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First Bancshares (FBSI) AI Stock Analysis

FBSI

First Bancshares

(Other OTC:FBSI)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:$40.00â–²(11.98% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/04/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (renewed growth, healthy profitability, conservative leverage, and steady ROE) and an attractive valuation (low P/E with a modest dividend). Technicals are supportive but only moderately strong, keeping the overall score below the high-70s range.

Positive Factors
Reaccelerating Revenue GrowthThe return to meaningful revenue growth indicates renewed business momentum across the bank’s activities rather than continued stagnation. If sustained, stronger top-line expansion can support operating leverage, reinforce the company’s market position, and provide a durable base for future earnings growth.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression from Prior HighsThe decline from earlier peak margins indicates that profitability is not fully insulated from changing operating conditions. Even with revenue recovering, continued compression could limit earnings growth, reduce the benefit of operating leverage, and make future results more sensitive to cost or revenue pressure.

First Bancshares (FBSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%FBSI+27.73%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$86.18M
Dividend Yield
1.31%
Average Volume (3M)
547
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.7
Beta (1Y)
0.23
Revenue Growth
11.73%
EPS Growth
22.85%
Country
US
Employees
86
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

First Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

First Bancshares, Inc. acts as the parent holding company for Stockmens Bank, offering a comprehensive array of banking and mortgage services to both individual and corporate customers. Its operations span southern Missouri, eastern Colorado, and sou...

First Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals: revenue growth re-accelerated in 2025 (~10%) with solid profitability (net margins ~21–22% and high-20% EBIT margins). Balance sheet leverage is conservative with improving debt-to-equity (~0.13 in 2025) and steady double-digit ROE (~11–13%). The main offsets are margin compression versus 2021–2022 highs and some year-to-year cash flow volatility despite a strong 2025 rebound.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.25M35.72M30.05M30.05M21.10M16.81M
Gross Profit25.33M25.31M21.82M21.82M18.35M16.68M
EBITDA9.95M10.10M9.38M9.54M7.90M7.50M
Net Income7.62M7.62M6.58M6.72M5.28M5.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets564.56M564.56M537.88M541.56M471.78M446.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.88M20.88M22.08M22.08M23.60M76.03M
Total Debt9.91M9.91M11.84M11.00M4.01M1.50M
Total Liabilities499.25M499.25M478.32M487.97M424.20M402.69M
Stockholders Equity66.19M66.19M59.56M53.59M47.59M44.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.74M8.74M6.13M7.87M4.00M1.29M
Operating Cash Flow8.97M8.97M6.17M7.87M4.64M2.63M
Investing Cash Flow-75.13M-75.13M-11.79M-11.79M-65.72M-39.52M
Financing Cash Flow18.47M18.47M61.17M61.17M20.50M49.87M

First Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price35.72

Price Trends

50DMA34.24Positive
100DMA33.30Positive
200DMA32.49Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.17Negative
RSI61.68Neutral
STOCH49.77Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBSI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.39, above the 50-day MA of 34.24, and above the 200-day MA of 32.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FBSI.

First Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

FBSI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FBSIFBSI75Outperform$86.12M9.6812.78%1.31%11.73%22.85%
FUSBFUSB73Outperform$90.83M11.967.58%1.70%3.80%43.33%
BOTJBOTJ69Neutral$107.95M8.9714.94%1.68%7.06%52.33%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
BYFCBYFC51Neutral$106.33M-4.23-7.74%―10.60%-935.88%
FNWBFNWB44Neutral$97.30M-1100.00-0.03%―-6.23%99.73%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%FBSIBOTJBYFCFUSBFNWBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
FBSI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FBSIFirst Bancshares35.727.3325.81%
BOTJBank Of The James Financial Group, Inc.23.767.0742.39%
BYFCBroadway Financial11.465.0679.06%
FUSBFirst Us Bancshares16.503.4926.82%
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp10.231.2313.67%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026