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First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA)
NASDAQ:FCNCA

First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) AI Stock Analysis

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First Citizens BancShares

(NASDAQ:FCNCA)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$2,158.00
â–²(15.38%Upside)
First Citizens BancShares shows strong financial performance, robust valuation, and strategic management capabilities, despite a few challenges in noninterest income and macroeconomic uncertainties. The overall score reflects confidence in the company's ability to maintain its position and navigate future challenges effectively.
Positive Factors
Interest Rate Environment
A stronger jobs report and a 'hawkish cut' have led to increased bank exposure, benefiting FCNCA's stock performance.
Net Interest Income
Analysts expect a positive reaction in FCNCA's stock due to the potential for nearly 5% net interest income upside based on current rate expectations.
Stock Rating
Analysts have assigned an Outperform rating for FCNCA, reflecting confidence in its future performance.
Negative Factors
Earnings Estimates
Earnings estimates for 4Q24E have been adjusted downward due to modestly lower net interest income and higher expenses.
Stock Price Movement
FCNCA's stock experienced a 7% pullback, which may concern investors about short-term performance.

First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Citizens BancShares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc. operates as the holding company for First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company that provides retail and commercial banking services to individuals, businesses, and professionals. The company's deposit products include checking, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts. Its loan product portfolio comprises commercial construction and land development, commercial mortgage, commercial and industrial, and lease financing loans, as well as small business administration paycheck protection program loans; and consumer loans, such as residential and revolving mortgage, construction and land development, consumer auto, and other consumer loans. The company also offers treasury services products, cardholder and merchant services, wealth management services, and various other products and services; investment products, including annuities, discount brokerage services, and third-party mutual funds, as well as investment management and advisory services; and defined benefit and defined contribution, insurance, private banking, trust, fiduciary, philanthropy, and special asset services. The company provides its products and services through its branch network, as well as through digital banking, telephone banking, and various ATM networks. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 529 branches in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, Maryland, Missouri, North Carolina, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and West Virginia. First Citizens BancShares, Inc. was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Citizens BancShares generates revenue primarily through interest income from its lending activities, which include personal, commercial, and real estate loans. The interest earned on these loans, minus the interest paid on deposits, forms a significant portion of the company's net interest income. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income through fees and service charges related to deposit accounts, transaction processing, and other banking services. Wealth management and investment services also contribute to the company's revenue through advisory fees and commissions. Moreover, First Citizens BancShares benefits from strategic acquisitions and partnerships that expand its customer base and enhance its service offerings, further supporting its revenue growth.

First Citizens BancShares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.66%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with notable achievements in loan and deposit growth, capital management, and credit performance. However, there are challenges related to decreased noninterest income, margin compression, and macroeconomic uncertainties. Despite these challenges, the company's proactive strategies and strong capital position provide confidence in navigating the uncertain environment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted earnings per share of $37.79, with adjusted net income of $528 million, demonstrating solid financial results aligned with guidance.
Robust Loan and Deposit Growth
Commercial bank loans grew by $733 million and SVB commercial loans by $440 million. Deposits increased by $4.1 billion or about 2.6% sequentially, exceeding guidance.
Successful Capital Management
Returned $613 million to shareholders through share repurchases, and reentered the debt markets successfully with $500 million of senior unsecured borrowings and $750 million of subordinated debt.
Termination of FDIC Loss Share Agreement
Terminated the loss share agreement with the FDIC, reflecting confidence in the quality of the SVB portfolio.
Resilient Credit Performance
Net charge-offs declined to 41 basis points, coming in at the low end of the guidance range, indicating stable credit performance.
Negative Updates
Decreased Noninterest Income
Adjusted noninterest income decreased sequentially due to negative impacts from fair value changes in customer derivative positions and a write-down of a held-for-sale asset.
Margin Compression
Headline NIM contracted modestly from the linked quarter by six basis points, primarily due to the negative impact of Fed fund rate cuts.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Acknowledged uncertainty due to tariff announcements and market volatility, making it difficult to predict future impacts on the economy and business lines.
Sector-Specific Credit Concerns
Continued stress in the investor-dependent and general office portfolios, although these were idiosyncratic and previously reserved for.
Company Guidance
During the First Citizens BancShares, Inc. first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported adjusted earnings per share of $37.79, aligned with their guidance. The firm achieved strong loan growth in its commercial bank and SVB commercial segments, alongside robust deposit growth in their direct bank and branch network. Credit performance was stable with net charge-offs at 41 basis points, the lower end of their guidance range. They returned $613 million to shareholders through share repurchases, totaling $2.3 billion since the program's inception. The company issued $1.25 billion in debt to bolster funding and capital. The termination of a loss share agreement with the FDIC reflects confidence in SVB's portfolio quality. The firm maintains a strong capital position with a CET1 ratio of 12.19%, aiming for a 10.5% to 11% range by Q1 2026. They anticipate loans reaching $142-$144 billion and deposits at $158-$161 billion in Q2. Despite market volatility, the company remains focused on strategic priorities, with adjusted noninterest income expected to be $480-$510 million in Q2 and noninterest expense to increase modestly. The full-year tax rate is projected between 25% and 26%.

First Citizens BancShares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Citizens BancShares exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is well-managed, though the high leverage warrants close monitoring. Cash flows are positive and managed well, supporting the company's growth trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
First Citizens BancShares demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years. The net profit margin and EBIT margin show robust performance, enhancing the overall financial strength. However, fluctuations in revenue growth rates indicate some volatility, which needs attention.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio and strong equity levels. The return on equity is impressive, indicating efficient use of shareholders' capital. However, the equity ratio suggests that the company is highly leveraged, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow position is generally positive, with a notable free cash flow growth, reflecting efficient cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates healthy cash conversion. However, variations in free cash flow to net income ratios suggest potential instability in cash flow generation.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
14.94B12.64B5.10B1.90B1.92B
Gross Profit
9.30B7.58B3.98B1.88B1.76B
EBIT
3.59B12.08B1.36B701.00M618.00M
EBITDA
3.72B12.02B1.90B844.00M751.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.78B11.47B1.10B547.00M492.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
56.09B54.93B14.54B18.66B11.72B
Total Assets
223.72B213.76B109.30B58.31B49.96B
Total Debt
37.41B38.05B7.00B1.78B1.89B
Net Debt
15.23B3.53B1.45B-7.67B1.53B
Total Liabilities
201.49B192.50B99.64B53.57B45.73B
Stockholders Equity
22.23B21.25B9.66B4.74B4.23B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.88B1.23B1.86B-391.15M206.63M
Operating Cash Flow
2.99B2.66B2.79B-283.78M340.01M
Investing Cash Flow
-10.15B2.43B75.00M-7.57B-9.87B
Financing Cash Flow
7.07B-4.70B-2.69B7.83B9.52B

First Citizens BancShares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1870.32
Price Trends
50DMA
1818.67
Positive
100DMA
1881.28
Positive
200DMA
1970.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
4.42
Negative
RSI
57.34
Neutral
STOCH
86.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCNCA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1870.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1839.54, above the 50-day MA of 1818.67, and below the 200-day MA of 1970.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCNCA.

First Citizens BancShares Risk Analysis

First Citizens BancShares disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Citizens BancShares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Citizens BancShares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$24.63B10.7111.46%0.42%0.34%-3.13%
77
Outperform
$26.26B12.5011.71%3.76%5.75%0.68%
77
Outperform
$23.08B12.2110.30%3.91%7.55%17.46%
MTMTB
77
Outperform
$29.71B12.409.39%2.92%1.20%1.12%
RFRF
75
Outperform
$19.96B10.7211.33%4.50%1.05%12.14%
CFCFG
72
Outperform
$18.09B13.286.37%4.03%-2.37%13.92%
67
Neutral
$16.17B10.989.72%4.07%11.95%-10.49%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares
1,889.51
254.62
15.57%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
39.34
4.02
11.38%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
16.07
3.60
28.87%
MTB
M&T Bank
189.41
44.03
30.29%
RF
Regions Financial
22.64
4.13
22.31%
CFG
Citizens Financial
42.50
8.49
24.96%

First Citizens BancShares Corporate Events

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
First Citizens BancShares Q1 2025 Earnings Report
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

First Citizens BancShares reported its first quarter 2025 earnings, highlighting solid financial results with loan and deposit growth across several segments. Despite a decrease in net income compared to the previous quarter due to increased income tax expenses, the company maintained strong capital and liquidity positions, returning $613 million to stockholders through share repurchases and issuing $1.25 billion in notes. The report also noted a decrease in net interest income and noninterest income, alongside a slight reduction in noninterest expenses, reflecting the company’s strategic financial management amidst market uncertainties.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Citizens Ends Shared-Loss Agreement with FDIC
Neutral
Apr 7, 2025

On April 7, 2025, First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company entered into a Termination Agreement with the FDIC to end the commercial shared-loss agreement related to its acquisition of Silicon Valley Bridge Bank’s assets. The termination was driven by the low likelihood of reaching the $5 billion loss threshold and will eliminate associated reporting responsibilities, impacting the company’s operational focus and simplifying its financial obligations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.