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Flotek (FTK) AI Stock Analysis

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FTK

Flotek

(NYSE:FTK)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:$23.50â–¼(-11.09% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

FTK’s score is supported most by a very strong, guidance-raising earnings call and improved profitability versus prior periods. Offsetting this, financial quality is constrained by negative TTM operating and free cash flow despite positive earnings, and technical indicators show weaker near-term momentum. Valuation is moderately challenging with a ~28.8 P/E and no dividend yield provided.

Positive Factors
Revenue and EBITDA GrowthRepeated guidance increases and the projected 63% revenue and 83% adjusted EBITDA growth indicate broadening commercial traction. If achieved, this expansion should improve operating leverage, strengthen the company’s scale advantages, and support greater investment in its chemistry and analytics platforms.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash ConversionNegative operating and free cash flow despite reported profitability shows that earnings are not currently converting reliably into cash. If working-capital swings or investment needs persist, Flotek may have less flexibility to fund growth internally and could remain dependent on external financing.

Flotek Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by SegmentBreaks down sales by business line, showing which products or services drive growth and how concentrated the company’s revenue is. For Flotek, segment-level revenue can reveal dependence on oilfield chemistry or service lines that move with drilling activity, helping you judge where growth or vulnerability is coming from.

$0.00$10.00M$20.00M$30.00M$40.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Flotek is mid‑pivot: high‑margin Data Analytics is growing rapidly and becoming the company’s profit engine while Chemistry Technologies remains larger but far more volatile and recently softened. Management is banking on analytics backlog, analyzer penetration and Power Services to drive steady, outsized EBITDA expansion, but near‑term earnings are exposed to weaker external chemistry sales, pass‑through Power revenues that can dilute margins, and higher tax/interest depreciation. Track backlog conversion and analyzer deployment rates—those will determine whether guidance upside materializes or chemistry volatility reasserts itself.

Data provided by:The Fly

Flotek (FTK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%175%FTK+78.22%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$956.17M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
501.72K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
30.6
Beta (1Y)
1.48
Revenue Growth
59.31%
EPS Growth
-9.88%
Country
US
Employees
160
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Flotek Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Flotek Industries, Inc., founded in 1985 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, operates as an innovation-driven enterprise specializing in chemical and data solutions. Its global reach extends across industrial, commercial, and consumer sectors, with...

How the Company Makes Money

Flotek makes money primarily by selling specialty chemical products and related solutions to oil and gas operators and service companies. Its revenue is driven by (1) product sales—chemistries that are applied during drilling, hydraulic fracturing/co...

Flotek Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:6.40%|Next Earnings Date:May 16, 2022
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, with record revenue, triple-digit growth in both operating segments, raised 2026 guidance, accelerating Data Analytics adoption, expanding international chemistry sales, improving operating leverage, low leverage, and continued investment in growth initiatives. The main challenges were lower reported gross margin due to an unfavorable prior-year comparison, lower reported net income because of the prior year's tax benefit, the inactive Puerto Rico contract, no assumed Q4 Montana contract revenue, OEM testing still in progress, and an uncertain flat-to-down North American activity outlook.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Revenue and Strong Year-over-Year Growth
Third-quarter total revenue exceeded $114 million, more than doubling from the third quarter of 2025 and representing the highest quarterly revenue performance since 2014. Both Data Analytics and Chemistry Technologies revenue increased 104% year over year.

Negative Updates

Reported Gross Margin Declined Year Over Year
Third-quarter gross profit as a percentage of revenue was 24%, down from 32% in the year-ago quarter. Management attributed the comparison primarily to the prior-year $8.7 million order shortfall payment, which had no associated cost; excluding that payment, current-quarter gross margin was approximately 400 basis points higher than the prior year.

Company Guidance

For 2026, Flotek updated guidance to total revenue in the range of $382 million to $390 million and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $59 million to $62 million, with the midpoint implying 63% and 83% increases versus 2025 actuals on revenue and adjusted EBITDA, respectively; adjusted EBITDA guidance does not add back noncash amortization of contract assets expected to total approximately $9.3 million during 2026, fourth quarter international chemistry revenue is forecasted at similar levels to the third quarter and fairly consistent with the third quarter, bringing the annual total to approximately $70 million, and guidance assumes no fourth quarter revenue related to the power services contract in Montana. For 2027, the company expects to invest $15 to $20 million in data analytics capital expenditures, with the majority allocated to next generation distribution skids; it expects to take delivery of 4 skids by the end of the year, 3 of the 4 are already contracted, and it is building an additional 5 in 2 thousand and 2 thousand 27. The company also expects to far exceed its 150 unit digital valuation target for 2026, anticipates international chemistry strength to maintain pace in Saudi Arabia with potential upside in Latin America and UAE, and expects North American land activity to be flat to down in 2027.

Flotek Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability and growth have improved with solid recent margins (TTM net margin ~8.8%, EBITDA margin ~16.5%) and a meaningfully healthier balance sheet than 2022. However, cash generation is a major weakness: TTM operating cash flow (~-$10.6M) and free cash flow (~-$13.6M) are negative despite positive earnings, raising execution and liquidity/funding risk if working capital does not normalize.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue351.29M237.26M187.03M188.06M136.09M43.27M
Gross Profit81.28M59.83M39.39M24.26M-6.70M3.26M
EBITDA58.51M31.74M13.13M28.45M-30.95M-29.48M
Net Income30.95M30.53M10.50M24.71M-42.30M-30.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets311.11M220.05M170.80M157.51M164.81M50.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.27M5.73M4.40M5.85M12.29M11.53M
Total Debt84.71M50.15M12.85M17.88M119.58M13.26M
Total Liabilities167.59M106.99M56.90M55.55M162.21M30.05M
Stockholders Equity143.52M113.06M113.90M101.96M2.60M20.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.56M5.22M1.42M-12.38M-45.05M-25.88M
Operating Cash Flow-10.57M7.20M3.36M-11.30M-44.63M-25.84M
Investing Cash Flow-2.99M-1.98M-1.82M-1.01M5.33M112.00K
Financing Cash Flow30.10M-3.74M-3.12M5.93M38.27M-372.00K

Flotek Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price26.43

Price Trends

50DMA26.58Negative
100DMA26.53Negative
200DMA22.30Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.56Negative
RSI49.99Neutral
STOCH42.91Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FTK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.65, below the 50-day MA of 26.58, and above the 200-day MA of 22.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FTK.

Flotek Risk Analysis

Flotek disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flotek reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

  • Finance & Corporate13
  • Tech & Innovation3
  • Legal & Regulatory9
  • Production6
  • Ability to Sell4
  • Macro & Political5
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Our power services contracts are subject to significant risks and uncertainties that could prevent us from realizing expected revenues.Q2, 2026
2.If we fail to maintain proper and effective internal controls over financial reporting, our ability to produce accurate and timely financial statements could be impaired.Q4, 2025
3.Our business is subject to complex and evolving laws and regulations regarding data privacy and cybersecurity.Q4, 2025

Flotek Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

FTK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FETFET76Outperform$826.95M28.4810.24%―10.59%―
NGSNGS66Neutral$370.91M17.867.07%1.82%24.25%6.99%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
FTKFTK63Neutral$924.09M30.5924.56%―59.31%-9.88%
RNGRRNGR60Neutral$263.27M18.305.17%1.96%16.94%-0.36%
OISOIS54Neutral$498.20M-4.54-18.55%―-0.74%-595.12%
GEOSGEOS45Neutral$47.09M-1.15-35.80%―-20.50%-191.37%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%FTKFETNGSOISGEOSRNGRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
FTK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FTKFlotek Industries, Inc.26.4311.5978.10%
FETForum Energy75.7746.29157.02%
NGSNatural Gas Services28.57-0.60-2.05%
OISOil States International8.492.3638.50%
GEOSGeospace Technologies3.56-20.63-85.30%
RNGRRanger Energy Services12.26-1.16-8.62%

Flotek Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures

Flotek Reports Record Third-Quarter Revenue and Strong Growth

Positive
Nov 3, 2026

Flotek operates in oil-and-gas-related chemistry and data analytics, providing chemistry technologies and real-time measurement solutions. On November 3, 2026, the company reported third-quarter revenue of $114.4 million, its highest quarterly level...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Flotek Secures New $120 Million Term Loan Facility

Positive
Sep 23, 2026

On September 23, 2026, Flotek Industries, Inc. entered into a senior secured term loan agreement providing $75 million of initial funding and up to $45 million in delayed-draw capacity, for total availability of $120 million, led by Elda River Capita...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Flotek Raises 2026 Guidance on Strong Chemistry Sales

Positive
Sep 9, 2026

On September 9, 2026, Flotek Industries raised its full-year 2026 guidance for total revenue to a range of $360 million to $370 million and Adjusted EBITDA to $50 million to $54 million, citing continued strength in international chemistry sales. At...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Flotek Loses Major Puerto Rico Power Contract

Negative
Aug 19, 2026

On August 18, 2026, the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority terminated its Power Purchase and Operating Agreement tied to a 400 MW natural gas-fired generation project, citing a failure to provide performance security and a directive from Puerto Ric...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Flotek Faces PREPA Contract Uncertainty and Short-Seller Pressure

Negative
Aug 18, 2026

On August 18, 2026, Flotek reported that its participation in Puerto Rico’s Emergency Temporary Power Generation project under a 10-year PREPA contract is in limbo after the Financial Oversight and Management Board voted to revoke approval and direct...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026