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Prosegur Compania de Seguridad SA (ES:PSG)
BME:PSG
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Prosegur Compania de Seguridad (PSG) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:PSG

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad

(BME:PSG)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
€3.00
▲(4.17% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/02/26
The score reflects steady financial performance and solid cash generation, partially offset by high balance-sheet leverage. Technicals are mildly supportive with the stock trading above major moving averages, and valuation is helped by a moderate P/E and strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Healthy Cash Generation
Consistent operating and free cash flow gives Prosegur capacity to fund operations, service debt and support shareholder returns. FCF growth also indicates improving cash conversion, although reinvestment and working-capital needs remain relevant.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Leverage remains high relative to the company’s modest equity base, leaving greater sensitivity to earnings volatility and financing conditions. Debt reduction has improved the position, but balance-sheet risk could constrain strategic flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Healthy Cash Generation
Consistent operating and free cash flow gives Prosegur capacity to fund operations, service debt and support shareholder returns. FCF growth also indicates improving cash conversion, although reinvestment and working-capital needs remain relevant.
Read all positive factors

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad (PSG) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A. is a prominent entity within the private security sector. Its operations are organized into five distinct divisions: Security, Cash, Cybersecurity, Alarms, and AVOS (added-value outsourcing services). The Secur...
How the Company Makes Money
Prosegur makes money primarily by selling security and cash-management services under recurring service contracts and project-based deployments. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Security services (manned guarding and on-site security ope...

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is stable with modest TTM revenue growth (+2.18%) and steady-to-improving margins (EBITDA ~11.1%, EBIT ~6.7%), supported by positive free cash flow (~€241M) and FCF growth (+10.53%). The key drag is elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.82x), which increases risk despite improving versus 2025.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.06B4.93B4.91B4.31B4.17B3.50B
Gross Profit1.86B1.00B1.23B874.15M992.24M808.21M
EBITDA560.41M543.70M507.32M417.46M451.15M364.17M
Net Income122.27M119.32M78.08M65.54M64.68M40.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.69B4.91B4.63B4.04B4.83B3.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments721.28M1.18B700.01M440.45M1.18B585.90M
Total Debt2.09B2.72B1.96B1.82B2.54B1.78B
Total Liabilities3.81B4.11B3.74B3.33B4.04B3.11B
Stockholders Equity788.84M720.54M811.01M681.46M756.11M692.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow240.91M242.46M158.17M139.41M139.76M186.17M
Operating Cash Flow398.82M377.24M352.50M293.20M307.57M330.30M
Investing Cash Flow-221.80M-209.62M-169.00M-185.09M-145.45M-25.70M
Financing Cash Flow-297.11M338.26M103.42M-791.54M529.79M-462.24M

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.88
Price Trends
50DMA
2.92
Negative
100DMA
2.80
Positive
200DMA
2.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
43.92
Neutral
STOCH
34.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:PSG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.87, below the 50-day MA of 2.92, and above the 200-day MA of 2.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ES:PSG.

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
€10.45B23.6325.11%0.52%23.99%16.97%
76
Outperform
€4.66B16.8042.84%5.99%3.79%-11.33%
69
Neutral
€2.59B12.8421.10%10.25%6.96%
62
Neutral
€1.53B12.4615.99%5.58%0.60%16.68%
62
Neutral
€958.85M10.8341.48%6.42%-5.43%-6.51%
61
Neutral
€35.91B58.1410.42%2.24%5.46%-81.98%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:PSG
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad
2.86
0.33
13.20%
ES:ENO
Elecnor
31.15
6.30
25.34%
ES:FER
Ferrovial
49.73
2.84
6.07%
ES:IDR
Indra Sistemas
57.90
24.56
73.64%
ES:LOG
Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista Holdings
35.24
7.84
28.63%
ES:CASH
Prosegur Cash
0.66
-0.01
-1.79%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2026