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First Capital (FCAP) AI Stock Analysis

FCAP

First Capital

(NASDAQ:FCAP)

Select Model
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:$75.00â–²(18.15% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/18/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (solid profitability, improving scale, conservative balance sheet, and supportive cash flow quality). Technicals are moderately positive with the stock trading above major moving averages and a positive MACD, while valuation is reasonable with a moderate P/E and a modest dividend yield. Corporate events add a small boost due to governance stability.

Positive Factors
Revenue growth and profitabilityExpanding revenue and sustained high margins indicate improving operating scale and earnings power. If the bank preserves customer growth and pricing discipline, this combination can support durable profitability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Historical margin variabilityPast margin swings show that profitability is sensitive to operating conditions, funding costs or credit-cycle dynamics. A recurrence could reduce earnings visibility and limit the durability of the currently strong margin profile.

First Capital (FCAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%FCAP+46.25%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$214.56M
Dividend Yield
1.95%
Average Volume (3M)
19.68K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.2
Beta (1Y)
0.26
Revenue Growth
10.53%
EPS Growth
29.70%
Country
US
Employees
176
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

First Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

First Capital, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First Harrison Bank that provides various banking services to individuals and business customers in Indiana and Kentucky, the United States. The company provides various deposit instruments...

How the Company Makes Money

FCAP primarily makes money through its banking subsidiary by earning net interest income and generating non-interest income. Net interest income is produced from the spread between interest earned on interest-earning assets (such as commercial, consu...

First Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals: rising revenue through 2025 and TTM, consistently high profitability (TTM net margin ~26.8%, EBIT margin ~33.0%), and conservative leverage with no reported debt in recent periods. Cash flow quality is solid with free cash flow closely tracking net income, though there has been some historical volatility in margins and free cash flow growth.

Income Statement

83Very Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

79Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue70.28M65.31M58.13M51.24M41.87M39.01M
Gross Profit54.57M49.47M42.00M41.08M39.32M38.21M
EBITDA24.36M21.00M15.27M16.08M15.30M14.82M
Net Income19.07M16.37M11.94M12.79M11.90M11.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.27B1.27B1.19B1.16B1.15B1.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0391.73M497.86M464.37M493.55M479.61M
Total Debt00021.50M00
Total Liabilities1.14B1.13B1.07B1.05B1.07B1.04B
Stockholders Equity135.71M137.80M114.60M105.23M85.16M113.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.13M19.93M21.63M13.54M16.12M21.34M
Operating Cash Flow15.82M21.28M22.34M14.16M16.53M21.63M
Investing Cash Flow-16.52M-41.83M29.01M-23.95M-144.03M-156.46M
Financing Cash Flow38.34M51.92M15.90M-17.84M21.29M131.45M

First Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price63.48

Price Trends

50DMA62.50Positive
100DMA62.76Positive
200DMA57.89Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.41Negative
RSI55.62Neutral
STOCH53.15Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCAP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.10, above the 50-day MA of 62.50, and above the 200-day MA of 57.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCAP.

First Capital Risk Analysis

First Capital disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Capital reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

First Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

FCAP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FCAPFCAP81Outperform$209.36M11.2113.77%1.95%10.53%29.70%
LARKLARK70Outperform$195.64M9.5112.73%2.57%1.42%18.96%
CFBKCFBK68Neutral$231.07M10.0611.74%1.03%-0.92%39.31%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
MNSBMNSB67Neutral$151.57M11.377.61%1.81%-5.53%―
BVFLBVFL66Neutral$183.77M14.336.96%―1.48%43.50%
CZWICZWI65Neutral$224.44M15.737.64%1.33%1.78%-18.19%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%FCAPCFBKCZWILARKMNSBBVFLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
FCAP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FCAPFirst Capital63.4819.9245.72%
CFBKCf Bankshares Inc35.1011.9751.72%
CZWICitizens Community23.777.6547.46%
LARKLandmark31.908.2634.92%
MNSBMainstreet Bancshares21.733.4919.13%
BVFLBV Financial, Inc.21.714.8728.92%

First Capital Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

First Capital Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay Plans

Positive
May 22, 2026

First Capital held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 18, 2026, where investors elected five directors—William W. Harrod, Dana L. Huber, Lou Ann Moore, Robert C. Guilfoyle and Michael C. Frederick—to three-year terms, reflecting co...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026