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Empire Petroleum (EP)
:EP
US Market
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Empire Petroleum (EP) AI Stock Analysis

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EP

Empire Petroleum

(EP)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
â–¼(-39.39% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/17/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (large losses, higher leverage/negative equity signals, and negative TTM operating and free cash flow). Technical indicators add downside pressure with price below key moving averages and negative MACD. Corporate actions modestly support liquidity but add dilution risk, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Integrated production platform
EP combines upstream production with owned infrastructure that can support gathering, handling and transportation of hydrocarbons. This integrated operating base may improve control over field operations and provide multiple ways to participate in the energy value chain over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Severe profitability deterioration
The severe TTM loss and negative operating profit show that the recent revenue rebound is not translating into earnings. Sustained losses can consume capital, weaken financial flexibility and make it harder for EP to fund development, acquisitions or workovers internally.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated production platform
EP combines upstream production with owned infrastructure that can support gathering, handling and transportation of hydrocarbons. This integrated operating base may improve control over field operations and provide multiple ways to participate in the energy value chain over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Empire Petroleum (EP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Empire Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Empire Petroleum Corporation, an entity established in 1983, primarily focuses on discovering and extracting petroleum and natural gas reserves across several U.S. states, including Louisiana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Montana, and Texas. Headquar...
How the Company Makes Money
EP primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids—from its oil and gas properties. Revenue is generally generated when produced volumes are sold to purchasers (e.g., marketers, refiners,...

Empire Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are currently stressed: despite strong TTM revenue growth, profitability is deeply negative (large net loss and negative operating profit). Balance sheet risk is elevated with sharply higher leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~2.19) and negative equity in 2025, while TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative, indicating weak self-funding capacity.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.26M34.20M44.04M40.14M53.27M27.68M
Gross Profit7.97M-6.61M3.47M5.38M23.80M9.79M
EBITDA-57.79M-57.32M-4.89M-8.08M10.02M-7.37M
Net Income-71.30M-72.07M-16.20M-12.47M7.08M-18.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.08M65.87M123.87M92.62M71.55M50.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.12M1.19M2.25M7.79M11.94M3.61M
Total Debt16.04M15.35M11.88M6.68M8.00M9.44M
Total Liabilities73.76M70.48M61.10M57.66M48.31M40.26M
Stockholders Equity7.32M-4.61M62.77M34.96M23.24M9.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.82M-4.00M-47.71M-26.88M4.88M-16.60M
Operating Cash Flow-6.14M-3.95M6.16M-9.89M18.06M3.17M
Investing Cash Flow-5.38M-4.61M-53.87M-14.77M-11.41M-24.72M
Financing Cash Flow12.36M7.50M42.17M20.50M1.69M25.00M

Empire Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.30
Price Trends
50DMA
2.70
Negative
100DMA
2.70
Negative
200DMA
2.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
31.45
Neutral
STOCH
8.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.61, above the 50-day MA of 2.70, and above the 200-day MA of 2.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EP.

Empire Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$79.18M8.43491.22%11.74%63.47%70.01%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$182.61M-30.27-2.92%4.22%53.71%-204.13%
63
Neutral
$145.83M-47.44-3.80%13.64%0.59%-345.77%
61
Neutral
$158.47M-203.57-37.43%7.87%-97.54%-380.00%
42
Neutral
$94.02M-1.02-474.82%4.17%-9.01%-293.99%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EP
Empire Petroleum
2.11
-2.71
-56.20%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
3.52
-0.91
-20.58%
SJT
San Juan Basin Royalty
3.42
-2.56
-42.81%
NRT
North European Oil Royalty
8.60
3.48
68.00%
EPSN
Epsilon Energy
5.93
0.98
19.73%
GLND
Greenland Energy Company
5.54
-4.51
-44.88%

Empire Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Empire Petroleum Raises Capital via Convertible Promissory Note
Positive
Sep 16, 2026
On September 10, 2026, Empire Petroleum Corporation issued a $3.25 million promissory note to Petroleum Independent Exploration, LLC, with proceeds earmarked for general working capital. The note carries a 6% annual interest rate until its March ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2026