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EOG Resources (EOG)
NYSE:EOG
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EOG Resources (EOG) AI Stock Analysis

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EOG

EOG Resources

(NYSE:EOG)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$133.00
â–²(14.98% Upside)
EOG Resources is well-positioned with strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The robust earnings call results and attractive valuation metrics are significant positives. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and recent declines in revenue and free cash flow growth warrant monitoring.
Positive Factors
Operational Excellence
EOG's ability to exceed production and cost expectations highlights its operational efficiency, which is crucial for maintaining competitive advantage and profitability in the volatile oil and gas industry.
International Expansion
The UAE concession enhances EOG's international footprint, providing access to new markets and diversifying revenue streams, which supports long-term growth and reduces reliance on domestic operations.
Technological Advancements
Investing in technology like AI and sensors boosts EOG's operational efficiency and cost management, strengthening its competitive position and supporting sustainable long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth could indicate challenges in market demand or pricing power, potentially affecting EOG's ability to sustain its financial performance and invest in future growth.
Debt Increase
Increased debt from the Encino acquisition could strain EOG's balance sheet and cash flows, limiting financial flexibility and increasing risk if market conditions worsen.
Gas Market Volatility
Volatility in natural gas markets can impact EOG's revenue stability and investment planning, posing challenges for long-term strategic initiatives and profitability.

EOG Resources (EOG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EOG Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEOG Resources, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, and natural gas and natural gas liquids. Its principal producing areas are in New Mexico and Texas in the United States; and the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago. As of December 31, 2021, it had total estimated net proved reserves of 3,747 million barrels of oil equivalent, including 1,548 million barrels (MMBbl) of crude oil and condensate reserves; 829 MMBbl of natural gas liquid reserves; and 8,222 billion cubic feet of natural gas reserves. The company was formerly known as Enron Oil & Gas Company. EOG Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyEOG Resources generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's revenue model is largely dependent on the prices of oil and gas, which can be volatile and fluctuate based on global market conditions. Key revenue streams include the sale of produced hydrocarbons, which are sold to refiners, marketers, and distributors. Additionally, EOG may engage in hedging activities to manage price risk and stabilize cash flows. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational efficiency and expand its resource base. Factors contributing to its earnings include technological advancements in drilling and production methods, cost management initiatives, and the ability to access and develop high-quality resource plays.

EOG Resources Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Geography
Operating Income by Geography
Shows how much profit the company generates in different regions, highlighting areas of strong performance and potential challenges due to regional market conditions or operational efficiency.
Chart InsightsEOG Resources' operating income from the United States shows a declining trend since 2022, reflecting challenges from softened oil prices and reduced capital investments. Despite this, the company's strategic acquisition in the Eagle Ford and an oil discovery in Trinidad highlight its focus on enhancing asset quality and international exploration. The Trinidad segment, although volatile, benefits from this new discovery. EOG's strategic adjustments, including reduced capital spending and focus on high-return investments, aim to sustain growth amidst market uncertainties and tariff-related pressures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

EOG Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
EOG Resources delivered strong financial and operational results, highlighted by significant free cash flow, strategic acquisitions, and technological advancements. However, the company faces challenges from an uncertain oil market and volatile gas prices, as well as increased debt from recent acquisitions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
EOG delivered nearly $1 billion of free cash flow in the second quarter, with adjusted earnings per share of $2.32 and adjusted cash flow per share of $4.57. The company returned more than $1.1 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Encino Acquisition
EOG closed the accretive Encino acquisition, adding a core acreage position of 1.1 million net acres in the Utica, with associated resource potential of over 2 billion barrels of oil equivalent.
Dividend Growth
The regular dividend was increased by 5%, continuing a decade-long track record of a 19% compound annual growth rate in dividends.
International Expansion
EOG was awarded an onshore concession in the UAE, positioning the company for long-term growth in the Gulf States.
Operational Excellence
EOG exceeded production and cost expectations, with oil, gas, and NGL volumes above forecast and cash costs below the midpoint of guidance.
Technological Advancements
EOG introduced new high-frequency sensor technology and enhanced AI capabilities, which improve well performance and cost efficiency.
Negative Updates
Uncertain Oil Market Outlook
The oil demand growth for the second half of 2025 is expected to moderate, with uncertainties around the implementation of tariffs and geopolitical factors affecting supply and demand.
Gas Market Volatility
Despite long-term growth expectations, natural gas markets are expected to remain volatile, affecting near-term investment decisions.
Debt Issuance for Encino Acquisition
EOG issued $3.5 billion in senior notes to fund the Encino acquisition, increasing the company's debt obligations.
Company Guidance
During the EOG Resources Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported impressive financial and operational metrics. EOG exceeded its production guidance for oil, natural gas, and NGL volumes while keeping capital expenditures, cash operating costs, and DD&A below guidance midpoints. The company generated nearly $1 billion in free cash flow, enabling it to return over $1.1 billion to shareholders, including $600 million in share repurchases. EOG increased its regular dividend by 5% and committed to returning at least $3.5 billion in cash to shareholders in 2025. Following the Encino acquisition, EOG's resource potential exceeds 12 billion barrels of oil equivalent, with the Utica now a foundational asset. The company expects a greater than 55% average direct after-tax rate of return at bottom cycle prices, with over 200% at mid-cycle prices. EOG also highlighted the strategic importance of its international presence, including a new concession in the UAE. With a focus on operational excellence, sustainability, and culture, EOG is well-positioned to capitalize on future growth opportunities while maintaining strong cash returns.

EOG Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EOG Resources demonstrates strong profitability with high margins and a stable balance sheet characterized by low leverage and high return on equity. However, declining free cash flow growth and a slight decrease in stockholders' equity warrant attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
EOG Resources demonstrates strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 77.16% and a net profit margin of 25.95%. The company's revenue has remained stable with a slight TTM growth of 0.13% compared to the previous year. The EBIT margin of 33.16% and EBITDA margin of 59.50% indicate efficient operational performance. However, the decline in EBIT from 2024 suggests potential challenges in maintaining this efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17, indicating conservative leverage. The TTM return on equity is strong at 20.58%, reflecting effective utilization of shareholders' equity. An equity ratio of 62.84% suggests solid financial stability. Despite these strengths, the slight decrease in stockholders' equity over recent periods warrants attention.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
EOG Resources shows robust cash flow generation with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.90. However, the free cash flow growth rate shows a decline of 17.37%, highlighting potential challenges in sustaining free cash flow levels. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.92, indicating the company's ability to convert net income into cash effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.73B23.38B23.18B29.49B19.67B9.87B
Gross Profit15.66B17.70B18.24B24.62B14.32B4.95B
EBITDA11.69B12.46B13.33B13.62B9.76B2.87B
Net Income5.73B6.40B7.59B7.76B4.66B-605.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.28B47.19B43.86B41.37B38.24B35.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.22B7.09B5.28B5.97B5.21B3.33B
Total Debt4.60B5.07B4.16B5.96B5.91B6.75B
Total Liabilities17.05B17.84B15.77B16.59B16.06B15.50B
Stockholders Equity29.24B29.35B28.09B24.78B22.18B20.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.72B6.79B5.16B6.09B4.94B1.54B
Operating Cash Flow10.67B12.14B11.34B11.09B8.79B5.01B
Investing Cash Flow-6.05B-5.97B-6.34B-5.06B-3.42B-3.35B
Financing Cash Flow-4.84B-4.36B-5.69B-5.27B-3.49B-359.02M

EOG Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price115.67
Price Trends
50DMA
119.08
Negative
100DMA
117.30
Negative
200DMA
119.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.86
Positive
RSI
41.06
Neutral
STOCH
8.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EOG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 115.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 119.83, below the 50-day MA of 119.08, and below the 200-day MA of 119.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EOG.

EOG Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
114.92B12.3413.96%3.34%2.45%-17.08%
77
Outperform
40.19B9.879.87%2.74%51.78%-27.29%
76
Outperform
$63.01B11.2819.63%3.32%-5.42%-20.52%
74
Outperform
21.41B7.5518.88%2.73%10.98%-19.25%
72
Outperform
31.18B26.885.34%1.24%59.12%12.12%
71
Outperform
45.05B26.898.91%2.02%-1.66%-58.96%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EOG
EOG Resources
115.67
-5.01
-4.15%
COP
Conocophillips
93.47
-8.96
-8.75%
DVN
Devon Energy
34.48
-4.24
-10.95%
EQT
EQT
50.95
16.25
46.83%
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
46.42
-3.66
-7.31%
FANG
Diamondback
142.18
-33.70
-19.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2025