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First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA)
NASDAQ:FCNCA
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First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) AI Stock Analysis

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FCNCA

First Citizens BancShares

(NASDAQ:FCNCA)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$2,121.00
â–²(14.63% Upside)
First Citizens BancShares shows solid financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, contributing to a strong overall score. However, technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and valuation metrics suggest moderate attractiveness. The company's high leverage and recent revenue decline are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Strong free cash flow growth indicates the company's ability to efficiently convert income into cash, supporting long-term financial stability and investment capacity.
Capital Management
Robust capital management and liquidity enable strategic share repurchases, enhancing shareholder value and providing flexibility for future growth initiatives.
Net Interest Income Improvement
The rebound in net interest income suggests improved core banking operations and potential for sustained earnings growth as interest rate conditions stabilize.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially in volatile economic conditions, potentially impacting long-term stability and growth.
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue growth can signal challenges in maintaining market share and profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to sustain long-term business viability.
Loan Decline
A decline in loans may indicate reduced demand or competitive pressures, affecting future interest income and growth prospects in core banking operations.

First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Citizens BancShares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc. operates as the holding company for First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company that provides retail and commercial banking services to individuals, businesses, and professionals. The company's deposit products include checking, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts. Its loan product portfolio comprises commercial construction and land development, commercial mortgage, commercial and industrial, and lease financing loans, as well as small business administration paycheck protection program loans; and consumer loans, such as residential and revolving mortgage, construction and land development, consumer auto, and other consumer loans. The company also offers treasury services products, cardholder and merchant services, wealth management services, and various other products and services; investment products, including annuities, discount brokerage services, and third-party mutual funds, as well as investment management and advisory services; and defined benefit and defined contribution, insurance, private banking, trust, fiduciary, philanthropy, and special asset services. The company provides its products and services through its branch network, as well as through digital banking, telephone banking, and various ATM networks. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 529 branches in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, Maryland, Missouri, North Carolina, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and West Virginia. First Citizens BancShares, Inc. was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Citizens BancShares generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income is net interest income, which arises from the interest earned on loans and securities minus the interest paid on deposits and other borrowings. Additionally, the bank earns non-interest income from service fees, transaction fees, and wealth management services, which provide a diversified revenue base. The company may also benefit from partnerships with financial technology firms and other financial institutions to enhance its service offerings and reach more customers. Economic factors, such as interest rate changes and loan demand, also play a significant role in influencing the bank's earnings.

First Citizens BancShares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 25, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, with notable achievements in net income, capital management, and specific business segments like the rail business. However, challenges such as loan declines, competitive pressures, and cautious outlooks in certain business areas balanced the positive aspects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted net income was $607 million, exceeding expectations, with tangible book value per share increasing by 10.4% year-over-year and 2.7% sequentially.
Capital and Liquidity Strength
Strong capital and liquidity positions allowed for $613 million in share repurchases during Q2, with a new $4 billion share repurchase plan approved.
Improvement in Net Interest Income
Net interest income grew by 2% sequentially, marking the first increase after three quarters of decline.
Rail Business Performance
Adjusted rental income in the rail business increased by $5 million sequentially with utilization remaining high at 96.9%.
Deposit Growth
Deposits increased by $610 million or 0.4% sequentially, with significant growth in the Direct Bank channel.
Negative Updates
Loan Decline
Loans declined by $89 million or 0.1% sequentially, impacted by idiosyncratic paydowns in industry verticals.
Challenges in Tech and Healthcare Banking
Loan outstandings in tech and healthcare banking were down approximately $300 million due to the challenging environment.
Cautious Outlook for SVB
Caution around SVB business growth due to economic uncertainty and a challenging IPO environment.
Competitive Pressures
Increased competition leading to pressure on deposit pricing and loan origination, particularly in the branch network.
Company Guidance
During the First Citizens BancShares Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided forward-looking guidance for the remainder of the year. They forecast third-quarter loans to range between $141 billion and $144 billion, driven by growth in their general, commercial, and SVB commercial banks. For the full year, they adjusted their loan guidance to $143 billion to $146 billion, reflecting cautious optimism. Deposits are expected to be between $159 billion and $162 billion in Q3, with a full-year target of $161 billion to $166 billion. The net interest income for the full year was revised to a range of $6.68 billion to $6.88 billion, considering the current interest rate environment. Adjusted noninterest income is projected to be $480 million to $510 million in Q3, with a full-year range of $1.97 billion to $2.05 billion. Noninterest expenses are anticipated to stay within $1.28 billion to $1.32 billion per quarter for the rest of the year, with a full-year expectation of $5.1 billion to $5.2 billion. The company also plans to continue share repurchases, guided by their newly approved $4 billion plan, and expects the CET1 ratio to manage down to their target range of 10.5% to 11% over time.

First Citizens BancShares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Citizens BancShares demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability margins and cash flow generation. However, the high leverage and recent decline in revenue growth rate are areas of concern. The company needs to focus on maintaining revenue growth while managing its debt levels to ensure long-term stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. While the company has maintained a healthy gross profit margin and net profit margin, there is a notable decline in revenue growth rate in the TTM period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, indicating operational efficiency. However, the recent negative revenue growth rate is a concern that could impact future profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, which suggests significant leverage. While the return on equity is positive, it has decreased over time, indicating reduced efficiency in generating returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is stable, but the high leverage poses potential risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a strong free cash flow growth rate in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. However, historical fluctuations in free cash flow growth highlight potential volatility in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.62B14.94B12.64B5.10B1.90B1.92B
Gross Profit8.96B9.30B7.58B3.98B1.88B1.76B
EBITDA3.38B3.72B12.02B1.90B844.00M751.00M
Net Income2.40B2.78B11.47B1.10B547.00M492.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets229.65B223.72B213.76B109.30B58.31B49.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.38B56.09B54.45B14.54B18.66B11.72B
Total Debt38.47B37.41B38.05B7.00B1.78B1.89B
Total Liabilities207.36B201.49B192.50B99.64B53.57B45.73B
Stockholders Equity22.30B22.23B21.25B9.66B4.74B4.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.54B1.45B1.23B1.86B-391.00M243.00M
Operating Cash Flow3.07B2.99B2.66B2.79B-284.00M376.00M
Investing Cash Flow-9.48B-10.15B2.43B75.00M-7.57B-9.91B
Financing Cash Flow6.54B7.07B-4.70B-2.69B7.83B9.52B

First Citizens BancShares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1850.38
Price Trends
50DMA
1948.04
Negative
100DMA
1934.57
Negative
200DMA
1951.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-29.52
Positive
RSI
39.82
Neutral
STOCH
29.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCNCA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1850.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1917.17, below the 50-day MA of 1948.04, and below the 200-day MA of 1951.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -29.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FCNCA.

First Citizens BancShares Risk Analysis

First Citizens BancShares disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Citizens BancShares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Citizens BancShares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
25.54B12.9010.08%3.56%6.06%28.03%
77
Outperform
23.76B12.4011.13%3.81%2.94%20.85%
73
Outperform
23.03B16.136.31%3.15%-3.68%25.31%
72
Outperform
$23.72B11.0010.70%0.42%-2.09%-6.84%
65
Neutral
29.10B7.669.70%2.33%-3.11%28.74%
65
Neutral
23.25B7.477.94%2.40%-3.83%4.06%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares
1,850.38
16.48
0.90%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
17.42
3.28
23.20%
KB
Kb Financial Group
80.84
19.09
30.91%
RF
Regions Financial
26.63
4.24
18.94%
SHG
Shinhan Financial Group Co
48.93
6.56
15.48%
CFG
Citizens Financial
53.38
13.87
35.11%

First Citizens BancShares Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
First Citizens BancShares Issues $600M Subordinated Notes
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 5, 2025, First Citizens BancShares, Inc. successfully issued and sold $600 million in 5.600% Fixed Rate Reset Subordinated Notes due 2035. This public offering was conducted under a registration statement filed with the SEC and involved several underwriters, including BofA Securities, Inc. and Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC. The issuance of these notes is part of the company’s strategic financial activities, potentially impacting its financial structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCNCA) stock is a Buy with a $2268.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Citizens BancShares stock, see the FCNCA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025