flat and adjusted OIBDA declined 5%, driven by calendar variance. Formula 1 held 15 races year to date compared with 17 in the prior-year period.

Company Guidance

Management expects 23 races for the year and to return to a full 24-race calendar next season, while noting that additional 2026 calendar changes may be made; the Sprint format will expand to 10 races next year, and in 2027 to 10 Sprints, up from 6 this year. Team payments are expected to show roughly 200-basis-point improvement in leverage for the full year, with the payout percentage expected to remain relatively stable through 2030 after 2026. MotoGP expects Argentina, Adelaide and Australia to come online in 2027, has not announced any new events joining in 2028, and said renewals entering into effect in 2027 are probably around 7, 75% of the calendar. MotoGP’s agreement with Portugal extends through 2029 and Mugello through 2031, while Formula 1’s 10-year agreement for the African Grand Prix starts in the early 2030s.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are solid overall: profitability has recovered to healthy TTM margins (gross ~33%, net ~11%) and free cash flow is robust ($1.12B TTM) with strong recent improvement. The balance sheet snapshot shows very low TTM debt versus equity, but the company’s capital structure has fluctuated across periods and TTM revenue growth has turned negative (-8.6%), tempering the score.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

84Very Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.34B4.48B3.65B3.22B2.57B2.14B
Gross Profit1.42B1.12B1.17B982.00M823.00M647.00M
EBITDA1.40B1.15B577.00M794.00M762.00M363.00M
Net Income461.00M555.00M-30.00M185.00M558.00M-190.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.88B15.40B11.76B10.27B11.02B11.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.47B1.05B2.63B1.41B1.73B2.07B
Total Debt4.92B5.12B2.99B2.91B2.95B3.63B
Total Liabilities7.50B6.95B4.37B3.85B4.08B4.72B
Stockholders Equity7.62B7.76B7.39B6.42B6.91B6.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow786.00M751.00M492.00M193.00M243.00M464.00M
Operating Cash Flow915.00M870.00M567.00M619.00M534.00M481.00M
Investing Cash Flow-3.16B-3.20B-292.00M-683.00M394.00M-600.00M
Financing Cash Flow221.00M408.00M951.00M-435.00M-1.27B512.00M

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price92.40

Price Trends

50DMA88.79Positive
100DMA90.45Positive
200DMA86.14Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.15Negative
RSI65.60Neutral
STOCH74.99Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FWONB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 92.40 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.79, above the 50-day MA of 88.79, and above the 200-day MA of 86.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FWONB.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Risk Analysis

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One disclosed 106 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Media Liberty Formula One reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

FWONB against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FOXAFOXA78Outperform$26.66B12.8617.65%0.82%9.01%7.09%
FWONBFWONB74Outperform$23.76B49.475.94%―12.23%47.39%
LYVLYV70Outperform$42.15B-166.5373.28%―10.75%-146.20%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
MSGEMSGE59Neutral$3.77B38.598.55%―12.52%82.30%
MANUMANU45Neutral$3.71B-67.11-24.51%―5.46%-34.39%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%FWONBLYVMANUFOXAMSGEDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
FWONB and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FWONBLiberty Media Corporation Series B Liberty Formula One92.40-1.13-1.21%
LYVLive Nation Entertainment183.1842.6730.37%
MANUManchester United Plc22.867.1945.88%
FOXAFox Corporation Class A69.654.296.57%
MSGEMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.78.7332.2269.28%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026