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Full House Resorts (FLL) AI Stock Analysis

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FLL

Full House Resorts

(NASDAQ:FLL)

Select Model
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:$0.67â–²(15.57% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial quality (persistent losses and high leverage) and a very bearish technical setup (price far below key moving averages with deeply oversold momentum). The latest earnings call provides some offset through improved property performance and specific cost-savings/2027 profitability targets, but execution and refinancing risks remain. Valuation is difficult to support with a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.

Positive Factors
Recent revenue and operating income growthRecent growth in both revenue and operating income indicates improving property-level demand and operating leverage. If sustained across the portfolio, this expansion can strengthen earnings capacity, support reinvestment, and improve the company’s ability to manage its substantial fixed-cost base.
Negative Factors
High leverage and limited financial flexibilityHigh and rising leverage leaves Full House with less flexibility to absorb weaker property performance or fund development internally. It also increases dependence on successful refinancing and sustained operating cash flow, making the capital structure a continuing constraint on long-term execution.

Full House Resorts (FLL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%FLL-75.82%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$25.10M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
274.94K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.6
Beta (1Y)
1.63
Revenue Growth
3.26%
EPS Growth
6.80%
Country
US
Employees
1,710
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

Full House Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Full House Resorts, Inc. is an enterprise that engages in the ownership, development, investment, operation, management, and leasing of casinos along with their associated hospitality and entertainment venues across the United States. Among its holdi...

How the Company Makes Money

Full House Resorts primarily generates revenue by operating casino and hospitality properties and capturing customer spend across multiple on-site categories. The main earnings driver is casino gaming revenue, which includes (1) slot revenue—money wa...

Full House Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-20.17%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive, led by record performance at American Place, strong results at Rising Star and Silver Slipper, consolidated revenue and operating-income growth, and substantial Chamonix cost-saving initiatives. The main challenges were the slight decline in consolidated adjusted EBITDA, wildfire and hurricane disruptions, Chamonix's still-underdeveloped profitability, and the unfinished bond refinancing needed for the permanent American Place project.

Positive Updates

Consolidated Revenue and Operating Income Growth
Third-quarter revenue grew 4.9% to $81.8 million from $78.0 million in the prior-year period. Operating income rose 28.6% to $4.4 million.

Negative Updates

Adjusted EBITDA Declined Slightly
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $14.6 million, compared with $14.8 million in the prior-year period. Management noted that the prior-year third quarter included a gaming-tax accrual adjustment at the Colorado operations.

Company Guidance

Management said the permanent American Place casino, designed to have roughly twice the square footage of the current temporary facility, can generate more than $100 million a year of EBITDAR before rent; at Chamonix, approximately $8 million of cost improvements have commenced, with more than $10 million of total bottom line improvements targeted in the near term, including about $1 million per year from in-house housekeeping and laundry, about $1.5 million per year from targeted digital marketing, and between $250 thousand and $300 thousand per year from ending the consulting agreement. The efficiency program is expected to deliver about $4.5 million of savings, with about $2 million into that $4.5 million, and the changes are expected to set Chamonix up to generate meaningful positive cash flow in 2027; management said Chamonix should be able to make between $10 million and $20 million in 2027 and grow from there. Group business is targeted at something like 10 percentage points of occupancy in the coming year as a stretch goal, with a realistic outcome of somewhere kind of mid to high single digits.

Full House Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth has been solid over multiple years, but profitability has deteriorated into persistent losses with weak TTM margins. Balance-sheet leverage is a major risk (high debt relative to equity), reducing flexibility. Cash flow is a partial offset with positive operating cash flow and recently positive TTM free cash flow, but the multi-year pattern of negative FCF and the strained capital structure keep the financial profile below average.

Income Statement

32Negative

Balance Sheet

24Negative

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue309.68M302.38M292.06M241.06M163.28M180.16M
Gross Profit136.62M113.50M149.90M131.42M89.92M105.43M
EBITDA27.86M45.68M42.63M31.26M20.66M45.45M
Net Income-37.86M-40.20M-40.67M-24.90M-14.80M11.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets608.25M649.81M673.33M688.46M595.33M473.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.70M40.67M40.22M36.16M56.59M88.72M
Total Debt525.93M531.60M527.67M514.84M424.06M321.36M
Total Liabilities629.63M647.27M632.84M610.61M495.54M361.13M
Stockholders Equity-21.37M2.54M40.50M77.85M99.79M112.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.50M-2.68M-38.74M-126.24M-166.56M-7.49M
Operating Cash Flow11.51M9.97M13.85M22.34M4.38M29.50M
Investing Cash Flow-6.09M-10.32M-45.67M-198.76M-172.11M-37.22M
Financing Cash Flow-5.64M801.00K-1.50M59.03M93.62M235.31M

Full House Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.58

Price Trends

50DMA1.33Negative
100DMA1.86Negative
200DMA2.19Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.19Negative
RSI24.93Positive
STOCH22.20Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.84, below the 50-day MA of 1.33, and below the 200-day MA of 2.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 24.93 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FLL.

Full House Resorts Risk Analysis

Full House Resorts disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Full House Resorts reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.Our operations in Illinois have certain restrictions as to their operations and requirements for additional investment.Q4, 2025
2.A lawsuit was filed by an unsuccessful bidder for the Waukegan casino license, which could also have a negative impact on the development of our permanent American Place facility.Q4, 2023

Full House Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

FLL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CPHCCPHC62Neutral$80.34M690.790.14%1.78%3.56%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
ROLRROLR52Neutral$34.05M8.89-4.02%―-55.87%―
INSEINSE46Neutral$122.61M-17.9353.15%―-17.20%-112.75%
FLLFLL45Neutral$25.10M-0.55403.71%―3.26%6.80%
CNTYCNTY43Neutral$16.88M-0.2853.66%―1.08%54.98%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%250%500%750%FLLCPHCCNTYINSEROLRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
FLL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FLLFull House Resorts0.58-1.87-76.41%
CPHCCanterbury Park Holding15.750.211.36%
CNTYCentury Casinos0.55-1.03-65.19%
INSEInspired Entertainment, Inc.4.55-3.27-41.82%
ROLRHigh Roller Technologies, Inc.3.200.8938.53%

Full House Resorts Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Full House Resorts Explores Financing for Waukegan Casino

Neutral
Oct 21, 2026

Full House Resorts has been negotiating with a major financial institution to fund all construction costs for a permanent American Place casino in Waukegan, Illinois, which will replace its existing temporary facility and be substantially larger. To...

Business Operations and Strategy

Full House Resorts Updates American Place Casino Agreement

Neutral
Sep 8, 2026

On September 2, 2026, Full House Resorts’ subsidiary FHR-Illinois, LLC and the City of Waukegan amended their Development and Host Community Agreement for the American Place casino project. The revision follows approval by the Waukegan City Council i...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026