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First Solar (FSLR)
NASDAQ:FSLR

First Solar (FSLR) AI Stock Analysis

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FS

First Solar

(NASDAQ:FSLR)

73Outperform
First Solar's robust financial performance and attractive valuation are significant strengths, while recent earnings call challenges, including tariff impacts and policy uncertainties, present notable risks. Technical indicators suggest mixed momentum, with potential resistance ahead.
Positive Factors
IRA Impact
FSLR is a winner under the IRA in terms of increasing earnings power and increasing visibility as developers race to secure domestic solar modules with FSLR the only significant U.S. producer today.
Stock Upgrade
Analyst upgrades the shares to BUY as the company is expected to materially outperform its peers.
Tax Credits
The 45x production-tax-credits will remain largely intact, making the risk/reward favorable at the current price.
Negative Factors
Guidance Reduction
FSLR's stock came under pressure following reduced 2025E guidance provided earlier, which was worse than expected.
Policy Uncertainty
IRA policy uncertainty continues to create challenges with management monitoring FEOC, 45X, and ITC/PTC provisions.
Tariff Challenges
The company is facing macroeconomic and tariff challenges, leading to a downgrade to a Hold rating.

First Solar (FSLR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

First Solar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Solar, Inc. provides photovoltaic (PV) solar energy solutions in the United State, Japan, France, Canada, India, Australia, and internationally. The company designs, manufactures, and sells cadmium telluride solar modules that converts sunlight into electricity. It serves developers and operators of systems, utilities, independent power producers, commercial and industrial companies, and other system owners. The company was formerly known as First Solar Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to First Solar, Inc. in 2006. First Solar, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Solar makes money primarily through the sale of its advanced thin-film photovoltaic solar modules. These modules are sold to utility companies, independent power producers, and commercial and industrial companies engaged in large-scale solar projects. The company's revenue model is driven by the production and sale of these solar panels, which are known for their durability and high energy yield. Additionally, First Solar generates revenue by providing operations and maintenance (O&M) services for solar power plants, ensuring their efficient and reliable operation. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of solar modules, long-term service agreements, and partnerships with major energy companies to develop and manage solar energy projects. The company's strategic focus on innovation, coupled with its global manufacturing capabilities, enables it to maintain competitive pricing and capture significant market share in the solar energy industry.

First Solar Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Megawatts Produced
Megawatts Produced
Tracks the total energy capacity manufactured, reflecting production efficiency, operational scale, and the ability to meet market demand.
Chart InsightsFirst Solar's production capacity has seen a robust upward trajectory, with significant increases in 2023 and 2024. This aligns with their strategic expansion, including new facilities and throughput optimization. Despite record module sales and increased capacity, challenges like manufacturing issues with Series 7 modules and tariff-related costs pose risks. However, the company's focus on technology advancements and a strong balance sheet positions it well for future growth, with 2025 projections indicating further production increases and improved financial performance.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

First Solar Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Solar demonstrates robust financial health with strong profitability and a stable balance sheet. The company effectively manages costs, resulting in high margins and solid revenue growth. While cash flow challenges persist due to capital investments, the balance sheet strength mitigates potential risks. Overall, First Solar is well-positioned in the solar industry with a strong financial foundation.
Income Statement
89
Very Positive
First Solar exhibits strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 43.5% and a net profit margin of 29.7% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The company has shown robust revenue growth of 28.3% from 2023 to 2024 and maintains a healthy EBIT margin of 32.9%. Stability is evident in the consistent EBITDA margin of 37.5%. These metrics indicate effective cost management and a solid profit trajectory.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, showcasing low leverage and prudent financial management. Return on equity is impressive at 15.4%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 67.6%, highlighting a strong capital structure with substantial shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a challenging environment with negative free cash flow growth, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.27, indicating some efficiency in cash generation. Free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting high capital expenditures. While operating activities are positive, the company faces cash flow constraints due to significant investments.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.21B3.32B2.62B2.92B2.71B
Gross Profit
1.86B1.30B69.86M729.95M680.67M
EBIT
1.39B857.27M-216.27M186.06M95.19M
EBITDA
1.87B1.21B46.78M699.37M573.81M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.29B830.78M-44.17M468.69M398.36M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.79B2.10B2.58B1.83B1.75B
Total Assets
12.12B10.37B8.25B7.41B7.11B
Total Debt
718.80M624.39M193.54M239.90M279.23M
Net Debt
-902.57M-1.32B-1.29B-1.21B-947.77M
Total Liabilities
4.15B3.68B2.42B1.45B1.59B
Stockholders Equity
7.98B6.69B5.84B5.96B5.52B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-308.08M-784.51M-30.24M-302.73M-379.51M
Operating Cash Flow
1.22B602.26M873.37M237.56M37.12M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.56B-472.79M-1.19B-99.04M-131.23M
Financing Cash Flow
24.85M336.85M309.39M40.55M-82.59M

First Solar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price140.68
Price Trends
50DMA
130.67
Positive
100DMA
152.31
Negative
200DMA
183.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
57.65
Neutral
STOCH
61.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FSLR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 140.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 131.13, above the 50-day MA of 130.67, and below the 200-day MA of 183.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FSLR.

First Solar Risk Analysis

First Solar disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Solar reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Solar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NXNXT
76
Outperform
$6.25B11.3039.64%21.46%123.22%
73
Outperform
$13.59B10.7816.77%19.42%23.19%
66
Neutral
$5.76B40.8117.13%-22.15%-45.22%
60
Neutral
$10.96B10.28-6.73%2.97%7.74%-12.45%
59
Neutral
$785.44M-49.11%-21.31%-593.57%
54
Neutral
$848.45M-121.50%-57.89%-559.87%
51
Neutral
$592.93M16.561.34%-21.28%-87.20%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FSLR
First Solar
140.68
-48.86
-25.78%
CSIQ
Canadian Solar
9.79
-6.27
-39.04%
ENPH
Enphase Energy
50.78
-60.00
-54.16%
SEDG
SolarEdge Technologies
19.84
-32.37
-62.00%
ARRY
Array Technologies
5.95
-6.71
-53.00%
NXT
NEXTracker, Inc. Class A
46.54
3.47
8.06%

First Solar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call revealed several positive developments, such as a strong backlog and successful technology deployment. However, these were overshadowed by significant challenges, including earnings falling below guidance, new tariff impacts, and substantial policy uncertainty. The sentiment reflects concern over these adverse factors and their potential impacts on future operations.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Contracted Backlog
First Solar's contracted backlog stands at 66.3 gigawatts, reflecting robust demand and a strong pipeline of future projects.
Domestic Capacity Expansion
Construction of the Alabama and Louisiana facilities is progressing, with the Louisiana facility expected to begin operations in the second half of the year, increasing U.S. nameplate manufacturing capacity to over 14 gigawatts by 2026.
CuRe Technology Deployment
Limited commercial production of modules using CuRe technology has been successful, showing enhanced energy profiles and confirming an industry-leading annual degradation rate.
Negative Updates
Earnings Per Share Below Guidance
Q1 earnings per diluted share came in below the low end of guidance at $1.95, affected by a greater portion of international versus U.S. sales.
Impact of New Tariff Regime
The newly announced tariffs, including the potential reinstatement of reciprocal tariffs, create significant economic headwinds, potentially idling production in Malaysia and Vietnam and affecting year-end forecasts.
Uncertainty in Policy and Trade Environment
Significant near-term uncertainty due to budget reconciliation, Inflation Reduction Act impacts, and evolving trade policies, including challenges from new tariff initiatives.
Company Guidance
During the First Solar Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance reflecting the impacts of new tariff regimes and other factors on their operations. Key metrics highlighted include a contracted backlog of 66.3 gigawatts, with domestic capacity expansion expected to reach over 14 gigawatts by 2026. The Q1 earnings per diluted share was $1.95, which fell below the guidance range due to a mix of U.S. and international products sold. For fiscal year 2025, First Solar revised its earnings per diluted share guidance to a range of $12.50 to $17.50, accounting for the impacts of a 10% universal tariff and potential reciprocal tariffs of up to 46% affecting production in Malaysia and Vietnam. The company anticipates total module sales volumes of 15.5 to 19.3 gigawatts, with U.S. manufacturing volumes remaining unchanged. Additionally, First Solar's net cash balance at year-end 2025 is projected to be between $0.4 billion and $0.9 billion, reflecting the impact of tariffs, production adjustments, and capital expenditures.

First Solar Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
First Solar Board Member Molly E. Joseph to Depart
Neutral
Mar 14, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Molly E. Joseph informed First Solar, Inc. that she will not seek re-election to the Board of Directors at the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Her decision is not due to any disagreement with the company, and she will continue her role until the meeting. The company appreciates her service since 2017.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.