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TotalEnergies SE (FR:TTE)
:TTE
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TotalEnergies SE (TTE) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:TTE

TotalEnergies SE

(LSE:TTE)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
€56.00
▲(12.00% Upside)
TotalEnergies SE's stock score is primarily driven by its solid valuation, with a reasonable P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield. However, the financial performance shows some pressure on revenue growth and cash flow, which, combined with bearish technical indicators, tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Renewable Energy Investments
TotalEnergies' investment in renewable energy aligns with global sustainability trends, enhancing its long-term growth prospects and reducing reliance on fossil fuels.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Cognite to deploy an industrial data and AI platform can improve operational efficiency and performance, strengthening TotalEnergies' competitive edge.
Natural Gas Expansion
Expanding natural gas assets in the US enhances TotalEnergies' LNG value chain, offering a stable, low-cost energy source, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Negative Factors
Declining Cash Flow
Reduced cash flow generation can limit TotalEnergies' ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, potentially impacting future financial flexibility.
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue indicates challenges in maintaining growth, which could affect TotalEnergies' market position and long-term profitability if not addressed.
Profitability Pressure
Decreasing net profit margins suggest pressure on profitability, which could hinder TotalEnergies' ability to sustain competitive returns over the long term.

TotalEnergies SE (TTE) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

TotalEnergies SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTotalEnergies SE (TTE) is a French multinational energy company engaged in the exploration, production, refining, and distribution of oil and gas, as well as the generation of renewable energy. The company operates across various sectors, including upstream (exploration and production), midstream (transportation and storage), and downstream (refining, distribution, and marketing of petroleum products). Additionally, TotalEnergies is investing heavily in renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind, to transition towards a more sustainable energy future.
How the Company Makes MoneyTotalEnergies generates revenue through several key streams: the upstream segment, which involves the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, accounts for a significant portion of its earnings; the midstream segment, which includes transportation and storage of hydrocarbons, contributes to stable cash flows; and the downstream segment, encompassing refining and marketing of petroleum products, provides revenue through the sale of fuels, lubricants, and petrochemicals. The company also earns income from its growing investments in renewable energy projects. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies and governments further enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, contributing to overall revenue growth.

TotalEnergies SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
TotalEnergies demonstrated strong operational performance and shareholder returns despite challenging market conditions and specific segment issues. The company's strategic investments and production growth underline its resilience in uncertain environments. However, challenges in the downstream segment and volatile market conditions pose risks.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Production Growth
TotalEnergies delivered a robust year-on-year production growth of nearly 4% in Oil & Gas and 18% in Electricity, leading to a unique production growth of close to 5%.
Attractive Shareholder Returns
The Board confirmed a 7.6% increase in the first interim dividend to €0.85 per share and announced share buybacks of up to €2 billion for the second quarter.
Robust Cash Flow and Profitability
TotalEnergies reported adjusted net income of $4.2 billion and FFO of $7 billion for Q1 2025, with a return on capital employed of 13.2% for the 12 months ending in March.
Strong E&P Segment Performance
The Exploration & Production segment reported adjusted net operating income of $2.5 billion and a cash flow of $4.3 billion in Q1, up 6% and 9% quarter-to-quarter, respectively.
Continued Investment in Integrated Power
TotalEnergies signed a premium threesome power contract with SLB electronics and launched six new battery storage projects in Germany.
Negative Updates
Downstream Segment Challenges
The downstream segment posted adjusted net operating income of $0.5 billion, with cash flow impacted by weak refined margins and operational issues at Donges refinery.
Volatile Market Conditions
TotalEnergies faced challenges due to a more challenging global environment, including geopolitical uncertainties and volatility in the oil markets.
Gas Trading Impact
Gas trading results were negatively impacted by the unexpected downturn of European markets, driven by uncertainty on the evolution of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Company Guidance
During the TotalEnergies First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided a comprehensive overview of its performance and guidance amid a challenging global environment. TotalEnergies reported robust year-on-year production growth of nearly 4% in Oil & Gas and 18% in Electricity, resulting in an overall production growth of close to 5%. The company's CapEx was controlled, with OpEx per barrel remaining below $5, despite inflationary trends. The Board confirmed the first interim dividend at €0.85 per share, a 7.6% increase from 2024, and announced share buybacks of up to €2 billion for the second quarter, even as oil prices softened below $70 per barrel. TotalEnergies maintained its production growth guidance of more than 3% for 2025, leveraging its low-cost emissions Oil & Gas portfolio with over 12 years of reserve life. The company also reported adjusted net income of $4.2 billion and funds from operations (FFO) of $7 billion for Q1 2025, with a return on capital employed of 13.2%. Despite the uncertain geopolitical and macroeconomic context, TotalEnergies remains committed to its strategy of delivering resilient results and attractive shareholder returns.

TotalEnergies SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TotalEnergies SE demonstrates strong operational efficiency and a stable financial position, although recent periods have shown some pressure on revenue growth and cash flow generation. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with manageable leverage, but needs to address declining cash flow to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
TotalEnergies SE has shown strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 34.7% in recent periods. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 6.8% in the TTM, reflecting some pressure on net income. Revenue has declined by 2.35% in the TTM, indicating challenges in maintaining growth. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, suggesting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.53 in the TTM, indicating a stable leverage position. Return on equity has decreased to 10.9%, reflecting a decline in profitability. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow has decreased by 26.48% in the TTM, highlighting potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.31, indicating moderate cash flow generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, suggesting reduced cash conversion efficiency. Despite these challenges, the company maintains positive operating cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue187.12B195.61B218.94B263.31B184.63B119.70B
Gross Profit52.59B55.53B62.37B81.21B52.01B19.61B
EBITDA38.90B42.28B50.78B59.04B42.07B17.88B
Net Income12.79B15.76B21.38B20.53B16.03B-7.24B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets292.82B285.49B283.65B303.86B293.46B266.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.61B30.55B33.43B41.77B33.66B35.90B
Total Debt62.22B51.24B47.87B61.25B64.55B77.30B
Total Liabilities173.81B165.23B164.20B189.29B178.46B160.05B
Stockholders Equity116.64B117.86B116.75B111.72B111.74B103.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.42B15.95B22.96B31.68B18.07B4.04B
Operating Cash Flow28.20B30.85B40.68B47.37B30.41B14.80B
Investing Cash Flow-20.80B-17.33B-16.45B-15.12B-13.66B-13.08B
Financing Cash Flow-10.64B-14.43B-29.73B-19.27B-25.50B1.40B

TotalEnergies SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price50.00
Price Trends
50DMA
51.80
Negative
100DMA
51.77
Negative
200DMA
52.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
39.18
Neutral
STOCH
13.28
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:TTE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.40, below the 50-day MA of 51.80, and below the 200-day MA of 52.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.28 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:TTE.

TotalEnergies SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
€6.14B17.2677.67%4.68%35.00%24.05%
77
Outperform
€948.50M4.4221.70%6.84%-14.28%-9.30%
73
Outperform
€787.50M14.154.13%49.86%-8.54%47.48%
73
Outperform
€6.51B16.452.25%17.19%11.76%
67
Neutral
€107.86B9.5311.32%6.56%-11.41%-36.91%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
60
Neutral
€1.19B12.29-5.01%3.24%-21.92%-117.88%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:TTE
TotalEnergies SE
49.85
-8.97
-15.25%
FR:ES
Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise
92.55
11.63
14.37%
FR:GTT
Gaztransport et technigaz
160.20
36.01
29.00%
FR:MAU
Etablissements Maurel & Prom
4.82
-0.02
-0.43%
FR:EC
Totalenergies EP Gabon
177.00
80.69
83.78%
FR:TE
Technip Energies NV
37.82
17.33
84.58%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2025