Want to see FLD full AI Analyst Report?
Risk Overview Q2, 2026
Risk Distribution
31% Finance & Corporate
23% Legal & Regulatory
17% Ability to Sell
14% Tech & Innovation
9% Production
6% Macro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.
Risk Change Over Time
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Fold Holdings Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.
The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.
The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.
Risk Highlights Q2, 2026
Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 31 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 31 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
100
+1
From last reportS&P 500 Average: 31
100
+1
From last reportS&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
1Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Jun 2026
1Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Jun 2026
Number of Risk Changed
0
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 1
0
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 1
See the risk highlights of Fold Holdings in the last period.
Risk Word Cloud
The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 100
Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 31/100 (31%)Below Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights10 | 10.0%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Our common stock may be delisted from The Nasdaq Capital Market if we are unable to regain compliance with Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement.Added
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Our business and operations could be negatively affected if we become subject to any securities litigation or stockholder activism, which could cause us to incur significant expense, hinder execution of our business and growth strategy, and impact our stock price.In the past, following periods of volatility in the market price of a company's securities, securities class action litigation has often been brought against that company. Stockholder activism, which could take many forms or arise in a variety of situations, has been increasing recently. Volatility in the stock price of our Common Stock or other reasons may in the future cause it to become the target of securities litigation or stockholder activism. Securities litigation and stockholder activism, including potential proxy contests, could result in substantial costs and divert management's and the board of directors' attention and resources from our business. Additionally, such securities litigation and stockholder activism could give rise to perceived uncertainties as to our future, adversely affect our relationships with service providers and make it more difficult for us to attract and retain qualified personnel. Also, we may be required to incur significant legal fees and other expenses related to any securities litigation and activist stockholder matters. Further, our stock price could be subject to significant fluctuation or otherwise be adversely affected by the events, risks and uncertainties of any securities litigation and stockholder activism.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Anti-takeover provisions contained in our charter and bylaws, as well as provisions of Delaware law, could impair a takeover attempt.Our charter and bylaws contain provisions that could have the effect of delaying or preventing changes in control or changes in our management without the consent of our board of directors. These provisions include:
- no cumulative voting in the election of directors, which limits the ability of minority stockholders to elect director candidates;- the exclusive right of our board of directors to elect a director to fill a vacancy created by the expansion of the board of directors or the resignation, death, or removal of a director with or without cause by stockholders, which prevents stockholders from being able to fill vacancies on our board of directors;- the ability of our board of directors to determine whether to issue shares of our Preferred Stock and to determine the price and other terms of those shares, including preferences and voting rights, without stockholder approval, which could be used to significantly dilute the ownership of a hostile acquirer;- a prohibition on stockholder action by written consent, which forces stockholder action to be taken at an annual or special meeting of our stockholders;- the requirement that a special meeting of stockholders may be called only by the chairperson of the board of directors, the chief executive officer, the president or the board of directors, which may delay the ability of our stockholders to force consideration of a proposal or to take action, including the removal of directors;- limiting the liability of, and providing indemnification to, our directors and officers;- controlling the procedures for the conduct and scheduling of stockholder meetings;- providing for a staggered board, in which the members of the board of directors are divided into three classes to serve for a period of three years from the date of their respective appointment or election;- granting the ability to remove directors with cause by the affirmative vote of 66?% in voting power of the outstanding shares of Common Stock entitled to vote thereon;- requiring the affirmative vote of at least 66?% of the voting power of our outstanding shares of capital stock entitled to vote generally in the election of directors, voting together as a single class, to amend our bylaws or ARTICLE IV, ARTICLE V, ARTICLE VI, ARTICLE VII, ARTICLE VIII, and ARTICLE IX of our charter; and - advance notice procedures that stockholders must comply with in order to nominate candidates to the our Board or to propose matters to be acted upon at a stockholders' meeting, which may discourage or deter a potential acquirer from conducting a solicitation of proxies to elect the acquirer's own slate of directors or otherwise attempting to obtain control of us.
These provisions, alone or together, could delay hostile takeovers and changes in control of us or changes in the our Board and our management.
As a Delaware corporation, we are also subject to provisions of Delaware law, including Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law, which will prevent some stockholders holding more than 15% of the outstanding our Common Stock from engaging in certain business combinations without approval of the holders of substantially all of our Common Stock. Any provision of our charter or bylaws or Delaware law that has the effect of delaying or deterring a change in control could limit the opportunity for our stockholders to receive a premium for their shares of our Common Stock and could also affect the price that some investors are willing to pay for our Common Stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
We are an "emerging growth company" and, as a result of the reduced disclosure and governance requirements applicable to emerging growth companies, our securities may be less attractive to investors.We are an "emerging growth company" as defined in Section 2(a)(19) of the Securities Act, as modified by the JOBS Act. As such, we are eligible for and take advantage of certain exemptions from various reporting requirements applicable to other public companies that are not emerging growth companies, including, but not limited to, (a) not being required to comply with the auditor attestation requirements of Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, (b) reduced disclosure obligations regarding executive compensation in our periodic reports and proxy statements and (c) exemptions from the requirements of holding a nonbinding advisory vote on executive compensation and stockholder approval of any golden parachute payments not previously approved. As a result, our stockholders may not have access to certain information they may deem important. We will remain an emerging growth company until the earliest of (i) the last day of the fiscal year in which the market value of shares of Common Stock that are held by non-affiliates exceeds $700 million as of June 30 of that fiscal year, (ii) the last day of the fiscal year in which we have total annual gross revenue of $1.235 billion or more during such fiscal year (as indexed for inflation), (iii) the date on which we have issued more than $1 billion in non-convertible debt in the prior three-year period or (iv) December 31, 2026, which is the last day of the fiscal year following the fifth anniversary of the date of the first sale of Common Stock in FTAC Emerald's initial public offering. Investors may find securities less attractive because we rely on these exemptions. If some investors find our securities less attractive as a result of our reliance on these exemptions, the trading prices of our securities may be lower than they otherwise would be, there may be a less active trading market for our securities, and the trading prices of our securities may be more volatile.
Further, Section 102(b)(1) of the JOBS Act exempts emerging growth companies from being required to comply with new or revised financial accounting standards until private companies (that is, those that have not had a Securities Act registration statement declared effective or do not have a class of securities registered under the Exchange Act) are required to comply with the new or revised financial accounting standards. The JOBS Act provides that a company can elect to opt out of the extended transition period and comply with the requirements that apply to non-emerging growth companies but any such election to opt out is irrevocable. We have elected not to opt out of such extended transition period, which means that when a standard is issued or revised and it has different application dates for public or private companies, we, as an emerging growth company, can adopt the new or revised standard at the time private companies adopt the new or revised standard. This may make comparison of our financial statements with another public company which is neither an emerging growth company nor an emerging growth company which has opted out of using the extended transition period difficult or impossible because of the potential differences in accounting standards used.
As an emerging growth company, we may also take advantage of certain exemptions from various reporting requirements that are applicable to other public companies that are not emerging growth companies including, but not limited to, not being required to obtain an assessment of the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting from our independent registered public accounting firm pursuant to Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, reduced disclosure obligations regarding executive compensation in our periodic reports and proxy statements and exemptions from the requirements of holding a nonbinding advisory vote on executive compensation and stockholder approval of any golden parachute payments not previously approved. We cannot predict if investors will find our securities less attractive because we will rely on these exemptions. If some investors find our securities less attractive as a result, there may be a less active market for our securities and the price of our securities may be more volatile.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
Our issuance of additional shares of common stock or convertible securities could make it difficult for another company to acquire us, may dilute your ownership of us and could adversely affect our stock price.We have filed a registration statement with the SEC on Form S-8 providing for the registration of shares of our common stock reserved for issuance and issuable pursuant to Fold's RSUs and reserved for future issuance under our Incentive Award Plan and our Employee Stock Purchase Plan ("ESPP"). The Incentive Award Plan and the ESPP each provide for automatic increases in the shares reserved for grant or issuance under the applicable plan which could result in additional dilution to our stockholders. Subject to the satisfaction of vesting conditions and the expiration of any applicable lockup restrictions, shares registered under the registration statement on Form S-8 are generally be available for resale immediately in the public market without restriction. Furthermore, in June 2025, we entered into the Facility with SZOP pursuant to which we may sell up to $250 million in our Common Stock, resulting in dilution to stockholders. See the risk factors, "The sale of our Common Stock to SZOP may cause dilution to existing stockholders and the subsequent sale of the shares of Common Stock acquired by SZOP, or the perception that such sales may occur, could cause the price of our Common Stock to fall" and "Sales of a substantial number of our securities in the public market by the selling stockholders named in our Registration Statement and/or by our existing securityholders could cause the price of our shares of Common Stock to fall." From time to time in the future, we may also issue additional shares of our common stock or securities convertible into common stock pursuant to a variety of transactions, including acquisitions. We may also execute further agreements which allow certain third parties the right to purchase additional shares of our common stock or securities convertible into common stock. The issuance by us of additional shares of our common stock or securities convertible into our common stock would dilute your ownership of us and the sale of a significant amount of such shares in the public market could adversely affect prevailing market prices of our common stock.
In the future, we expect to obtain financing or to further increase our capital resources by issuing additional shares of our capital stock or offering debt or other equity securities, including senior or subordinated notes, debt securities convertible into equity, or shares of preferred stock. Issuing additional shares of our capital stock, other equity securities, or securities convertible into equity may dilute the economic and voting rights of our existing stockholders, reduce the market price of our common stock, or both. Debt securities convertible into equity could be subject to adjustments in the conversion ratio pursuant to which certain events may increase the number of equity securities issuable upon conversion. Preferred stock, if issued, could have a preference with respect to liquidating distributions or a preference with respect to dividend payments that could limit our ability to pay dividends to the holders of our common stock. Our decision to issue securities in any future offering will depend on market conditions and other factors beyond our control, which may adversely affect the amount, timing or nature of our future offerings. As a result, holders of our common stock bear the risk that our future offerings may reduce the market price of our common stock and dilute their percentage ownership.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
If securities or industry analysts do not publish research or reports about our business or publish negative reports, the market price of our common stock could decline.The trading market for our common stock is influenced by the research and reports that industry or securities analysts publish about us or our business. We may be unable or slow to attract research coverage and if one or more analysts cease coverage of us, the price and trading volume of our securities would likely be negatively impacted. If any of the analysts that may cover us change their recommendation regarding our securities adversely, or provide more favorable relative recommendations about our competitors, the price of our securities would likely decline. If any analyst that may cover us ceases covering us or fails to regularly publish reports on us, we could lose visibility in the financial markets, which could cause the price or trading volume of our securities to decline. Moreover, if one or more of the analysts who cover us downgrades our common stock or if our reporting results do not meet their expectations, the market price of our common stock could decline.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7
The market price of shares of our common stock and warrants has steeply declined over the past year. The market price of our securities may continue to be volatile or further decline regardless of our operating performance. You may lose some or all of your investment, and a persistently price per share of our common stock below $1.00 could violate the Nasdaq's continued listing standards.The trading price of our common stock has been and will likely continue to be volatile. The stock market recently has experienced extreme volatility, and the market price of shares of our common stock has steeply declined over the past year. The closing price per each of our common shares was $6.20 on March 31, 2025, $4.23 on June 30, 2025, $3.86 on September 30, 2025, and $2.61 on December 31, 2025. More recently, on March 13, 2026, our closing price per each share of our common stock was $1.19. A number of factors, some of which are outside of our control, may affect our stock price. You may not be able to resell your shares at an attractive price due to a number of factors such as those listed in "- Risks Related to Our Business and Industry" and elsewhere in this Item 1A and the following:
- the uncertainty resulting from the war in Iran, the invasion of Ukraine by Russia and strategic competition and tensions between Taiwan, China and the United States and resulting sanctions, and other events (such as terrorist attacks, geopolitical unrest, natural disasters or a significant outbreak of other infectious diseases);- our operating and financial performance and prospects;- our quarterly or annual earnings or those of other companies in our industry compared to market expectations;- conditions that impact demand for our products and/or services;- future announcements concerning our business, our clients' businesses or our competitors' businesses;- the public's reaction to our press releases, other public announcements and filings with the SEC;- the market's reaction to our reduced disclosure and other requirements as a result of being an "emerging growth company" under the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act (the "JOBS Act");- the size of our public float;- coverage by or changes in financial estimates by securities analysts or failure to meet their expectations;- market and industry perception of our success, or lack thereof, in pursuing our growth strategy;- strategic actions by us or our competitors, such as acquisitions or restructurings;- changes in laws or regulations, including laws or regulations relating to environmental, health and safety matters or initiatives relating to climate change, or changes in the implementation of regulations by regulatory bodies, which adversely affect our industry or us;- privacy and data protection laws, privacy or data breaches, or the loss of data;- changes in accounting standards, policies, guidance, interpretations or principles;- changes in senior management or key personnel;- issuances, exchanges or sales, or expected issuances, exchanges or sales of our capital stock;- changes in our dividend policy;- adverse resolution of new or pending litigation against us; and - changes in general market, economic and political conditions in the United States and global economies or financial markets, including those resulting from trade wars, natural disasters, terrorist attacks, acts of war and responses to such events.
These broad market and industry factors may materially reduce the market price of our common stock, regardless of our operating performance. In addition, price volatility may be greater if the public float and trading volume of our common stock is low. As a result, you may suffer a loss on your investment. Furthermore, Nasdaq requires us to maintain a minimum bid price of $1.00 per share to comply with its continued listing standards. If a company's bid price falls below $1.00 per share for thirty (30) consecutive business days, the Nasdaq may issue a deficiency notice, which the company has 180 days to cure. We cannot guarantee that our share price will remain above the Nasdaq's minimum bid price. Any suspension and delisting procedures taken by the Nasdaq, any future failure to remain in compliance with the Nasdaq's continued listing standards, and any subsequent failure to timely resume compliance with the Nasdaq's continued listing standards within the applicable cure period, if any, could have adverse consequences, including, among others, reducing the number of investors willing to hold or acquire our common stock, reducing the liquidity and market price of our common stock, adverse publicity, and a reduced interest in us from investors, analysts and other market participants. In addition, a suspension or delisting could impair our ability to raise additional capital through the public markets, result in negative publicity, adversely affect the market liquidity of our securities, decrease securities analysts' coverage of us, diminish investor, supplier and employee confidence and impair our ability to attract and retain employees by means of equity compensation.
In the past, following periods of market volatility, stockholders have instituted securities class action litigation. If we were involved in securities litigation, it could have a substantial cost and divert resources and the attention of management from our business regardless of the outcome of such litigation.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8
Sales of a substantial number of our securities in the public market by the selling stockholders named in our Registration Statement and/or by our existing securityholders could cause the price of our shares of Common Stock to fall.The selling stockholders named in the Registration Statement can sell, pursuant to prospectus under the Registration Statement, up to 9,282,287 shares of Common Stock constituting approximately 19.88% of our issued and outstanding shares of Common Stock as of the date of the Registration Statement.
Sales of a substantial number of our shares of Common Stock in the public market by such selling stockholders and/or by our other existing securityholders, or the perception that those sales might occur, could depress the market price of our shares of Common Stock and Warrants and could impair our ability to raise capital through the sale of additional equity securities. We are unable to predict the effect that such sales may have on the prevailing market price of our shares of Common Stock and Warrants.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9
It is not possible to predict the actual number of shares of Common Stock we may sell to SZOP under the Facility, or the actual gross proceeds resulting from such sales.Because the purchase price per share to be paid by SZOP for the shares of Common Stock that we may elect to sell to SZOP under the Facility, if any, will fluctuate based on the market prices of our Common Stock at the time we elect to sell shares to SZOP pursuant to the Facility, if any, it is not possible for us to predict prior to any such sales the number of shares of Common Stock that we will sell to SZOP under the Facility, the purchase price per share that SZOP will pay for shares purchased from us under the Facility, or the aggregate gross proceeds that we will receive from those purchases by SZOP under the Facility.
Moreover, although the Facility provides that we may sell up to an aggregate of $250,000,000 of our Common Stock to SZOP, only 9,282,287 shares of Common Stock are registered under the Securities Act for resale by SZOP under the Registration Statement with respect to SZOP (the "Registration Statement"). These 9,282,287 shares represent the shares that we may elect to issue and sell to SZOP, without the prior approval of our stockholders and in our sole discretion, from time to time from and after the date that the conditions set forth in the Facility are satisfied.
The Company cannot effect any sales under the Facility and SZOP will not have any obligation to purchase shares of our Common Stock under the Facility to the extent that after giving effect to such purchase and sale the aggregate number of shares of Common Stock issued under the Facility together with any shares of Common Stock issued in connection with any other transaction that may be considered part of the same series of transactions, where the number of shares issued would exceed the number of shares representing 19.99% of the issued and outstanding shares of Common Stock as of the date of the Facility (the "Exchange Cap"), unless the Company has obtained stockholder approval as required for issuance of Common Stock in excess of the Exchange Cap, in accordance with applicable rules of Nasdaq. Accordingly, the Company may not have access to the right to sell the full Commitment to SZOP. As of June 15, 2025, there were 46,434,655 shares of Common Stock outstanding, and therefore the Exchange Cap is 9,282,287 shares of Common Stock. SZOP will not be required to subscribe for any shares of Common Stock under the Facility which, when aggregated with all other shares of Common Stock then beneficially owned by SZOP and its affiliates (as calculated pursuant to Section 13(d) of the Exchange Act, and Rule 13d-3 promulgated thereunder), would result in the beneficial ownership by SZOP and its affiliates to exceed 9.99% of the outstanding voting power or number of the Common Stock.
If, following satisfaction of the conditions set forth in the Facility, we elect to sell to SZOP all of the 9,282,287 shares of Common Stock registered for resale under the Registration Statement, depending on the market prices of our Common Stock at the time of such sales, the gross proceeds from such sales of all such shares of Common Stock by us to SZOP may be substantially less than the $250,000,000 total purchase commitment available to us under the Facility, which could materially adversely affect our liquidity.
If it becomes necessary for us to issue and sell to SZOP shares of Common Stock in excess of the Exchange Cap under the Facility in order to receive additional gross proceeds up to $250,000,000 under the Facility, then for so long as the Exchange Cap continues to apply to the issuances and sales of our Common Stock under the Facility, we must first obtain stockholder approval to issue shares of Common Stock in excess of the Exchange Cap in accordance with the applicable Nasdaq listing rules. Additionally, if we elect to issue and sell to SZOP more than the 9,282,287 shares of our Common Stock, we must first file with the SEC one or more additional registration statements to register under the Securities Act for resale by SZOP such additional shares of our Common Stock we wish to sell from time to time under the Facility, which the SEC must declare effective, in each case before we may elect to sell any additional shares of our Common Stock to SZOP under the Facility. There is no assurance that we would obtain the approval of our stockholders to issue shares in excess of the Exchange Cap or that we would be able to register timely the additional shares of Common Stock. Any issuance and sale by us under the Facility of shares of Common Stock in excess of the Exchange Cap could cause additional substantial dilution to our stockholders. The number of shares of our Common Stock ultimately offered for sale by SZOP is dependent upon the number of shares of Common Stock, if any, we ultimately sell to SZOP under the Facility, and the sale of Common Stock under the Facility may cause the trading price of our Common Stock to decline.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 10
The sale of our Common Stock to SZOP may cause dilution to existing stockholders and the subsequent sale of the shares of Common Stock acquired by SZOP, or the perception that such sales may occur, could cause the price of our Common Stock to fall.On June 16, 2025, we entered into an equity purchase facility with SZOP, pursuant to which SZOP committed to purchase up to $250,000,000 of our Common Stock. The shares that we may issue and sell to SZOP under the Facility may be sold by us to SZOP from time to time at our discretion over a 24-month period commencing on the date that the conditions set forth in the Facility are satisfied. The purchase price for the shares that we may issue and sell to SZOP under the Facility will vary based on the price of our Common Stock at the time we initiate the sale. Depending on market liquidity at the time, sales of such shares may cause the trading price of our Common Stock to fall.
We generally have the right to control the timing and amount of any future sales of our shares to SZOP. Sales of shares of our Common Stock to SZOP under the Facility, if any, will depend upon market conditions and other factors to be determined by us. We may ultimately decide to sell to SZOP all, some or none of the shares of our Common Stock that may be available for us to sell pursuant to the Facility. If and when we do sell shares to SZOP, after SZOP has acquired the shares, SZOP may resell all, some or none of those shares at any time or from time to time in its discretion. Therefore, sales to SZOP by us could result in substantial dilution to the interests of other holders of our Common Stock. Additionally, the sale of a substantial number of shares of our Common Stock to SZOP, or the anticipation of such sales, could make it more difficult for us to sell equity or equity-related securities in the future at a time and at a price that we might otherwise wish to effect sales.
Accounting & Financial Operations10 | 10.0%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
We do not intend to pay dividends on our common stock for the foreseeable future.Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
If we are unable to implement and maintain effective internal control over financial reporting in the future, investors may lose confidence in the accuracy and completeness of our financial reports, and the market price of our common stock may decline.We are required to maintain internal controls over financial reporting and to report any material weaknesses in such internal controls. In addition, we are required to furnish a report by management on the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting, pursuant to Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. The process of designing, implementing, and testing the internal control over financial reporting required to comply with this obligation is time-consuming, costly, and complicated.
Fold has performed an assessment of our existing internal controls framework and in doing so we identified one material weakness, namely that we did not design or operate effective controls surrounding our complex debt and equity transactions. For further information, see "Material Weakness" under "Item 9A - Controls and Procedures." While we are implementing remedial measures to address these control findings, if we are unable to comply with the requirements of Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act in a timely manner, or if we are unable to assert that our internal control over financial reporting is effective, we will be unable to certify that our internal control over financial reporting is effective. We cannot assure you that there will not be any additional material weaknesses or significant deficiencies in our internal control over financial reporting in the future.
Any failure to maintain internal control over financial reporting could severely inhibit our ability to accurately report our financial condition or results of operations. If we are unable to conclude that our internal control over financial reporting is effective, or if our independent registered public accounting firm determines we have other material weaknesses or significant deficiencies in our internal control over financial reporting, investors may lose confidence in the accuracy and completeness of our financial reports and the market price of our common stock could decline. We could become subject to investigations by the stock exchange on which our securities are listed, the SEC or other regulatory authorities, which could require additional financial and management resources.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
The requirements of being a public company, including compliance with the reporting requirements of the Exchange Act, the requirements of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act and the requirements of the Nasdaq, may strain our resources, increase our costs and require additional attention of management, and we may be unable to comply with these requirements in a timely or cost-effective manner.As a public company, we are subject to laws, regulations and requirements, certain corporate governance provisions of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, related regulations of the SEC, and the requirements of Nasdaq. Complying with these statutes, regulations, and requirements occupies a significant amount of time of our board of directors and management and significantly increases our costs and expenses. For example, since becoming a public company, we have had to institute a more comprehensive compliance function, comply with rules promulgated by the Nasdaq, prepare and distribute periodic public reports in compliance with our obligations under the federal securities laws, and establish new internal policies, such as those relating to insider trading. We also have to retain and rely on outside counsel and accountants to a greater degree in these activities. In addition, being subject to these rules and regulations makes it more expensive for us to obtain director and officer liability insurance, and we may be required to accept reduced policy limits and coverage or incur substantially higher costs to obtain the same or similar coverage. As a result, it may be more difficult for us to attract and retain qualified individuals to serve on our board of directors or as executive officers.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 4
If our estimates or judgment relating to our critical accounting estimates prove to be incorrect, our operating results could be adversely affected.The preparation of financial statements in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the financial statements and accompanying notes. We base our estimates on historical experience and on various other assumptions that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances, as provided in the section titled "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Critical Accounting Estimates." The results of these estimates form the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets, liabilities, and equity, and the amount of revenue and expenses that are not readily apparent from other sources. Significant estimates and judgments that comprise our critical accounting estimates involve the valuation of assets acquired and liabilities assumed in business combinations, valuation of strategic investments, evaluation of tax positions, and evaluation of legal and other contingencies. Our operating results may be adversely affected if our assumptions change or if actual circumstances differ from those in our assumptions, which could cause our operating results to fall below the expectations of analysts and investors, resulting in a decline in the trading price of our stock.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 5
Our operating results have and will significantly fluctuate, including due to the highly volatile nature of bitcoin.Our operating results are in part dependent on the broader bitcoin economy. Due to the rapidly evolving nature of digital assets and the volatile price of bitcoin, which has experienced and continues to experience significant volatility, our operating results have, and will continue to, fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter in accordance with market sentiments and movements in the broader bitcoin economy. Our operating results will also continue to fluctuate significantly as a result of a variety of other factors, many of which are unpredictable and in certain instances are outside of our control, including:
- our ability to attract, maintain, and grow our customer base and engage our customers;- changes in the legislative or regulatory environment or actions by U.S. or foreign governments or regulators, including fines, orders, or consent decrees;- regulatory changes or scrutiny that impact our ability to offer certain products or services;- our ability to continue to diversify and grow our subscription and services revenue;- our mix of revenue between transaction and subscription and services;- pricing for or temporary suspensions of our products and services;- investments we make in the development of products and services, as well as sales and marketing;- our ability to establish and maintain partnerships, collaborations, joint ventures, or strategic alliances with third parties;- market conditions of, and overall sentiment towards, bitcoin;- macroeconomic conditions, including interest rates, inflation and central banking policies;- adverse legal proceedings or regulatory enforcement actions, judgments, settlements, or other legal proceeding and enforcement-related costs;- the development and introduction of existing and new products and services by us or our competitors;- our ability to control costs, including our operating expenses incurred to grow and expand our operations and to remain competitive, and our costs associated with being a public company;- system failure, outages or interruptions affecting our platform or the platforms of the third-party partners we rely upon;- the financial stability of our third-party partners;- our lack of control over decentralized or third-party blockchains and networks that may experience downtime, cyber-attacks, critical failures, errors, bugs, corrupted files, data losses, or other similar software failures, outages, breaches and losses;- breaches of security or privacy;- inaccessibility of our and our partners' platforms due to our or third-party actions;- our ability to attract and retain talent; and - our ability to compete with our competitors.
Additionally, we believe that younger generations increasingly view bitcoin not as a peripheral or alternative asset, but as a core component of their financial lives. We believe that our society is entering a long-term generational wealth transfer period and transition in how households think about savings, security, and wealth preservation. We believe that this generational transition has the potential to drive growth within our industry. However, as a result of the factors outlined above, it is difficult for us to forecast growth trends accurately and our business and future prospects are difficult to evaluate, particularly in the short term.
In view of the rapidly evolving nature of our business and bitcoin, period-to-period comparisons of our operating results may not be meaningful, and you should not rely upon them as an indication of future performance. Quarterly and annual expenses reflected in our financial statements may be significantly different from historical or projected rates. Our operating results in one or more future quarters may fall below the expectations of securities analysts and investors. As a result, the trading price of our securities may increase or decrease significantly.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 6
The nature of our business requires the application of complex financial accounting rules, and there is limited guidance from accounting standard setting bodies on certain topics. If financial accounting standards undergo significant changes, our operating results could be adversely affected.The accounting rules and regulations that we must comply with are complex and subject to interpretation by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (the "FASB"), the SEC, and various other bodies formed to promulgate and interpret appropriate accounting principles. Recent actions and public comments from the FASB and the SEC have focused on the integrity of financial reporting and internal controls and many companies' accounting policies are being subjected to heightened scrutiny by regulators and the public. Further, there has been limited precedent for the financial accounting of crypto assets and related valuation and revenue recognition. Moreover, a change in these principles or interpretations could have a significant effect on our reported financial results, and may even affect the reporting of transactions completed before the announcement or effectiveness of a change. For example, on March 31, 2022, the staff of the SEC issued Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 121 ("SAB 121"), which represented a significant change regarding how a company safeguarding crypto assets held for its platform users reports such crypto assets on its balance sheet and required retrospective application as of January 1, 2022. In January 2025, the SEC released Staff Accounting Bulletin ("SAB") 122 rescinding SAB 121, which required an entity to record a liability to reflect its obligation to safeguard the crypto assets held for its platform users with a corresponding asset and required disclosures related to the entity's safeguarding obligations. SAB 122 is effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2024 and is required to be applied on a fully retrospective basis, with early adoption permitted.
Uncertainties in or changes to regulatory or financial accounting standards could result in the need to change our accounting methods and restate our financial statements and impair our ability to provide timely and accurate financial information, which could adversely affect our financial statements, result in a loss of investor confidence, and more generally impact our business, operating results, and financial condition.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 7
Key business metrics and other estimates are subject to inherent challenges in measurement and to change as our business evolves, and our business, operating results, and financial condition could be adversely affected by real or perceived inaccuracies in those metrics or any changes in metrics we disclose.We regularly review key business metrics to measure our performance and make strategic decisions. These key metrics are calculated using internal company data and not all of these metrics have been validated by an independent third-party. While these numbers are based on what we believe to be reasonable estimates for the applicable period of measurement at the time of reporting, there are inherent challenges in such measurements. If we fail to maintain an effective analytics platform, our key metrics calculations may be inaccurate, and we may not be able to identify those inaccuracies. Additionally, we have in the past and may in the future, calculate key business metrics using third-party data. While we believe the third-party data we have used in the past or may use in the future is reliable, we do not always have the ability to independently verify the accuracy or completeness of the data contained in such sources and there can be no assurance that such data is free of error. Any inaccuracy in the third-party data we use could cause us to overstate or understate our key metrics. We regularly review our processes for calculating these metrics, and from time to time we make adjustments to improve their accuracy.
Our key business metrics may also be impacted by compliance or fraud-related bans, technical incidents, or false or spam accounts in existence on our platform. We regularly deactivate fraudulent and spam accounts that violate our terms of service, and exclude these users from the calculation of our key business metrics; however, we may not succeed in identifying and removing all such accounts from our platform.
We may change our key business metrics from time to time, which may be perceived negatively. Given the rapid evolution of the digital assets space, we regularly evaluate whether our key business metrics remain meaningful indicators of the performance of our business. As a result of these evaluations, in the past we have decided to make changes, and in the future may make additional changes, to our key business metrics, including eliminating or replacing existing metrics. Further if investors or the media perceive any changes to our key business metrics disclosures negatively, our business could be adversely affected.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 8
Due to our limited operating history, it may be difficult to evaluate our business and future prospects, and we may not be able to achieve or maintain profitability in any given period.We began our operations in 2019 and since then our business model has continued to evolve. Our net revenue has significantly grown since our formation, but there is no assurance that growth will continue in future periods and you should not rely on the net revenue growth of any given quarterly or annual period as an indication of our future performance. If our total net revenue were to decline significantly for an extended period of time, our business, operating results and financial condition could be adversely affected. Our limited operating history and the volatile nature of our bitcoin-focused business make it difficult to evaluate our current business and our future prospects. We have encountered and will continue to encounter risks and difficulties as described in this section. If we do not manage these risks successfully, our business may be adversely impacted. If our revenue growth rate were to decline significantly or become negative, it could adversely affect our operating results and financial condition. If we are not able to achieve or maintain positive cash flow from operations, our business may be adversely impacted and we may require additional financing, which may not be available on favorable terms or at all, or which would be dilutive to our stockholders.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 9
Our operating expenses may increase in the future and we may not be able to achieve profitability or positive cash flow from operations on a consistent basis, which may cause our business, operating results, and financial condition to be adversely impacted.Our operating expenses may increase in the future as we continue to attract and retain talent, expand our sales and marketing efforts, develop additional products and services, incur unforeseen regulatory or compliance expenses, and operate as a public company. While we consistently evaluate opportunities to drive efficiency, we cannot guarantee that these efforts will be successful or that we will not re-accelerate operating expenditures in the future. Our operations may prove more expensive than we currently anticipate, and we may not succeed in increasing our net revenue sufficiently to offset these higher expenses. Our revenue growth may be further impacted by reduced demand for our offerings, increased competition, adverse macroeconomic conditions, a decrease in the growth or size of the bitcoin economy, regulatory uncertainty or scrutiny, or changes that impact our ability to offer certain products or services, any failure to capitalize on growth opportunities, or the failure of new products and services we develop to gain traction in the market. We cannot be certain that we will be able to achieve profitability or achieve positive operating cash flow on any quarterly or annual basis. If we are unable to effectively manage these risks and difficulties as we encounter them, our business, operating results, and financial condition may suffer.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 10
We have a history of negative cash flows.We cannot anticipate with any degree of certainty what our cash flows will be in future periods. Our net cash used in operating activities was a loss of $16.1 million for 2025 compared to a loss of $3.3 million for 2024, and we incurred an operating loss of $27.7 million for 2025 compared to an operating loss of $5.8 million for 2024. Though we have the Credit Facility and the Facility, as potential sources of cash, the negative cash flows generated from operating activities introduces potential risk of an interruption to operating activities. As of December 31, 2025, we have approximately $7.7 million in cash and cash equivalents. We have encountered recurring cash outflows from operations, which historically we have funded through equity offerings and debt. Through December 31, 2025, our accumulated deficit was $170.9 million. See Liquidity and Capital Resources under "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operation" for a more thorough discussion.
Debt & Financing5 | 5.0%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
We may not be able to generate sufficient cash flow to service all of our obligations.Debt & Financing - Risk 2
We might require additional capital to support business growth, and this capital might not be available.We have funded our operations since inception primarily through debt, equity financings and revenue generated by our products and services. We cannot be certain when or if our operations will generate sufficient cash to fully fund our ongoing operations or the growth of our business. We intend to continue to make investments in our business, including developing new products and services, enhancing our operating infrastructure, and acquiring complementary businesses and technologies, all of which may require us to secure additional funds. Additional financing may not be available on terms favorable to us, if at all, including due to general macroeconomic conditions, crypto market conditions and any disruptions in the crypto market, instability in the global banking system, increasing regulatory uncertainty and scrutiny or other unforeseen factors. In addition, even if debt financing is available, the cost of additional financing may be significantly higher than our current debt. If we incur additional debt, the debt holders would have rights senior to holders of our common stock to make claims on our assets, and the terms of any debt could restrict our operations, including our ability to pay dividends on our common stock. If we issue additional equity securities, stockholders will experience dilution, and the new equity securities could have rights senior to those of our currently authorized and issued common stock. The trading prices for our common stock may be highly volatile, which may reduce our ability to access capital on favorable terms or at all. In addition, a slowdown or other sustained adverse downturn in the general economic or bitcoin market could adversely affect our business and the value of our common stock. Because our decision to raise capital in the future will depend on numerous considerations, including factors beyond our control, we cannot predict or estimate the amount, timing, or nature of any future issuances of securities. As a result, our stockholders bear the risk of future issuances of debt or equity securities reducing the value of our common stock and diluting their interests. Our inability to obtain adequate financing or financing on terms satisfactory to us, when we require it, could significantly limit our ability to continue supporting our business growth and responding to business challenges.
Debt & Financing - Risk 3
Bitcoin rewards offered with the Fold Credit Card depend on third-party custodians and service providers, and issues with those parties or changes in law or regulation could disrupt rewards and adversely affect our business.The bitcoin rewards provided in connection with the Fold Credit Card are custodied by BitGo and serviced by us, and the rewards program depends on the continued performance of these and other third parties. If BitGo, us, or any other digital asset service provider experiences an outage, cybersecurity incident, operational failure, financial distress, or insolvency, or becomes subject to regulatory restrictions, we could be unable to timely credit or distribute rewards, and cardholders could experience delays, losses, or restrictions in accessing or using their rewards. Even if we are not legally responsible for losses suffered by cardholders due to third-party failures, such events could harm our brand, result in customer support and remediation costs, and expose us to litigation or regulatory scrutiny.
The legal and regulatory framework applicable to digital assets and digital asset service providers is evolving and uncertain. Changes in laws, regulations, or enforcement priorities applicable to BitGo, us, or the digital asset space generally could materially and adversely affect our credit card business, including by affecting the manner in which Fold Credit Card holders receive, maintain, and use their bitcoin rewards, increasing our compliance obligations and costs, limiting our ability to offer or market rewards, or requiring changes to product structure or partner relationships.
Debt & Financing - Risk 4
Credit card receivables will be held by a special purpose vehicle, and the SPV structure and related servicing and financing arrangements could expose us to additional legal, operational, liquidity and insolvency risks.The Fold Credit Card receivables will be owned by a special purpose vehicle (the "SPV") established for the program. The SPV structure is intended to facilitate program funding and isolate receivables from certain insolvency risks. However, the SPV structure and related contractual arrangements add operational complexity and may not function as intended, and the existence of the SPV does not eliminate the risk that we could be required to support the program through contractual obligations or otherwise.
The transfer of receivables to the SPV (or the characterization of the SPV's interest in receivables) could be challenged, including in the event of our insolvency or the insolvency of another program participant. For example, a bankruptcy court or other party could seek to recharacterize a transfer as a secured borrowing rather than a true sale, could assert that the transfer was a fraudulent conveyance or preferential transfer, or could challenge the perfection or priority of security interests. If a challenge were successful, receivables owned by the SPV could become part of a bankruptcy estate or otherwise subject to claims of creditors, which could reduce or delay cash flows and increase losses.
The SPV and its cash flows may also be exposed to the insolvency of third parties that handle collections or otherwise have access to receivable cash flows. If collections are held, processed, or transferred through Stripe or another intermediary, or deposited into commingled accounts, we and the SPV may be subject to commingling, setoff, and tracing risks. In the event of an intermediary or servicer insolvency (including a potential insolvency of Stripe as servicer), collections may be delayed or may not be remitted on a timely basis, and amounts held by the servicer or intermediary could become subject to competing claims of creditors. Even if applicable contractual provisions or account structures are intended to protect collections, there can be no assurance that such protections will be effective in all circumstances.
The SPV may also be subject to covenants, eligibility criteria, concentration limits, reserve requirements, and performance triggers under program funding arrangements, including triggers related to delinquency, charge-offs, counterparty insolvency, regulatory events, or servicing disruption. A trigger event could cause early amortization, termination of a revolving funding period, reduced advance rates, increased required reserves, or accelerated repayment obligations. Any of these outcomes could require us to use additional cash to support the program, could reduce or prevent growth, or could require a reduction or wind-down of the program, which could adversely affect our liquidity and operating results.
We may also be required, under our program agreements, to provide support to the SPV or other program participants through indemnities, repurchase obligations, reserve funding, or similar arrangements. To the extent we are required to provide such support, our cash flows and financial condition could be adversely affected. Additionally, depending on the structure, we may be required to consolidate the SPV for accounting purposes, which could increase the assets and liabilities reflected on our balance sheet and could increase volatility in our reported financial results.
Debt & Financing - Risk 5
We may not have access to the full amount available under the Facility with SZOP. We may require additional financing to sustain our operations, without which we may not be able to continue operations, and the terms of subsequent financings may adversely impact our stockholders.We may direct SZOP to purchase up to $250,000,000 worth of shares of our Common Stock in a Regular Purchase (as defined in the Facility) from time to time under the Facility over a 24-month period generally in amounts of shares of Common Stock that vary depending on the closing sale price of our Common Stock at the time of sale. Moreover, under certain circumstances as set forth in the Facility, we may, in our sole discretion, also direct SZOP to purchase additional shares of Common Stock in "accelerated purchases" as set forth in the Facility.
Depending on the prevailing market price of our Common Stock, we may not be able to sell shares to SZOP for the maximum $250,000,000 over the term of the Facility. We will need to seek stockholder approval before issuing more than the Exchange Cap limit of 9,282,287 shares of Common Stock under the Facility. There is no assurance we would obtain the approval of our stockholders to issue shares in excess of the Exchange Cap. In addition, SZOP will not be required to purchase any shares of our Common Stock if such sale would result in SZOP's beneficial ownership of our Common Stock exceeding the Beneficial Ownership Cap (as such term is defined in the Facility) under the Facility. Our inability to access a portion or the full amount available under the Facility, in the absence of any other financing sources, could have a material adverse effect on our business.
The extent we rely on SZOP as a source of funding will depend on a number of factors including the prevailing market price of our Common Stock and the extent to which we are able to raise capital from other sources. Assuming a purchase price of $4.51 per share (which represents the closing price of our Common Stock on July 9, 2025), the purchase by SZOP of the entire 9,282,287 shares of Common Stock issuable under the Facility registered for resale by SZOP hereunder would result in gross proceeds to us of approximately $41.5 million. If obtaining sufficient funding from SZOP were to prove unavailable or prohibitively dilutive, we will need to secure another source of capital in order to satisfy our working capital needs. Even if we sell all $250,000,000 of shares of our Common Stock to SZOP under the Facility, we will need to raise substantial additional capital to continue to fund our operations and execute our current business strategy.
Corporate Activity and Growth6 | 6.0%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
Our culture emphasizes innovation, and if we cannot maintain this culture, our business and operating results could be adversely impacted.Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
Our management has limited experience in operating a public company.Our executive officers still have limited experience in the management of a publicly traded company. Our management team may not successfully or effectively continue to manage our transition to being a public company subject to significant regulatory oversight and reporting obligations under federal securities laws. Their limited experience in dealing with the increasingly complex laws pertaining to public companies means that an increasing amount of their time may be devoted to these activities which results in less time being devoted to our management and growth. We may not always have adequate personnel with the appropriate level of knowledge, experience, and training in the accounting policies, practices or internal controls over financial reporting required of public companies in the United States. The development and implementation of the standards and controls necessary for us to achieve the level of accounting standards required of a public company in the United States has been great. It is possible that we will further be required to expand our employee base and hire additional employees to support our operations as a public company which will increase our operating costs in future periods.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 3
We may in the future enter into partnerships, collaborations, joint ventures, or strategic alliances with third parties. If we are unsuccessful in establishing or maintaining strategic relationships with these third parties or if these third parties fail to deliver certain operational services, our business, operating results, and financial condition could be adversely affected.We may in the future, enter into partnerships, collaborations, joint ventures, or strategic alliances with third parties in connection with the development, operation and enhancements to our platform and products and the provision of our services. For example, we may partner with additional bitcoin custody or service providers to expand the reach of our services or increase resilience of our network, or we may partner with other companies to provide new products or services. Identifying strategic relationships with third parties, and negotiating and documenting relationships with them may be time-consuming and complex and may distract management. Moreover, we may be delayed, or not be successful, in achieving the objectives that we anticipate as a result of such strategic relationships. In evaluating counterparties in connection with partnerships, collaborations, joint ventures or strategic alliances, we consider a wide range of economic, legal and regulatory criteria depending on the nature of such relationship, including the counterparties' reputation, operating results and financial condition, operational ability to satisfy our and our customers' needs in a timely manner, efficiency and reliability of systems, certifications costs to us or to our customers, and licensure and compliance status. Despite this evaluation, third parties may still not meet our or our customers' needs which may adversely affect our ability to deliver products and services to customers or may adversely impact our business, operating results, and financial condition. Counterparties to any strategic relationship may have economic or business interests or goals that are, or that may become, inconsistent with our business interests or goals, and may subject us to additional risks to the extent such third party becomes the subject of negative publicity, faces its own litigation or regulatory challenges, or faces other adverse circumstances. Conflicts may arise with our strategic partners, such as the interpretation of significant terms under any agreement, which may result in litigation or arbitration which would increase our expenses and divert the attention of our management. If we are unsuccessful in establishing or maintaining strategic relationships with third parties, our ability to compete in the marketplace or to grow our revenue could be impaired and our business, operating results, and financial condition could be adversely affected.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 4
Our strategy and focus on delivering high-quality, compliant, easy-to-use, and secure bitcoin-related financial services may not maximize short-term or medium-term financial results.We have taken, and expect to continue to take, actions that we believe are in the best interests of our customers and the long-term interests of our business, even if those actions do not necessarily maximize short-term or medium-term results. These include expending significant managerial, technical, and legal efforts on complying with laws and regulations that are applicable to our products and services and ensuring that our products are secure. We also focus on driving long-term engagement with our customers through innovation and developing new industry-leading products and technologies. These decisions may not be consistent with the short-term and medium-term expectations of our stockholders and may not produce the long-term benefits that we expect, which could have an adverse effect on our business, operating results, and financial condition.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 5
We may from time to time make acquisitions and investments, which could require significant management attention, disrupt our business, result in dilution to our stockholders, and adversely affect our financial results.As part of our business strategy, we may become active in acquiring and investing in order to, among other things, add specialized employees, complementary companies, products, services, licenses, or technologies. As part of our business strategy, we may conduct discussions and evaluate opportunities for possible acquisitions, strategic investments, entries into new businesses, joint ventures, and other transactions. We may also invest in companies and technologies that are highly speculative in nature. In the future, we may not be able to find suitable acquisition and investment candidates, and we may not be able to complete acquisitions or make investments on favorable terms, if at all. In some cases, the costs of such acquisitions may be substantial, and there is no assurance that we will receive a favorable return on investment for our acquisitions. We may in the future be required to write off acquisitions or investments. Moreover, our future acquisitions may not achieve our goals, and any future acquisitions we complete could be viewed negatively by customers, partners, developers, advertisers, or investors. In addition, if we fail to successfully close or integrate any acquisitions, or integrate the products or technologies associated with such acquisitions into our company, our net revenue and operating results could be adversely affected. Our ability to acquire and integrate companies, products, services, licenses, employees, or technologies in a successful manner is unproven. Any integration process may require significant time and resources, and we may not be able to manage the process successfully, including successfully securing regulatory approvals which may be required to close the transaction and to continue to operate the target firm's business or products in a manner that is useful to us. We may not successfully evaluate or utilize the acquired products, services, technology, or personnel, or accurately forecast the financial impact of an acquisition transaction, including accounting charges. We may have to pay cash, incur debt, or issue equity securities to pay for any such acquisition, any of which could adversely affect our financial results. The issuance of equity to finance any such acquisitions could result in dilution to our stockholders, which, depending on the size of the acquisition, may be significant. The incurrence of indebtedness would result in increased fixed obligations and could also include covenants or other restrictions that would impede our ability to manage our operations.
While Fold regularly evaluates strategic opportunities, Fold does not currently have any formal plans, proposals or understandings to make any material acquisitions or strategic investments.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 6
Our compliance and risk management methods might not be effective and may result in outcomes that could adversely affect our reputation, operating results, and financial condition.Our ability to comply with applicable complex and evolving laws, regulations, and rules is largely dependent on the establishment, maintenance, and scaling of our compliance and reporting systems to continuously keep pace with our customer activity and transaction volume, as well as our ability to attract and retain qualified compliance and other risk management personnel. While we have devoted significant resources to develop policies and procedures to identify, monitor, and manage our risks, and expect to continue to do so in the future, we cannot assure you that our policies and procedures are and will always be effective or that we have been and will always be successful in monitoring or evaluating the risks to which we are or may be exposed in all market environments or against all types of risks, including unidentified or unanticipated risks. Our risk management policies and procedures rely on a combination of technical and human controls and supervision that are subject to error and failure. Some of our methods for managing risk are discretionary by nature and are based on internally developed controls and observed historical market behavior, and also involve reliance on standard industry practices. Accordingly, in the future, we may identify gaps in such policies and procedures or existing gaps may become higher risk, and may require significant resources and management attention. Our risk management policies and procedures also may not adequately prevent losses due to technical errors. In addition, we may elect to adjust our risk management policies and procedures to allow for an increase in risk tolerance, which could expose us to the risk of greater losses.
Our financial institution partners, including their regulators, may periodically review our compliance program, including our policies and procedures, and applicable law. We may from time to time receive examination reports citing violations of applicable law and inadequacies in existing compliance programs requiring us to enhance certain practices with respect to our practices or compliance program, including due diligence, training, monitoring, reporting, and recordkeeping. If we fail to comply with these, or do not adequately remediate certain findings, regulators and financial institution partners could take a variety of actions that could impair our ability to conduct our business, including, but not limited to, delaying, denying, withdrawing, or conditioning approval of certain products and services. In addition, regulators have broad enforcement powers to censure, fine, issue cease and desist orders, prohibit us from engaging in some of our business activities, or revoke our licenses. We face significant intervention by regulatory authorities, including extensive auditing and surveillance activities, and will continue to face the risk of significant intervention by regulatory authorities and financial institution partners in the future. In the case of non-compliance or alleged non-compliance, we could be subject to investigations and proceedings that may result in substantial penalties or civil lawsuits, including by customers, for damages, which can be a significant loss to us or our financial institution partner(s). Any of these outcomes would adversely affect our reputation and brand and our business, operating results, and financial condition. Some of these outcomes could adversely affect our ability to conduct our business.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 23/100 (23%)Above Sector Average
Regulation12 | 12.0%
Regulation - Risk 1
The Fold Credit Card is subject to extensive laws, regulations, and industry standards, and heightened regulatory scrutiny could increase our compliance costs, limit our product offerings, or result in enforcement actions.Regulation - Risk 2
Certain transactions in bitcoin could be deemed "commodity interests" (i.e., futures, options, swaps) or security-based swaps subject to regulation by the CFTC or SEC, respectively. If the products and services we or BitGo offer to our customers are deemed a commodity interest or a security-based swap, we would be subject to additional regulatory requirements, registrations and approvals and potentially face regulatory enforcement, civil liability, and significant increased compliance and operational costs.Commodity interests, as such term is defined by the CEA and CFTC rules and regulations, are subject to more extensive supervisory oversight by the CFTC, including registrations of entities engaged in, and platforms offering, commodity interest transactions. This CFTC authority extends to bitcoin futures contracts and swaps, including transactions that are based on current and future prices of bitcoin and indices of bitcoin. To the extent that transactions in bitcoin are deemed to fall within the definition of a commodity interest, including pursuant to subsequent rulemaking or guidance by the CFTC, we may be subject to additional regulatory requirements and oversight and could be subject to judicial or administrative sanctions if we do not or did not at a relevant time possess appropriate registrations as an exchange (for example, as a designated contract market for trading futures or options on futures, or as a swaps execution facility for trading swaps) or as a registered intermediary (for example, as a futures commission merchant or introducing broker). Such actions could result in injunctions, cease and desist orders, as well as civil monetary penalties, fines, and disgorgement, as well as reputational harm. The CFTC has previously brought enforcement actions against entities engaged in crypto asset activities for failure to obtain appropriate exchange, execution facility and intermediary registrations.
Furthermore, the CFTC and the SEC have jointly adopted regulations defining "security-based swaps," which include swaps based on single securities and narrow-based indices of securities. If bitcoin is deemed to be a security, certain transactions referencing bitcoin could constitute a security-based swap. Bitcoin or a transaction therein that is based on or references a security or index of securities, whether or not such securities are themselves crypto assets, could also constitute a security-based swap. To the extent that bitcoin is deemed to fall within the definition of a security-based swap, including pursuant to subsequent rulemaking or guidance by the CFTC or SEC, we may be subject to additional regulatory requirements and oversight by the SEC and could be subject to judicial or administrative sanctions if we do not or did not a relevant time possess appropriate registrations as an exchange (for example, as a security-based swaps execution facility) or as a registered intermediary (for example, as a security-based swap dealer or broker-dealer). This could result in injunctions, cease and desist orders, as well as civil monetary penalties, fines, and disgorgement, as well as reputational harm.
Regulation - Risk 3
Certain transactions in bitcoin may constitute "retail commodity transactions" subject to regulation by the CFTC as futures contracts. If bitcoin transactions we facilitate are deemed to be such retail commodity transactions, we would be subject to additional regulatory requirements, licenses and approvals, and potentially face regulatory enforcement, civil liability, and significant increased compliance and operational costs.Any transaction in a commodity, including bitcoin, entered into with or offered to retail investors using leverage, margin, or other financing arrangements (a "retail commodity transaction") is subject to CFTC regulation as a futures contract unless such transaction results in actual delivery within 28 days. The meaning of "actual delivery" has been the subject of commentary and litigation, and in 2020, the CFTC adopted interpretive guidance addressing the "actual delivery" of a crypto asset. To the extent that bitcoin transactions that we facilitate or facilitated are deemed retail commodity transactions, including pursuant to current or subsequent rulemaking or guidance by the CFTC, we may be subject to additional regulatory requirements and oversight, and we could be subject to judicial or administrative sanctions if we do not or did not at a relevant time possess appropriate registrations. The CFTC has previously brought enforcement actions against entities engaged in retail commodity transactions without appropriate registrations, as well as recent enforcement settled orders against developers of decentralized platforms.
Regulation - Risk 4
Bitcoin's status as a "security" in any relevant jurisdiction, as well as the status of our bitcoin-related products and services, is subject to a high degree of uncertainty and if we are unable to properly characterize a product or service offering, we may be subject to regulatory scrutiny, inquiries, investigations, fines, and other penalties, which may adversely affect our business, operating results, and financial condition.The SEC and its staff have taken the position that a range of crypto assets, products and services fall within the definition of a "security" under the U.S. federal securities laws. Despite the SEC being the principal federal securities law regulator in the United States, whether or not an asset, product or service is a security or constitutes a securities offering under federal securities laws is ultimately determined by a federal court. The legal test for determining whether any given crypto asset, product or service is a security was set forth in the 1946 Supreme Court case SEC v. W.J. Howey Co. and requires a highly complex, fact-driven analysis. Accordingly, whether any given crypto asset, product or service would be ultimately deemed to be a security is uncertain and difficult to predict notwithstanding the conclusions of the SEC or any conclusions we may draw based on our risk-based assessment regarding the likelihood that a particular crypto asset, product or service could be deemed a "security" or "securities offering" under applicable laws. The SEC generally does not provide advance guidance or confirmation on its assessment of the status of any particular crypto asset, product or service as a security. It is also possible that a change in the governing administration or the appointment of new SEC commissioners could substantially impact the approach to enforcement by the SEC and its staff.
Public statements made by senior officials at the SEC indicate that the SEC does not intend to take the position that bitcoin (as currently offered and sold) is a "security" under the U.S. federal securities laws. However, such statements are not official policy statements by the SEC and reflect only the speakers' views, which are not binding on the SEC or any other agency or court and cannot be generalized to any other crypto asset. As of the date hereof, with the exception of certain centrally issued digital assets that have received "no-action" letters from the SEC staff, bitcoin is the only crypto asset which senior officials at the SEC have publicly stated is unlikely to be considered a "security."
Any enforcement action by the SEC or any international or state securities regulator asserting that bitcoin is a "security," or a court decision to that effect, would be expected to have an immediate material adverse impact on the trading value of bitcoin, as well as our business. This is because the business models behind most crypto assets are incompatible with regulations applying to transactions in securities. If a crypto asset is determined or asserted to be a "security," it is likely to become difficult or impossible for the crypto asset to be traded, cleared or custodied in the United States and elsewhere through the same channels used by non-security crypto assets, which in addition to materially and adversely affecting the trading value of the crypto asset is likely to significantly impact its liquidity and market participants' ability to convert the crypto asset into USD and other currencies.
The classification of a crypto asset, product or service as a security under applicable law has wide-ranging implications for the regulatory obligations that flow from the offer, sale, trading, and clearing, as applicable, of such assets, products or services. For example, a crypto asset, product or service that is a security in the United States may generally only be offered or sold in the United States pursuant to a registration statement filed with the SEC or in an offering that qualifies for an exemption from registration. Persons that effect transactions in crypto assets, products or services that are securities in the United States may be subject to registration with the SEC as a "broker" or "dealer." Platforms that bring together purchasers and sellers to trade crypto assets that are securities in the United States are generally subject to registration as national securities exchanges, or must qualify for an exemption, such as by being operated by a registered broker-dealer as an alternative trading system ("ATS") in compliance with rules for ATSs. Persons facilitating clearing and settlement of securities may be subject to registration with the SEC as a clearing agency. Foreign jurisdictions may have similar licensing, registration, and qualification requirements.
Neither Fold nor the Fold App is registered or licensed with the SEC or foreign authorities as a broker-dealer, national securities exchange, or ATS (or foreign equivalents), and none of our products or services are registered as securities offerings, because we only offer products and services related to bitcoin, and we believe there are good arguments that bitcoin and our related products and services are not securities (including based on prior statements by a number of SEC senior officials). However, statements, settlements and enforcement actions are not rules or regulations of the SEC and are not binding on the SEC. Regardless of public statements made by senior officials at the SEC and our conclusions, we could in the future be subject to legal or regulatory action in the event the SEC or a state or a foreign regulatory authority were to assert, or a court were to determine, that either bitcoin itself or a product or service that we offer related to bitcoin, such as lending, rewards or savings products, could be viewed a "security" under applicable laws. There can be no assurance that we will properly characterize over time any given bitcoin product or service offering as a security or non-security, or that the SEC, foreign regulatory authority, or a court having final determinative authority on the topic, if the question was presented to it, would agree with our assessment. We expect our risk assessment policies and procedures to continuously evolve to take into account case law, legislative developments, facts, and developments in technology.
If an applicable regulatory authority or a court, in either case having final determinative authority on the topic, were to determine that a product or service offered by us is a security, we would not be able to offer such product or service until we are able to do so in a compliant manner. A determination by the SEC, a state or foreign regulatory authority, or a court that a product or service that we offer constitutes a security may result in us ceasing to offer that product or service, and may also result in us determining that it is advisable to cease offering products and services entirely, that have similar characteristics to the product or service that was alleged or determined to be a security. Alternatively, we may determine to continue to offer a product or service even if the SEC or another regulator alleges that the product or service is a security, pending a final judicial determination as to that product or service's proper characterization, and the fact that we waited for a final judicial determination would generally not preclude penalties or sanctions against us for our having previously made that product or service available without registering that product or service with the SEC. As such, we could be subject to judicial or administrative sanctions for failing to offer or sell the product or service in compliance with the registration requirements, or for acting as a broker, dealer, or national securities exchange without appropriate registration. Such an action could result in injunctions, cease and desist orders, as well as civil monetary penalties, fines, and disgorgement, criminal liability, and reputational harm. Additionally, the SEC has brought and may in the future bring enforcement actions against other cryptoeconomy participants and their product offerings and services that may cause us to modify or discontinue a product offering or service. If we were to modify or discontinue any product offering or service for any reason, our decision may be unpopular with users, may reduce our ability to attract and retain customers (especially if similar products or services continue to be offered by our competitors), and may adversely affect our business, operating results, and financial condition.
Regulation - Risk 5
Bitcoin is subject to regulatory authority by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (the "CFTC"). Any fraudulent or manipulative activity in bitcoin occurring through our products and services could subject us to increased regulatory scrutiny, regulatory enforcement, and litigation.The CFTC has stated, and judicial decisions involving CFTC enforcement actions have confirmed, that bitcoin falls within the definition of a "commodity" under the Commodity Exchange Act (the "CEA"). As a result, the CFTC has general enforcement authority to police against manipulation and fraud in the bitcoin market. From time to time, manipulation, fraud, and other forms of improper trading by market participants have resulted in, and may in the future result in, CFTC investigations, inquiries, enforcement action, and similar actions by other regulators, government agencies, and civil litigation. Such investigations, inquiries, enforcement actions, and litigation may cause us to incur substantial costs and could result in negative publicity.
Regulation - Risk 6
The cryptoeconomy is novel. As a result, policymakers are just beginning to consider what a regulatory regime for crypto would look like and the elements that would serve as the foundation for such a regime. We may be unable to effectively react to proposed legislation and regulation of crypto assets or crypto asset platforms that are adverse to our business.As crypto assets have grown in both popularity and market size, various U.S. federal, state, and local and foreign governmental organizations, consumer agencies and public advocacy groups have been examining the operations of crypto networks, users and platforms, with a focus on how crypto assets can be used to launder the proceeds of illegal activities, fund criminal or terrorist enterprises, and the safety and soundness of platforms and other service providers that hold crypto assets for users. Many of these entities have called for heightened regulatory oversight and have issued consumer advisories describing the risks posed by crypto assets to users and investors. For instance, in September 2022, the White House published a fact sheet described as the first-ever "Comprehensive Framework for Responsible Development of Digital Assets," which encouraged "agencies to issue guidance and rules to address current and emergent risks in the digital asset ecosystem."
Competitors, including traditional financial services providers, have spent years cultivating professional relationships with relevant policymakers on behalf of their industry so that those policymakers may understand that industry, the current legal landscape affecting that industry, and the specific policy proposals that could be implemented in order to responsibly develop that industry. The lobbyists working for these competitors have similarly spent years developing and working to implement strategies to advance these industries. Members of the cryptoeconomy have started to engage policymakers directly and with the help of external advisors and lobbyists. However, this work is in a relatively nascent stage. As a result, new laws and regulations may be proposed and adopted in the United States and internationally, or existing laws and regulations may be interpreted in new ways, that harm the cryptoeconomy or crypto asset platforms, which could adversely impact our business. Additionally, any political activities to further our mission may be perceived unfavorably by investors and the public and have an adverse impact on our brand and reputation.
Regulation - Risk 7
The regulatory environment in which the consumer finance industry operates could have a material adverse effect on our business and operating results.The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (the "Dodd-Frank Act") was signed into law on July 21, 2010. The Dodd-Frank Act is extensive and significant legislation that, among other things, created the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (the "CFPB"), an agency responsible for administering and enforcing the laws and regulations for consumer financial products and services. The CFPB has broad rulemaking, examination and enforcement authority over providers of financial services and products, which could include us and our affiliates, including authority to prevent "unfair, deceptive or abusive" practices and to collect fines and provide consumer restitution in the event of violations. In addition to the CFPB, other federal agencies, such as the Federal Trade Commission (the "FTC"), and state regulators, such as consumer protection and financial services regulators and attorneys general, may exercise supervision and enforcement authority over providers of goods or services, like us. Depending on how such governmental authorities elect to exercise its statutory authority, it could increase the compliance costs for us and our third party service providers, potentially delay our ability to respond to marketplace changes, result in requirements to alter products and services that would make them less attractive to consumers, impair our ability to offer products and services, and harm our reputation or otherwise adversely affect our businesses.
We are also subject to other various regulatory, financial and other requirements in the jurisdictions in which we operate. We may become involved from time to time in reviews, investigations and proceedings and information gathering requests by government and self-regulatory agencies, including state attorneys general. Any of such events could result in the imposition of damages, fines or civil or criminal claims and/or penalties. No assurance can be given that the ultimate outcome of any such event would not have a material adverse effect on us or our ability to provide services.
The financial services industry is likely to see increased disclosure obligations, licensing requirements, restrictions on pricing and enforcement proceedings. Compliance with applicable laws is costly and can affect operating results, as processes, procedures, control and infrastructure are required to support applicable requirements. Compliance may also create operational constraints and impose limits on pricing, as financial services industry laws are designed primarily to protect consumers. The failure to comply could result in significant statutory civil and criminal penalties, monetary damages, attorneys' fees and costs, possible revocation of licenses and damage to reputation, brand, loss of our bank partnerships, and loss of customer relationships.
Regulation - Risk 8
As we expand our activities, our obligations to comply with the laws, rules, regulations, and policies of a variety of jurisdictions will increase and we may be subject to inquiries, investigations, and enforcement actions by U.S. and non-U.S. regulators and governmental authorities, including those related to sanctions, export control, and anti-money laundering.We are required to comply with laws and regulations related to economic sanctions and export controls enforced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control ("OFAC") and the U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Industry and Security, as well as U.S. anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing laws and regulations enforced by the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network ("FinCEN") and certain state financial services regulators. U.S. sanctions and export control laws and regulations generally restrict dealings by persons subject to U.S. jurisdiction with certain jurisdictions that are the target of comprehensive embargoes, currently the Crimea Region, the so-called Donetsk People's Republic, and the so-called Luhansk People's Republic, Cuba, Iran, and North Korea, as well as with persons, entities, and governments of those and other jurisdictions identified on certain prohibited party lists. Moreover, as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the United States, the E.U., the United Kingdom, and other jurisdictions have imposed wide-ranging sanctions on Russia and Belarus and persons and entities associated with Russia and Belarus. There can be no certainty regarding whether such governments or other governments will impose additional sanctions, or other economic or military measures against Russia or Belarus. Through Sardine.ai, we have an OFAC compliance program in place that includes monitoring of IP addresses to identify prohibited jurisdictions and of blockchain addresses that have either been identified by OFAC as prohibited or that otherwise are believed by us to be associated with prohibited persons or jurisdictions. Nonetheless, there can be no guarantee that our compliance program will prevent transactions with particular persons or addresses or prevent every potential violation of OFAC sanctions. Any present or future government inquiries relating to sanctions could result in negative consequences for us, including costs related to government investigations, financial penalties, and harm to our reputation. The impact on us related to such matters could be substantial. Although we have implemented controls, and are working to implement additional controls and screening tools designed to prevent sanctions violations, there is no guarantee that we will not inadvertently provide access to our products and services to sanctioned parties or jurisdictions in the future.
Regulators worldwide frequently study each other's approaches to the regulation of the cryptoeconomy. Consequently, developments in any jurisdiction may influence other jurisdictions, including in the United States. As a result, the risks created by any new law or regulation in one jurisdiction may be replicated in the United States, affecting our business.
The complexity of U.S. federal and state and international regulatory and enforcement regimes, coupled with the scope of our operations and the evolving global regulatory environment, could result in a single event prompting overlapping investigations and legal and regulatory proceedings by government authorities in different jurisdictions. Any of the foregoing could, individually or in the aggregate, harm our reputation, damage our brand and business, and adversely affect our operating results and financial condition. Due to the uncertain application of existing laws and regulations, it may be that, despite our analysis that certain products and services are currently unregulated, such products or services may indeed be subject to financial regulation, licensing, or authorization obligations that we have not obtained or with which we have not complied. As a result, we are at a heightened risk of enforcement action, litigation, regulatory, and legal scrutiny which could lead to sanctions, cease and desist orders, or other penalties and censures which could significantly and adversely affect our continued operations and financial condition.
Regulation - Risk 9
We are subject to an extensive, highly-evolving and uncertain regulatory landscape and any adverse changes to, or our failure to comply with, any laws and regulations could adversely affect our brand, reputation, business, operating results, and financial condition.Our business is subject to extensive laws, rules, regulations, policies, orders, determinations, directives, treaties, and legal and regulatory interpretations and guidance in the markets in which we operate, including those governing financial services and banking, credit, bitcoin asset custody, exchange, and transfer, privacy, data governance, data protection, cybersecurity, fraud detection, payment services (including payment processing and settlement services), money transmission (including prepaid access), virtual currency business, consumer protection, escheatment, antitrust and competition, bankruptcy, tax, anti-bribery, economic and trade sanctions, anti-money laundering, and counter-terrorist financing. Many of these legal and regulatory regimes were adopted prior to the advent of the internet, mobile technologies, bitcoin assets, generative artificial intelligence ("AI") and related technologies. As a result, some applicable laws and regulations do not contemplate or address unique issues associated with the bitcoin economy, are subject to significant uncertainty, and vary widely across U.S. federal, state, and local and international jurisdictions. These legal and regulatory regimes, including the laws, rules, and regulations thereunder, evolve frequently and may be modified, interpreted, and applied in an inconsistent manner from one jurisdiction to another, and may conflict with one another. Moreover, the complexity and evolving nature of our business and the significant uncertainty surrounding the regulation of the bitcoin economy, prepaid access, virtual currency business, credit cards, and gift card resale requires us to exercise our judgment as to whether certain laws, rules, and regulations apply to us, and it is possible that governmental bodies and regulators may disagree with our conclusions. To the extent we have not complied with applicable laws, rules, and regulations, we could be subject to significant fines, revocation of licenses, limitations on or temporary or permanent suspensions of our products and services, reputational harm, and other regulatory consequences, each of which may be significant and could adversely affect our business, operating results, and financial condition.
Additionally, various governmental and regulatory bodies, including legislative and executive bodies, in the United States and in other countries may adopt new laws and regulations, the direction and timing of which may be influenced by changes in the governing administrations and major events in the cryptoeconomy. For example, following the failure of several prominent crypto trading venues and lending platforms, such as FTX, Celsius Networks, Voyager and Three Arrows Capital in 2022 (the "2022 Events"), the U.S. Congress expressed the need for both greater federal oversight of the cryptoeconomy and comprehensive cryptocurrency legislation.
Presently, and in the future, various governmental and regulatory bodies, including in the U.S. and each U.S. state, may introduce new policies, laws, and regulations relating to virtual currency, bitcoin assets and the cryptoeconomy generally, and crypto asset platforms in particular. Other companies' failures of risk management and other control functions, such as those that played a role in the 2022 Events, could accelerate an existing regulatory trend toward stricter oversight of crypto asset platforms and the cryptoeconomy. Furthermore, new interpretations of existing laws and regulations may be issued by such bodies or the judiciary, which may adversely impact the development of the cryptoeconomy as a whole and our legal and regulatory status in particular by changing how we operate our business, how our products and services are regulated, and what products or services we and our competitors can offer, requiring changes to our compliance and risk mitigation measures, imposing new licensing requirements, or imposing a total ban on certain crypto asset transactions, as has occurred in certain jurisdictions in the past. If we are unable to comply with any new requirements, our ability to offer our products and services in their current form may be adversely affected.
We believe that the products and services offered by us directly, as opposed to those that are offered by our third party service providers, including BitGo and Sutton Bank, are not subject to supervisory authority of regulatory authorities, or are only subject to certain regulatory regimes, such as banking regulations. However, these products and services may cause us to be deemed to be engaged in a form of regulated activity for which licensure is required or cause us to become subject to new and additional forms of regulatory oversight or supervision. To the extent that we or our employees, contractors, or agents are deemed or alleged to have violated or failed to comply with any laws or regulations, including related interpretations, orders, determinations, directives, or guidance, we or they could be subject to a litany of civil, criminal, and administrative fines, penalties, orders and actions, including being required to limit, suspend, or terminate the offering of certain products and services. Moreover, to the extent our customers nevertheless access our and our partners' platforms, products or services outside of jurisdictions where we have obtained required governmental licenses and authorization, we could similarly be subject to a variety of civil, criminal, and administrative fines, penalties, orders and actions as a result of such activity.
Due to our business activities, it is possible that in the future we may be subject to investigations and inquiries by U.S. federal and state regulators and foreign regulators, many of which have broad discretion to audit and examine our business. Further, we believe increasingly strict legal and regulatory requirements and additional regulatory investigations and enforcement, any of which could occur or intensify, may continue to result in changes to our business, as well as increased costs, and supervision and examination for ourselves, our agents, and service providers. Moreover, new laws, regulations, or interpretations may result in future litigation, regulatory investigations, and enforcement or other actions, including preventing or delaying us from offering certain products or services offered by our competitors or could impact how we offer such products and services. Adverse changes to, or our failure to comply with, any laws and regulations have had, and may continue to have, an adverse effect on our reputation and brand and our business, operating results, and financial condition.
Regulation - Risk 10
Changes in card network rules or standards could adversely affect our business.We are registered as a service provider with the Visa network. As such, we are subject to card network rules that could subject us to a variety of fines or penalties and other compliance obligations. The termination of our registration or any changes in card network rules or standards, including interpretation and implementation of existing rules or standards, could increase the cost of operating our business or limit our ability to provide our services to our customers, and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Regulation - Risk 11
We may be subject to additional regulatory scrutiny and recordkeeping requirements due to the recent bankruptcy case of Synapse Financial Technologies, Inc.Fold, through its partnership with Sutton Bank (and/or any other partner banks), may provide deposit accounts to Fold's customers. Sutton Bank (and/or any other partner banks) may hold funds in the deposit account in an omnibus account on behalf of customers. In certain circumstances, Sutton Bank (and/or any other partner banks) may rely on Fold's records for identifying customers and reconciling certain transactions made to or from deposit accounts, including any commingled funds within the omnibus account. Any failure by Fold to maintain complete and accurate records could create uncertainty as to fund attribution and cause delays or outages for customers seeking to withdraw funds from or through Fold's platform.
Certain U.S. federal and state prudential banking regulators have cited the recent bankruptcy case of Synapse Financial Technologies, Inc. in connection with related proposed regulatory initiatives which may affect our business. On September 17, 2024, the FDIC, citing certain alleged recordkeeping issues attendant to Synapse's commingling of customer funds in custodial accounts, published a notice of proposed rulemaking which would require certain heightened standards for reconciliation and recordkeeping associated with certain custodial accounts containing commingled customer funds. These and other regulatory initiatives by U.S. federal or state prudential banking regulators, if enacted, may increase compliance costs associated with our business or impact our relationships with current or prospective partner banks (see above risk factor: Our relationships with bank partners in the United States may subject us and our partners to additional regulatory scrutiny.).
Regulation - Risk 12
Our relationships with bank partners in the United States may subject us and our partners to additional regulatory scrutiny.Prudential banking regulators in the United States, including the FDIC, have recently increased their scrutiny of bank partnerships with third-party financial service providers through the release of statements, requests for information, and proposed regulations. These releases have coincided with a significant increase in the number of enforcement actions relating to banks' third-party arrangements. These and other regulatory initiatives by U.S. federal or state prudential banking regulators may constrain the operations of our partner banks in the United States, including those with which we may partner in the future either in addition to or in lieu of our existing arrangements. Such banks may be prohibited from partnering with us, or may terminate our relationship once established, as a result of increased regulatory scrutiny or changes to applicable laws and regulations.
Our relationship with partner banks may also subject us to additional regulatory scrutiny, requirements and supervision. For example, we are subject to audit by Sutton Bank in accordance with FDIC guidance related to management of vendors. We also may be subject to the examination authority of the FDIC under the Bank Service Company Act as a result of our relationship with Sutton Bank. To the extent that we enter into similar relationships with other partner banks, either in lieu of or in addition to our relationship with Sutton Bank, we may become subject to additional regulatory requirements imposed indirectly by the partner bank or directly by U.S. federal or state prudential banking regulators. Additional regulatory requirements may adversely affect us or our bank partners,including our originating bank partners, and, therefore, our business, results of operations, financial condition and future prospects.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities5 | 5.0%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
We may be subject to material litigation, including individual and class action lawsuits, as well as investigations and enforcement actions by regulators and governmental authorities. These matters are often expensive and time consuming, and, if resolved adversely, could harm our business, financial condition, and operating results.Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 2
Claims for indemnification by our directors and officers may reduce our available funds to satisfy successful third-party claims against us and may reduce the amount of money available to us.Our organizational documents provide that we indemnify our directors and officers, in each case to the fullest extent permitted by Delaware law.
In addition, as permitted by Section 145 of the DGCL, our bylaws and our indemnification agreements with our directors and officers provide that:
- We will indemnify our directors and officers for serving us in those capacities or for serving other business enterprises at our request, to the fullest extent permitted by Delaware law. Delaware law provides that a corporation may indemnify such person if such person acted in good faith and in a manner such person reasonably believed to be in or not opposed to the best interests of the registrant and, with respect to any criminal proceeding, had no reasonable cause to believe such person's conduct was unlawful;- We may, in our discretion, indemnify employees and agents in those circumstances where indemnification is permitted by applicable law;- We will be required to advance expenses, as incurred, to our directors and officers in connection with defending a proceeding, except that such directors or officers shall undertake to repay such advances if it is ultimately determined that such person is not entitled to indemnification;- We are not obligated pursuant to indemnify a person with respect to proceedings initiated by that person against us or our other indemnitees, except with respect to proceedings authorized by our board of directors or brought to enforce a right to indemnification;- The rights conferred in our bylaws are not exclusive, and we are authorized to enter into indemnification agreements with our directors, officers, employees and agents and to obtain insurance to indemnify such persons; and - We may not retroactively amend our bylaw provisions to reduce our indemnification obligations to directors, officers, employees and agents.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 3
Our products and services may be exploited to facilitate illegal activity such as fraud, money laundering, gambling, sanctions violations, tax evasion, and scams. If any of our customers use our products or services to further such illegal activities, our business could be adversely affected.Our products and services may be exploited to facilitate illegal activity including fraud, sanctions violations, money laundering, gambling, tax evasion, and scams. We or our partners may be specifically targeted by individuals seeking to conduct fraudulent transfers, and it may be difficult or impossible for us to detect and avoid such transactions in certain circumstances. The use of our platform for illegal or improper purposes could subject us to claims, individual and class action lawsuits, and government and regulatory investigations, prosecutions, enforcement actions, inquiries, or requests that could result in liability and reputational harm for us. Moreover, certain activities that may be legal in one jurisdiction may be illegal in another jurisdiction, and certain activities that are at one time legal may in the future be deemed illegal in the same jurisdiction. As a result, there is significant uncertainty and cost associated with detecting and monitoring transactions for compliance with local laws. In the event that a customer is found responsible for intentionally or inadvertently violating the laws in any jurisdiction or we are found responsible for failure to prevent the use of our products or services for illegal activities, we may be subject to governmental inquiries, enforcement actions, prosecuted, or otherwise held secondarily liable for aiding or facilitating such activities. Changes in law have also increased the penalties for certain illegal activities, and government authorities may consider increased or additional penalties from time to time. Any threatened or resulting claims could result in reputational harm, and any resulting liabilities, loss of transaction volume, or increased costs could harm our business.
Moreover, while fiat currencies can be used to facilitate illegal activities, bitcoin is relatively new and, in many jurisdictions, may be lightly regulated or largely unregulated. Bitcoin has characteristics, such as the speed with which digital currency transactions can be conducted, the ability to conduct transactions without the involvement of regulated intermediaries, the ability to engage in transactions across multiple jurisdictions, the irreversible nature of certain crypto asset transactions, and encryption technology that anonymizes these transactions, that make it susceptible to use in illegal activity. U.S. federal and state and foreign regulatory authorities and law enforcement agencies, such as the Department of Justice ("DOJ"), SEC, CFTC, FTC, or the Internal Revenue Service ("IRS"), and various state securities and financial regulators have taken and continue to take legal action against persons and entities alleged to be engaged in fraudulent schemes or other illicit activity involving bitcoin.
While we believe that our risk management and compliance framework is designed to detect significant illicit activities conducted by our potential or existing customers, we cannot ensure that we will be able to detect all illegal activity on our platform. If any of our customers use our platform for such illegal activities or we are found responsible for failure to prevent the use of our products or services for illegal activities, our business could be adversely affected.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 4
We are exposed to risks associated with transaction disputes in connection with Fold-branded payment card transactions, which may adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.Our cardholders use Fold-branded debit and credit cards in a variety of transactions. We are exposed to risks associated with chargebacks and refunds, including in connection with payment card fraud. If a cardholder successfully disputes a transaction and is entitled to a refund or credit, card network rules often allow our bank partners to charge back the disputed transaction to the merchant. However, neither we nor our bank partners fully control the outcome of chargebacks, and our bank partners' obligation to credit a cardholder in connection with a disputed transaction may not be contingent on successfully charging the transaction back to the merchant.
In the event a chargeback dispute is decided in favor of a merchant, or a chargeback is otherwise unrecoverable, we may be liable to our bank partners for disputed amounts pursuant to our contractual arrangements, including if amounts are not recoverable from the cardholder. If we are unable to collect chargebacks or refunds from merchants where they are held liable, or if merchants refuse to or are unable to make payment for chargebacks or refunds due to closure, bankruptcy, or other reasons, we may bear the loss for the credits or refunds made to our cardholders in connection with disputed transactions.
The number of disputes filed by our cardholders is expected to increase as more users adopt our platform, and chargeback levels may be elevated during periods of economic uncertainty. These transaction disputes and corresponding increases in operating expenses may adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 5
If the information provided to us by applicants is incorrect or fraudulent, or if our fraud detection and identity verification controls fail, our results of operations and reputation may be harmed.Our underwriting and account opening decisions are based partly on information provided by applicants as well as information we obtain from third-party sources. If an applicant provides information that we are unable to verify, if the information is false, inaccurate, or incomplete, or if the applicant is using a manufactured or synthetic identity or a stolen identity, our credit decisioning process may not accurately reflect the associated risk. In addition, third-party data sources, including credit reporting agencies, may contain inaccuracies. Inaccurate analysis of credit data, or failures in our decisioning process, could result in higher losses, including losses attributed to fraud, and could harm our reputation, business and results of operations.
We use identity and fraud prevention tools that analyze data from external databases and other technologies to authenticate applicants and monitor for fraud. These tools depend on sustained access to reliable data sources and may be less effective if data access is diminished. From time to time, such checks have failed, and there is a risk that they could fail in the future, resulting in fraud that may be significant and may go undetected. For example, we have identified fraudulent activity in the past related to our Fold Debit Card, and similar or more significant fraudulent activity could occur in connection with the Fold Credit Card. We may not be able to recoup losses arising from fraud, inaccurate statements, omissions of fact, or other misconduct, and fraudulent activity could also lead to heightened regulatory scrutiny or enforcement, could negatively affect our brand and reputation, and could require us to implement additional controls and remediation, which could increase our operating expenses.
Taxation & Government Incentives5 | 5.0%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
Our tax information reporting obligations with respect to bitcoin transactions are subject to change.Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 2
Future developments regarding the treatment of crypto assets for U.S. tax purposes could adversely impact our business.Due to the new and evolving nature of crypto assets and the absence of comprehensive legal and tax guidance with respect to crypto asset products and transactions, many significant aspects of the U.S. tax treatment of transactions involving crypto assets, such as the purchase and sale of bitcoin on our platform, are uncertain, and it is unclear whether, when and what guidance may be issued in the future on the treatment of crypto asset transactions for U.S. tax purposes.
In 2014, the IRS released Notice 2014-21, discussing certain aspects of "virtual currency" for U.S. federal income tax purposes and, in particular, stating that such virtual currency (i) is "property," (ii) is not "currency" for purposes of the rules relating to foreign currency gain or loss, and (iii) may be held as a capital asset. From time to time, the IRS has released other notices and rulings relating to the tax treatment of virtual currency or crypto assets reflecting the IRS's position on certain issues. The IRS has not addressed many other significant aspects of the U.S. federal income tax treatment of crypto assets and related transactions.
There continues to be uncertainty with respect to the timing, character and amount of income inclusions for various crypto asset transactions. Although we believe our treatment of bitcoin transactions for federal income tax purposes is consistent with existing positions from the IRS and/or existing U.S. federal income tax principles, because of the rapidly evolving nature of crypto asset innovations and the increasing variety and complexity of crypto asset transactions and products, it is possible the IRS and various U.S. states may disagree with our treatment of certain bitcoin offerings for U.S. tax purposes, which could adversely affect our customers and the vitality of our business.
There can be no assurance that the IRS, the U.S. state revenue agencies or other foreign tax authorities, will not alter their respective positions with respect to crypto assets in the future or that a court would uphold the treatment set forth in existing positions. It also is unclear what additional tax authority positions, regulations, or legislation may be issued in the future on the treatment of existing crypto asset transactions and future crypto asset innovations under U.S. federal or U.S. state tax law. Any such developments could result in adverse tax consequences for holders of crypto assets and could have an adverse effect on the value of crypto assets and the broader crypto assets markets.
Future technological and operational developments that may arise with respect to crypto assets may increase the uncertainty with respect to the treatment of crypto assets for U.S. tax purposes. The uncertainty regarding tax treatment of crypto asset transactions impacts our customers, and could impact our business, both domestically and abroad.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 3
Our ability to use our deferred tax assets may be subject to certain limitations under U.S. law.Realization of our deferred tax assets, in the form of future domestic tax deductions, credits or other tax benefits, will depend on future taxable income, and there is a risk that some or all of such tax assets could be subject to limitation or otherwise unavailable to offset future income tax liabilities, all of which could adversely affect our operating results. For example, future changes in our stock ownership, the causes of which may be outside of our control, could result in an ownership change under Section 382 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, which could limit our use of such tax assets in certain circumstances. Similarly, additional changes may be made to U.S. (federal and state) tax laws which could further limit our ability to fully utilize these tax assets against future taxable income.
Under the Inflation Reduction Act, our ability to utilize tax deductions or losses from prior years may be limited by the imposition of the 15% minimum tax if, in future years, such minimum tax applies to us. Therefore, we may be required to pay additional U.S. federal income taxes in future years despite any available future tax deductions, U.S. federal net operating loss carryforwards, credits or other tax benefits that we accumulate.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 4
Changes in U.S. tax laws, as well as the application of such laws, could adversely impact our financial position and operating results.We are subject to complex tax laws and regulations in the United States. The U.S. has in the past and may in the future make changes to its corporate income tax rates and other income tax laws which could increase our future income tax provision. For example, our future income tax obligations could be adversely affected by earnings that are lower than anticipated in jurisdictions where we have lower statutory rates and by earnings that are higher than anticipated in jurisdictions where we have higher statutory rates, by changes in the valuation of our deferred tax assets and liabilities, by changes in the amount of unrecognized tax benefits, or by changes in tax laws, regulations, accounting principles, or interpretations thereof, including changes with possible retroactive application or effect.
Our determination of our tax liability is subject to review and may be challenged by applicable U.S. tax authorities. Any adverse outcome of such a challenge could harm our operating results and financial condition. The determination of our provision for income taxes and other tax liabilities requires significant judgment and, in the ordinary course of business, there are many transactions and calculations where the ultimate tax determination is complex and uncertain. Furthermore, if we operate in multiple taxing jurisdictions, the application of tax laws can be subject to diverging and sometimes conflicting interpretations by tax authorities of these jurisdictions. The taxing authorities of the jurisdictions in which we operate or may operate may challenge our tax treatment of certain items or the methodologies we use for valuing developed technology or intercompany arrangements, which could impact our effective tax rate and harm our financial position and operating results.
Further, any changes in the tax laws governing our activities may increase our tax expense, the amount of taxes we pay, or both. For example, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the "TCJA"), enacted on December 22, 2017, significantly reformed the U.S. federal tax code, reducing the U.S. federal corporate income tax rate, making sweeping changes to the rules governing international business operations, and imposing new limitations on a number of tax benefits, including deductions for business interest and the use of net operating loss carryforwards. Effective beginning in 2022, the TCJA also eliminated the option to immediately deduct research and development expenditures (the "R&D Deduction") and required taxpayers to amortize domestic expenditures over five years and foreign expenditures over fifteen years. The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (the "Inflation Reduction Act"), enacted on August 16, 2022, further amended the U.S. federal tax code, imposing a 15% minimum tax on "adjusted financial statement income" of certain corporations as well as an excise tax on the repurchase or redemption of stock by certain corporations, beginning in the 2023 tax year. The legislation referred to as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, enacted on July 4, 2025, made permanent certain expiring and renewed certain expired provisions of the TCJA, modified certain rules governing international business operations, and restored the R&D Deduction. There can be no assurance that future tax law changes will not increase the rate of the corporate income tax, impose new limitations on deductions, credits or other tax benefits, or make other changes that may adversely affect our business, cash flows or financial performance.
In addition, the IRS has yet to issue guidance on a number of important issues regarding the tax treatment of cryptocurrency and the products we provide to our customers and from which we derive our income. In the absence of such guidance, we will take positions with respect to any such unsettled issues. There is no assurance that the IRS or a court will agree with the positions taken by us, in which case tax penalties and interest may be imposed that could adversely affect our business, cash flows or financial performance.
We also are subject to non-income taxes, such as payroll, sales, use, value-added, digital services, net worth, property, and goods and services taxes in the United States. Tax authorities may disagree with certain positions we have taken. As a result, we may have exposure to additional tax liabilities that could have an adverse effect on our operating results and financial condition.
As a result of these and other factors, the ultimate amount of tax obligations owed may differ from the amounts recorded in our financial statements and any such difference may harm our operating results in future periods in which we change our estimates of our tax obligations or in which the ultimate tax outcome is determined.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 5
Changes to, or changes to interpretations of, the U.S. federal, state, local or other jurisdictional tax laws could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.All statements contained herein concerning U.S. federal income tax (or other tax) consequences are based on existing law and interpretations thereof. The tax regimes to which we are subject or under which we operate, including income and non-income taxes, are unsettled and may be subject to significant change. While some of these changes could be beneficial, others could negatively affect our after-tax returns. Accordingly, no assurance can be given that the currently anticipated tax treatment will not be modified by legislative, judicial or administrative changes, possibly with retroactive effect. In addition, no assurance can be given that any tax authority or court will agree with any particular interpretation of the relevant laws.
State, local or other jurisdictions could impose, levy or otherwise enforce tax laws against us. Tax laws and regulations at the state and local levels frequently change, especially in relation to the interpretation of existing tax laws for new and emerging industries, and we cannot always reasonably predict the impact from, or the ultimate cost of compliance with, current or future taxes, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Environmental / Social1 | 1.0%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
We are subject to laws, regulations, and industry requirements related to data privacy, data protection and information security, and user protection across different markets where we conduct our business. Any actual or perceived failure to comply with such laws, regulations, and industry requirements, or our privacy policies, could adversely affect our business, results of operations, or financial condition.Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 17/100 (17%)Above Sector Average
Competition1 | 1.0%
Competition - Risk 1
We operate in a highly competitive industry and compete against companies with greater financial and other resources, and our business, operating results, and financial condition may be adversely affected if we are unable to respond to our competitors effectively.Demand1 | 1.0%
Demand - Risk 1
Our business could be harmed if we are unable to accurately forecast customer demand for bitcoin and to adequately manage our bitcoin balances, including the bitcoin balances we maintain for our own account or bitcoin balances that may be maintained for use in our rewards program.Sales & Marketing12 | 12.0%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
If we fail to retain existing customers or add new customers, or if our customers decrease their level of engagement with our products, services and platform, our business, operating results, and financial condition may be significantly harmed.Sales & Marketing - Risk 2
Disputes with our customers could adversely impact our brand and reputation and our business, operating results, and financial condition.From time to time we have been, and may in the future be, subject to claims and disputes with our customers with respect to our products and services, such as fraudulent or unauthorized transactions, account takeovers, deposits and withdrawals of bitcoin, failures or malfunctions of our systems and services, or other issues relating to our products and services. Additionally, the ingenuity of criminal fraudsters, combined with many consumer users' susceptibility to fraud, may cause our customers to be subject to ongoing account takeovers and identity fraud issues. While we have taken measures to detect and reduce the risk of fraud, there is no guarantee that they will be successful and, in any case, require continuous improvement and optimization for continually evolving forms of fraud to be effective. There can be no guarantee that we will be successful in detecting and resolving these disputes or defending ourselves in any of these matters, and any failure may result in impaired relationships with our customers, damage to our brand and reputation, and substantial fines and damages. In some cases, the measures we have implemented to detect and deter fraud have led to poor customer experiences, including indefinite account inaccessibility for some of our customers, which increases our customer support costs and can compound damages. We could incur significant costs in compensating our customers, such as if a transaction was unauthorized, erroneous, or fraudulent. We could also incur significant legal expenses resolving and defending claims, even those without merit. To the extent we are found to have failed to fulfill our regulatory obligations, we could become subject to conditions that could make operations more costly, impair our ability to grow, and adversely impact our operating results. We may in the future become subject to investigation and enforcement action by state, federal, and international consumer protection agencies, including the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (the "CFPB"), the Federal Trade Commission (the "FTC"), the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (the "FDIC") and state attorneys general in the United States, each of which monitors customer complaints against us and, from time to time, escalates matters for investigation and potential enforcement against us.
While certain of our customer agreements contain arbitration provisions with class action waiver provisions that may limit our exposure to consumer class action litigation, some federal, state, and foreign courts have refused or may refuse to enforce one or more of these provisions, and there can be no assurance that we will be successful in enforcing these arbitration provisions, including the class action waiver provisions, in the future or in any given case. Legislative, administrative, or regulatory developments may directly or indirectly prohibit or limit the use of pre-dispute arbitration clauses and class action waiver provisions. Any such prohibitions or limitations on or discontinuation of the use of such arbitration or class action waiver provisions could subject us to additional lawsuits, including additional consumer class action litigation, and significantly limit our ability to avoid exposure from consumer class action litigation.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 3
Transferring bitcoin on the bitcoin network involves risks, which could result in loss of customer assets or our proprietary assets, customer disputes and other liabilities, which could adversely impact our business.In order to transfer bitcoin on the bitcoin network, a person must have a private and public key pair associated with a network address, commonly referred to as a "wallet." Each wallet is associated with a unique "public key" and "private key" pair, each of which is a large number. To send bitcoin, a user must sign a transaction that is created using the private key of the wallet from where the user is transferring bitcoin, a hash of the recipient wallet's public key, the amount of bitcoin to be sent, and the transaction fee. The transaction must be signed using the user's private key through a cryptographic process, which creates a digital signature to prove ownership of the bitcoin. Once signed, the transaction is broadcasted to be included in a new block by miners. If we wish to purchase bitcoin, the seller would need to send a transaction to our designated wallet in this manner. A number of errors can occur in the process of transmitting bitcoin, such as typos, mistakes, or the failure to include the information required by the network, which could result in losses of our proprietary bitcoin or, where our customers choose to transfer and use bitcoin on its underlying network, the bitcoin held by us on behalf of our customers. For instance, a customer may incorrectly enter our crypto custody partner's wallet's address or the desired recipient's public key when depositing and withdrawing bitcoin, respectively. Alternatively, a customer may send bitcoin to a wallet address that the customer does not own, control or hold the private keys to. If any of the foregoing errors occur, all of the bitcoin sent by the customer will be permanently and irretrievably lost with no means of recovery. We have encountered and expect to continue to encounter similar incidents with our customers, and although we have not experienced such incidents with respect to bitcoin that we hold on a proprietary basis it is possible that they could occur in the future. Such incidents could result in customer disputes, damage to our brand and reputation, legal claims against us, and financial liabilities, any of which could adversely affect our business.
BitGo has represented that it will safekeep all bitcoin held in custody for customers, and that it has procedures to process redemptions and withdrawals expeditiously, following the terms of the applicable user agreements. Our customers have not experienced excessive redemptions or withdrawals, or prolonged suspended redemptions or withdrawals, of bitcoin to date. However, similar to traditional financial institutions, BitGo may experience temporary process-related withdrawal delays. For example, BitGo may experience such delays if there is a significant volume of withdrawal requests that is vastly beyond anticipated levels. This does not mean BitGo cannot or will not satisfy withdrawals, but it may result in a temporary delay in satisfying withdrawal requests, which our customers still expect to be satisfied within the withdrawal timelines set forth in the applicable user agreements or otherwise communicated by us or BitGo. To the extent we or BitGo have process-related delays, even if brief or due to network congestion or heightened redemption activity, and within the terms of an applicable user agreement or otherwise communicated by us, we may experience increased customer complaints and damage to our brand and reputation and face additional regulatory scrutiny, any of which could adversely affect our business.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 4
There are various risks associated with the facilitation of payments from customers, including risks related to fraud, compliance with existing and evolving rules and regulations, and reliance on third parties and any failure to comply with laws and regulations related to payments, fraud, anti-money laundering and money transmission or failure of a third party to perform could harm our business, results of operations and financial condition.We rely upon third-party service providers, payment processors and financial institution partners to provide key components of our services on our behalf, including payments processing and disbursement. Our utilization of such payment processing tools may be impacted by factors outside of our control, including disruptions in the payment processing industry generally. If these service providers, processors or partners do not perform adequately, or if our relationships with these service providers were to change or terminate, it could negatively affect our customers' ability to complete transactions, and our ability to operate our services. This could decrease revenue, increase costs, lead to potential legal liability and negatively impact our brands and business. In addition, if these providers increase the fees they charge us, our operating expenses could increase. Alternatively, if we respond by increasing the fees we charge to our customers, some customers may stop using our services or even close their accounts altogether.
Moreover, if we or any of our third-party payment processors or financial institution partners experience a security breach affecting payment card information, we could be subjected to fines, penalties and assessments arising out of state and federal regulatory enforcement, liability to consumers, the major card brands' rules and regulations, contractual indemnification obligations or other obligations contained in user agreements and similar contracts, and we may lose our ability to accept card payments for our services.
As we expand the availability of our services to additional markets or make new payment methods available to our customers in the future, we may become subject to additional and evolving regulations and compliance requirements, and may be exposed to heightened fraud risk, which could lead to an increase in our operating expenses.
The laws and regulations related to payments and financial services are complex and vary across different jurisdictions in the U.S. Furthermore, changes in laws, rules and regulations have occurred and may occur in the future,which may impact our business practices. We may be required to expend considerable time and effort to determine if such laws and regulations apply to our business and may be required to spend significant time and effort to comply, and ensure we are in compliance, with those laws and regulations. Any failure or claim of our failure to comply or any failure by our third-party service providers and partners to comply with such laws and regulations or other requirements, including the payment network rules and Payment Card Industry Data Security Standard, could divert substantial resources, result in liabilities or force us to stop offering our services, which will harm our business and results of operations.
There can be no assurance that we meet, or we will be able to meet, all compliance obligations under applicable law, including obtaining any such licenses in all of the jurisdictions we operate in or offer a service in, and, even if we were able to do so, there could be substantial costs and potential product changes involved in complying with such laws, which could have a material and adverse effect on our business financial condition and results of operations. Any noncompliance by us in relation to existing or new laws and regulations, or any alleged noncompliance, could result in reputational damage, litigation, penalties, fines, increased costs or liabilities, damages or require us to stop offering payment services in certain markets. For example, if we are deemed to be a money transmitter, including a money services business, provider of prepaid access, or any other similar term defined by applicable money transmission or money services business laws, or virtual currency business we could be subject to certain laws, rules and regulations enforced by multiple authorities and governing bodies in the U.S. and numerous state and local agencies who may define money transmitter and virtual currency business differently. For example, certain states may have a more expansive view of money transmitters and virtual currency business activities. If we are found to be a money transmitter or virtual currency business under any applicable regulation and we are not in compliance with such regulations, we may be subject to fines or other penalties in one or more jurisdictions levied by federal, state or local regulators, including state Attorneys General, as well as those levied by foreign regulators. In addition to fines and penalties, consequences for failing to comply with applicable rules and regulations could include criminal and civil proceedings, forfeiture of significant assets or other enforcement actions. We could also be required to make changes to our business practices or compliance programs as a result of regulatory scrutiny. In addition, failure to predict how a U.S. law or regulation with respect to money transmission or similar requirements apply or will be applied to us could result in licensure or registration requirements, administrative enforcement actions and/or could materially interfere with our ability to offer certain payment methods or to conduct our business in particular jurisdictions. We cannot predict what actions the U.S. government may take or what restrictions it may impose that will affect our ability to process, accept or transmit payments or to conduct our business in particular jurisdictions. Further, we may become subject to changing payment and financial services regulations and requirements that could potentially affect the compliance of our current payment processes and increase the operational costs we incur to support payments. The factors identified here could impose substantial additional costs, involve considerable delay to the development or provision of our solutions, require significant and costly operational changes, or prevent us from providing our products or solutions in any given market.
We are also subject to rules governing electronic funds transfers and payment card association rules. We may also be directly or indirectly liable to the payment networks for rule violations. Payment networks set and interpret their network operating rules and may allege that our business model violates these operating rules. If such allegations are not resolved favorably, they may result in significant fines and penalties or require changes in our business practices that may be costly and adversely affect our business. The payment networks could adopt new operating rules or interpret or reinterpret existing rules, including as a result of a change in our designation by major payment card providers or by a payment network, that we or our processors might find difficult or even impossible to follow, or costly to implement. As a result, we could lose our ability to give customers the option of using cards to fund their accounts or purchases or the choice of currency in which they would like their card to be charged or we may be required to change our business operations. If we are unable to accept cards or are limited in our ability to do so, our business would be adversely affected. In addition, any increase to fees charged or interchange assessed under, or increased costs associated with compliance with, payment network rules or payment card provider rules could lead to increased fees and costs for us or our customers, which may negatively impact payments on our services and usage of our services. Payment networks have imposed, and may impose in the future, special fees on the purchase of crypto assets, including on our platform, which could negatively impact us and significantly increase our costs. We could attempt to pass these increases along to our customers, but this could negatively impact our business or result in the loss of customers, thereby reducing our revenue and earnings. If competitive practices prevent us from passing along the higher fees to our customers in the future, we may have to absorb all or a portion of such increases, thereby increasing our operating costs and reducing our earnings.
Due to the risk of our platform being used for illegal or illicit activity, any perceived or actual breach of compliance by us with respect to anti-money laundering ("AML") laws, rules and regulations, including the Bank Secrecy Act, USA Patriot Act and Title 18 U.S.C. Sections 1956-57 and 1960, could have a significant impact on our reputation and could cause us to lose customers, prevent us from obtaining new customers, require us to expend significant funds to remedy civil and criminal problems caused by violations and to avert further violations and expose us to legal risk and potential liability that could have a material effect on our business. Several of these laws require certain companies to adopt an AML compliance program, including those companies that are characterized as a federal money services business or state money transmitter. Moreover, many states have their own AML and money transmitter and virtual currency regulatory regimes and interpretations and applications of those legal principles are complex and varied. If the federal government or any state government took the position that we were a money services business, money transmitter or virtual currency business, they could require us to register as such and obtain money transmitter or virtual currency licenses. Furthermore, should a federal or state regulator make a determination that we have operated as an unlicensed money services business, money transmitter, or virtual currency business, we could be subject to civil and criminal fines, penalties, costs, legal fees, reputational damage or other negative consequences, all of which may have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 5
Our and our customers' bitcoin could be subject to risk in the event of an insolvency of BitGo.Applicable insolvency law is not fully developed with respect to the holding of digital assets in custodial accounts. Thus, bitcoin held by us or our customers at a custodial partner such as BitGo may be considered to be the property of a bankruptcy estate in the event of a bankruptcy. Recent bankruptcy decisions involving digital-asset companies have demonstrated that, where custodial arrangements are not clearly segregated in practice or do not confer explicit ownership rights under applicable law, courts may treat customer assets as property of the bankruptcy estate notwithstanding contractual language to the contrary. In addition, bitcoin held on behalf of our customers could also be considered part of our own bankruptcy estate if we were to become insolvent. Further, such bitcoin could be misappropriated by a custodial partner despite clear commitments to segregation and ownership rights such that we are treated as an unsecured creditor.
Bitcoin held in segregated wallets could be viewed as less of a risk in an insolvency proceeding. This is because such bitcoin can be clearly identified, as opposed to where assets are commingled with those of other holders. However, BitGo does not currently offer segregated wallet services to our customers. This may cause our customers to view our bitcoin-related services as more risky compared to other types of bitcoin products and services, and may cause our customers to withdraw bitcoin from the wallet services we provide through BitGo.
If custodially-held bitcoin is determined to be the property of BitGo's or another custodial partner's bankruptcy estate, we and our customers could be treated as a general unsecured creditor, inhibiting our and our customers' ability to exercise ownership rights with respect to such bitcoin and potentially being required to share the value of our bitcoin, either in the form of spot bitcoin or a determined cash value on a given date, with those of other creditors. In addition, it is possible that a bankruptcy court would require all bitcoin and other digital assets held by a custodian to be converted into cash, which could result in our incurring significant capital gains tax charges. Even if we are able to prevent our and our customers' bitcoin from being considered the property of BitGo's bankruptcy estate as part of an insolvency proceeding, it is possible that we or our customers would still be delayed or may otherwise experience difficulty in accessing bitcoin held by BitGo during the pendency of the insolvency proceedings. Furthermore, bankruptcy trustees and regulatory authorities have, in recent cases, pursued clawback, preference, and fraudulent transfer claims against digital-asset companies and counterparties, even where the transfers involved customer-facing operational flows. Similar theories could be asserted against us or our customers depending on future legal developments.
Any such outcome could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and the market price of our securities. In addition, even if BitGo itself does not become insolvent, a series of insolvencies of high-profile custodians such as occurred in 2022, and more recently in October 2025 with the Nevada cease-and-desist order issued against Fortress Trust, LLC, one of our former custodians, could result in customers finding our services more risky and less attractive as compared to competitors, and any failure to increase our customer base or discontinuation or reduction in use of our platform and products by existing customers could adversely impact our business, operating results, and financial condition.
On August 14, 2023, Prime Core Technologies, Inc. ("Prime Core"), one of our former service providers, filed for bankruptcy protection. On August 14, 2025, we were named as a defendant in an adversary proceeding filed by the Prime Core bankruptcy estate seeking recovery of alleged preference transfers and other relief (the "Prime Core Dispute"). We intend to defend ourselves vigorously, and we believe the claims lack merit; however, the outcome is inherently uncertain. Although the Prime Core Dispute relates to a former service provider and does not impact customer bitcoin balances or our current custodial arrangements, any adverse ruling or unexpected expansion of theories of liability in that proceeding or in similar proceedings against other parties could heighten perceptions of counterparty risk or highlight unresolved legal questions regarding digital-asset custody in insolvency. Additionally, because courts in several recent cases have applied traditional bankruptcy doctrines to digital-asset businesses, adverse outcomes in the Prime Core Dispute or similar proceedings against third parties could influence future interpretations of similar doctrines by courts, regulators, or counterparties.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 6
We are subject to risks related to the banking and financial services ecosystem, and to our banking and crypto service providers specifically.Volatility in the banking and financial services sectors and regulatory enforcements by the FDIC or other regulators may impact our bank partnerships and could negatively impact our business. For example, we offer certain FDIC-insured products through our partnership with Sutton Bank, a member of the FDIC, and if the FDIC were to seek to enter into an enforcement action against Sutton Bank, it may adversely impact our business or relationship with Sutton Bank. For example, in February 2024, Sutton Bank became subject to an FDIC enforcement order that, among other things, required Sutton Bank to correct certain banking practices and within 60 days devise a plan to review all prepaid card customers since July 1, 2020 for compliance with anti-money laundering requirements. Similarly, for certain bitcoin related services, we partner with BitGo, which is regulated by various federal and state regulators, and if such regulators were to enter into an enforcement action against BitGo, it may adversely impact our business or relationship with BitGo. For example, we ceased using one of our previous partners, Fortress Trust, LLC ("Fortress"), due to regulatory concerns; Fortress subsequently received a cease-and-desist order from the State of Nevada in October 2025. In addition, although we believe our banking and financial services programs comply with all applicable law, if Sutton Bank or BitGo fail to comply with applicable law, it may adversely impact our business and reputation.
Although we believe our banking partner maintains proper records and satisfies requirements for each eligible participant's deposits to be covered by FDIC insurance, up to the applicable maximum deposit insurance amount, the FDIC may disagree. In such an event, the FDIC may not recognize the participants' claims as covered by deposit insurance in the event Sutton Bank fails and enters receivership proceedings under the Federal Deposit Insurance Act ("FDIA"). If the FDIC were to determine that funds held at Sutton Bank are not covered by deposit insurance, or if Sutton Bank were to fail and enter receivership proceedings under the FDIA, our customers may seek to withdraw their funds, or may not be able to withdraw all their funds in a timely manner, which could adversely affect our brand, business and results of operations, and may lead to claims or litigation, which may be costly to address. Additionally, in instances where we are a service-provider to or are otherwise in a third-party relationship with Sutton Bank in connection with these programs, we are subject to certain risk-management standards for third-party relationships in accordance with federal bank regulatory guidance and examinations by the federal banking regulators.
We intend to continue to explore other products, models, and structures for our product offerings, including with existing and new bank and cryptocurrency partners. Certain of our current product offerings may subject us to reporting requirements, bonding requirements, and inspection by applicable federal or state regulatory agencies, and our future product offerings may potentially require, or be deemed to require, additional data, procedures, partnerships, licenses, regulatory approvals, or capabilities that we have not yet obtained or developed. Should we fail to successfully expand and evolve our product offerings, or should our new products, models or structures, or new laws or regulations or interpretations of existing laws or regulations, impose requirements on us that are cumbersome or that we cannot satisfy, our business may be materially and adversely affected.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 7
Our customers enter into agreements directly with Sutton Bank and BitGo.Our customers enter into agreements for banking services directly with Sutton Bank and enter into agreements for bitcoin-related services directly with BitGo. Our third-party service providers have not agreed to indemnify us for losses based on their breaches of their agreements with our customers. Although our terms of use clearly state that we are not responsible for the services provided by those third parties, it is possible that customers could blame us for a failure by one of those third parties to fulfill its obligations. This could have a material adverse impact on our reputation and business.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 8
We rely on our program agreement with Sutton Bank to offer our Fold prepaid card product. If our relationship with Sutton Bank, or other bank relationships established in the normal course of business, were to end, our ability to continue to offer our card product would be affected, which could affect our financial and business results.We market Fold prepaid cards issued by Sutton Bank to consumers through a program agreement with Bank. If our relationship with Sutton Bank were to end or if Sutton Bank were to cease or restrict operations, our ability to continue to offer our card product would be affected, which could adversely affect our financial and business results. In such an event, we would need to partner with a different bank to continue to offer the Fold Debit Card product (as defined below). If we partner with a new bank, issuance and servicing of the Fold Debit Card product could be disrupted and delayed as we transition to a different bank partner. We also may face increased costs and compliance burdens if the program agreement with Sutton Bank is terminated.
Sutton Bank is subject to regulation and supervision by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ("FDIC"). Many laws and regulations that apply directly to Sutton Bank indirectly impact us (and our products) as Sutton Bank's service provider. As such, our partnership with Sutton Bank is subject to the supervision and enforcement authority of the FDIC, Sutton Bank's primary banking regulator.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 9
We rely on our agreement with BitGo to offer our bitcoin-related services. If our relationship with BitGo were to end, the ability to continue to offer our bitcoin services would be affected, which could affect our financial and business results.We market certain bitcoin services to consumers which are offered or supported solely by BitGo through program agreements. If our relationship with BitGo were to end, or if BitGo were to restrict or cease operations, our ability to continue to offer bitcoin services would be materially affected, which could materially adversely affect our financial and business results. In such an event, we would need to partner with a different financial institution with authority to provide services substantially similar to our bitcoin services to continue to offer these services. In the event that we needed to partner with a new crypto service provider, our bitcoin-related services would be disrupted and delayed as customers would be required to open new accounts with a different bitcoin service provider, and as we transition connectivity of our information technology systems to such different financial institution partner. We also may face increased costs and compliance burdens if our program agreement with BitGo is terminated. Many laws and regulations that apply directly to BitGo indirectly impact us (and our products) as a partner of BitGo.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 10
We may be responsible for significant verified fraud losses, charge-offs and other credit losses in connection with the Fold Credit Card, and our underwriting, pricing and risk management models may not be effective.The performance of the Fold Credit Card depends in significant part on the application process and credit risk models we use to verify applicants, prevent fraud, evaluate credit profiles, set credit limits and pricing, and manage ongoing account performance. These processes and models are new and may not accurately predict repayment behavior, delinquency, and loss profiles, particularly during periods of economic stress or rapid changes in consumer behavior. Pursuant to our program agreements, we are responsible for verified fraud losses and most straight charge-offs across the entire Credit Card portfolio. As a result, if our underwriting, pricing, servicing and collections practices are not effective, or if our assumptions about portfolio behavior are incorrect, we could experience greater-than-expected losses, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and financial condition.
In deciding whether to extend credit to prospective or existing cardholders, we rely on a combination of internal and external data sources, including information provided by applicants and data from credit reporting agencies and other third parties. If decision inputs, analytics, or models are unstable, biased, incomplete, or otherwise flawed, or if macroeconomic conditions deteriorate more rapidly than we anticipate, we may make incorrect credit decisions and incur higher delinquencies and losses. If any third-party data source experiences an outage, if we are unable to access data used in our decision strategy, if such data contains inaccuracies, or if our access to such data is limited, our ability to accurately evaluate applicants and manage existing accounts may be compromised.
If we make errors in the development, validation, or implementation of underwriting models or tools used for the Fold Credit Card, the receivables may experience higher delinquencies and losses. Higher losses could adversely affect our ability to finance, sell, or otherwise fund credit card receivables on acceptable terms (including through credit facilities, securitizations or whole-loan sales), could reduce advance rates, increase borrowing costs, trigger performance-based amortization or termination events, or limit future funding capacity.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 11
The Fold Credit Card is a new and complex product, and we may not be able to attract and retain cardholders or operate the program profitably.The Fold Credit Card was launched in March 2026 on a limited basis to Fold employees. We anticipate we will release the Fold Credit Card on a broader, but still limited, basis in the upcoming weeks, subject to obtaining necessary third-party approvals and lender financing. We cannot guarantee that we will be able to release the credit card more broadly in the timeline indicated, in the manner indicated, or at all. Operating the Fold Credit Card requires us to allocate significant resources, including to marketing, underwriting, compliance, customer support, servicing, disputes and chargebacks, and collections. The Fold Credit Card also faces intense competition from large, well-capitalized financial institutions and other fintech companies that may have more experience, larger customer bases, more established brands, and greater resources than we do.
There is no guarantee that we will generate sufficient revenue to recoup our investment of resources into the operation of the Fold Credit Card, and the operation of the Fold Credit Card may divert management time and attention from other initiatives. In addition, increased costs as a result of business and economic conditions may require that we reduce investments in other areas of our business.
Revenue growth for the Fold Credit Card will depend on factors that are partly outside of our control, including consumer spending levels, the size and mix of revolving balances, the volume of transactions subject to interchange, and our ability to increase fee-based revenue while maintaining competitive product terms. Economic downturns may reduce consumer spending and increase delinquencies and charge-offs, which could negatively impact the profitability of the program.
We have invested and plan to invest in growth initiatives to support the Fold Credit Card and attract cardholders. There can be no assurance that these investments will be effective, particularly as consumer and business behaviors change. To the extent our product or marketing attracts customers looking for short-term incentives rather than long-term engagement, cardholder attrition and related acquisition costs could be high. In addition, we may not be able to cost-effectively manage and expand cardholder benefits, including containing the growth of marketing, promotion, rewards and customer service expenses. Our ability to do so will depend in part on our ability to generate offsetting revenue and to obtain value from partners. If such expenses increase beyond our expectations, we may need to reduce benefits, increase pricing, decrease operating expenses, or reduce other investments in our business, and we may not succeed in doing so, particularly in a competitive and evolving regulatory environment that has included heightened scrutiny of certain credit card fees and rewards programs.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 12
Our ability to offer, service, and grow the Fold Credit Card depends on our ability to retain and obtain key third-party partners, including a lender, which we do not currently have. Our failure to obtain a lender, or the failure or inability of existing or future partners to perform their obligations for our credit card program (including by reason of insolvency) could disrupt or terminate our ability to offer the credit card.We have not yet executed an agreement with a lender to finance the credit card, which limits our ability to grow the credit card program past the current limited launch. A lender's willingness and ability to provide funding and other program support will be critical to the continued operation and growth of the Fold Credit Card. Our ability to grow the program may be capped by the amount of capital such lender (or any replacement lender) is willing and able to provide, which may be less than demand or may be reduced due to market conditions, such provider's own capital and liquidity constraints, portfolio performance, or other factors. If such future lender were to reduce, suspend, or terminate funding, or experience financial distress or insolvency, we may not be able to originate new accounts or maintain existing credit lines at planned levels, and we may be required to find alternative funding, use our own capital, or wind down some or all of the program. Alternative funding may not be available on acceptable terms, or at all. In the event that we are not able to obtain a lender at all, we will likely be unable grow, or even continue to offer, the Fold Credit Card.
Additionally, we rely on a number of third parties other than a lender to operate the Fold Credit Card, including Celtic Bank, Visa, Stripe, as servicer with respect to the credit card receivables (and for other processing and program services), and other service providers such as card networks, customer support vendors, fraud and identity verification vendors, and digital asset service providers. These third parties are subject to operational risks, regulatory requirements and oversight, and business and financial risks, and they may not perform as expected. In addition, our agreements with these parties may permit termination, non-renewal, or changes in scope, and the continued availability of these services may depend on ongoing compliance with contractual obligations, card network rules, and regulatory expectations.
If Celtic Bank were to terminate its relationship with Stripe, reduce its support for the program, become subject to regulatory restrictions, experience an operational disruption, or become insolvent or enter receivership, we could be unable to issue new credit cards, change product terms, or service existing accounts as planned. Replacing an issuing bank is complex and may require substantial operational and technical work, re-issuance of cards, and approvals or consents from card networks and regulators. Any such transition could be disruptive to cardholders, could harm our brand, and could result in lost revenue and increased costs. In an insolvency or receivership scenario, our contractual rights may be limited and the responsible governmental authority could repudiate or otherwise limit the enforceability of program agreements.
Stripe, as servicer and a key operational partner, may experience outages, errors, cybersecurity incidents, or other disruptions, and may fail to meet contractual, regulatory or card network requirements. Any failure by Stripe or other key service providers to perform could delay collections, impair account servicing and dispute handling, increase delinquencies and losses, and adversely affect the cardholder experience. Transitioning servicing from Stripe to a replacement servicer would be operationally complex, could be costly, and could result in service interruptions and additional losses.
The insolvency or financial distress of any key program counterparty (including Celtic Bank, Stripe, custodians, other vendors, or any replacements or supplements thereto) could also negatively impact the program. In an insolvency scenario, funds or data in the possession of the counterparty could become unavailable or subject to competing claims of creditors, and our contractual rights (including termination and replacement rights) may be limited or delayed by bankruptcy, receivership, or similar laws. Even if we ultimately replace a counterparty, such events could result in interruptions, litigation, remediation costs, reputational harm, and material adverse effects on our business, operating results and financial condition.
Brand / Reputation3 | 3.0%
Brand / Reputation - Risk 1
Due to unfamiliarity and some negative publicity associated with bitcoin products and services, confidence or interest in our platforms may decline.Brand / Reputation - Risk 2
Unfavorable media coverage could negatively affect our business.Unfavorable publicity regarding, for example, our product changes, product quality, litigation or regulatory activity, privacy practices, terms of service, employment matters, the use of our products or services (including bitcoin-related products and services) for illicit or objectionable ends, the actions of our customers, or the actions of other companies that provide similar services to ours, has in the past, and could in the future, adversely affect our reputation. Further, we have in the past, and may in the future, be the target of social media campaigns criticizing actual or perceived actions or inactions that are disfavored by our customers, employees, or society at-large, which campaigns could materially impact our customers' decisions to use our platform. Any such negative publicity could have an adverse effect on the size, activity, and loyalty of our customers and result in a decrease in net revenue, which could adversely affect our business, operating results, and financial condition.
Brand / Reputation - Risk 3
If we fail to develop, maintain, and enhance our brand and reputation, our business, operating results, and financial condition may be adversely affected.Our brand and reputation are key assets and a competitive advantage. Maintaining, protecting, and enhancing our brand depends largely on the success of our marketing efforts, ability to provide consistent, high-quality, and secure products, services, features, and support, and our ability to successfully secure, maintain, and defend our rights to use the "Fold" mark and other trademarks important to our brand. We believe that the importance of our brand will increase as competition further intensifies. Our brand and reputation could be harmed if we fail to achieve these objectives or if our public image were to be tarnished by negative publicity, unexpected events, or actions by third parties. Unfavorable publicity about us, including our products, services, technology, customer service, personnel, and bitcoin or bitcoin-related platforms generally could diminish confidence in, and the use of, our products and services. Moreover, to the extent that we acquire a company and maintain that acquired company's separate brand, we could experience brand dilution or fail to retain positive impressions of our own brand to the extent such impressions are instead attributed to the acquired company's brand. In addition, because we are a founder-led company, actions by, or unfavorable publicity about, Will Reeves, our co-founder and Chief Executive Officer, may adversely impact our brand and reputation. Such negative publicity also could have an adverse effect on the size and engagement of our customers and could result in decreased revenue, which could have an adverse effect on our business, operating results, and financial condition.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 14/100 (14%)Above Sector Average
Innovation / R&D3 | 3.0%
Innovation / R&D - Risk 1
Our long-term success depends on our ability to develop products and services to address the rapidly evolving market for payments and financial services, and, if we are not able to implement successful enhancements and new features for our products and services, our business could be materially and adversely affected.Innovation / R&D - Risk 2
The slowing or stopping of the development or acceptance of bitcoin and bitcoin-based technologies, and blockchain networks more broadly, could have a material adverse effect on the successful development and adoption of our business.Our business depends on the continued growth, development, and acceptance of bitcoin, which is subject to a high degree of uncertainty. Key factors influencing the further development of bitcoin include the global adoption of bitcoin and general acceptance of blockchain networks; regulatory and quasi-government restrictions on access to and operation of bitcoin or blockchain networks more broadly; and the maintenance of open source protocols that support the bitcoin network. Additional factors, such as shifts in consumer demographics and public preferences, the availability of alternative transaction methods, the potentially speculative nature of bitcoin, and economic conditions domestically and globally, also contribute to this uncertainty. If bitcoin adoption, acceptance, or functionality slows, halts, or changes in a way that diminishes our ability to grow our business, our financial condition and growth prospects could be materially and adversely affected.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 3
Our long-term success depends on our ability to develop new and innovative products and services to address and keep pace with the rapidly evolving market for payments and financial services, and if we are not able to implement successful enhancements and new features for our products and services, our business, operating results and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected.Rapid and significant technological changes continue to confront the industries in which we operate, including developments in digital banking, mobile financial apps, and point-of-service solutions, as well as developments in bitcoin.
These new and evolving services and technologies may be superior to, impair, or render obsolete the products and services we currently offer or the technologies we currently use to provide them. For example, disruptive technologies such as generative AI may fundamentally alter the use of our products or services in unpredictable ways. We cannot predict the effects of new services and technologies on our business. However, our ability to grow our customer base and net revenue will depend heavily on our ability to innovate and create successful new products and services, both independently and in conjunction with third-party developers. Incorporating new technologies into our products and services may require substantial expenditures and take considerable time, and we may not be successful in realizing a return on these development efforts in a timely manner or at all. Our ability to develop new and innovative products and services may be inhibited by industry-wide standards, payment networks, existing and future laws and regulations, resistance to change from our customers' or third parties' intellectual property rights. Our success will depend on our ability to develop new technologies and to adapt to technological changes and evolving industry standards. If we are unable to provide enhancements and new features for our products and services or to develop new and innovative products and services that achieve market acceptance or that keep pace with rapid technological developments and evolving industry standards, our business, operating results and financial condition would be materially and adversely affected.
We often rely not only on our own initiatives and innovations, but also on third parties, including payment networks, banking partners, and technology vendors, for the development of and access to new technologies and development of a robust market for these new products and technologies. Failure to accurately predict or to respond effectively to developments in our industry may significantly impair our business.
Trade Secrets2 | 2.0%
Trade Secrets - Risk 1
We may be sued by third parties for alleged infringement of their intellectual property rights.Trade Secrets - Risk 2
Our intellectual property rights are valuable, and any inability to protect them could adversely impact our business, operating results, and financial condition.Our business depends in large part on our proprietary technology and our brand. We rely on, and expect to continue to rely on, a combination of trademark, copyright, trade secret and other intellectual property laws, as well as confidentiality and license agreements with our employees, contractors, consultants, and third parties with whom we have relationships, to establish and protect our brand, our proprietary technology and our intellectual property rights. However, our efforts to protect our intellectual property rights may not be sufficient or effective and may not adequately permit us to gain or keep any competitive advantage. Despite our efforts to obtain and maintain intellectual property rights, we cannot guarantee that we will be able to prevent unauthorized use or disclosure of our confidential information, intellectual property or technology, and any of our intellectual property rights may be challenged, which could result in them being narrowed in scope or declared invalid or unenforceable. There can be no assurance that our intellectual property rights will be sufficient to protect against others offering products, services, or technologies that are substantially similar to ours and that compete with our business.
Effective protection of our intellectual property may be expensive and difficult to maintain, both in terms of application and registration costs as well as the costs of defending and enforcing those rights. As we have grown, we have sought to obtain and protect our intellectual property rights in an increasing number of countries, a process that can be expensive and may not always be successful. Further, intellectual property protection may not be available to us in every country in which our products and services may become available.
Cyber Security1 | 1.0%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
The theft, loss, or destruction of private keys required to access any bitcoin may be irreversible. If we or BitGo are unable to access private keys for the bitcoin wallets holding our or our customers' bitcoin, or if we or BitGo experience a hack or other data loss relating to its ability to access any bitcoin, it could cause regulatory scrutiny, reputational harm, and other losses.Technology8 | 8.0%
Technology - Risk 1
Any significant disruption in our products and services, in our information technology systems, or in the bitcoin network related to our business, could result in a loss of customers or funds and adversely impact our brand and reputation and our business, operating results, and financial condition.Technology - Risk 2
We may incorporate artificial intelligence ("AI") into our internal operations, for example, to enhance employee productivity. Implementation of artificial intelligence technologies may result in legal and regulatory risks, reputational harm, or other adverse consequences to our business.Certain of our third-party vendors utilize or may in the future utilize AI and machine learning technologies in furnishing services to us. As with many technological innovations, AI presents risks and challenges that could affect its adoption, and therefore our business. By policy, we do not allow the upload of any personal or company confidential information to any AI tools except those from which we have obtained commercially reasonable assurances that such information will not be used other than to provide the services to the company (e.g., no training of models), nor will it be shared with any third party.
Though we have taken steps to be thoughtful in the allowed use of AI, it could pose certain risks to our customers, and it is not guaranteed that regulators will agree with our approach to limiting these risks or to our compliance more generally. Risks can include, but are not limited to, the potential for errors or inaccuracies in the algorithms or models used by AI, the potential for bias or inaccuracies in the data used to train the AI, the potential for improper processing of personal information, and the potential for cybersecurity breaches that could compromise internal operations. Such risks could negatively affect the performance of our business, as well as our reputation and the reputations of our customers, and we could incur liability through the violation of laws or contracts to which we are a party or civil claims.
As the regulatory framework for AI and machine learning technology evolves, our business, financial condition, and results of operations may be adversely affected. It is possible that new laws and regulations will be adopted in the U.S., or that existing laws and regulations may be interpreted in ways that would affect the operations of our platform and the way in which we use AI and machine learning technology. For example, the European Union has passed laws and regulations regulating digital services such as certain online platforms and marketplaces, and similarly, the European Union's Artificial Intelligence Act, which establishes broad obligations for the development and use of AI-based technologies made available in the European Union based on their potential risks and level of impact, came into force on August 1, 2024. In addition, in the United States, the Trump administration rescinded an executive order relating to the safe and secure development of AI technologies that was previously implemented by the Biden administration. The Trump administration then issued a new executive order that, among other thing requires certain agencies to develop and submit to the president action plans to "sustain and enhance America's global AI dominance," and to specifically review and, if possible, rescind rulemaking taken pursuant to the rescinded Biden executive order. Thus, the Trump administration may continue to rescind other existing federal orders and/or administrative policies relating to AI technologies, or may implement new executive orders and/or other rule-making relating to AI technologies in the future. Any such changes at the federal level, together with state-level laws regulating AI technologies that entered into force or are expected to enter into force in 2026, could require us to expend significant resources to modify our products, services, or operations to ensure compliance or remain competitive. Further, the cost to comply with such laws or regulations could be significant and would increase our operating expenses, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Technology - Risk 3
Our services must integrate with a variety of operating systems. If we are unable to ensure that our services interoperate with such operating systems and devices, our business may be materially and adversely affected.We are dependent on the ability of our products and services to integrate with a variety of operating systems, web browsers, and wired and wireless interfaces to mobile devices that we do not control, including those of Sutton Bank and BitGo. Any changes in these systems that degrade the functionality of our products and services, impose additional costs or requirements on us, or give preferential treatment to competitive services, including their own services, could materially and adversely affect usage of our products and services. In addition, we rely on app marketplaces, such as the Apple App Store and Google Play, to drive downloads of our mobile apps. Apple, Google, or other operators of app marketplaces regularly make changes to their marketplaces, and those changes may make access to our products and services more difficult. In the event that it is difficult for our customers to access and use our products and services, our business may be materially and adversely affected. Furthermore, Apple, Google, or other operators of app marketplaces regularly provide software updates, and such software updates may not operate effectively with our products and services, which may reduce the demand for our products and services, result in dissatisfaction by our customers, and materially and adversely affect our business.
Technology - Risk 4
If we do not effectively scale our business, or are unable to maintain and improve our systems and processes, our operating results could be adversely affected.We have experienced periods of operational expansion and subsequent adjustments as our business and market conditions have evolved. As our business changes, it becomes increasingly complex. To effectively manage and capitalize on our growth periods, we need to manage headcount, capital and processes efficiently while making investments, such as expanding our information technology and financial, operating, and administrative systems and controls. Growth and contraction initiatives could strain our existing resources, and we could experience ongoing operating difficulties in managing our business as our regulatory, banking partner, and operational requirements grow more complex, including difficulties in hiring, training, managing and retaining a remote and evolving employee base. If we do not adapt or scale to meet these evolving challenges, we may experience erosion to our brand, the quality of our products and services may suffer, and our company culture may be harmed. Moreover, the failure of our systems and processes could undermine our ability to provide accurate, timely, and reliable reports on our financial and operating results, including the financial statements provided herein, and could impact the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting. In addition, our systems and processes may not prevent or detect all errors, omissions, or fraud. Any of the foregoing operational failures could lead to noncompliance with laws, loss of operating licenses or other authorizations, or loss of bank relationships that could substantially impair or even suspend company operations.
Successful implementation of our growth strategy will also require significant expenditures before any substantial associated revenue is generated and we cannot guarantee that these increased investments will result in corresponding and offsetting revenue growth. Because we have a limited history operating our business at its current scale, it is difficult to evaluate our current business and future prospects, including our ability to plan for and model future growth. Our limited operating experience at this scale, combined with the rapidly evolving nature of the bitcoin market in which we operate, substantial uncertainty concerning how the bitcoin market may develop, and other economic factors beyond our control, reduces our ability to accurately forecast quarterly or annual revenue.
Additionally, from time to time, we may realign our resources and talent to implement stage-appropriate business strategies, including furloughs, layoffs and reductions in force. If there are unforeseen expenses associated with such realignments in our business strategies, and we incur unanticipated charges or liabilities, then we may not be able to effectively realize the expected cost savings or other benefits of such actions. Failure to manage any growth or any scaling back of our operations could have an adverse effect on our business, operating results, and financial condition.
Technology - Risk 5
Our products and services may not function as intended due to undetected errors in our software and systems, product defects, developmental delays, or due to security breaches or incidents or human error in administering these systems, which could damage user or third-party relations, decrease our potential profitability and expose us to liability, and materially and adversely affect our business.Our software, systems, and processes may contain undetected errors or vulnerabilities that could have a material adverse effect on our business, particularly to the extent such errors or vulnerabilities are not detected and remedied quickly. We have from time to time found defects in our user-facing software, internal systems, and technical integrations with third-party systems, and new errors or vulnerabilities may be introduced in the future. If there are such errors or defects in our software, hardware, or systems, we may face negative publicity, government investigations, and litigation. We do not manufacture hardware products, but we do depend on third-party service providers and infrastructure vendors, and defects or failures in their systems may affect the performance of our services. As our software services continue to increase in size and complexity, these risks may correspondingly increase as well.
In addition, we provide incremental releases of product and service updates and functional enhancements, which increase the possibility of errors. Any errors, data leaks, security breaches or incidents, disruptions in services, or other performance problems with our products or services caused by external or internal actors could hurt our reputation and damage our business. Software and system errors, or human error, could delay or inhibit settlement of payments, result in settlement discrepancies, cause reporting errors, or prevent us from collecting transaction-based fees, or negatively impact our ability to serve our customers. Similarly, security breaches or incidents, which may be caused by or result from cyber-attacks by hackers or others, computer viruses, worms, ransomware, other malicious software programs, security vulnerabilities, employee or service provider theft, misuse or negligence, phishing, identity theft or compromised credentials, denial-of-service attacks, or other causes, could impact our business and disrupt the proper functioning of our products or services, cause errors, allow loss or unavailability of, unauthorized access to, or disclosure of, proprietary, confidential or otherwise sensitive information of ours or our customers, and other destructive outcomes. Any of the foregoing issues could result in costly and time-consuming efforts to redesign and redistribute our products, give rise to regulatory inquiries and investigations, and result in lawsuits and other liabilities and losses, which could have a material and adverse effect on our business.
Technology - Risk 6
Our platform contains third-party open source software components, and failure to comply with the terms of the underlying open source software licenses could harm our business.Our technology platform includes software licensed to us by third-party authors under "open source" licenses. Use and distribution of open source software may entail greater risks than use of third-party commercial software, as open source licensors generally do not provide support, warranties, indemnification or other contractual protections regarding infringement claims or the quality of the code. In addition, the public availability of such software may make it easier for others to compromise our technology or services.
Some open source licenses contain requirements that we make available source code for modifications or derivative works we create based upon the type of open source software we use, or grant other licenses to our intellectual property. If we combine our proprietary software with open source software in a certain manner, we could, under certain open source licenses, be required to release the source code of our proprietary software to the public, be precluded from charging fees to users of our proprietary software, or be required to license our proprietary software for purposes of making derivative works. Among other things, this would allow our competitors to create similar offerings with lower development effort and time and ultimately could result in a loss of competitive advantage. While we try to avoid subjecting our proprietary software to such open-source licenses, we cannot guarantee we will always be successful, and if we discover any potential open-source issues, we could be required to expend substantial time and resources to re-engineer some or all of our software.
We have not recently conducted an extensive audit of our use of open source software and, as a result, we cannot assure you that our processes for controlling our use of open source software in our platform are, or will be, effective. If we are held to have breached or failed to fully comply with all the terms and conditions of an open source software license, we could face litigation or other liability, or be required to seek costly licenses from third parties to continue providing our offerings on terms that are not economically feasible, to re-engineer our platform, to discontinue or delay the provision of our offerings if re-engineering could not be accomplished on a timely basis or to make generally available, in source code form, our proprietary code, any of which could adversely affect our business, operating results, and financial condition. Moreover, the terms of many open source licenses have not been interpreted by U.S. or foreign courts. As a result, there is a risk that these licenses could be construed in a way that could impose unanticipated conditions or restrictions on our ability to provide or distribute our platform. From time to time, there have been claims challenging the ownership of open source software against companies that incorporate open source software into their solutions. As a result, we could be subject to lawsuits by parties claiming ownership of what we believe to be open source software. Any of the foregoing could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Technology - Risk 7
We rely on search engines, social networking sites, and other web-based platforms to attract a meaningful portion of our customers, and if those search engines, social networking sites and other web-based platforms change their listings or policies regarding advertising, or increase their pricing or suffer problems, it may limit our ability to attract new customers.Many customers locate our website through internet search engines, such as Google, and advertisements on social networking sites and other web-based platforms. If we are listed less prominently or fail to appear in search results for any reason, downloads of our mobile application, and visits to our website, could decline significantly, and we may not be able to replace this traffic. Search engines revise their algorithms from time to time in an attempt to optimize their search results. If the search engines on which we rely for algorithmic listings modify their algorithms,we may appear less prominently or not at all in search results, which could result in reduced traffic to our website that we may not be able to replace. Additionally, if the costs of search engine marketing services, such as Google AdWords, increase, we may incur additional marketing expenses, we may be required to allocate a larger portion of our marketing spend to this channel or we may be forced to attempt to replace it with another channel (which may not be available at reasonable prices, if at all), and our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.
Furthermore, competitors may in the future bid on search terms that we use to drive traffic to our website and engagement with current and potential customers. Such actions could increase our marketing costs and result in decreased traffic to our website or use of our application. In addition, search engines, social networking sites and other web-based platforms may change their advertising policies from time to time. If any change to these policies delays or prevents us from advertising through these channels, it could result in reduced traffic to our website or use of our application. Additionally, new search engines, social networking sites and other web-based platforms may develop in specific jurisdictions or more broadly that reduce traffic on existing search engines, social networking sites and other web-based platforms. Moreover, the use of voice recognition technology and artificial intelligence may impact search engine results, potentially resulting in reduced traffic to our website or use of our application. If we are not able to achieve awareness through advertising or otherwise, we may not achieve significant traffic to our website or mobile application.
Technology - Risk 8
We depend on major mobile operating systems and third-party platforms for the distribution of certain products. If Google Play, the Apple App Store, or other platforms prevent customers from downloading our app, our ability to grow may be adversely affected.We rely upon third-party platforms for the distribution of certain products and services. The Fold App is provided as a free application through both the Apple App Store and the Google Play Store. The Google Play Store and Apple App Store are global application distribution platforms and the main distribution channels for our app. As such, the promotion, distribution, and operation of our app is subject to the respective platforms' terms and policies for application developers, which are very broad and subject to frequent changes and re-interpretation. Further, these distribution platforms often contain restrictions related to bitcoin and digital asset functionality that are uncertain, broadly construed, and can limit the nature and scope of services that can be offered. If our products are found to be in violation of any such terms and conditions, we may no longer be able to offer our products through such third-party platforms. There can be no guarantee that third-party platforms will continue to support our product offerings, or that customers will be able to continue to use our products. Any changes, bugs, technical or regulatory issues with third-party platforms, our relationships with mobile manufacturers and carriers, or changes to their terms of service or policies could degrade our products' functionalities, reduce or eliminate our ability to distribute our products, give preferential treatment to competitive products, limit our ability to deliver high quality offerings, or impose fees or other charges, any of which could affect our product usage and harm our business.
Production
Total Risks: 9/100 (9%)Below Sector Average
Manufacturing1 | 1.0%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
We are a remote-first company which subjects us to heightened operational risks.Employment / Personnel2 | 2.0%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
In the event of employee or service provider misconduct or error, our business may be adversely impacted.Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
The loss of one or more of our key personnel, or our failure to attract and retain other highly qualified personnel in the future, could adversely impact our business, operating results, and financial condition.We operate in a relatively new industry in which there is limited institutional experience and which requires highly skilled and technical personnel. We believe that our future success is highly dependent on the talents and contributions of our senior management team, including Mr. Reeves, our co-founder and Chief Executive Officer, members of our executive team, and other key employees across product, engineering, risk management, finance, compliance, legal, and marketing. Our future success depends on our ability to attract, develop, motivate, and retain highly qualified and skilled employees. Due to the nascent nature of the bitcoin economy, the pool of qualified talent is extremely limited, particularly with respect to executive talent, engineering, risk management, and financial regulatory expertise. We face intense competition for qualified individuals from numerous software and other technology companies. To attract and retain key personnel, we incur significant costs, including salaries, benefits and equity incentives. Even so, these measures may not be enough to attract and retain the personnel we require to operate our business effectively. The loss of even a few key employees or senior leaders, or an inability to attract, retain and motivate additional highly skilled employees required for the planned expansion of our business could adversely impact our operating results and impair our ability to grow.
Supply Chain4 | 4.0%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
We currently rely on third-party service providers for certain aspects of our operations, and any interruptions in services provided by these third parties may impair our ability to support our customers.Supply Chain - Risk 2
Our or our third-party partners' failure to safeguard and manage our and our customers' fiat currencies and bitcoin could adversely impact our business, operating results, and financial condition.Our third-party banking partner, Sutton Bank holds cash on behalf of our customers, and our third-party custody partner, BitGo safeguards bitcoin on behalf of our customers. Safeguarding customers' cash and bitcoin is integral to the trust we build with our customers. We believe our and BitGo's policies, procedures, operational controls and controls over financial reporting help to protect us from material risks surrounding the safeguarding of these assets and conflicts of interest; however, our and/or BitGo's efforts to develop and implement such policies, procedures, operational controls and internal controls may not be sufficient. BitGo's controls include, among others, controls over the segregation of corporate bitcoin balances from customer bitcoin balances, controls over the processes of customer bitcoin transactions, and controls relating to on-chain movement and reconciliation of bitcoin balances.
As of December 31, 2025, a substantial majority of (over 99%) the bitcoin held in our Rewards Treasury (as defined below) and Investment Treasury (as defined below, and together with the Rewards Treasury, our "Corporate Treasury") was held at BitGo. Bitcoin that we hold at BitGo is required to be held in separate wallets under Fold's name and is required to not be commingled with the bitcoin held at BitGo on behalf of our customers, BitGo's other customers, or BitGo itself. As of December 31, 2025, a substantial majority (over 99%) of our Corporate Treasury that we custody with BitGo was held in multi-signature cold storage wallets, with the remainder held in self-managed hot wallets for operational purposes.
All bitcoin held on behalf of our customers is stored directly at BitGo for which BitGo controls the private keys. At any given time, approximately 90% of bitcoin held in this capacity is held in omnibus cold storage wallets, with the remainder held in hot wallets used to facilitate customer withdrawals and other real-time operational needs.
Sutton Bank holds cash in accounts designated as "for the benefit of our customers." We have also entered into partnerships with third parties where our partners receive and hold customer funds. Our customers open accounts directly with BitGo to custody their bitcoin and receive other bitcoin-related services, and directly with Sutton Bank to hold cash and receive other fiat-related services. Our and our financial partners' abilities to accurately hold customer cash and bitcoin, as well as cash and bitcoin we hold for our own investment and operating purposes, requires a high level of internal controls. We are limited in our ability to influence or manage the controls and processes of third party partners or vendors and may be dependent on our partners' and vendors' operations, liquidity and financial condition to manage these risks. As we maintain, grow and expand our product and services offerings we also must scale and strengthen our internal controls and processes, and monitor our third party partners' and vendors' ability to similarly scale and strengthen. Failure to do so could adversely impact our business, operating results, and financial condition. This is important both to the actual controls and processes and the public perception of the same.
Any material failure by us or our partners to maintain the necessary controls, policies, procedures or to manage the bitcoin or cash we hold for our own investment and operating purposes could also adversely impact our business, operating results, and financial condition. Further, any material failure by us or our partners to maintain the necessary controls or to manage customer bitcoin and funds appropriately and in compliance with applicable regulatory requirements could result in reputational harm, litigation, regulatory enforcement actions, significant financial losses, lead customers to discontinue or reduce their use of our and our partners' products, and result in significant penalties and fines and additional restrictions, which could adversely impact our business, operating results, and financial condition.
Supply Chain - Risk 3
If we or our third-party providers fail to protect confidential information and/or experience cybersecurity incidents, there may be damage to our brand and reputation, material financial penalties, and legal liability, which would materially adversely affect our business, results of operations, and financial condition.We rely on computer systems, hardware, software, technology infrastructure and online sites and networks for both internal and external operations that are critical to our business (collectively, "IT Systems"). We own and manage some of these IT Systems but also rely on third parties for a range of IT Systems and related products and services, including but not limited to cloud computing services. We and certain of our third-party providers collect, maintain and process data about customers, employees, business partners and others, including information about individuals and their financial assets (such as bitcoin), as well as proprietary information belonging to our business such as trade secrets (collectively, "Confidential Information").
We face numerous and evolving cybersecurity risks that threaten the confidentiality, integrity and availability of our IT Systems and Confidential Information, including from diverse threat actors, such as state-sponsored organizations, opportunistic hackers and hacktivists, as well as through diverse attack vectors, such as social engineering/phishing, malware (including ransomware), malfeasance by insiders, human or technological error, and as a result of malicious code embedded in open-source software, or misconfigurations, bugs or other vulnerabilities in commercial software that is integrated into our (or our suppliers' or service providers') IT Systems, products or services. As knowledge and techniques in cryptography continue to advance, threat actors may exploit these advancements to develop more sophisticated and effective attack methods, increasing the frequency and severity of cyberattacks as well. Because we make extensive use of third party suppliers, service providers, and partners (including our partnerships with crypto wallet providers and financial institutions), successful cyberattacks that disrupt or result in unauthorized access to third party IT Systems can materially impact our operations and financial results.
Moreover, we may acquire companies with cybersecurity vulnerabilities and/or unsophisticated security measures, which exposes us to significant cybersecurity, operational, and financial risks. Remote working arrangements at our company (and at our third-party providers) also increase cybersecurity risks due to the challenges associated with managing remote computing assets and security vulnerabilities that are present in many non-corporate and home networks. Additionally, any integration of artificial intelligence in our or any service providers' operations, products or services is expected to pose new or unknown cybersecurity risks and challenges. Because our products and services are integrated with our customers' systems and processes, any circumvention or failure of our cybersecurity defenses or measures could compromise the confidentiality, integrity, and availability of our customers' own IT Systems and/or Confidential Information as well. Moreover, certain threats are designed to remain dormant or undetectable until launched against a target and we may not be able to implement adequate preventative measures. If such an event were to occur and cause interruptions in our operations, result in the unauthorized access, disclosure, loss, processing, or other compromise of Personal Information (as defined below) or Confidential Information, or jeopardize the confidentiality, integrity, or availability of our information systems or any information residing therein, it could result in a material disruption of our development programs and our business operations, whether due to a loss of our trade secrets or other similar disruptions.
Some of the federal, state, and foreign government requirements include obligations of companies to notify individuals of certain cybersecurity breaches involving particular personal information, which could result from breaches experienced by us or by our vendors, contractors, or organizations with which we have formed strategic relationships. Even though we may have contractual protections with such vendors, contractors, or other organizations, notifications and follow-up actions related to a cybersecurity breach could impact our reputation, cause us to incur significant costs, including legal expenses, harm customer confidence, hurt our expansion into new markets, cause us to incur remediation costs, or cause us to lose existing customers.
Further, the cryptocurrency industry is a frequent target for cyberattacks, including hacks of exchanges and wallets. The underlying technology of cryptocurrencies, including blockchain, is complex and still developing, which means technical issues, bugs, or vulnerabilities could impact our operations and the security of user funds. Future technological developments, such as quantum computing, could impact the security of crypto wallets in particular, and the rapid development of artificial intelligence makes it difficult to predict the timeframe on which quantum computing could develop. Additionally, any actual or perceived breach or cybersecurity attack directed at other financial institutions or crypto companies, whether or not we are directly impacted, could lead to a general loss of customer confidence in the cryptoeconomy or in the use of technology to conduct financial transactions, which could negatively impact us, including the market perception of the effectiveness of our security measures and technology infrastructure.
Cyberattacks are expected to accelerate on a global basis in frequency and magnitude as threat actors are becoming increasingly sophisticated in using techniques and tools - including artificial intelligence - that circumvent security controls, evade detection and remove forensic evidence. As a result, we may be unable to detect, investigate, remediate or recover from future attacks or incidents, or to avoid a material adverse impact to our IT Systems, Confidential Information or business. There can also be no assurance that our cybersecurity risk management program and processes, including our policies, controls or procedures, will be fully implemented, complied with or effective in protecting our IT Systems and Confidential Information. Furthermore, given the nature of complex systems, software and services like ours, and the scanning tools that we deploy across our networks and products, we regularly identify and track security vulnerabilities. We are unable to comprehensively apply patches or confirm that measures are in place to mitigate all such vulnerabilities, or that patches will be applied before vulnerabilities are exploited by a threat actor. In other situations, vulnerabilities persist even after we have issued security patches because our customers may fail to apply patches or update their systems to newer software versions. If attackers are able to exploit critical vulnerabilities before patches are installed or mitigating measures are implemented, significant compromises could impact our and our customers' IT Systems and/or Confidential Information.
We and certain of our third-party providers regularly experience cyberattacks and other incidents, and we expect such attacks and incidents to continue in varying degrees. While to date no incidents have had a material impact on our operations or financial results, we cannot guarantee that material incidents will not occur in the future. Any adverse impact to the availability, integrity or confidentiality of our IT Systems or Confidential Information can result in legal claims or proceedings (such as class actions), regulatory investigations and enforcement actions, fines and penalties, negative reputational impacts that cause us to lose existing or future customers, and/or significant incident response,system restoration or remediation and future compliance costs. Any or all of the foregoing could materially adversely affect our business, results of operations, and financial condition. Finally, we cannot guarantee that any costs and liabilities incurred in relation to an attack or incident will be covered by our existing insurance policies or that applicable insurance will be available to us in the future on economically reasonable terms or at all.
Supply Chain - Risk 4
A temporary or permanent bitcoin network "fork" could adversely affect our business.The bitcoin protocol is open source. Any user can download the software, modify it, and then propose that Bitcoin users and miners adopt the modification. When a modification is introduced and a substantial majority of users and miners consent to the modification, the change is implemented and the bitcoin network remains uninterrupted. However, if less than a substantial majority of users and miners consent to the proposed modification, and the modification is not compatible with the software prior to its modification, the consequence would be what is known as a "fork" (i.e., "split") of the impacted bitcoin network, with one prong running the pre-modified software and the other running the modified software. The effect of such a fork would be the existence of two parallel versions of the bitcoin protocols running simultaneously, but with each split network's bitcoin lacking interchangeability.
Bitcoin has previously been subject to "forks" that resulted in the creation of new networks, including Bitcoin Cash ABC, Bitcoin Cash SV, Bitcoin Diamond, Bitcoin Gold, and others. Some of these forks have caused fragmentation among platforms as to the correct naming convention for forked crypto assets. Due to the lack of a central registry or rulemaking body, no single entity has the ability to dictate the nomenclature of forked crypto assets, causing disagreements and a lack of uniformity among platforms on the nomenclature of forked crypto assets, and which results in further confusion to customers as to the nature of assets they hold on platforms. In addition, several of these forks were contentious and as a result, participants in certain communities may harbor ill will towards other communities. As a result, certain community members may take actions that adversely impact the use, adoption, and price of bitcoin.
Future forks may occur at any time. A fork can lead to a disruption of networks and our information technology systems, cybersecurity attacks, replay attacks, or security weaknesses, any of which can further lead to temporary or even permanent loss of our and our customers' assets. In addition, BitGo has the right to temporarily suspend their services in the event of a fork, and to determine not to support any particular fork in the future. If a fork of the Bitcoin network occurs and BitGo provides access to a forked asset, we intend to retain the forked assets that are created as a result of our proprietary bitcoin. Any forked assets corresponding to our customers' bitcoin holdings would be managed by BitGo in accordance with their policies. We will cooperate with BitGo in connection with its distribution of any forked assets corresponding to our customers' bitcoin, solely to the extent our involvement is requested by BitGo. Prior to undertaking any such involvement in the distribution or other action by BitGo in respect of any forked assets, we would take steps to seek to ensure that any actions we may take would be in compliance with applicable law, including federal securities laws, which steps may include, among others, (i) communicating regularly with BitGo regarding its legal analysis pertaining to forked assets and any distribution thereof, (ii) staying abreast of developments regarding treatment of digital assets, including forked assets, under applicable securities laws, (iii) consulting with legal counsel regarding the specific facts and circumstances pertaining to the legal status of any forked asset and (iv) seeking guidance and clarification from applicable government regulators, including the SEC, with respect to the legal status of any forked asset. If a fork occurs and BitGo determines not to support one of the assets created as a result of the fork, this could cause us or our customers to miss an opportunity regarding a new digital asset. In addition, any suspension of services ahead of a fork could cause customer complaints and cause us to be exposed to liability, even in circumstances where we do not have the ability to alter BitGo's policy regarding a fork. To the extent a forked asset is determined to be a "security" under applicable federal securities laws, any distribution of such forked asset would expose the distributor thereof to significant liability under such laws. For additional information regarding the risks and liabilities associated with uncertainty regarding the status of bitcoin and other digital assets as a "security," please see the risk factor above entitled "Bitcoin's status as a "security" in any relevant jurisdiction, as well as the status of our Bitcoin-related products and services, is subject to a high degree of uncertainty and if we are unable to properly characterize a product or service offering, we may be subject to regulatory scrutiny, inquiries, investigations, fines, and other penalties, which may adversely affect our business, operating results, and financial condition."
Costs2 | 2.0%
Costs - Risk 1
Loss of a critical banking or insurance relationship could adversely impact our business, operating results, and financial condition.Costs - Risk 2
Any change to BitGo's fee schedule could adversely impact our business.We rely on BitGo to process customers' bitcoin transactions and we pay BitGo fees for its services. From time to time, BitGo has increased, and may increase in the future, the fees it charges for the provision of custody services and for transactions that use their networks. Any increases in such fees, especially those that are passed on to or payable directly by our customers, might result in the loss of customers to other custodians or cryptocurrency platforms.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 6/100 (6%)Below Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment2 | 2.0%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
Adverse economic conditions may adversely affect our business.Economy & Political Environment - Risk 2
We are subject to economic and geopolitical risk, business cycles, and the overall level of consumer, business and government spending, which could negatively affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, and cash flows.The payments technology industry depends heavily on the overall level of consumer, business and government spending. We are exposed to general economic conditions that affect consumer confidence, spending, and discretionary income and changes in consumer purchasing habits. A sustained deterioration in general economic conditions in the markets in which we operate, supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressure or interest rate fluctuations may adversely affect our financial performance by reducing demand for bitcoin and bitcoin-related financial services and thereby reducing transaction volumes. A reduction in transaction volumes could result in a decrease in our revenues and profits.
A downturn in the economy could force retailers or financial institutions to close or petition for bankruptcy protection, resulting in lower revenue and earnings for us. We also have a certain amount of fixed costs, such as rents and salaries, which could limit our ability to quickly adjust costs and respond to changes in our business and the economy. Changes in economic conditions could also adversely affect our future revenues and profits and cause a materially adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, and cash flows.
In addition, our business, growth, financial condition or results of operations could be materially adversely affected by instability, wars, or other conflicts; changes in nationwide or regional economic conditions; inflation; global pandemics; or changes in laws or regulations or in the interpretation of existing laws or regulations, whether caused by a change in government or otherwise. A possible slowdown in global trade caused by increasing tariffs or other restrictions could decrease consumer or corporate confidence and reduce consumer, government and corporate spending in countries inside or outside the U.S., which could adversely affect our operations. Climate-related events, including extreme weather events and natural disasters and their effect on critical infrastructure could have similar adverse effects on our operations, customers, or third-party suppliers.
Natural and Human Disruptions1 | 1.0%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
We may be adversely affected by natural disasters, pandemics, and other catastrophic events, and by man-made problems such as war and terrorism, that could disrupt our business operations, and our business continuity and disaster recovery plans may not adequately protect us from a serious disaster.Capital Markets3 | 3.0%
Capital Markets - Risk 1
Our investments in bitcoin are subject to volatile market prices and risks of loss.Capital Markets - Risk 2
We may suffer losses due to abrupt and erratic market movements.The bitcoin market has been characterized by significant volatility and unexpected price movements, and has previously experienced significant declines. Bitcoin may become more volatile and less liquid in a very short period of time. A series of recent high-profile bankruptcies, closures, liquidations, regulatory enforcement actions and other events relating to companies operating in the digital asset industry, including the filings for bankruptcy protection by Three Arrows Capital, Celsius Network, Voyager Digital, FTX Trading and Genesis Global Capital, the closure or liquidation of certain financial institutions that provided lending and other services to the digital assets industry, including Signature Bank and Silvergate Bank, SEC enforcement actions against Coinbase, Inc. and Binance Holdings Ltd., the placement of Prime Trust, LLC into receivership following a cease-and desist order issued by Nevada's Department of Business and Industry, a similar cease-and-desist order issued by Nevada against Fortress Trust, LLC, and the filing and subsequent settlement of a civil fraud lawsuit by the New York Attorney General against Genesis Global Capital, its parent company Digital Currency Group, Inc., and former partner Gemini Trust Company, have highlighted the counterparty risks applicable to owning and transacting in digital assets.
Although these bankruptcies, closures, liquidations and other events have not to date resulted in any loss or misappropriation of our bitcoin, nor have such events adversely impacted our access to our bitcoin, they created significant volatility in the markets for cryptocurrency generally and for bitcoin particularly and have raised the risk of loss of our and our customer's bitcoin. For example, the bankruptcy of Prime Trust has resulted in litigation against us and our customers as described in "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Conditions and Results of Operations" and in "Note 13. Commitments and Contingencies" in the Notes to our Financial Statements. Additional bankruptcies, closures, liquidations, regulatory enforcement actions or other events involving participants in the digital assets industry in the future could result in market prices being subject to erratic and abrupt market movement, which could harm our business. Further, because there is no centralized authority which determines the price of bitcoin, pricing often differs between exchanges. When some exchanges are viewed as higher risk, that price differential can widen as traders attempt to exploit these differences. Volatility in the price of bitcoin, as well as the lack of a standard price, could lead consumers to see bitcoin as an unsafe asset, which would result in losses of customers and resulting harm to our business. In addition, if we were to attempt to monetize the bitcoin we hold on our balance sheet, such price volatility could lead to trading losses, impacting our financial position.
For example, based on aggregate US exchange markets data collected by CoinMarketCap, on December 18, 2023, the price of bitcoin at 10:00 P.M. UTC was $42,623.54. On December 18, 2024, the price of bitcoin at 10:00 P.M. UTC was $100,041.54. Between those dates, bitcoin experienced significant volatility. For example, on August 1, 2024, the price of bitcoin was $65,353.50, and on August 5, 2024 the price of bitcoin was $53,991.35. On August 24, 2024, the price of bitcoin had risen again to $64,176.37. In 2022, price swings were even more drastic, with prices as high as $47,459 at the end of March 2022 and as low as $16,530 at the end of the year. Such volatility will impact the overall value of our business and could cause volatility in the price of our stock. The price of bitcoin was approximately $42.3 thousand, $93.4 thousand and $87.5 thousand as of December 31, 2023, December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2025, respectively.
The trading volume of bitcoin typically increases during periods of extreme volatility. For example, in the days following the federal elections in November 2024, the price of bitcoin rose sharply from $69,289.27 on November 2 to $87,250.43 on November 14, and volumes increased from 18,184,612,091 to 87,616,705,248 during that time period according to aggregate data from US exchange markets collected by CoinMarketCap. Such volume increases can lead to extreme pressures on our and our partners' platforms and infrastructure that can lead to inadvertent suspension of services across parts of the platforms or the entire platforms. As a result, from time to time we may experience outages. Outages can lead to increased customer service expense, can cause customer loss and reputational damage, result in inquiries and actions by regulators, and can lead to other damages for which we may be responsible, any of which could harm our business.
Capital Markets - Risk 3
Volatility in the price of bitcoin could limit our options in obtaining cash funding on favorable terms.We frequently use the bitcoin in our Investment Treasury as collateral to secure loans or other sources of funding. A sharp decline in the price of bitcoin could limit our options in obtaining funding by increasing the number of bitcoin we must set aside as collateral. For example, to make a draw under our Credit Facility, we must deposit bitcoin as collateral with a third-party custodian equal in value to 160% of the cash we obtain. A sharp decline in the value of bitcoin would increase the cost and difficulty for us in making a draw under the Credit Facility and leave us unable to draw as much cash as we would like, or require us to provide additional bitcoin to Two Prime to satisfy our collateral requirements. For example, on February 5, 2025 the Company provided an additional 50 bitcoin as collateral to Two Prime due to the drop in the price of bitcoin in order to satisfy our collateral maintenance requirements under the Credit Facility. Additionally, continued decline or volatility in the price of bitcoin could increase our difficulty in obtaining funds in the future by increasing the minimum number of bitcoin that must be set aside as collateral in future loans or by leading to the imposition of other stricter or more onerous lending terms. For additional information, see the discussion in "Risk Factors - We may suffer losses due to abrupt and erratic market movements" and "Risk Factors - Our investments in bitcoin are subject to volatile market prices and risks of loss." Even if the value of bitcoin is high at the time we seek out new funding, recent market volatility may nevertheless make lenders cautious and more likely to impose stricter restrictions or terms on us. If we cannot obtain funding, or cannot obtain funding on favorable enough terms, it could have a material adverse effect on our financial position and results of operations.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
FAQ
What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
How do companies disclose their risk factors?
Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
What are all the risk factor categories?
TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
1. Financial & Corporate
- Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
- Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
- Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
2. Legal & Regulatory
- Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
- Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
- Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
- Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
3. Production
- Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
- Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
- Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
- Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
4. Technology & Innovation
- Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
- Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
- Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
- Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
5. Ability to Sell
- Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
- Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
- Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
- Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
6. Macro & Political
- Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
- Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
- International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
- Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.