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Empire Petroleum (EP)
:EP
US Market
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Empire Petroleum (EP) AI Stock Analysis

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EP

Empire Petroleum

(EP)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-9.09% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (deep losses, higher leverage including negative equity history, and negative TTM operating/free cash flow). Technicals provide a partial offset with improving trend/momentum above key moving averages. Valuation remains a headwind due to negative earnings (P/E not meaningful), while the corporate event is only a modest factor with some dilution risk.
Positive Factors
Strong TTM Revenue Growth
The approximately 228% TTM revenue increase shows substantial recent expansion in the company’s reported top line. If supported by production volumes and acquired assets, this growth can improve operating leverage and strengthen the platform for future development.
Negative Factors
Deep and Sustained Losses
The severe TTM loss indicates that revenue growth is not currently translating into viable earnings. Persistent losses can limit internally funded development, increase reliance on external capital and make it harder for EP to rebuild its equity base through operations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong TTM Revenue Growth
The approximately 228% TTM revenue increase shows substantial recent expansion in the company’s reported top line. If supported by production volumes and acquired assets, this growth can improve operating leverage and strengthen the platform for future development.
Read all positive factors

Empire Petroleum (EP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Empire Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Empire Petroleum Corporation, an entity established in 1983, primarily focuses on discovering and extracting petroleum and natural gas reserves across several U.S. states, including Louisiana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Montana, and Texas. Headquar...
How the Company Makes Money
EP primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids—from its oil and gas properties. Revenue is generally generated when produced volumes are sold to purchasers (e.g., marketers, refiners,...

Empire Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are currently stressed despite strong TTM revenue growth (~228%): profitability is deeply negative (net margin about -212%) with negative operating profit, leverage has increased sharply (debt-to-equity ~2.19 TTM) and 2025 shows negative equity, and TTM operating/free cash flow are negative (-$6.1M / -$3.7M). The combination of sustained losses, weakened capital structure, and negative cash generation is a major downside risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.26M34.20M44.04M40.14M53.27M27.68M
Gross Profit7.97M-6.61M3.47M5.38M23.80M9.79M
EBITDA-57.79M-57.32M-4.89M-8.08M10.02M-7.37M
Net Income-71.30M-72.07M-16.20M-12.47M7.08M-18.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.08M65.87M123.87M92.62M71.55M50.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.12M1.19M2.25M7.79M11.94M3.61M
Total Debt16.04M15.35M11.88M6.68M8.00M9.44M
Total Liabilities73.76M70.48M61.10M57.66M48.31M40.26M
Stockholders Equity7.32M-4.61M62.77M34.96M23.24M9.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.82M-4.00M-47.71M-26.88M4.88M-16.60M
Operating Cash Flow-6.14M-3.95M6.16M-9.89M18.06M3.17M
Investing Cash Flow-5.38M-4.61M-53.87M-14.77M-11.41M-24.72M
Financing Cash Flow12.36M7.50M42.17M20.50M1.69M25.00M

Empire Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.30
Price Trends
50DMA
2.77
Positive
100DMA
2.77
Positive
200DMA
2.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
58.32
Neutral
STOCH
24.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.02, above the 50-day MA of 2.77, and above the 200-day MA of 2.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EP.

Empire Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$83.82M8.91498.36%11.36%67.43%74.16%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$191.09M-31.96-2.92%4.29%53.71%-204.13%
61
Neutral
$133.77M-172.62-37.43%-97.54%-380.00%
49
Neutral
$127.23M-1.51-474.82%-9.01%-293.99%
48
Neutral
$147.55M-35.51-5.44%12.53%-3.16%-313.41%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EP
Empire Petroleum
3.12
-1.83
-36.93%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
3.70
-0.87
-19.02%
SJT
San Juan Basin Royalty
2.90
-2.88
-49.83%
NRT
North European Oil Royalty
9.09
4.65
104.87%
EPSN
Epsilon Energy
6.26
0.59
10.37%
GLND
Greenland Energy Company
1.31
-8.70
-86.91%

Empire Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Empire Petroleum Shareholders Approve New 2026 Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 22, 2026
At its June 17, 2026 annual meeting, Empire Petroleum stockholders approved a new 2026 Stock and Incentive Compensation Plan, reserving 1.2 million shares for a broad range of equity and cash awards to employees, consultants and non-employee direc...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026