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Flux Power Holdings
(NASDAQ:FLUX)
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Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$0.41
▼(-39.55% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/06/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (declining revenue, ongoing losses, high leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals also remain unfavorable with the stock below major moving averages. Earnings-call commentary and a negative loan amendment underscore near-term liquidity and execution risk, while valuation provides only limited support given negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
OEM Market Access
Hyster-Yale certification and access to the top four OEMs broaden Flux Power’s route to market and embed its products in established industrial-vehicle channels. This can support repeat fleet demand and improve the company’s ability to scale when customer purchasing conditions recover.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction
The sharp annual revenue decline indicates that Flux Power’s current growth trajectory remains weak and that its installed channels have not yet offset demand pressure. Lower volume also reduces operating leverage, making a durable return to profitability more difficult without a sustained recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
OEM Market Access
Hyster-Yale certification and access to the top four OEMs broaden Flux Power’s route to market and embed its products in established industrial-vehicle channels. This can support repeat fleet demand and improve the company’s ability to scale when customer purchasing conditions recover.
Read all positive factors
Flux Power Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Backlog
Represents the value of unfulfilled orders, showing future revenue visibility and overall product demand strength.
Represents the value of unfulfilled orders, showing future revenue visibility and overall product demand strength.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyFlux Power Holdings (FLUX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$10.06M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)6.01M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.69
Revenue Growth-36.58%
EPS Growth5.31%
CountryUS
Employees70
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryElectrical Equipment & Parts
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.38
Shares Outstanding21,621,641
10 Day Avg. Volume17,766,350
30 Day Avg. Volume6,011,000
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.45
Price to Book (P/B)6.70
Price to Sales (P/S)0.41
P/FCF Ratio-2.67
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.66
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.63
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.10
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-4.63
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$4.53Price Target Upside576.62% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.24
Revenue Forecast (FY)$50.30M
Flux Power Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Flux Power Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary Flux Power, Inc., is a U.S.-based entity specializing in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of advanced lithium-ion energy storage solutions. These power systems are engineered for dive...
How the Company Makes Money
Flux Power primarily makes money by selling lithium-ion battery packs and energy storage systems to customers that operate or manufacture electrified industrial/commercial vehicles (notably material-handling fleets such as forklifts). Revenue is g...
Flux Power Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 20, 2026
(Q4-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed picture: management reported meaningful sequential improvement in revenue, cost reductions (operating expenses down ~33% YoY in the quarter), strategic progress with SkyEMS 3.0, OEM certifications (including Hyster‑Yale) and entry into a potentially significant robotics vertical. However, these operational and strategic positives are offset by substantial year‑over‑year revenue declines (Q4 down ~50.9% YoY; full year down ~36.6%), compressed gross margins, continued GAAP losses and a precarious cash balance (~$300k). Near‑term guidance shows further softening before a modest rebound. Overall, material financial headwinds and customer concentration risks temper the promising strategic developments and execution progress.Positive Updates
Sequential Revenue Growth
Fourth quarter revenue of $8.2 million, up 25% sequentially from $6.6 million and slightly above prior quarter expectations.
Negative Updates
Sharp Year‑Over‑Year Revenue Decline
Q4 revenue declined to $8.2 million from $16.7 million in the same quarter last year (down ~50.9% YoY). Full year 2026 revenue was $42.1 million versus $66.4 million in 2025 (down ~36.6% YoY).
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Sequential Revenue Growth
Fourth quarter revenue of $8.2 million, up 25% sequentially from $6.6 million and slightly above prior quarter expectations.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's forward guidance called for Q1 FY2027 revenue of $6.0–7.0 million and a rebound to $8.0–9.0 million in Q2 (Q4 revenue was $8.2M; FY2026 revenue $42.1M vs $66.4M in FY2025), with Q4 gross margin at 27.4% and FY2026 gross margin 30.2%; they said margins should recover above 30% (into the mid‑30s) once quarterly revenue reaches roughly $12–14M. Management also highlighted cost cuts (Q4 operating expenses $4.4M, FY26 OpEx $19.2M, ~33% lower vs Q4 FY25 and ~28% lower FY26 vs FY25), Q4 adjusted EBITDA negative $1.6M (negative $4.5M FY26), non‑GAAP Q4 net loss $2.1M ($0.10/sh) and FY non‑GAAP net loss $6.5M ($0.33/sh), net loss Q4 $2.3M ($0.01/sh) and FY $7.4M ($0.38/sh), and cash of $0.3M, while reiterating expectation of renewed growth and improved profitability in FY27 as conditions normalize.Flux Power Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
26
Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Dec 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 42.13M | 66.43M | 60.82M | 66.49M | 42.33M |
| Gross Profit | 12.72M | 21.74M | 17.23M | 15.89M | 5.61M |
| EBITDA | -5.77M | -4.03M | -5.57M | -5.50M | -15.65M |
| Net Income | -7.45M | -6.67M | -8.33M | -7.74M | -16.47M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 24.20M | 34.75M | 32.30M | 35.70M | 29.06M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 305.00K | 1.33M | 643.00K | 2.38M | 485.00K |
| Total Debt | 8.51M | 16.06M | 16.16M | 13.03M | 7.75M |
| Total Liabilities | 21.64M | 40.16M | 32.11M | 26.16M | 16.95M |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.56M | -5.40M | 194.00K | 9.55M | 12.11M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -6.43M | -43.00K | -5.65M | -4.61M | -24.69M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -5.92M | 610.00K | -4.80M | -3.57M | -23.89M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -509.00K | -653.00K | -853.00K | -1.02M | -797.00K |
| Financing Cash Flow | 5.40M | 734.00K | 3.92M | 6.49M | 20.46M |
Flux Power Holdings Technical Analysis
Negative
0.67
Price Trends
0.56
Negative
0.69
Negative
0.99
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.03
Negative
43.90
Neutral
18.69
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLUX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.50, above the 50-day MA of 0.56, and below the 200-day MA of 0.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FLUX.
Flux Power Holdings Risk Analysis
Flux Power Holdings disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flux Power Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Flux Power Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
57 Neutral | $102.81M | -15.11 | -4.95% | ― | 4.69% | -304.68% | |
56 Neutral | $108.15M | -6.50 | -14.94% | ― | 50.51% | -4669.05% | |
48 Neutral | $946.42M | -1.35 | -144.49% | ― | 426.99% | 36.20% | |
43 Neutral | $10.06M | -1.09 | -261.63% | ― | -36.58% | 5.31% | |
40 Underperform | $1.63M | -0.01 | 256.59% | ― | ― | 67.65% |
* Industrials Sector Average
FLUX
Flux Power Holdings
0.42
-5.95
-93.41%
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6.05
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TE
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2.90
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SDST
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0.03
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-99.57%
Flux Power Holdings Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Flux Power Amends Loan Amid Heightened Lender Oversight
Negative
Sep 18, 2026
On September 17, 2026, Flux Power Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiary entered a Seventh Amendment to their Loan and Security Agreement with Gibraltar Business Capital, adding covenants that require the company to raise at least $4 million in equity ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Flux Power COO Resignation Signals Leadership Transition
Neutral
Sep 11, 2026
Flux Power Holdings, Inc. reported that Chief Operating Officer Jeff Mason tendered his resignation on September 8, 2026, with his departure effective September 25, 2026. The move marks a leadership change at the company’s operational helm, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.