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Evaxion Biotech (EVAX)
NASDAQ:EVAX
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Evaxion Biotech (EVAX) AI Stock Analysis

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EVAX

Evaxion Biotech

(NASDAQ:EVAX)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-1.64% Downside)
Evaxion Biotech's overall score is driven by its financial challenges, despite strong revenue growth and positive developments in R&D and partnerships. The technical analysis suggests neutral momentum, while valuation remains unattractive due to ongoing losses. The earnings call provided some optimism with financial stability and strategic progress, but regulatory and market challenges remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
R&D Progress
The acceptance of EVX-01 data for presentation at a major conference highlights the potential efficacy of Evaxion's cancer vaccine, enhancing its credibility and attractiveness for future partnerships.
Strategic Partnerships
The ongoing partnership with MSD and potential option exercise indicate strong collaboration prospects, which could lead to increased resources and market access for Evaxion's products.
Financial Stability
The conversion of debt to equity and sufficient cash reserves until mid-2026 improve Evaxion's financial stability, providing a buffer for continued R&D and operational activities.
Negative Factors
Financial Challenges
Ongoing net losses and reliance on debt highlight financial instability, which could limit Evaxion's ability to invest in growth and innovation without securing additional funding.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory uncertainties pose risks to Evaxion's ability to execute deals and bring products to market, potentially delaying revenue generation and strategic goals.
Limited Clinical Data Disclosure
Limited disclosure on clinical data can hinder investor confidence and delay strategic decisions, affecting Evaxion's ability to attract partnerships and funding.

Evaxion Biotech (EVAX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Evaxion Biotech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvaxion Biotech A/S, a clinical-stage biotech company, engages in developing artificial intelligence-powered immunotherapies for cancers, bacterial diseases, and viral infections. The company develops EVX-01, a cancer immunotherapy that is in clinical Phase IIb trial for metastatic melanoma; EVX-02, a DNA-based cancer immunotherapy that is in Phase IIa trial for adjuvant melanoma; and EVX-03, a DNA-based immunotherapy for the treatment of various cancers. Its programs also include EVX-B1, EVX-B2, and EVX-V1, which are vaccines that are in pre-clinical stage for the treatment of bacterial and viral diseases. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Hørsholm, Denmark.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvaxion Biotech makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its AI-driven immunotherapies. Revenue streams include licensing agreements with pharmaceutical companies, where Evaxion provides access to its proprietary technology and therapeutic candidates in exchange for upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales. The company may also receive funding through research grants and collaborations with academic institutions and other biotech firms, which contribute to its R&D efforts. Additionally, strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies can provide significant financial support, helping to drive product development and eventual market entry.

Evaxion Biotech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in partnerships, financial stability, and R&D developments, particularly with the MSD partnership and a grant from the Gates Foundation. However, there are challenges due to regulatory and market uncertainties, and limited disclosure on clinical data was noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Partnership with MSD on Track
Significant achievements with the partnership with MSD, with a potential option exercise in the second half of 2025.
Financial Stability
Cash at hand until mid-2026 and conversion of a loan from the European Investment Bank into equity, increasing equity by USD 4.1 million.
R&D Progress
Key R&D events include EVX-01 2-year clinical efficacy data accepted for presentation at ESMO Congress 2025 and the initiation of the EVX-B4 program.
Gates Foundation Grant
Received a grant from the Gates Foundation for a polio vaccine project, enhancing the platform's exposure and potential future collaborations.
Positive Financial Performance
Operating loss reduced to $4.3 million in Q2 2025 from $4.6 million in the same period last year, with cash reserves projected to last until mid-2026.
Negative Updates
Regulatory and Market Challenges
Challenging financial markets and increased regulatory uncertainty impacting deal execution.
Limited Disclosure on Clinical Data
No disclosure yet on the 2-year clinical data for EVX-01, with further details expected at the ESMO Congress.
Company Guidance
During Evaxion's Q2 2025 conference call, significant guidance was provided regarding their R&D and financial outlook. The company is progressing well with its R&D pipeline, including the EVX-01 Phase II trial for advanced melanoma, with 2-year clinical outcome data set to be presented at the ESMO Congress in October. They have expanded their pipeline with the addition of EVX-B4, aimed at developing a vaccine against Group A Streptococcus, and received a grant from the Gates Foundation for a polio vaccine project. Financially, Evaxion has cash reserves of $14.7 million, projected to fund operations until mid-2026. They have also strengthened their equity by $4.1 million through a debt-to-equity conversion with the European Investment Bank. The company remains focused on business development, with ongoing partnership discussions, and anticipates key milestones in the second half of 2025.

Evaxion Biotech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evaxion Biotech shows strong revenue growth but faces financial instability with negative equity and reliance on debt. The company operates at a net loss, with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, and struggles with negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Evaxion Biotech's income statement shows a significant improvement in revenue from $73,000 in 2023 to $3,344,000 in 2024, indicating strong growth. However, the company continues to operate at a net loss, with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting ongoing challenges in controlling operating costs and achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet of Evaxion Biotech reveals financial instability, with negative stockholders' equity indicative of accumulated losses. The debt-to-equity ratio is undefined due to negative equity, presenting a risk. The company is heavily reliant on debt, which could challenge future financing.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Evaxion Biotech's cash flow statements show a negative free cash flow, although there was a notable improvement in net cash provided by financing activities. The operating cash flow remains negative, suggesting the company may struggle to cover its operational expenses without external financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.30M3.34M73.00K0.000.000.00
Gross Profit3.30M3.34M72.89K-571.32K-343.45K-105.72K
EBITDA-9.23M-9.77M-21.40M-22.58M-24.17M-16.46M
Net Income-11.50M-10.57M-22.13M-23.17M-24.53M-15.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.19M12.48M12.89M-58.94M40.16M11.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.58M5.05M5.58M13.18M32.17M5.83M
Total Debt0.0010.10M10.87M2.25M3.69M20.00K
Total Liabilities15.19M14.14M17.62M13.72M7.73M4.93M
Stockholders Equity74.00K-1.65M-4.73M-72.66M-50.43M7.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.01M-12.94M-17.78M-26.07M-23.29M-12.83M
Operating Cash Flow-2.01M-12.94M-17.69M-25.77M-21.93M-12.44M
Investing Cash Flow1.00K-3.00K-93.00K-268.00K-1.33M-393.00K
Financing Cash Flow5.26M13.13M10.69M7.85M49.80M8.82M

Evaxion Biotech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.05
Price Trends
50DMA
2.86
Positive
100DMA
2.54
Positive
200DMA
2.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
56.15
Neutral
STOCH
75.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EVAX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.92, above the 50-day MA of 2.86, and above the 200-day MA of 2.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EVAX.

Evaxion Biotech Risk Analysis

Evaxion Biotech disclosed 117 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Evaxion Biotech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our failure to meet Nasdaq's continued listing requirements could result in a delisting of our ADSs. Q4, 2022
2.
Raising additional capital may cause dilution to our shareholders, restrict our operations or require us to relinquish rights to our technologies or product candidates. Q4, 2022
3.
The amount of NOLs and research and development credits and our ability to use the same to offset future taxable income may be subject to certain limitations and uncertainty. Q4, 2022

Evaxion Biotech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
8.96M-0.800.00%-100.00%49.47%
49
Neutral
9.90M-0.280.00%0.00%-219.97%
47
Neutral
$19.27M-321.37%4455.07%77.31%
40
Underperform
8.56M-0.640.00%-34.07%23.79%
39
Underperform
6.47M-0.380.00%0.00%53.79%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EVAX
Evaxion Biotech
3.05
-11.70
-79.32%
KPRX
Kiora Pharmaceuticals
2.61
-1.01
-27.90%
PMCB
PharmaCyte Biotech
1.00
-0.78
-43.82%
APRE
Aprea Therapeutics
1.47
-1.59
-51.96%
DWTX
Dogwood Therapeutics
5.18
0.32
6.58%
ACXP
Acurx Pharmaceuticals
4.08
-33.32
-89.09%

Evaxion Biotech Corporate Events

Evaxion Announces Conference Participation for H2 2025
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Evaxion A/S announced its participation in several scientific and investor conferences across the US, Europe, and Asia during the latter half of 2025. This strategic engagement aims to present their data and discoveries, particularly the two-year clinical data for their personalized cancer vaccine EVX-01, and to explore potential business partnerships and scientific collaborations. The company’s presence at these conferences is expected to enhance its stakeholder engagement and industry positioning.

Evaxion A/S Reports Q2 2025 Financials and Strategic Progress
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Evaxion A/S announced a business update and second quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting significant achievements and strategic developments. The company reported the completion of patient treatment in its phase 2 trial for the personalized cancer vaccine EVX-01, with plans to present two-year clinical efficacy data at the ESMO Congress in October 2025. Additionally, Evaxion received a grant from the Gates Foundation to develop a new polio vaccine and expanded its R&D pipeline with a new vaccine program against Group A Streptococcus. Financially, Evaxion improved its position by converting debt into equity through an agreement with the European Investment Bank, enhancing its equity by $4.1 million. Despite a net loss of $4.8 million for the quarter, the company reported a solid cash position, sufficient to fund operations until mid-2026.

Evaxion Biotech Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results with Notable Losses
Aug 14, 2025

Evaxion Biotech A/S reported its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2025, showing a net loss of $4.831 million for the three months and $6.411 million for the six months. Despite the losses, the company experienced a positive exchange rate impact, contributing to a reduced comprehensive loss. This financial update is crucial for stakeholders as it highlights the company’s ongoing financial challenges amidst its innovative endeavors in the biotech sector.

Evaxion A/S to Present Q2 2025 Financial Results and Business Update
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Evaxion A/S announced that it will provide a business update and report its second quarter 2025 financial results on August 14, 2025. The company plans to host a conference call and webcast on the same day to present the updates and results, which will be accessible to the public. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

Evaxion to Present Promising Phase 2 Results of Cancer Vaccine at ESMO 2025
Jul 25, 2025

On July 25, 2025, Evaxion A/S announced that it will present two-year clinical efficacy data from its phase 2 trial of the AI-designed personalized cancer vaccine EVX-01 at the ESMO Congress 2025 in October. The vaccine, designed for advanced melanoma, showed a 69% overall response rate and a positive correlation between the AI platform predictions and immune responses. This presentation at a prestigious oncology conference is expected to enhance Evaxion’s visibility and potentially attract new partnerships.

Evaxion Biotech Finalizes Debt Settlement with EIB
Jul 17, 2025

On July 11, 2025, Evaxion Biotech finalized a debt settlement agreement with the European Investment Bank (EIB), reducing its €7 million loan by €3.5 million. This was achieved by issuing warrants for 38,450,000 ordinary shares to EIB, which are exercisable immediately and expire in ten years. The agreement also included a registration rights agreement to facilitate the resale of these shares. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen Evaxion’s financial position and enhance its operational flexibility, potentially impacting its market presence positively.

Evaxion Converts Debt to Equity in EIB Agreement
Jul 11, 2025

On July 11, 2025, Evaxion A/S finalized an agreement with the European Investment Bank (EIB) to convert €3.5 million of its €7 million loan into equity. This move enhances Evaxion’s equity by $4.1 million, reduces liabilities, simplifies the balance sheet, and improves financial flexibility and cash flow. The agreement, which involves EIB purchasing Evaxion warrants at a premium, is expected to positively impact the company’s financial management and stakeholder confidence.

Evaxion A/S Announces Executive Changes to Boost AI-Immunology Platform
Jul 2, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Evaxion A/S announced significant executive management changes to enhance its AI-Immunology platform’s value. Christian Kanstrup resigned as CEO, with Dr. Birgitte Rønø stepping in as interim CEO, and Thomas Schmidt was appointed as the permanent CFO. These changes aim to drive the company’s growth and strategic partnerships, positioning Evaxion for future advancements in its AI-driven vaccine development.

Evaxion Expands R&D with New Group A Streptococcus Vaccine Program
Jun 25, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Evaxion A/S announced the expansion of its R&D pipeline with a new vaccine program targeting Group A Streptococcus (GAS), named EVX-B4. This initiative underscores the significant medical and commercial potential of addressing GAS, which causes numerous infections globally. The addition of EVX-B4 aligns with Evaxion’s strategy to enhance its pipeline, supporting its partnership goals and increasing the number of assets for out-licensing.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 12, 2025