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EDreams ODIGEO
(BME:EDR)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
€5.00
▼(-9.26% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:09/06/26
The score is primarily supported by improved financial performance—sustained profitability and solid cash generation—tempered by balance-sheet leverage and slowing revenue. Technicals add a near-term caution signal (below key short-term moving averages with negative MACD), while valuation is moderately supportive with a reasonable P/E.
Positive Factors
Sustained profitability
The move from losses in 2022–2023 to sustained profitability through 2026 indicates a meaningful improvement in operating execution. Healthy EBIT, net and EBITDA margins provide an earnings base that can support reinvestment and resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Debt consistently exceeding equity constrains financial flexibility and leaves the company more exposed if travel demand weakens. Although returns on equity have improved, elevated leverage can restrict capital allocation and increase the consequences of a cyclical downturn.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained profitability
The move from losses in 2022–2023 to sustained profitability through 2026 indicates a meaningful improvement in operating execution. Healthy EBIT, net and EBITDA margins provide an earnings base that can support reinvestment and resilience over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
EDreams ODIGEO (EDR) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)
Market Cap
€557.91M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)582.05K
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.0
Beta (1Y)1.58
Revenue Growth-3.28%
EPS Growth-31.40%
CountryES
Employees1,862
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryTravel Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.35
Shares Outstanding115,625,060
10 Day Avg. Volume755,505
30 Day Avg. Volume582,047
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.22
Price to Book (P/B)1.34
Price to Sales (P/S)0.50
P/FCF Ratio2.96
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€6.50Price Target Upside17.97% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.32
Revenue Forecast (FY)€676.18M
EDreams ODIGEO Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Operating across Europe, eDreams ODIGEO S.A. functions as a prominent online travel company, supported by its various subsidiaries. It delivers digital travel agency solutions through its well-recognized brands, which include eDreams, Go Voyages, ...
How the Company Makes Money
eDreams ODIGEO primarily makes money by acting as an intermediary in travel bookings and by monetizing its customer base through subscription and ancillary products. Key revenue streams include: (1) Merchant/agency economics on bookings: when a cu...
EDreams ODIGEO Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong operational progress driven by Prime growth and a large adjusted EBITDA uplift (+74%), improved cash profitability margins, and a clear multi-year growth and buyback plan. Key near-term headwinds are largely timing and strategic-transition related: subscription payment model changes (reducing short-term cash flow and ARPU), volatile Ryanair content access, and a planned investment-led margin trough in FY'27. Management positions these issues as expected, temporary, and part of a deliberate long-term acceleration strategy.Positive Updates
Large Adjusted EBITDA Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA increased 74% year-on-year to EUR 138.4 million for the first 9 months of FY'26 (adjusted to remove cash timing effects from subscription payment changes).
Negative Updates
Ryanair Content Instability and Access Volatility
Access to Ryanair content remains volatile and materially lower than historical levels, creating recurring headwinds to revenue though management states the FY'26 guidance is derisked to lower Ryanair assumptions.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Large Adjusted EBITDA Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA increased 74% year-on-year to EUR 138.4 million for the first 9 months of FY'26 (adjusted to remove cash timing effects from subscription payment changes).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated guidance to hit 7.9m Prime members and EUR 155m cash EBITDA in FY‑26, and set FY‑30 targets of 13m Prime members and EUR 270m cash EBITDA (implying 15–20% Prime CAGR FY‑27–FY‑30, record net adds of 1.5–2.0m p.a. FY‑28–FY‑30 and ~33% p.a. cash EBITDA growth FY‑28–FY‑30); near‑term pain is expected as margins dip to ~15% in FY‑27 during the investment phase and recover to ~23% by FY‑30. For the first 9 months of FY‑26 management reported adjusted EBITDA EUR 138.4m (+74% y/y), cash EBITDA EUR 126.7m (+2% y/y), adjusted net income EUR 63.8m, cash marginal profit EUR 207.8m (+3% y/y) with Prime now 75% of cash revenue margin and contributing 89% of cash marginal profit, revenue margin (ex adjustments) EUR 502.8m (+3% y/y; Prime +16%, non‑Prime −24%), variable costs −15%, fixed costs +EUR 3.3m, cash from operations EUR 79.1m (working capital outflow EUR 42.9m), and ongoing buybacks (EUR 23m repurchased this quarter, EUR 100m committed through Sep‑2027, 12m shares amortized = 9.4% of capital, ~24% of market cap still available to buy, ~33% shareholder yield); valuation noted at ~4.4x EV/cash‑EBITDA (FY‑26) versus peer averages ~8.3x/11x.EDreams ODIGEO Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 661.40M | 668.52M | 671.18M | 650.51M | 587.76M | 398.28M |
| Gross Profit | 224.86M | 105.09M | 671.18M | 558.29M | 569.59M | 382.58M |
| EBITDA | 128.54M | 139.40M | 116.24M | 77.58M | 23.61M | -6.26M |
| Net Income | 38.88M | 52.22M | 45.07M | 32.36M | -43.34M | -65.87M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.17B | 1.18B | 1.16B | 1.15B | 1.07B | 1.08B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 73.03M | 87.25M | 78.64M | 93.90M | 35.93M | 45.93M |
| Total Debt | 378.77M | 381.30M | 375.04M | 380.64M | 385.70M | 424.26M |
| Total Liabilities | 923.98M | 929.05M | 911.83M | 880.44M | 837.63M | 802.61M |
| Stockholders Equity | 247.10M | 247.92M | 250.25M | 274.53M | 236.30M | 272.52M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 88.80M | 112.40M | 91.03M | 89.73M | 64.37M | 92.22M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 154.00M | 175.11M | 146.41M | 138.88M | 102.53M | 119.15M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -64.33M | -61.83M | -55.55M | -48.80M | -38.15M | -26.92M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -68.25M | -107.41M | -105.61M | -31.05M | -67.74M | -50.93M |
EDreams ODIGEO Technical Analysis
Negative
5.51
Price Trends
5.25
Negative
4.56
Positive
3.99
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.07
Positive
42.34
Neutral
54.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:EDR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.39, above the 50-day MA of 5.25, and above the 200-day MA of 3.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ES:EDR.
EDreams ODIGEO Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | €38.73B | 17.21 | 24.85% | 4.28% | 9.98% | 11.17% | |
75 Outperform | €23.24B | 19.07 | 27.13% | 2.74% | 3.82% | 0.13% | |
73 Outperform | €13.75B | 11.71 | 12.31% | 4.04% | 4.58% | 10.93% | |
61 Neutral | €35.91B | 58.14 | 10.42% | 2.24% | 5.46% | -81.98% | |
61 Neutral | €2.22B | 25.46 | 8.72% | 1.40% | 4.72% | -49.44% | |
60 Neutral | €557.91M | 14.03 | 15.68% | ― | -3.28% | -31.40% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
* General Sector Average
ES:EDR
EDreams ODIGEO
5.11
-2.94
-36.52%
ES:AENA
Aena SA
25.48
1.83
7.76%
ES:AMS
Amadeus IT Group S.A
56.26
-11.27
-16.69%
ES:FER
Ferrovial
49.73
2.84
6.07%
ES:MAP
Mapfre, SA
4.47
0.82
22.32%
ES:MEL
MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL
10.07
2.19
27.86%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.