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Elemental Royalties (ELE) AI Stock Analysis

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ELE

Elemental Royalties

(NASDAQ:ELE)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:$17.50▲(24.29% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/11/26

The score is driven primarily by improving operating performance and an exceptionally low-leverage balance sheet, supported by a constructive earnings-call outlook focused on scaling ounces/cash flow and lowering costs. The rating is tempered by weak technical trend signals, negative free cash flow, and an unattractive/less interpretable earnings-based valuation due to the negative P/E.

Positive Factors
Revenue Growth and Operating MarginsStrong revenue scaling and high gross and EBITDA margins indicate meaningful operating traction across the royalty portfolio. If sustained, this combination can support reinvestment, improve cash conversion, and provide a durable foundation for earnings growth as producing assets expand.
Negative Factors
Persistently Negative Free Cash FlowNegative free cash flow means substantial investment and other outflows are currently consuming cash despite improving operating inflows. If this persists, Elemental may have less internally generated capital for acquisitions, debt reduction, or shareholder returns and may remain dependent on financing.

Elemental Royalties (ELE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%ELE-9.45%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.54B
Dividend Yield
0.64%
Average Volume (3M)
406.97K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1920.7
Beta (1Y)
1.14
Revenue Growth
156.59%
EPS Growth
-71.22%
Country
US
Employees
39
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Other Precious Metals

Elemental Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Elemental Royalty Corporation engages in the acquisition and generation of precious and base metal royalties. It is also involved in exploration royalties and royalty generation assets. The company holds royalties in gold, silver, copper, and preciou...

How the Company Makes Money

Elemental Royalties makes money by owning contractual interests in mineral projects that entitle it to receive payments or metal deliveries linked to mine production and/or mineral sales, without bearing the day-to-day operating costs of mining. Key...

Elemental Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-12.49%|Next Earnings Date:May 19, 2022
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Management reported record year-to-date revenue and gold equivalent ounces, substantial revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, major portfolio additions, expected cost reductions, improving free cash flow, and a clear deleveraging plan. The main challenges were the temporary Caserones production disruption, elevated transitional G&A, increased debt following acquisitions, and outstanding permitting and security matters at Panuco.

Positive Updates

Record Year-to-Date Revenue and Gold Equivalent Ounces
Elemental reported record year-to-date performance in both revenue and gold equivalent ounces, with just under $70 million of revenue and approximately 15,100 gold equivalent ounces year-to-date.

Negative Updates

Caserones Production Disruption
Caserones was the primary reason for lower-than-expected quarterly revenue. Q3 revenue was approximately $3.5 million lower than Q2 due to storms in Chile that delayed production, and the operator subsequently lowered its full-year guidance, although production is expected to recover in Q4 and return to normal.

Company Guidance

Management expects the portfolio to reach “over 50,000 gold equivalent ounces” from existing producing and development assets by 2030, with Orion providing a partial year contribution in 2026 and “a full year in 2027 onwards,” while Endura is expected to have “first gold in December.” Going into 2027, G&A is expected to decrease, royalty generation expenses of “about $5 million a year” are expected to go away, and the company’s “cost reduction will be $6 million a year,” with additional simplification efforts expected to save “well beyond $6 million a year.” Orion is expected to add “about $20 million” of cash flow from GEOs next year, G&A is expected to be cut “by about 1/3,” and management expects to drive “an additional sort of $30 million of cash flow” into the business; net debt is expected to decline from 2.5x to “just above 1x by the end of next year,” with a “total payoff period of 2 to 2.5 years.”

Elemental Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue scaling (TTM 71.0M vs 2025 43.6M) and a return to positive net income with very high gross/EBITDA margins support the score. The balance sheet is a major strength with near-zero leverage, but overall financial quality is held back by thin net margin (~3.9%), low ROE, and persistently negative free cash flow (TTM -23.6M; 2025 -37.9M) despite solid operating cash flow.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue71.02M43.64M16.32M11.74M9.64M6.61M
Gross Profit46.86M27.31M9.11M4.84M4.23M3.73M
EBITDA36.34M23.12M10.26M7.86M-8.41M2.55M
Net Income2.85M1.77M-364.00K-3.90M-18.21M-4.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets922.34M907.32M204.05M187.96M185.84M76.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments90.27M69.26M4.45M11.23M17.47M6.10M
Total Debt0489.00K2.69M29.85M30.02M24.40M
Total Liabilities135.71M126.90M7.78M33.55M39.48M25.99M
Stockholders Equity786.63M780.41M196.27M154.40M146.36M50.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-23.61M-37.89M3.54M3.66M-12.77M-1.41M
Operating Cash Flow45.15M30.81M6.62M3.66M-1.84M-1.41M
Investing Cash Flow-71.72M-56.33M563.58K-9.87M-4.54M-39.78M
Financing Cash Flow76.62M74.56M-13.64M-89.61K17.57M36.44M

Elemental Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price14.08

Price Trends

50DMA18.13Negative
100DMA17.99Negative
200DMA18.52Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.73Negative
RSI35.63Neutral
STOCH54.59Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ELE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.75, below the 50-day MA of 18.13, and below the 200-day MA of 18.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ELE.

Elemental Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

ELE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ELEELE66Neutral$1.23B-1920.71-0.44%0.64%156.59%-71.22%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%ELEDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ELE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ELEElemental Royalties Corp.14.08-1.34-8.69%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026