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Eagle Bancorp (EGBN)
NASDAQ:EGBN
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Eagle Bancorp (EGBN) AI Stock Analysis

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EGBN

Eagle Bancorp

(NASDAQ:EGBN)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(8.58% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/22/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance (TTM losses and softer revenue trends), despite supportive balance-sheet leverage and positive cash flow. Technicals add moderate support with the stock trading above key moving averages and neutral momentum. Valuation is mixed: the very high dividend yield helps, but the negative P/E reflects ongoing unprofitability. The latest earnings call was constructive with improving credit trends and guidance for better operating momentum, though credit-risk uncertainty remains a meaningful overhang.
Positive Factors
Strong Capital and Moderate Leverage
Robust regulatory capital and moderate leverage provide EagleBank with greater capacity to absorb credit losses while continuing targeted investment. This financial flexibility supports measured loan growth and reduces dependence on aggressive external funding or immediate capital actions.
Negative Factors
Persistent Unprofitability
Ongoing losses and a softer top-line trajectory show that the bank has not yet restored sustainable earnings power. Negative profitability can constrain internal capital generation, reduce flexibility for investment, and make future results more dependent on credit normalization and operating improvement.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Capital and Moderate Leverage
Robust regulatory capital and moderate leverage provide EagleBank with greater capacity to absorb credit losses while continuing targeted investment. This financial flexibility supports measured loan growth and reduces dependence on aggressive external funding or immediate capital actions.
Read all positive factors

Eagle Bancorp (EGBN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eagle Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Eagle Bancorp, Inc. functions as the parent entity for EagleBank, providing a comprehensive suite of commercial and consumer banking services. The bank offers a diverse portfolio of lending solutions, including commercial loans for operational cap...
How the Company Makes Money
Eagle Bancorp primarily makes money through its banking operations at EagleBank. A key earnings driver is net interest income: the bank earns interest and fees on loans (such as commercial real estate, construction, commercial and industrial, and ...

Eagle Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was predominantly positive. Earnings, net interest margin, capital, funding mix, credit inflows, criticized and classified loans, delinquencies, and business-development activity all improved or showed encouraging momentum. The main challenges were higher nonperforming assets tied to one multifamily relationship, a smaller balance sheet, sequential declines in net interest income and pre-provision net revenue, higher expenses from hiring and investments, continued CRE runoff, and elevated credit-risk levels. Management nevertheless expressed confidence that loan and deposit growth, stronger pipelines, and improving credit trends would support better operating performance beginning in the fourth quarter.
Positive Updates
Net Income and Earnings per Share Increased Significantly
Third quarter net income was $24.2 million, or $0.79 per diluted share, compared with $6.9 million, or $0.23 per diluted share, in the second quarter. The increase primarily reflected an $18.6 million reduction in provision expense and a $5.3 million income tax benefit related to a state tax refund.
Negative Updates
Nonperforming Assets Increased
Nonperforming assets increased $52.9 million to $166 million, or 1.75% of total assets. The increase was primarily attributable to a previously identified $56 million Maryland affordable multifamily relationship, which represented 76% of nonperforming inflows during the quarter.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Net Income and Earnings per Share Increased Significantly
Third quarter net income was $24.2 million, or $0.79 per diluted share, compared with $6.9 million, or $0.23 per diluted share, in the second quarter. The increase primarily reflected an $18.6 million reduction in provision expense and a $5.3 million income tax benefit related to a state tax refund.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Eagle expects pre provision net revenue to increase from third quarter levels in the fourth quarter, average loans and deposits to grow in the fourth quarter and continue growing in 2027, and measured net loan growth beginning in the fourth quarter; approximately $2.8 million of the quarter's expense increase is not expected to remain in the fourth quarter run rate. Management expects more of the same in the fourth quarter for declining criticized and classified assets, said criticized and classified loans should be much improved from $648.4 million at September 30 by year-end, and said a 3-handle, meaning hundreds of millions of dollars, around the end of the second quarter would be the goal, with something around $400 million considered pretty good performance. For 2027, the net interest margin outlook is 2.70% to 3.05%, based partly on about $350 million of investment-portfolio roll off, while the outlook does not include assumptions for future provision expense, charge offs, loan sales, or other credit related items.

Eagle Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains the key weakness: results deteriorated from solid profits in 2021–2023 to losses in 2024–2025 and the company is still unprofitable on a TTM basis (about a -6% net margin), alongside softening revenue growth. Offsetting factors include improved leverage (low debt-to-equity) and positive TTM operating cash flow/free cash flow, but cash flow has been volatile and negative equity returns weigh on the overall financial picture.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue596.26M634.26M707.50M646.86M448.27M404.88M
Gross Profit154.42M20.14M244.39M280.81M354.78M386.84M
EBITDA-37.57M-167.57M-27.04M131.00M193.00M243.55M
Net Income-38.32M-128.05M-47.03M100.53M140.93M176.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.66B10.50B11.13B11.66B11.15B11.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.39M1.39B1.50B2.23B1.88B4.32B
Total Debt211.67M111.68M623.08M1.49B1.11B429.09M
Total Liabilities8.51B9.36B9.90B10.39B9.92B10.50B
Stockholders Equity1.15B1.14B1.23B1.27B1.23B1.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.87M20.76M123.44M195.56M192.79M233.15M
Operating Cash Flow61.18M28.50M123.77M195.63M194.90M238.44M
Investing Cash Flow1.22B570.43M310.74M-97.70M-927.08M-857.92M
Financing Cash Flow-915.79M-536.72M-523.71M312.90M-670.19M544.65M

Eagle Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.63
Price Trends
50DMA
28.42
Positive
100DMA
28.11
Positive
200DMA
26.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.18
Negative
RSI
75.43
Negative
STOCH
89.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EGBN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.20, below the 50-day MA of 28.42, and above the 200-day MA of 26.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.43 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EGBN.

Eagle Bancorp Risk Analysis

Eagle Bancorp disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eagle Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eagle Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$337.27M12.6515.42%―14.46%23.69%
75
Outperform
$677.03M12.4813.08%1.20%11.76%26.80%
72
Outperform
$306.04M11.3110.27%1.59%4.48%27.37%
70
Outperform
$329.37M13.499.16%1.20%5.41%29.77%
68
Neutral
$1.42B11.5710.15%3.12%13.89%-13.75%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
57
Neutral
$1.01B18.844.65%0.12%-11.03%―
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EGBN
Eagle Bancorp
33.15
15.60
88.89%
FVCB
FVCBankcorp
16.97
4.67
38.02%
CBNK
Capital Bancorp
41.56
13.60
48.62%
BHRB
Burke & Herbert Bank & Company
70.47
11.22
18.94%
JMSB
John Marshall Bancorp
23.34
4.42
23.34%
CBNA
Chain Bridge Bancorp, Inc. Class A
51.36
21.55
72.29%

Eagle Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Eagle Bancorp Reports Strong Q3 Earnings and Capital
Positive
Oct 21, 2026
Eagle Bancorp reported unaudited net income of $24.2 million, or $0.79 per share, for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, a sharp increase from $6.9 million, or $0.23 per share, in the prior quarter, largely driven by an $18.6 million redu...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Eagle Bancorp Q2 Earnings Decline Amid Credit Losses
Negative
Jul 22, 2026
For the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, Eagle Bancorp reported unaudited net income of $6.9 million, or $0.23 per share, down from $14.7 million, or $0.48 per share, in the first quarter, mainly due to a sharply higher $21.4 million provision ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2026