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Educational Development (EDUC) AI Stock Analysis

EDUC

Educational Development

(NASDAQ:EDUC)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:$1.50▲(44.23% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/15/26

EDUC scores in the mid-range primarily due to improved financial resilience (materially reduced leverage) and a low P/E that provides valuation support, partially offset by weak/volatile cash generation and ongoing multi-year revenue pressure. Technical indicators remain soft (below key moving averages and negative MACD), while the latest earnings call adds cautious optimism via expense reductions and early turnaround traction but confirms the business is still loss-making.

Positive Factors
Lower LeverageMaterially lower leverage reduces financial risk and leaves more flexibility to manage operating volatility, fund selective initiatives, or absorb weaker demand. The improvement from leverage near or above 1.0 in 2022–2024 strengthens the company’s balance-sheet resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionPersistent top-line contraction is the main threat to durable earnings power because it signals a smaller operating scale and limits the benefits of fixed-cost leverage. Even with improved margins, continued sales declines can weaken reinvestment capacity and make the turnaround harder to sustain.

Educational Development Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Net Revenue By SegmentBreaks down total revenue by business segment, indicating which parts of the company are driving sales and where there might be potential for growth or need for strategic shifts.

$0.00$10.00M$20.00M$30.00M$40.00MMay 21Aug 21Nov 21Feb 22May 22Aug 22Nov 22Feb 23May 23Aug 23Nov 23Feb 24May 24Aug 24Nov 24Feb 25May 25Aug 25Nov 25Feb 26May 26Aug 26
Chart Insights

PaperPie — the company’s revenue engine — has seen a multi-year collapse, driving nearly all the top-line deterioration while Publishing remains small and also declining; recent tiny upticks reflect limited replenishment, not a durable recovery. Management’s inventory reduction generated cash and a targeted, conservative replenishment plan plus a March partner spike could restart sales, but active partners are ~50% below prior levels, lead times are 4–6 months, and cash is tight—so recovery is possible but hinges on flawless execution and improved partner retention/discounting.

Data provided by:The Fly

Educational Development (EDUC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%EDUC-23.53%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$8.87M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
58.38K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
3.4
Beta (1Y)
0.36
Revenue Growth
-31.97%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
64
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Publishing

Educational Development Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Educational Development Corporation distributes children's books, educational toys and games, and related products in the United States. It operates through two segments, PaperPie and Publishing. The company owns and publishes Kane Miller books, Lear...

Educational Development Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 13, 2026(Q2-2027)|% Change Since:-20.31%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 13, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed improving momentum in the turnaround, supported by the sharper-than-expected reduction in the sales decline, 19% growth in Active Brand Partners since the fiscal-year start, inventory-driven cash generation, new product activity, expense reductions and technology investments. However, the company remained loss-making, revenue and brand partners were still below the prior year, cash declined during the first half, and management acknowledged that substantial work remains. The positive operational progress and number of initiatives outweighed the financial challenges.

Positive Updates

Sales Decline Improved Significantly
Fiscal 2027 second-quarter net revenue was $4.1 million versus $4.6 million last year, a decrease of approximately 11%. This outperformed internal projections for an approximately 35% decline and improved from sales declines of 30% or more in prior quarters.

Negative Updates

Revenue Remained Below the Prior Year
Second-quarter net revenue declined approximately 11% year over year to $4.1 million from $4.6 million, and management stated that revenue and brand partner levels remain below pre-pandemic levels.

Company Guidance

Management said its turnaround plan is “a carefully developed plan for growth over the next few quarters and years,” with “2 main season and 2 mid-season product intros planned each year”; operating expenses are expected to be “about $1.2 million below where they were last year,” including $15,000 a month in rent savings starting in November, while fall is “typically” the period when brand partner numbers increase and “typically, at the end of Q3,” the company has “our biggest cash position of the year.” Management said it is confident the steps taken will result in sales growth and a return to profitability, plans to use promotions “fewer and farther between,” and needs to get back to full retail.

Educational Development Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Balance sheet strength (low leverage with debt-to-equity ~0.16 and improved resilience) is a clear positive, but operating fundamentals remain mixed. Income statement profitability has improved versus prior loss-making periods, yet revenue is still contracting across periods and segment KPIs indicate PaperPie remains structurally pressured. Cash flow is the weakest area, with TTM free cash flow down sharply and weak cash conversion versus earnings, keeping the overall financial profile only modest.

Income Statement

46Neutral

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.69M21.81M34.19M51.03M87.83M142.23M
Gross Profit12.03M13.60M21.03M32.98M56.07M97.93M
EBITDA8.63M14.42M-2.94M5.98M1.22M14.28M
Net Income2.73M3.34M-5.26M546.40K-2.50M8.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.66M56.99M78.31M90.11M99.94M109.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.06M1.34M428.40K844.50K689.10K361.20K
Total Debt6.50M6.72M32.40M35.55M46.35M43.17M
Total Liabilities10.82M14.20M37.75M44.65M54.70M63.17M
Stockholders Equity39.84M42.79M40.57M45.45M45.23M46.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow176.80K1.46M2.77M7.93M-1.52M-24.86M
Operating Cash Flow599.50K2.01M3.21M8.75M58.50K-21.14M
Investing Cash Flow29.47M29.39M-429.60K4.04M-1.76M-3.94M
Financing Cash Flow-30.13M-31.03M-3.08M-12.20M2.03M23.63M

Educational Development Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.04

Price Trends

50DMA1.25Negative
100DMA1.35Negative
200DMA1.37Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.08Positive
RSI13.43Positive
STOCH28.65Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EDUC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.14, below the 50-day MA of 1.25, and below the 200-day MA of 1.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 13.43 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EDUC.

Educational Development Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

EDUC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NWSANWSA69Neutral$16.21B30.826.62%0.69%1.06%26.22%
NYTNYT68Neutral$11.32B29.0019.47%1.24%10.76%23.78%
WLYWLY67Neutral$2.60B13.5725.28%2.78%-0.27%111.79%
PSOPSO61Neutral$10.43B25.499.13%2.00%7.10%-22.39%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
EDUCEDUC56Neutral$8.87M3.356.43%―-31.97%―
SCHLSCHL49Neutral$723.49M26.037.05%2.29%-2.53%―

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%EDUCWLYNYTNWSAPSOSCHLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
EDUC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
EDUCEducational Development1.04-0.46-30.67%
WLYJohn Wiley Sons Cl51.1714.9941.43%
NYTThe New York Times Company70.1713.7924.47%
NWSANews Corporation Class A29.123.3212.89%
PSOPearson PLC17.373.9829.70%
SCHLScholastic39.3011.4641.17%

Educational Development Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Educational Development Posts Wider Fiscal Q2 2027 Loss

Negative
Oct 14, 2026

On October 14, 2026, Educational Development Corporation reported fiscal 2027 second quarter results for the period ended August 31, 2026, showing continued revenue pressure and losses. Net revenues fell to $4.1 million from $4.6 million year on year...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Educational Development schedules Q2 2027 earnings webcast

Neutral
Sep 9, 2026

On September 9, 2026, Educational Development Corporation announced it will hold its fiscal 2027 second-quarter earnings call on Wednesday, October 14, 2026, at 3:30 PM CT (4:30 PM ET), accompanied by a live Q&A webcast. Chief Executive Officer C...

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

Educational Development Shareholders Back Board, Auditors, Compensation

Positive
Jul 15, 2026

At Educational Development Corporation’s annual meeting of stockholders held on July 8, 2026, shareholders elected Bradley V. Stoots and Steven G. Hooser as Class I directors to serve three-year terms, reinforcing continuity in the company&#821...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026