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FRP Holdings (FRPH) AI Stock Analysis

FRPH

FRP Holdings

(NASDAQ:FRPH)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:$19.00▲(1.33% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/07/26

The overall score is constrained by a near-total collapse in profitability and an extreme P/E ratio, which are significant risks. The primary strength is the company's pristine, debt-free balance sheet, which provides a crucial safety net and prevents a lower score. Technicals are neutral and do not provide a catalyst. The company's ability to leverage its strong financial foundation to restore earnings is the key factor to watch.

Positive Factors
Debt-Free Balance SheetThe absence of total debt gives FRP Holdings meaningful financial flexibility and reduces exposure to interest costs, refinancing needs, and leverage-driven stress. Its substantial equity base provides resilience while supporting acquisitions, development, and redevelopment opportunities over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Severe Margin CompressionThe sharp decline in net and EBIT margins shows that recent revenue is converting into substantially less profit than in prior periods. Persistently weak margins would reduce earnings power, constrain returns on assets, and make recovery dependent on reversing the underlying profitability pressure.

FRP Holdings (FRPH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%FRPH-19.39%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$359.44M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
106.78K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
3537.7
Beta (1Y)
0.35
Revenue Growth
2.47%
EPS Growth
-98.22%
Country
US
Employees
25
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Services

FRP Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

FRP Holdings, Inc. is a company actively involved in diverse real estate ventures across the United States. Its operations are structured into four distinct divisions: Asset Management, Mining Royalty Lands, Development, and Stabilized Joint Venture....

FRP Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 11, 2026(Q1-2026)|% Change Since:-16.44%|Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presents a balanced picture: tangible progress and meaningful long-term opportunities (Altman acquisition, a large $441M pipeline with ~$30M potential NOI, mining growth, improved industrial leasing activity, and strong liquidity) are counterbalanced by significant near-term operational challenges (sharp drop in commercial occupancy and segment NOI, multifamily underperformance in D.C., FFO pressure from higher costs and interest, and execution/timing risk on lease-up and stabilization). Management is optimistic and focused on converting embedded value into recurring cash flow, but the near-term outlook is mixed and contingent on execution.

Positive Updates

Quarterly Operating Results and Liquidity
Q1 2026 NOI of approximately $8.9 million and FFO of $3.6 million (or $0.19 per share). Company ended the quarter with roughly $130 million of liquidity (cash + line availability).

Negative Updates

Commercial & Industrial Occupancy Drop
Commercial & Industrial portfolio (~807,000 square feet) ended the quarter ~47.5% occupied versus ~85% a year earlier — a decline of ~37.5 percentage points. Management attributes much of the change to anticipated lease rollover timing, slower tenant decision cycles and the addition of the Chelsea building.

Company Guidance

FRP’s guidance emphasizes near‑term stability in NOI but continued pressure on FFO as lease‑up and development stabilization drive future improvement: full‑year 2026 NOI is expected to be roughly $37 million while FFO is “pressured” until industrial lease‑up and project stabilizations converge; Q1 produced ~ $8.9M of NOI and ~$3.6M of FFO ($0.19 per share) and the company closed the quarter with ~ $130M of liquidity; the Altman acquisition was ~ $33.5M and added ~1.6M SF of industrial development pipeline, contributing to a total development pipeline of ~ $441M of project costs with expected stabilized incremental NOI of ~ $30M; Commercial & Industrial totals ~807k SF at ~47.5% occupancy with ~423k SF available (≈ $3.3M of incremental annual NOI) and ~53k SF signed/LOI (≈ $1M annualized NOI); Mining & Royalties generated ~ $3.8M of NOI in Q1 (up $498k, +15% YoY); multifamily comprises ~1,827 units with Q1 NOI of ~ $4.1M and economic occupancy in the low‑90s in SC and high‑80s in D.C.; 2026 G&A is expected to be ~$15–16M, reported EBITDA‑based leverage appears elevated but asset‑level leverage and liquidity remain conservative, and management notes development starts are at the lowest levels since 2010—supporting a long‑term supply backdrop favorable to their infill industrial strategy.

FRP Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. The balance sheet is exceptional with zero debt and a strong equity base (Score: 90). However, the income statement shows severe profitability collapse with a 0.2% net margin (Score: 25). Cash flow remains positive but is declining (Score: 60). The weighted average reflects a company with a fortress balance sheet but deeply challenged earnings.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.37M42.85M41.77M41.51M37.48M31.22M
Gross Profit15.18M6.72M38.34M37.86M33.36M27.47M
EBITDA13.28M18.12M22.03M21.69M20.08M65.63M
Net Income96.00K3.33M6.38M5.30M4.57M28.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets762.31M735.14M728.49M709.17M701.08M678.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments100.97M105.36M148.62M157.56M177.50M165.84M
Total Debt214.62M192.55M178.85M178.71M178.56M178.41M
Total Liabilities307.49M279.49M259.37M261.19M256.87M252.94M
Stockholders Equity428.95M428.51M423.10M414.52M407.14M396.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.50M29.68M28.99M32.97M71.53M52.21M
Operating Cash Flow16.50M29.68M28.99M32.97M22.34M22.24M
Investing Cash Flow-111.19M-72.44M-50.62M-48.75M-23.20M66.60M
Financing Cash Flow30.73M-1.81M12.70M-4.17M16.83M-1.23M

FRP Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price18.75

Price Trends

50DMA20.76Negative
100DMA22.11Negative
200DMA22.42Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.59Negative
RSI33.78Neutral
STOCH31.61Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FRPH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.32, below the 50-day MA of 20.76, and below the 200-day MA of 22.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FRPH.

FRP Holdings Risk Analysis

FRP Holdings disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FRP Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

FRP Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

FRPH against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CHCICHCI82Outperform$184.66M7.3535.60%―39.20%54.32%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
ARLARL56Neutral$298.01M35.791.36%―6.77%―
TCITCI53Neutral$431.36M53.720.95%―5.33%22.04%
FRPHFRPH50Neutral$359.97M3537.740.02%―2.47%-98.22%
STHOSTHO41Neutral$90.25M6.125.29%―-8.12%―

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%FRPHARLCHCIGYROTCISTHODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
FRPH and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FRPHFRP Holdings Inc.18.75-4.55-19.53%
ARLAmerican Realty Investors, Inc.18.452.5916.33%
CHCIComstock Homebuilding17.963.8327.11%
GYROGyrodyne Company Of America4.30-5.58-56.46%
TCITranscontinental Realty Investors49.935.6312.71%
STHOStar Holdings7.470.070.95%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026