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Fresenius Medical Care (FMS)
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Fresenius Medical Care (FMS) AI Stock Analysis

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FMS

Fresenius Medical Care

(NYSE:FMS)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(7.04% Upside)
Fresenius Medical Care's overall score is driven by strong earnings call performance and fair valuation, offset by technical analysis indicating bearish trends and financial performance challenges. The company's strategic initiatives and share buyback program are positive, but operational and market challenges remain.

Fresenius Medical Care (FMS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fresenius Medical Care Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFresenius Medical Care (FMS) is a global healthcare company specializing in providing products and services for individuals with renal diseases. The company operates in two main segments: the production of dialysis products and the provision of dialysis services. Its core offerings include dialysis machines, dialysis consumables, and various related services, making it a leading provider in the renal care market. With a strong presence in both the manufacturing and treatment sectors, Fresenius Medical Care is committed to improving the quality of life for patients with kidney failure worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyFresenius Medical Care generates revenue primarily through the sale of dialysis products and the provision of dialysis services. The company's revenue model is built on two key streams: the sale of medical equipment, such as dialysis machines and consumables (dialyzers, fluids, etc.), and the operation of outpatient dialysis clinics, where they provide treatment to patients. Additionally, Fresenius Medical Care earns income from long-term contracts with healthcare providers and government entities, which often include reimbursement for dialysis treatments. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with healthcare organizations that enhance its service offerings and market reach, contributing to consistent revenue growth.

Fresenius Medical Care Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected an overall positive sentiment with strong organic revenue and operating income growth, significant contribution from phosphate binders, and continued savings from the FME25+ program. However, challenges such as low U.S. same-market treatment growth, earnings fluctuations in Value-Based Care, and unfavorable foreign exchange impacts were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Revenue Growth
In the third quarter, the company realized strong organic revenue growth of 10%, with positive contributions from all three operating segments.
Operating Income Growth
Operating income growth increased for a third consecutive quarter and accelerated to 28%, driving a step change in profitability with the operating income margin expanding from 9.9% to 11.7%.
Phosphate Binders Contribution
The contribution from phosphate binders in the pharma business is expected to be around EUR 180 million for the full year, significantly above the initial expectation of EUR 100 million.
FME25+ Program Savings
Continued momentum in the FME25+ program generated a further EUR 47 million in sustainable savings in the quarter, bringing the total savings for 2025 to EUR 174 million.
Share Buyback Program
The company announced an initial share buyback of EUR 1 billion, with a first tranche of up to EUR 600 million having commenced in August.
Improved Patient Care Initiatives
Treatment adherence improved, and antimicrobial interventions reduced infection rates by 70%. Flu vaccination rates were 34% higher compared to the previous year.
Negative Updates
U.S. Same-Market Treatment Growth
U.S. same-market treatment growth was slightly positive at 0.1%, reflecting the carryover effect from elevated mortality and improving admissions.
Value-Based Care Earnings Fluctuations
Value-Based Care faced delays to 2026 by CMS in providing reporting data for the CKCC program, leading to quarterly earnings fluctuations and a slightly more negative operating income contribution.
Foreign Exchange Rate Impact
Foreign exchange rates developed unfavorably with a negative EUR 24 million translational impact on the financial results.
Elevated Medical Benefit Costs
Higher labor costs were driven by elevated medical benefit costs, influencing the overall cost structure.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Fresenius Medical Care reported strong financial performance, with a 10% organic revenue growth and a 28% increase in operating income. This resulted in an expansion of the operating income margin from 9.9% to 11.7%. The company's FME25+ program contributed EUR 47 million in sustainable savings for the quarter, bringing total savings for the year to EUR 174 million. Additionally, Fresenius initiated a share buyback program, repurchasing 4.35 million shares for EUR 188 million by the end of October. The company maintained its guidance for 2025, expecting to achieve the top end of its low single-digit revenue growth range and reaffirming its operating income growth target of high teens to high 20s percent.

Fresenius Medical Care Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fresenius Medical Care shows stable financial health with consistent revenue and robust operating cash flow. Improvements in EBIT and return on equity are positive, but the company should enhance net profitability to drive shareholder value. The reliance on debt is a potential risk.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Fresenius Medical Care has demonstrated consistent revenue performance with a slight decline from $19.5B in 2023 to $19.3B in 2024. Gross profit margins have been stable around 24-25%. The company has shown resilience in EBIT and EBITDA margins, with a notable recovery in EBIT from negative in 2022 to $1.39B in 2024. However, net income growth has been moderate, and the net profit margin remains relatively low at around 2.8% in 2024.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position with stockholders' equity increasing to $14.6B in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at approximately 0.75, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The equity ratio is around 43.4%, which is stable but suggests moderate leverage. Return on equity improved to 3.7% in 2024, indicating better profitability on shareholder capital.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains strong at $2.39B in 2024, supporting the company's liquidity. Free cash flow generation is robust, with a significant free cash flow to net income ratio of over 3x in 2024, highlighting efficient cash conversion. However, free cash flow declined from 2023 levels, posing a potential concern for future investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.64B19.34B19.45B19.40B17.62B17.86B
Gross Profit4.91B4.76B4.93B4.89B4.77B5.54B
EBITDA2.67B3.21B3.21B3.42B3.55B4.13B
Net Income718.20M537.91M499.00M673.40M969.31M1.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.89B33.57B33.93B35.75B34.37B31.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.26B1.34B1.56B1.46B1.64B1.26B
Total Debt10.47B11.00B12.08B13.21B13.32B12.38B
Total Liabilities16.98B17.80B19.10B20.30B20.39B19.36B
Stockholders Equity12.95B14.58B13.62B13.99B12.70B11.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.78B1.69B1.94B1.44B1.64B3.18B
Operating Cash Flow2.51B2.39B2.63B2.17B2.49B4.23B
Investing Cash Flow-423.49M-84.94M-544.23M-734.73M-1.20B-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow-2.16B-2.57B-1.86B-1.62B-1.02B-2.66B

Fresenius Medical Care Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.29
Price Trends
50DMA
25.98
Negative
100DMA
26.11
Negative
200DMA
25.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.48
Positive
RSI
26.50
Positive
STOCH
17.52
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FMS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.46, below the 50-day MA of 25.98, and below the 200-day MA of 25.62, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.50 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FMS.

Fresenius Medical Care Risk Analysis

Fresenius Medical Care disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fresenius Medical Care reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We need to develop new internal functions to perform certain business services that Fresenius SE provided to us prior to the Conversion. Q4, 2023
2.
As a company with operations spanning 150 countries, we face specific risks from our global operations. Q4, 2023

Fresenius Medical Care Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$10.42B32.0316.98%0.14%18.61%35.76%
78
Outperform
$14.59B10.8919.97%0.35%10.21%39.58%
73
Outperform
$18.04B14.0734.51%-0.56%-53.50%
65
Neutral
$13.90B17.425.31%3.28%4.09%13.17%
62
Neutral
$11.60B21.7824.94%0.55%11.13%27.53%
58
Neutral
$8.73B12.745.14%4.37%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care
24.00
3.01
14.34%
DVA
DaVita
123.69
-30.79
-19.93%
EHC
Encompass Health
115.27
12.65
12.33%
THC
Tenet Healthcare
205.26
38.41
23.02%
ENSG
The Ensign Group
179.97
28.64
18.93%
UHS
Universal Health
229.23
21.56
10.38%

Fresenius Medical Care Corporate Events

Fresenius Medical Care Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Progress
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Fresenius Medical Care announced its third-quarter results, highlighting a 28% growth in operating income and a 10% increase in organic revenue. The company reported significant progress in its FME Reignite strategy, achieving substantial savings and advancing its share buyback program. Despite divestments affecting revenue, the company confirmed its full-year outlook, indicating a positive trajectory in financial performance and strategic initiatives.

Fresenius Medical Care Unveils New Value-Based Care Segment in Q3 2025 Report
Nov 4, 2025

Fresenius Medical Care AG released its interim financial report for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025. The company has restructured its operations by introducing a new Value-Based Care segment as of June 1, 2025, to enhance its focus on value-based kidney care. This strategic move is expected to improve the company’s market positioning by aligning its internal management reporting with recent changes. The report highlights the company’s financial condition and results of operations, providing insights into its performance and strategic direction.

Fresenius Medical Care Appoints Joseph Turk to Management Board
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Fresenius Medical Care announced the appointment of Joseph Turk as a new member of the Management Board, effective January 1, 2026. Turk will take over as CEO of the Care Enablement segment, succeeding Dr. Katarzyna Mazur-Hofsäß, who will retire at the end of the year. This transition is part of the company’s strategy to continue its margin improvement and innovation efforts, particularly with the rollout of the 5008X CAREsystem in the U.S. The appointment is expected to ensure the uninterrupted execution of the company’s FME Reignite strategy, with Turk’s experience and leadership being pivotal in advancing the company’s goals.

Fresenius Medical Care Boosts Value-Based Care with Strategic Investment and Leadership Change
Sep 19, 2025

Fresenius Medical Care announced significant advancements in its Value-Based Care segment by investing EUR 312 million to increase its ownership in Interwell Health, a leader in renal value-based care. This strategic move is part of the company’s FME Reignite strategy, aimed at driving growth and innovation while reducing costs. Additionally, Tommy P. O’Connor has been appointed as the new CEO of Interwell Health, effective October 1, 2025, succeeding Robert Sepucha. O’Connor’s leadership is expected to enhance the integration and value creation within the segment, furthering Fresenius’ commitment to high-quality, cost-effective kidney care.

Fresenius Medical Care Launches EUR 1 Billion Share Buyback Program
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Fresenius Medical Care announced the commencement of a share buyback program, which was initially disclosed on June 17, 2025. The program aims to repurchase up to 29,288,814 shares for a total of EUR 1 billion by August 10, 2027. This initiative is part of a strategic move to optimize capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value. The buyback will be executed in two tranches, with the first tranche involving up to EUR 600 million worth of shares by April 30, 2026. The repurchased shares are primarily intended to be canceled, reducing the company’s share capital, while a smaller portion may be allocated to incentive-based compensation plans. This move is expected to impact the company’s financial operations and market positioning positively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025