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Woodside Energy Group (WOP) AI Stock Analysis

DE:WOP

Woodside Energy Group

(Frankfurt:WOP)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Project ExecutionScarborough, Trion and Louisiana LNG are advancing toward production, giving Woodside a visible multi-year growth pipeline. On-time execution and commissioning progress can add volumes and diversify the portfolio, while Louisiana’s reduced equity lowers capital burden.
Negative Factors
Declining Earnings TrendRevenue has declined across 2023–2025, while 2025 net income fell from 2024 and EPS growth is negative. This indicates earnings have cooled from the 2022 peak, leaving results exposed to commodity prices, volumes and cost pressure.

Woodside Energy Group (WOP) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%DE:WOP+56.50%EWG+4.43%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 44.66B
Dividend Yield
4.84%
Average Volume (3M)
163
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.5
Beta (1Y)
-0.07
Revenue Growth
-11.64%
EPS Growth
-2.99%
Country
Germany
Employees
4,693
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Woodside Energy Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Woodside Energy Group Ltd is an international energy company involved in the full spectrum of hydrocarbon operations. This includes the exploration, evaluation, development, extraction, marketing, and distribution of resources across various global r...

Woodside Energy Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 23, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:2.52%|Next Earnings Date:Apr 19, 2023
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a predominantly positive operational and financial report card: strong production, robust EBITDA ($4.6bn), significant YoY free cash flow improvement (>150%), solid liquidity ($8.2bn) and major projects largely on schedule (Scarborough 98% complete, Trion 64%, Louisiana LNG progressing). Management also announced disciplined actions to sharpen capital allocation (single investment framework) and a USD 350m annual cost-out target from 2028. Offsetting items include a safety incident (one high consequence injury), operational constraints and strategic review at Beaumont New Ammonia, mark-to-market volatility on an embedded derivative (perdaman), a weaker-than-expected marketing contribution in H1 (timing), the retirement of Scope 3 targets and the abandonment of the $5bn new energy by 2030 ambition, and gearing slightly above target at 20.6%. On balance, the operational execution, strong cash generation, project progress and explicit cost discipline outweigh the lowlights and strategic/ESG trade-offs, yielding a positive outlook but with some areas of investor and stakeholder attention required.

Positive Updates

Strong production and operating cash flow
Total production of 86.5 million barrels of oil equivalent for the half and operating cash flow of $3.0 billion, demonstrating reliable operations across the global portfolio.

Negative Updates

Safety incident
One high consequence injury recorded during the half (described as 'one too many'); although zero Tier 1 or Tier 2 process safety events were recorded, the HCI is a material safety concern.

Company Guidance

Guidance highlighted a USD 350 million per year structural cost‑out target to be delivered from 2028 and a continued focus on disciplined capital allocation (building on the Capital Markets Day pathway of >50% sales growth and ~USD 9 billion net operating cash flow in 2032); project timing signals included Scarborough 98% complete and on track for first LNG cargo in Q4 2026 (FPU ready for start‑up/first gas), Pluto Train 2 commissioning under way (3 of 6 liquefaction compressors mechanically run) after a completed Pluto turnaround, Trion 64% complete targeting first oil in 2028, and Louisiana LNG 28% complete with Train 1 ~35% complete (Woodside equity exposure reduced to 57%, ~USD 9.9 billion, and USD 1.7 billion of capital contributions received); portfolio and balance‑sheet metrics/guidance include ~75% of LNG volumes contracted through to 2028, H1 production of 86.5 million boe, operating cash flow of USD 3.0 billion, EBITDA of ~USD 4.6 billion, underlying NPAT USD 1.3 billion, free cash flow USD 352 million, cash/undrawn facilities USD 8.2 billion, gearing 20.6% (expected <20% at 31 Dec 2026), achievement of the 2025 net‑equity Scope 1–2 target and on track for a 30% reduction by 2030, and the retirement of the Scope 3 and prior ~USD 5 billion new‑energy‑by‑2030 ambition; management also flagged H2 tailwinds from trading and pricing.

Woodside Energy Group Risk Analysis

Woodside Energy Group disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Woodside Energy Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

  • Finance & Corporate2
  • Tech & Innovation1
  • Legal & Regulatory1
  • Production2
  • Ability to Sell2
  • Macro & Political2
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Financial managementQ4, 2025
2.GrowthQ4, 2025
3.Digital and cybersecurityQ4, 2025

Woodside Energy Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

DE:WOP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
OXYOXY85Outperform$63.98B9.6218.97%1.63%-10.74%91.14%
EOGEOG81Outperform$86.83B12.8122.38%2.46%17.13%24.89%
EQTEQT81Outperform$34.64B12.4211.21%1.19%18.24%43.85%
DVNDVN73Outperform$57.37B12.3314.90%2.15%18.28%-5.35%
FANGFANG71Outperform$59.39B41.424.22%2.00%21.45%-63.30%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%DE:WOPDVNEOGEQTOXYFANGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DE:WOP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:WOPWoodside Energy Group Ltd20.207.2956.50%
DVNDevon Energy52.1520.1562.95%
EOGEOG Resources Inc165.5463.1661.69%
EQTEQT Corp55.380.170.31%
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corp.64.0023.8859.52%
FANGDiamondback Energy212.0874.1353.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.