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Iberpapel Gestion (IBG) AI Stock Analysis

ES:IBG

Iberpapel Gestion

(BME:IBG)

Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:EUR 16.50â–²(1.85% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/04/26

The score is driven mainly by deteriorating 2025 operating performance (negative EBIT margin and weaker revenue) despite a very strong, low-leverage balance sheet. Technical indicators show weak momentum (below key moving averages, negative MACD, RSI near 40), while valuation is a balance between a high P/E and a solid dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Very Low LeverageVery low leverage gives Iberpapel substantial financial resilience during cyclical weakness in paper markets. The reduced debt burden should limit financing pressure, preserve borrowing capacity, and leave more flexibility to maintain operations or fund investment when profitability recovers.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionThe decline in revenue indicates weaker top-line demand or selling conditions for Iberpapel's paper products. Sustained contraction would reduce operating leverage, make fixed costs harder to absorb, and constrain the company's ability to rebuild earnings without a market recovery.

Iberpapel Gestion (IBG) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%ES:IBG-15.46%EWP+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 175.58M
Dividend Yield
5.10%
Average Volume (3M)
2,510
Price to Earnings (P/E)
1723.4
Beta (1Y)
0.31
Revenue Growth
-7.35%
EPS Growth
-99.48%
Country
Spain
Employees
291
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products

Iberpapel Gestion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Iberpapel Gestión, S.A., including its various subsidiaries, is globally active in manufacturing, distributing, and exporting paper for writing and printing. Its market reach extends across Spain, the broader European Union, Africa, and South America...

How the Company Makes Money

IBG makes money mainly by producing and selling paper products, with revenue recognized from the sale of uncoated woodfree (UWF) printing and writing paper to customers through its commercial/distribution channels. The core revenue stream is therefor...

Iberpapel Gestion Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are mixed: the balance sheet is very strong with very low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.04) and provides resilience, but profitability weakened sharply in 2025 with revenue down (-6.0%) and operating profit turning negative (EBIT margin -2.5%). Cash flow remains positive (FCF €8.5M) but cash conversion weakened versus 2024 and has been volatile historically.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue213.73M216.74M238.19M250.76M295.02M237.23M
Gross Profit94.00M91.09M147.12M145.94M209.61M147.96M
EBITDA14.16M9.09M42.03M66.65M30.54M22.96M
Net Income81.00K6.06M23.16M47.13M15.84M9.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets391.72M389.07M407.68M389.03M389.10M385.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments124.84M127.63M122.08M118.75M77.01M105.24M
Total Debt10.11M13.04M18.43M24.29M37.78M52.12M
Total Liabilities65.38M56.99M68.06M70.63M101.74M116.19M
Stockholders Equity326.34M332.08M339.62M318.41M287.36M269.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow08.47M35.13M27.61M-4.61M25.08M
Operating Cash Flow018.93M41.44M33.01M16.13M46.88M
Investing Cash Flow02.37M-14.83M32.76M-23.71M-21.80M
Financing Cash Flow0-15.51M-18.36M-23.69M-21.18M-46.32M

Iberpapel Gestion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price16.20

Price Trends

50DMA17.31Negative
100DMA17.96Negative
200DMA18.78Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.28Positive
RSI26.89Positive
STOCH18.06Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:IBG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.20 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.72, below the 50-day MA of 17.31, and below the 200-day MA of 18.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.89 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.06 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ES:IBG.

Iberpapel Gestion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

ES:IBG against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ES:VIDES:VID78OutperformEUR 3.19B13.5415.03%1.74%-2.65%-22.90%
ES:VISES:VIS75OutperformEUR 2.48B15.2417.61%5.99%3.06%2.48%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
ES:IBGES:IBG54NeutralEUR 175.58M1723.400.02%5.10%-7.35%-99.48%
ES:ENCES:ENC39UnderperformEUR 535.63M-14.18-8.44%―-1.34%-26.52%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%ES:IBGES:ENCES:MCMES:VIDES:VISDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
ES:IBG and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ES:IBGIberpapel Gestion16.20-2.96-15.46%
ES:ENCENCE Energia y Celulosa2.21-0.42-16.10%
ES:MCMMiquel y Costas and Miquel9.94-1.03-9.35%
ES:VIDVidrala SA86.509.8112.79%
ES:VISViscofan SA54.102.935.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026