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GrafTech International Ltd (EAF)
NYSE:EAF
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GrafTech International (EAF) AI Stock Analysis

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EAF

GrafTech International

(NYSE:EAF)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-10.78% Downside)
GrafTech International's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, high leverage, and negative equity. Technical indicators also suggest a bearish trend, and the valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings. While the earnings call provided some positive insights into sales growth and cost reductions, these are not enough to offset the broader financial and market challenges.
Positive Factors
Sales Volume Growth
The increase in sales volume indicates strong demand for GrafTech's products, suggesting potential for market share expansion and revenue growth.
Cost Reduction
Effective cost management enhances margin sustainability, improving profitability and competitiveness in a challenging market.
Positive Cash Flow
Strong cash generation supports financial stability and provides resources for strategic investments and debt management.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Ongoing revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining market position and could strain financial resources over time.
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity pose solvency risks, limiting financial flexibility and increasing vulnerability to market fluctuations.
Pricing Challenges
Falling prices due to competitive pressures, particularly from low-priced exports, could erode margins and impact long-term profitability.

GrafTech International (EAF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GrafTech International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrafTech International Holdings Inc. is a global leader in the production of graphite electrodes, essential components used in electric arc furnaces (EAFs) for steel manufacturing. The company operates primarily in the industrial materials sector, focusing on providing high-quality graphite products and services. GrafTech's core offerings include graphite electrodes, needle coke, and other related materials, which are critical for various applications in steel and aluminum production, as well as in other industries requiring high-performance materials.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrafTech International generates revenue primarily through the sale of graphite electrodes, which are sold to steel manufacturers and other customers operating electric arc furnaces. The company employs a direct sales model, working closely with clients to meet their specific material needs. Additional revenue streams include the sale of needle coke, a key raw material used in the production of graphite electrodes. GrafTech also benefits from strategic partnerships with major steel producers, which help secure long-term contracts and stabilize revenue. Market dynamics, such as global steel demand and pricing volatility, significantly influence GrafTech's earnings, as the company's profitability is closely tied to the price of graphite electrodes and the overall health of the steel industry.

GrafTech International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 24, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
GrafTech demonstrated strong sales volume growth, particularly in the U.S., and achieved significant cost reductions. However, the company faced challenges with pricing dynamics and reported a net loss for the quarter. The outlook for the steel industry shows potential for recovery, but current market conditions remain challenging.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Sales Volume Growth
GrafTech reported a 9% year-over-year increase in sales volume for Q3 2025, reaching nearly 29,000 metric tons. The company is on track to achieve cumulative sales volume growth of over 20% since the end of 2023.
U.S. Market Expansion
Sales volume in the United States grew by 53% year-over-year in the third quarter, with a year-to-date growth of 39% compared to last year.
Cost Reduction Achievements
A 10% year-over-year reduction in cash cost per metric ton was achieved for Q3 2025. The company is on track for more than a 30% cumulative reduction in cash cost per metric ton since the end of 2023.
Positive Cash Flow and Liquidity Position
GrafTech generated $25 million in net cash from operating activities and $18 million in adjusted free cash flow, with a liquidity position of $384 million as of the end of September 2025.
Steel Industry Outlook
Early indications of a rebound in the steel markets have started to appear, with projected steel demand growth in the U.S. and Europe for 2026.
Negative Updates
Challenging Pricing Dynamics
Average selling price for Q3 was approximately $4,200 per metric ton, representing a 7% decline compared to the prior year. This was partially due to increased low-priced graphite electrode exports from China.
Net Loss for the Quarter
GrafTech reported a net loss of $28 million or $1.10 per share for the third quarter of 2025.
Excess Electrode Capacity
There remains an unsustainably high level of excess electrode capacity in the rest of the world, influenced by low-priced exports from China and others.
Company Guidance
In the GrafTech Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a 9% year-over-year increase in sales volume, reaching nearly 29,000 metric tons, and a 53% growth in U.S. sales volume. They reduced cash costs per metric ton by 10% year-over-year, with a full-year target of a 30% reduction since 2023. GrafTech's adjusted EBITDA was $13 million for the quarter, and they generated $25 million in net cash from operations, with $18 million in adjusted free cash flow, boosting their liquidity to $384 million. The call highlighted a challenging market, with global steel production outside China up 2%, and a flat year-to-date trend in steel demand. The company emphasized ongoing strategic shifts, geographical sales optimization, and efforts to mitigate pricing pressures, while maintaining a positive outlook on future sales volume growth and market share gains.

GrafTech International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GrafTech International is facing significant financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement reflects declining revenues and profitability, while the balance sheet reveals high leverage and negative equity. Cash flow issues further compound the company's financial difficulties, raising concerns about its ability to sustain operations without substantial improvements or restructuring.
Income Statement
25
Negative
GrafTech International's income statement shows significant challenges. The company has experienced a consistent decline in revenue and profitability over recent years. The TTM data reveals negative gross profit and net profit margins, indicating operational inefficiencies and substantial losses. Despite a slight revenue growth in the TTM period, the overall trajectory remains concerning with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet highlights critical financial instability, with negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates significant leverage and potential solvency risks. The return on equity is positive in the TTM period, but this is due to negative equity, which distorts the metric. The equity ratio is also negative, further emphasizing financial distress.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a negative trend with declining operating and free cash flows. The TTM data indicates negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, although the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive due to substantial net losses. The company faces challenges in generating sufficient cash to cover its operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue521.89M538.78M620.50M1.28B1.35B1.22B
Gross Profit-2.03M-22.19M26.66M545.40M653.70M655.83M
EBITDA7.22M1.67M-145.21M546.80M589.04M666.69M
Net Income-204.19M-131.16M-255.25M382.96M388.33M434.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.11B1.22B1.29B1.60B1.41B1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments177.63M256.25M176.88M134.64M57.51M145.44M
Total Debt1.14B1.09B930.75M921.93M1.03B1.42B
Total Liabilities1.30B1.30B1.21B1.27B1.39B1.76B
Stockholders Equity-194.36M-78.90M78.25M337.71M23.40M-329.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-120.44M-74.40M22.52M252.46M384.78M527.57M
Operating Cash Flow-87.14M-40.09M76.56M324.63M443.04M563.65M
Investing Cash Flow-33.01M-34.21M-53.82M-71.97M-57.86M-35.70M
Financing Cash Flow155.55M155.72M18.71M-176.27M-471.79M-463.68M

GrafTech International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.89
Price Trends
50DMA
13.58
Negative
100DMA
12.62
Positive
200DMA
11.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.70
Positive
RSI
42.91
Neutral
STOCH
23.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EAF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.44, below the 50-day MA of 13.58, and above the 200-day MA of 11.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EAF.

GrafTech International Risk Analysis

GrafTech International disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GrafTech International reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GrafTech International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.77B15.1118.22%0.77%6.17%20.86%
68
Neutral
$1.61B6.80164.19%5.03%1.15%2358.45%
68
Neutral
$1.02B27.568.33%0.38%15.93%12.72%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
47
Neutral
$3.09B-84.40%-1.70%9.93%
43
Neutral
$310.87M-1.53-3.66%32.11%
43
Neutral
$242.86M-29.51%78.82%-20.81%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EAF
GrafTech International
12.89
-7.81
-37.73%
ENR
Energizer Holdings
23.84
-8.78
-26.92%
ENS
EnerSys
131.98
32.88
33.18%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
7.52
0.84
12.57%
PLUG
Plug Power
2.65
0.66
33.17%
PLPC
Preformed Line Products Company
209.66
67.58
47.56%

GrafTech International Corporate Events

Graftech Intl’s Persistent Business Risks Highlighted in Recent Disclosures
Oct 25, 2025

Graftech Intl faces ongoing business risks as outlined in their previous filings, with no significant updates reported in their recent disclosures. The reiteration of these risk factors suggests that potential challenges identified in their annual and quarterly reports may still be relevant. Stakeholders should be aware that the presence of these risks does not necessarily indicate their absence in current operations. Continuous monitoring and assessment are essential to understand the potential impact on Graftech Intl’s business performance.

GrafTech’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 25, 2025

During GrafTech International’s latest earnings call, the sentiment was a mix of optimism and caution. The company showcased strong sales volume growth, particularly in the U.S., and highlighted significant cost reductions. However, challenges with pricing dynamics led to a reported net loss for the quarter. While the steel industry shows signs of potential recovery, current market conditions remain difficult.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
GrafTech International Approves Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 14, 2025, GrafTech International Ltd. held a Special Meeting of Stockholders where a proposal for a reverse stock split was approved. The Board of Directors subsequently decided on a 1-for-10 reverse stock split, effective August 29, 2025, reducing the number of authorized shares of common and preferred stock proportionally. This move is expected to impact the company’s stock trading on the NYSE and reflects GrafTech’s strategic financial adjustments.

The most recent analyst rating on (EAF) stock is a Hold with a $2.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GrafTech International stock, see the EAF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
GrafTech COO Jeremy Halford Announces Resignation
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

On August 8, 2025, GrafTech International announced that its Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, Jeremy S. Halford, plans to resign from his position effective September 12, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (EAF) stock is a Hold with a $2.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GrafTech International stock, see the EAF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025