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Emcore Corporation (EMKR)
NASDAQ:EMKR

Emcore (EMKR) AI Stock Analysis

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Emcore

(NASDAQ:EMKR)

50Neutral
Emcore's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and cash flow issues, which weigh heavily on its performance. However, technical indicators suggest a potential for upward momentum, which slightly offsets the negative financial outlook. The lack of positive valuation metrics or dividend yield further limits the stock's attractiveness at present.

Emcore (EMKR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Emcore Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmcore Corporation (EMKR) is a leading provider of advanced mixed-signal optics products. The company operates primarily in the aerospace and defense, broadband communications, and navigation markets. Emcore designs and manufactures high-performance optical components, subsystems, and systems that are utilized in a wide range of applications, including fiber optics, inertial navigation, and satellite communications.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmcore Corporation generates revenue through the sale of its optical components and systems across various sectors. The company's primary revenue streams include its Fiber Optics segment, which supplies products for broadband communication networks, and its Aerospace & Defense segment, which provides navigation systems and components for military and commercial applications. Emcore's revenue is driven by long-term contracts and partnerships with major defense contractors and telecommunications companies. Additionally, the company benefits from ongoing research and development efforts to enhance product offerings and maintain competitive advantage in its markets.

Emcore Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Emcore is currently facing considerable financial difficulties, with declining revenues, profitability issues, and cash flow challenges. High leverage and reduced equity levels further compound the risks, necessitating strategic adjustments to stabilize operations and improve financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement reveals a declining revenue trend with a significant drop from $158.4M in 2021 to $81.1M TTM, highlighting a challenging market environment. Gross profit margin has decreased, indicating cost control issues. The company is experiencing negative EBIT and net profit margins, suggesting operational inefficiencies and potential risks in profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting some leverage, but equity has decreased significantly, reducing financial flexibility. The equity ratio has also declined, indicating a shrinking asset base funded by equity. These factors present potential risks in terms of solvency and financial stability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates negative operating cash flow and free cash flow TTM, highlighting liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting poor cash generation relative to losses. Overall, cash management remains a concern, impacting the company's ability to invest and grow.
Breakdown
Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
85.90M97.72M124.13M158.44M110.13M
Gross Profit
18.82M23.39M29.72M61.49M35.58M
EBIT
-26.85M-48.74M-22.53M9.18M-9.32M
EBITDA
-26.85M-22.40M-39.14M30.28M-1.35M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-31.24M-76.41M-24.33M25.64M-7.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
10.29M26.71M25.63M71.62M30.39M
Total Assets
93.91M143.91M189.08M180.81M126.24M
Total Debt
20.91M34.52M39.33M13.88M21.21M
Net Debt
10.62M8.30M13.71M-57.74M-9.18M
Total Liabilities
43.75M63.62M70.25M43.35M52.09M
Stockholders Equity
50.17M80.29M118.83M137.47M74.15M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-5.31M-35.49M-3.61M5.79M-8.41M
Operating Cash Flow
-5.31M-33.64M2.96M11.15M-3.89M
Investing Cash Flow
31.00K9.47M-62.70M-3.84M10.89M
Financing Cash Flow
-10.64M24.40M14.35M33.73M1.50M

Emcore Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.10
Price Trends
50DMA
3.04
Positive
100DMA
2.84
Positive
200DMA
2.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
61.44
Neutral
STOCH
48.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EMKR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.08, above the 50-day MA of 3.04, and above the 200-day MA of 2.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EMKR.

Emcore Risk Analysis

Emcore disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Emcore reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Emcore Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$10.77B10.41-6.71%2.99%7.69%-13.12%
59
Neutral
$4.46B-42.79%3.58%-22.74%
50
Neutral
$28.11M-46.35%-22.35%73.24%
41
Neutral
$773.87M-84.12%14.57%-139.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EMKR
Emcore
3.10
0.20
6.90%
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics
13.98
3.15
29.09%
LITE
Lumentum Holdings
66.24
23.65
55.53%

Emcore Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 13, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
EMCORE's earnings call highlighted strong cost-saving measures, revenue growth, and improved gross margins, alongside a significant headcount reduction and debt payoff. However, these positives were tempered by restructuring charges, decreased cash balance, and continued negative EBITDA and net loss.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Headcount Reductions and Cost Savings
Headcount reductions enacted beginning in May are estimated to result in approximately $17 million of annualized payroll savings.
Revenue Growth
Revenue for fiscal Q3 was $20.4 million, a 4% increase compared to the $19.6 million in fiscal Q2.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin was 24% for the June quarter, significantly better compared to 15% the quarter before.
Strong Book-to-Bill Ratio
The book-to-bill ratio was well over 1 at 1.24, with important orders including 2 armored vehicle orders above $2 million.
Debt Payoff
EMCORE paid off all outstanding obligations under their credit agreement with Hale Capital, freeing them to explore new alternatives for liquidity.
Negative Updates
Restructuring and Related Charges
Restructuring-related charges included a $1.86 million charge for employee severance and $4.3 million related to the Alhambra shutdown.
Cash Decrease
Cash balance was $9 million at June 30 compared to $12 million at March 31, with a cash decrease of $3 million.
Negative EBITDA and Net Loss
Negative adjusted EBITDA was reduced but still at $3.6 million compared to $5.8 million the previous quarter, with a net loss of $4.4 million or $0.49 per share.
Company Guidance
During the EMCORE Corporation's fiscal Q3 2024 earnings call, guidance was provided for the upcoming quarter, with revenue expected to be in the range of $20 million to $22 million. The company is focused on operational efficiencies, with specific efforts on overlaying common operating systems across its three remaining production sites. A key strategic goal is to achieve sustained improvement in gross margin, particularly at the Concord site, which saw a significant increase in gross margin to 24% in the June quarter from 15% in the previous quarter. EMCORE is also targeting adjusted operating cash flow breakeven by fiscal Q4 2024 and has made substantial progress with a book-to-bill ratio at 1.24, bolstered by $60 million in backlog. These efforts are supported by a restructuring plan that includes significant cost savings of approximately $17 million annually from headcount reductions, and the full closure of the Alhambra site is expected to be completed by the end of August.

Emcore Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Emcore Completes Merger and Delists from Nasdaq
Neutral
Feb 28, 2025

On February 28, 2025, Emcore completed a merger, resulting in the cancellation and conversion of its common stock into cash payments for shareholders, with specific conditions for restricted stock units and stock options. Following the merger, Emcore requested the delisting of its common stock from Nasdaq and plans to terminate its SEC registration, leading to significant changes in its corporate structure, including the resignation of its board members and amendments to its certificate of incorporation and bylaws.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.