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Empire Petroleum (EP) AI Stock Analysis

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EP

Empire Petroleum

(NYSE MKT:EP)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:$2.50â–²(1.63% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (large losses, higher leverage/negative equity history, and negative TTM operating/free cash flow). Technicals also lean negative with price trading below key moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation provides limited support due to a negative P/E and no dividend data, while the recent convertible note modestly helps liquidity but introduces potential dilution.

Positive Factors
Integrated energy modelExposure to multiple hydrocarbon products and supporting infrastructure gives EP a broader operating model than a single-product producer. Owned gathering or transportation assets may improve operational control and create additional service revenue opportunities as production develops.
Negative Factors
Deep operating lossesEP’s revenue growth has not translated into earnings, because costs, non-cash charges, or other expenses remain substantially larger than operating income. Sustained losses weaken internal capital formation, reduce financial resilience, and make a durable recovery dependent on materially better profitability.

Empire Petroleum (EP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%EP-13.93%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$102.34M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
46.26K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.2
Beta (1Y)
0.74
Revenue Growth
-9.01%
EPS Growth
-293.99%
Country
US
Employees
61
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Empire Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Empire Petroleum Corporation, an entity established in 1983, primarily focuses on discovering and extracting petroleum and natural gas reserves across several U.S. states, including Louisiana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Montana, and Texas. Headquarter...

How the Company Makes Money

EP primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids—from its oil and gas properties. Revenue is generally generated when produced volumes are sold to purchasers (e.g., marketers, refiners, or...

Empire Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are currently stressed: despite strong TTM revenue growth, profitability is deeply negative (very large net loss and negative operating profit). Balance sheet risk has increased with high TTM leverage and negative equity in 2025, and cash generation is weak with negative TTM operating and free cash flow.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

22Negative

Cash Flow

20Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.26M34.20M44.04M40.14M53.27M27.68M
Gross Profit7.97M-6.61M3.47M5.38M23.80M9.79M
EBITDA-59.09M-57.32M-4.89M-8.50M10.02M-7.37M
Net Income-71.30M-72.07M-16.20M-12.47M7.08M-18.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.08M65.87M123.87M92.62M71.55M50.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.12M1.19M2.25M7.79M11.94M3.61M
Total Debt16.04M15.35M11.88M6.68M8.00M9.44M
Total Liabilities73.76M70.48M61.10M57.66M48.31M40.26M
Stockholders Equity7.32M-4.61M62.77M34.96M23.24M9.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.82M-4.00M-47.71M-26.88M4.88M-16.60M
Operating Cash Flow-6.14M-3.95M6.16M-9.89M18.06M3.17M
Investing Cash Flow-5.38M-4.61M-53.87M-14.77M-11.41M-24.72M
Financing Cash Flow12.36M7.50M42.17M20.50M1.69M25.00M

Empire Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2.46

Price Trends

50DMA2.67Negative
100DMA2.71Negative
200DMA2.81Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.15Positive
RSI43.95Neutral
STOCH52.29Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.77, below the 50-day MA of 2.67, and below the 200-day MA of 2.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EP.

Empire Petroleum Risk Analysis

Empire Petroleum disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Empire Petroleum reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

  • Finance & Corporate17
  • Tech & Innovation1
  • Legal & Regulatory3
  • Production10
  • Ability to Sell1
  • Macro & Political1
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.The loss or unavailability of capital provided by our two largest stockholders could have a material adverse effect on our business.Q4, 2023
2.We have had material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting in prior fiscal years. Failure to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting could adversely affect our ability to report our financial condition and results of operations accurately and on a timely basis. As a result, our business, operating results and liquidity could be harmed.Q4, 2023

Empire Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

EP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NRTNRT76Outperform$64.43M6.98491.22%14.19%63.47%70.01%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
SJTSJT61Neutral$196.69M-266.67-37.43%―-97.54%-380.00%
EPSNEPSN57Neutral$158.69M-27.00-2.92%4.73%53.71%-204.13%
EPMEPM51Neutral$145.11M-19.26-9.92%13.95%2.81%-3280.36%
EPEP42Neutral$100.68M-1.19-474.82%―-9.01%-293.99%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%EPEPMSJTNRTEPSNGLNDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
EP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
EPEmpire Petroleum Corporation2.46-0.64-20.59%
EPMEvolution Petroleum3.44-0.42-10.93%
SJTSan Juan Basin Royalty4.48-1.90-29.78%
NRTNorth European Oil Royalty7.121.3623.70%
EPSNEpsilon Energy Ltd.5.290.6915.03%
GLNDGreenland Energy Company2.14-8.01-78.92%

Empire Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Empire Petroleum Raises Capital via Convertible Promissory Note

Positive
Sep 16, 2026

On September 10, 2026, Empire Petroleum Corporation issued a $3.25 million promissory note to Petroleum Independent & Exploration, LLC, with proceeds earmarked for general working capital. The note carries a 6% annual interest rate until its March 10...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026