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First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI)
NASDAQ:FGBI
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First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI) AI Stock Analysis

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FGBI

First Guaranty Bancshares

(NASDAQ:FGBI)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▼(-7.75% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/11/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses and declining revenue) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Regulatory pressure from the consent order further elevates risk, while improved cash flow and modest dividend yield provide only partial support.
Positive Factors
Positive Cash Generation
TTM operating cash flow of about $54.5M and free cash flow of about $53.2M provide internally generated funding despite reported losses. If sustained, this can support liquidity, regulatory remediation and investment without relying solely on external capital.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses
TTM net loss of about $36.4M, negative operating profitability and revenue down about 12.7% show that the core earnings engine remains impaired. Losses narrowed from 2025, but continued negative margins weaken capital generation and limit capacity to fund growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive Cash Generation
TTM operating cash flow of about $54.5M and free cash flow of about $53.2M provide internally generated funding despite reported losses. If sustained, this can support liquidity, regulatory remediation and investment without relying solely on external capital.
Read all positive factors

First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Guaranty Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. functions as the parent company for First Guaranty Bank, a financial institution delivering commercial banking services primarily across Louisiana and Texas. The bank offers a comprehensive suite of deposit products...
How the Company Makes Money
FGBI primarily makes money through its banking subsidiary by earning net interest income and generating noninterest income. Net interest income is driven by the spread between (1) interest earned on interest-earning assets—principally loans (e.g.,...

First Guaranty Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain pressured by continued net losses and revenue contraction in the TTM period, despite losses narrowing versus 2025. Balance sheet leverage appears moderate and improved versus 2023, and cash flow has rebounded strongly to positive operating and free cash flow, partially offsetting weak profitability.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue188.93M195.96M244.78M191.78M145.84M120.92M
Gross Profit37.73M-12.11M91.47M89.76M105.64M96.56M
EBITDA-42.28M-64.27M20.44M15.92M40.50M39.23M
Net Income-36.38M-56.02M12.45M9.22M28.88M27.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.90B4.08B3.97B3.55B3.15B2.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.99B845.70M845.13M369.60M214.25M472.37M
Total Debt186.28M186.13M201.92M275.40M183.37M49.63M
Total Liabilities3.67B3.85B3.72B3.30B2.92B2.65B
Stockholders Equity227.35M226.22M255.05M249.63M234.99M223.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.16M-9.98M30.68M6.76M34.22M24.32M
Operating Cash Flow54.53M-8.28M33.73M21.71M36.87M26.52M
Investing Cash Flow31.82M129.90M-142.07M-206.09M-467.91M-452.64M
Financing Cash Flow-19.65M159.88M386.09M387.61M252.33M388.45M

First Guaranty Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.13
Price Trends
50DMA
9.12
Negative
100DMA
9.37
Negative
200DMA
8.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Positive
RSI
43.22
Neutral
STOCH
18.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FGBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.46, below the 50-day MA of 9.12, and below the 200-day MA of 8.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FGBI.

First Guaranty Bancshares Risk Analysis

First Guaranty Bancshares disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Guaranty Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Guaranty Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$199.98M14.217.20%34.21%
69
Neutral
$185.54M18.815.68%1.11%0.32%84.94%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$178.90M10.928.36%2.59%1.82%27.47%
44
Neutral
$129.83M-3.19-16.19%0.49%-8.66%-155.96%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FGBI
First Guaranty Bancshares
7.95
-0.16
-1.91%
EBMT
Eagle Bancorp Montana
22.40
5.56
33.01%
RBKB
Rhinebeck Bancorp
12.82
3.46
37.01%
FNWD
Finward Bancorp
43.17
11.49
36.25%
ECBK
ECB Bancorp, Inc.
21.21
5.07
31.41%

First Guaranty Bancshares Corporate Events

Dividends
First Guaranty Bancshares Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Sep 10, 2026
On August 20, 2026, the Board of Directors of First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 per share on its outstanding common stock, payable to shareholders of record as of September 25, 2026 and scheduled for payme...
Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
First Guaranty Bancshares Enters Capital-Focused Consent Order
Negative
Aug 7, 2026
On August 7, 2026, First Guaranty Bank entered into a consent order with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Louisiana Office of Financial Institutions, stemming from a joint regulatory examination completed on September 2, 2025. The...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
First Guaranty Bancshares Exits Texas Operations After Sale
Neutral
Aug 6, 2026
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced that its subsidiary, First Guaranty Bank, completed the sale of its Texas operations to Armstrong Bank on July 31, 2026. The transaction included five branches along with approximately $234 million in depo...
Dividends
First Guaranty Bancshares Declares Quarterly Preferred Dividend
Positive
Aug 5, 2026
On July 16, 2026, First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced that holders of its depositary shares, each representing a 1/40th interest in its 6.75% Series A Fixed-Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, would receive a quarterly cash distri...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2026