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Fresenius Medical Care Corp. (FMS)
NYSE:FMS
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Fresenius Medical Care (FMS) AI Stock Analysis

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FMS

Fresenius Medical Care

(NYSE:FMS)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(9.20% Upside)
Fresenius Medical Care's overall stock score reflects its stable financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including strong revenue growth and a share buyback program. The technical analysis indicates a neutral trend, while the valuation is moderate with a decent dividend yield. Challenges such as reliance on debt and external cost pressures slightly temper the outlook.

Fresenius Medical Care (FMS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fresenius Medical Care Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFresenius Medical Care AG & Co. KGaA provides dialysis care and related dialysis care services in Germany, North America, and internationally. It offers dialysis treatment and related laboratory and diagnostic services through a network of outpatient dialysis clinics; materials, training, and patient support services comprising clinical monitoring, follow-up assistance, and arranging for delivery of the supplies to the patient's residence; and dialysis services under contract to hospitals in the United States for the hospitalized end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients and for patients suffering from acute kidney failure. The company also develops, manufactures, and distributes dialysis products, including polysulfone dialyzers, hemodialysis machines, peritoneal dialysis cyclers, peritoneal dialysis solutions, hemodialysis concentrates, solutions and granulates, bloodlines, renal pharmaceuticals, and systems for water treatment; and non-dialysis products, such as acute cardiopulmonary and apheresis products. In addition, it develops, acquires, and in-licenses renal pharmaceuticals; offers renal medications and supplies to patients at homes or to dialysis clinics; and provides vascular, cardiovascular, endovascular specialty, vascular care ambulatory surgery center, and physician nephrology and cardiology services. The company sells its products to dialysis clinics, hospitals, and specialized treatment clinics directly, as well as through local sales forces, independent distributors, dealers, and sales agents. As of February 23, 2022, it operated 4,171 outpatient dialysis clinics in approximately 150 countries. Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co. KGaA was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Bad Homburg, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyFresenius Medical Care generates revenue primarily through the sale of dialysis products and the provision of dialysis services. The company's revenue model is built on two key streams: the sale of medical equipment, such as dialysis machines and consumables (dialyzers, fluids, etc.), and the operation of outpatient dialysis clinics, where they provide treatment to patients. Additionally, Fresenius Medical Care earns income from long-term contracts with healthcare providers and government entities, which often include reimbursement for dialysis treatments. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with healthcare organizations that enhance its service offerings and market reach, contributing to consistent revenue growth.

Fresenius Medical Care Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with strong organic revenue and operating income growth, a significant increase in operating cash flow, and the announcement of a share buyback program highlighting positive aspects. However, these were counterbalanced by challenges such as the impact of a severe flu season, increased labor costs, and foreign exchange rate headwinds.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Revenue Growth
The company delivered strong organic revenue growth of 7% with positive contributions from all three operating segments.
Significant Operating Income Growth
Operating income grew by 13%, driven by growth in Care Enablement, leading to a margin expansion to 9.9%.
Improved Operating Cash Flow
Operating cash flow increased by 75%, reflecting recovery from previous headwinds and favorable working capital development.
Share Buyback Program Announcement
The company announced a EUR 1 billion share buyback program to be executed in multiple tranches, starting with the first tranche in August.
Value-Based Care Revenue Growth
Value-Based Care segment realized strong organic revenue growth of 28%, driven by expanded contracting and increased member months.
Care Enablement Margin Progression
Care Enablement segment showed a significant 79% increase in operating income, leading to a margin increase to 8.7%.
Negative Updates
Impact of Severe Flu Season
The U.S. volume development was negatively impacted by a severe flu season, resulting in higher-than-expected patient outflow due to increased mortality and missed treatments.
Higher Labor Costs
Care Delivery faced higher labor costs impacted by increasing medical benefit expenses for U.S. employees.
Volume-Based Procurement in China
Care Enablement faced challenges due to volume-based procurement in China, affecting revenue development.
Negative Impact from Foreign Exchange Rates
Foreign exchange rates development had a negative impact of EUR 16 million on the overall financial performance.
Special Items Affecting Operating Income
Special items negatively affected group operating income by EUR 51 million, due to costs relating to FME25+ and portfolio optimization.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call, Fresenius Medical Care provided robust guidance, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported a 7% organic revenue growth, with contributions from all three operating segments. The FME25+ transformation program continued to deliver, achieving EUR 58 million in sustainable savings towards a yearly target of EUR 180 million. Operating income grew by 13%, contributing to a margin expansion of 9.9%. Operating cash flow increased by 75%, and the net leverage ratio improved to 2.7x, within the target range of 2.5x to 3x. Fresenius confirmed its full-year outlook, expecting revenue growth at the upper end of the positive to low single-digit percentage range and an operating income growth rate of high teens to high 20s percent. The company announced a EUR 1 billion share buyback program, to be executed in multiple tranches, starting in August. Additionally, Value-Based Care saw a 28% revenue growth due to expanded contracting, while Care Enablement achieved a margin increase to 8.7%, supported by volume and price increases.

Fresenius Medical Care Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fresenius Medical Care shows stable financial health with consistent revenue and robust operating cash flow. Improvements in EBIT and return on equity are positive, but reliance on debt and moderate net profitability are concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Fresenius Medical Care has demonstrated consistent revenue performance with a slight decline from $19.5B in 2023 to $19.3B in 2024. Gross profit margins have been stable around 24-25%. The company has shown resilience in EBIT and EBITDA margins, with a notable recovery in EBIT from negative in 2022 to $1.39B in 2024. However, net income growth has been moderate, and the net profit margin remains relatively low at around 2.8% in 2024.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position with stockholders' equity increasing to $14.6B in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at approximately 0.75, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The equity ratio is around 43.4%, which is stable but suggests moderate leverage. Return on equity improved to 3.7% in 2024, indicating better profitability on shareholder capital.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong at $2.39B in 2024, supporting the company's liquidity. Free cash flow generation is robust, with a significant free cash flow to net income ratio of over 3x in 2024, highlighting efficient cash conversion. However, free cash flow declined from 2023 levels, posing a potential concern for future investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.52B19.34B19.45B19.40B17.62B17.86B
Gross Profit4.82B4.76B4.93B5.31B5.08B5.54B
EBITDA2.69B3.21B3.21B1.58B3.55B4.13B
Net Income656.43M537.91M499.00M673.40M969.31M1.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.29B33.57B33.93B35.75B34.37B31.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.19B1.34B1.56B1.46B1.64B1.26B
Total Debt11.02B11.00B12.08B13.21B13.32B12.38B
Total Liabilities16.96B17.80B19.10B20.30B20.39B19.36B
Stockholders Equity13.27B14.58B13.62B13.99B12.70B11.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.33B1.69B1.94B756.00M806.00M2.15B
Operating Cash Flow2.75B2.39B2.63B2.17B2.49B4.23B
Investing Cash Flow349.96M-84.94M-544.23M-734.73M-1.20B-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow-59.56M-2.57B-1.86B-1.62B-1.02B-2.66B

Fresenius Medical Care Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.64
Price Trends
50DMA
25.37
Positive
100DMA
26.62
Negative
200DMA
24.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
55.15
Neutral
STOCH
66.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FMS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.10, above the 50-day MA of 25.37, and above the 200-day MA of 24.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FMS.

Fresenius Medical Care Risk Analysis

Fresenius Medical Care disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fresenius Medical Care reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We need to develop new internal functions to perform certain business services that Fresenius SE provided to us prior to the Conversion. Q4, 2023
2.
As a company with operations spanning 150 countries, we face specific risks from our global operations. Q4, 2023

Fresenius Medical Care Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
12.35B9.9417.94%0.41%9.61%39.65%
76
Outperform
9.63B29.6616.00%0.15%17.71%41.83%
75
Outperform
17.15B12.4239.58%-1.09%-43.10%
73
Outperform
$14.75B20.624.72%3.11%1.11%25.84%
73
Outperform
12.70B24.2617.23%0.54%11.80%30.02%
61
Neutral
9.38B12.89-226.24%5.09%7.85%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care
25.64
5.75
28.91%
DVA
DaVita
131.15
-30.43
-18.83%
EHC
Encompass Health
126.04
33.84
36.70%
THC
Tenet Healthcare
194.06
26.03
15.49%
ENSG
The Ensign Group
166.82
15.36
10.14%
UHS
Universal Health
194.16
-45.40
-18.95%

Fresenius Medical Care Corporate Events

Fresenius Medical Care Launches EUR 1 Billion Share Buyback Program
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Fresenius Medical Care announced the commencement of a share buyback program, which was initially disclosed on June 17, 2025. The program aims to repurchase up to 29,288,814 shares for a total of EUR 1 billion by August 10, 2027. This initiative is part of a strategic move to optimize capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value. The buyback will be executed in two tranches, with the first tranche involving up to EUR 600 million worth of shares by April 30, 2026. The repurchased shares are primarily intended to be canceled, reducing the company’s share capital, while a smaller portion may be allocated to incentive-based compensation plans. This move is expected to impact the company’s financial operations and market positioning positively.

Fresenius Medical Care Restructures with New Value-Based Care Segment
Aug 5, 2025

On June 1, 2025, Fresenius Medical Care AG restructured its operations by creating a new reportable segment called ‘Value-Based Care’ to align with internal management changes. This segment focuses on value-based kidney care, utilizing tech-enabled platforms and clinical care models, and aims to enhance the company’s market positioning by leveraging proprietary informatics and patient engagement tools. The restructuring reflects Fresenius Medical Care’s strategic shift towards risk-based care arrangements, potentially impacting its financial performance and stakeholder relations.

Fresenius Medical Care Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results Amid Strategic Initiatives
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Fresenius Medical Care announced its second quarter results for 2025, highlighting a 7% organic revenue growth and a 13% increase in operating income at constant currency. The company reported strong profitability gains and confirmed its full-year outlook, despite challenges such as higher patient outflow due to elevated mortality and missed treatments from a severe flu season. Fresenius Medical Care also announced the initiation of a share buyback program, reflecting confidence in its financial performance and commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Fresenius Medical Care Launches EUR 1 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Fresenius Medical Care AG announced a share buyback program with a total volume of EUR 1 billion, to be executed in tranches over two years starting in the second half of 2025. This strategic move, part of the company’s ‘Strategy FME Reignite,’ aims to enhance shareholder value and reflects the company’s confidence in its financial stability and future growth prospects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2025