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Coface SA (FR:COFA)
:COFA
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Coface SA (COFA) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:COFA

Coface SA

(COFA)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
€17.00
▲(6.18% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/19/26
Overall score reflects solid financial health but moderating profitability and cash-flow momentum, offset by constructive technical trend (price above key moving averages with neutral momentum) and supportive valuation (moderate P/E and high dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Healthy Profitability
Coface continues to generate solid profitability for a specialty insurer, with double-digit net and EBIT margins. This provides an earnings base to support investment in risk-management capabilities, absorb normal claims volatility, and sustain operations over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
The substantial decline in net and EBIT margins from 2024 levels signals weaker profitability efficiency, even though current margins remain positive. If this pressure persists, it could reduce earnings resilience and limit the benefit of otherwise stable premium and service revenue.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Healthy Profitability
Coface continues to generate solid profitability for a specialty insurer, with double-digit net and EBIT margins. This provides an earnings base to support investment in risk-management capabilities, absorb normal claims volatility, and sustain operations over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Coface SA (COFA) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Coface SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
COFACE SA, through its subsidiaries, provides trade credit insurance products and services for small and medium enterprises, mid-market companies, international corporations, international companies, financial institutions, and clients of distribu...
How the Company Makes Money
Coface makes money primarily by underwriting and servicing trade credit insurance policies: customers (companies selling goods and services on credit) pay premiums in exchange for coverage against buyer default/non-payment, and Coface earns underw...

Coface SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains healthy (TTM net margin ~11.1%, EBIT margin ~16.9%) with modest positive revenue growth (~3.8%) and improving leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.95x). However, margins and ROE have softened versus 2022–2024 levels, and cash conversion has weakened (FCF/net income ~0.77x), reducing confidence in recent earnings quality and momentum.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.86B1.90B1.65B1.60B1.57B1.28B
Gross Profit978.52M1.90B1.45B1.40B1.40B1.01B
EBITDA355.25M366.34M446.74M403.60M397.96M343.02M
Net Income205.66M222.00M261.07M240.50M240.44M223.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.47B8.09B8.08B7.90B7.59B7.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.15B3.21B3.22B2.86B3.46B3.48B
Total Debt2.06B2.34B2.39B2.56B2.40B1.97B
Total Liabilities6.30B5.87B5.89B5.85B5.57B5.04B
Stockholders Equity2.17B2.21B2.19B2.05B2.02B2.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow132.56M160.45M326.65M268.82M416.95M309.79M
Operating Cash Flow172.38M196.06M353.36M294.27M449.19M326.96M
Investing Cash Flow27.59M29.45M134.17M-327.82M-124.40M-207.94M
Financing Cash Flow-205.39M-220.11M-490.78M13.93M-142.69M-134.36M

Coface SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.01
Price Trends
50DMA
16.08
Negative
100DMA
15.72
Negative
200DMA
15.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
40.65
Neutral
STOCH
9.74
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:COFA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.19, below the 50-day MA of 16.08, and above the 200-day MA of 15.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:COFA.

Coface SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
€85.48B8.4424.07%5.59%10.86%36.10%
74
Outperform
€5.71B6.9418.58%5.95%-5.62%52.30%
73
Outperform
€12.02B23.7629.90%3.40%1.88%-22.65%
71
Outperform
€2.32B11.379.36%8.02%0.01%-15.41%
70
Outperform
€99.36B7.7811.06%6.45%7.57%22.65%
58
Neutral
€728.97M9.812.86%2.82%-4.60%22.52%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:COFA
Coface SA
15.58
0.89
6.09%
FR:CS
AXA SA
41.52
4.24
11.39%
FR:BNP
BNP Paribas
89.95
19.05
26.86%
FR:BVI
Bureau Veritas
27.09
0.87
3.33%
FR:CAF
CRCAM dlle-de France
91.71
-17.57
-16.08%
FR:SCR
SCOR
31.92
2.53
8.62%

Coface SA Corporate Events

Coface Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights Structure as of 30 September 2026
Oct 1, 2026
Coface SA has confirmed that as at 30 September 2026 its share capital is composed of 150,179,792 shares, matching the number of theoretical voting rights and resulting in 149,512,977 exercisable voting rights once treasury shares are excluded. Al...
Coface Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights as of 31 August 2026
Sep 1, 2026
Coface SA reported that, as of 31 August 2026, its share capital comprises 150,179,792 shares, corresponding to an equal number of theoretical voting rights and 149,469,642 exercisable voting rights after deducting treasury shares. The company als...
Coface Discloses Updated Share Capital and Voting Rights Structure
Aug 3, 2026
Coface SA, a French joint-stock corporation listed on Euronext Paris, operates with a fully subscribed share capital of €300.36 million split into 150,179,792 ordinary shares. The company maintains its regulated information for investors on ...
Coface Unveils Flexible 2026-2027 Share Buyback Programme
Jul 30, 2026
Coface SA has launched a new 2026-2027 share buyback programme, authorised by the shareholders’ meeting of 19 May 2026 and implemented by the board on 30 July 2026, replacing the prior 2025-2026 plan. The programme allows the company to repu...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2026