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Fortescue Metals Group Limited (FSUGY)
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Fortescue Metals Group (FSUGY) AI Stock Analysis

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FSUGY

Fortescue Metals Group

(OTC:FSUGY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▼(-5.73% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/22/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial strength (strong cash generation and conservative leverage) and supportive valuation (moderate P/E with a high dividend yield). These positives are partially offset by weakening technicals (price below major moving averages and negative MACD) and a cooling profitability/free-cash-flow trajectory versus prior years.
Positive Factors
Integrated mining and logistics
Fortescue’s integrated mines, rail network, and port infrastructure support high-volume exports while coordinating key steps from production to shipment. This operating model can improve logistics control, protect throughput, and provide a durable foundation for serving global steel customers through commodity cycles.
Negative Factors
Exposure to iron ore and steel cycles
Fortescue’s earnings are concentrated in seaborne iron ore sales, leaving results structurally exposed to global steel demand and benchmark pricing. Lower prices or weaker customer demand can reduce realized revenue and margins even when mining and logistics execution remain sound.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated mining and logistics
Fortescue’s integrated mines, rail network, and port infrastructure support high-volume exports while coordinating key steps from production to shipment. This operating model can improve logistics control, protect throughput, and provide a durable foundation for serving global steel customers through commodity cycles.
Read all positive factors

Fortescue Metals Group (FSUGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fortescue Metals Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Fortescue Metals Group Limited is a global mining enterprise primarily engaged in the full lifecycle of iron ore, encompassing exploration, development, extraction, processing, and worldwide distribution, with a significant presence in Australia a...
How the Company Makes Money
Fortescue makes money predominantly by selling iron ore to customers, with revenues largely driven by seaborne iron ore exports. Its core revenue stream is the sale of iron ore products (including fines and lump) produced from its Pilbara mining o...

Fortescue Metals Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Above-average fundamentals for the industry: strong profitability (FY2026 net margin ~16.9%, EBITDA margin ~48.6%), conservative leverage (debt-to-equity improved to ~0.29), and robust operating cash flow (~$6.8B, ~2.05x net income). The main offset is a clear normalization/cycle step-down versus prior peaks, with net income falling from $5.7B (FY2024) to $2.9B (FY2026) and FY2026 free cash flow down ~11.1% YoY.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.04B15.42B18.11B16.66B17.31B
Gross Profit6.35B8.75B11.53B8.85B9.16B
EBITDA8.28B7.55B10.51B8.67B10.39B
Net Income2.88B3.37B5.68B4.80B6.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.56B30.52B30.06B28.94B29.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.07B4.33B4.90B4.28B5.22B
Total Debt5.93B5.44B5.40B5.31B6.10B
Total Liabilities12.31B10.56B10.53B10.98B11.75B
Stockholders Equity20.28B19.98B19.55B17.95B17.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.55B3.24B5.08B4.44B3.62B
Operating Cash Flow6.82B6.47B7.92B7.31B6.27B
Investing Cash Flow-3.65B-3.92B-2.81B-3.08B-2.91B
Financing Cash Flow-2.49B-3.19B-4.46B-4.91B-4.81B

Fortescue Metals Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.46
Price Trends
50DMA
24.14
Negative
100DMA
25.71
Negative
200DMA
26.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.57
Positive
RSI
31.16
Neutral
STOCH
12.77
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FSUGY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.15, above the 50-day MA of 24.14, and below the 200-day MA of 26.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.77 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FSUGY.

Fortescue Metals Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$221.43B21.7519.41%4.06%15.12%9.37%
69
Neutral
$34.36B11.5514.10%6.70%9.64%-14.63%
63
Neutral
$159.92B12.5018.86%4.98%14.26%17.02%
63
Neutral
$1.67B5.9925.68%1.05%23.37%―
62
Neutral
$54.60B26.915.76%7.93%12.55%-60.45%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
$807.24M-19.43-5.64%1.41%-8.54%61.49%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FSUGY
Fortescue Metals Group
21.99
-1.67
-7.07%
BHP
BHP Group
84.83
33.35
64.78%
GSM
Ferroglobe
4.19
-0.70
-14.28%
RIO
Rio Tinto
93.34
31.02
49.78%
VALE
Vale SA
13.42
3.40
33.97%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
12.51
7.38
144.05%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2026