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Vodafone (VODJ) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:VODJ

Vodafone

(Frankfurt:VODJ)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Resilient Cash GenerationStrong operating and free cash flow provides recurring funding for network investment, debt service and dividends. This resilience is strategically valuable in telecoms, where capital intensity is high and reported earnings can fluctuate.
Negative Factors
Meaningful LeverageTelecom leverage is common, but Vodafone’s debt burden limits financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to refinancing costs. The U.K. buyout adds near-term funding pressure, even though management expects leverage to improve by FY27.

Vodafone (VODJ) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%DE:VODJ+46.87%EWG+4.43%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 36.82B
Dividend Yield
3.39%
Average Volume (3M)
192
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-72.3
Beta (1Y)
0.19
Revenue Growth
8.05%
EPS Growth
88.65%
Country
Germany
Employees
91,128
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Telecommunications Services

Vodafone Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vodafone Group Public Limited Company, established in 1984 and based in Newbury, UK, is a global telecommunications leader delivering services across Europe and internationally. The company provides fundamental mobile services, enabling customers to...

Vodafone Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 11, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:3.26%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 09, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a constructive outlook driven by tangible operational progress: group service revenue growth, organic EBITDA growth, strong free cash flow generation and clear midterm ambition for double-digit organic free cash flow growth. Key strengths include a standout performance in Africa, U.K. integration momentum with material synergy potential, portfolio simplification and AI-led productivity gains. Offsetting risks are concentrated in Germany where retail service revenue remains negative and FY '27 EBITDA is expected to decline, near-term U.K. revenue timing issues, temporary leverage effects from the U.K. buyout, and ongoing competitive/promotional pressures and inflation. On balance, the positives (broad-based revenue growth, cash flow improvements, strategic simplification and execution of synergies) outweigh the near-term regional headwinds.

Positive Updates

Group Service Revenue Growth (Q4)
Group service revenue grew 5.1% in Q4, with growth across both Europe and Africa, signalling broad-based top-line momentum.

Negative Updates

Germany Revenue and EBITDA Pressure
Retail service revenue growth in Germany remains negative and management expects German EBITDA to remain under pressure and decline in FY '27 due to TV headwinds and a competitive mobile market.

Company Guidance

Vodafone guided FY27 to “continued good” growth in adjusted EBITDAaL and adjusted free cash flow after a FY26 where organic adjusted EBITDAaL rose 4.5% (at the upper end of guidance), group service revenue grew 5.1% in Q4, and adjusted free cash flow was €2.6bn; the FY26 dividend was increased 2.5% and management reinstated a mid‑term ambition to deliver double‑digit organic growth in adjusted free cash flow. At the midpoint Europe is expected to be broadly stable, with Germany’s EBITDA expected to decline in FY27 as retail service revenue remains negative despite consumer broadband improvements (front‑book inflow ARPU +30% y/y), the U.K. set to deliver strong FY27 growth on the VodafoneThree buyout (GBP4.2bn) and material synergies (GBP700m cost/CapEx by 2030) plus FWA to 3.7m additional homes, and Africa/Turkey expected to continue strong growth (Africa posting its highest service‑revenue growth in almost two decades and Vodacom targeting double‑digit midterm growth). CapEx is expected to peak in the U.K. in FY27 then be broadly stable by market, guidance and mid‑term targets are presented on an organic basis (ex‑currency/portfolio), and leverage should return to the lower half of the group corridor by end‑FY27.

Vodafone Risk Analysis

Vodafone disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vodafone reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Macro & Political - Risks related to catastrophic events or geopolitical conditions that may disrupt the company’s business

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.TCFD disclosureQ4, 2021
2.Disintermediation and failure to innovateQ4, 2021
3.IT transformationQ4, 2021

Vodafone Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

DE:VODJ against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
VIVVIV77Outperform$18.14B14.909.70%7.84%16.10%24.13%
AMXAMX76Outperform$75.11B15.0622.21%2.42%15.97%39.45%
TMUSTMUS70Outperform$165.71B15.0619.86%2.61%9.28%-0.45%
VZVZ67Neutral$185.39B11.4115.73%6.29%1.38%-16.44%
TT63Neutral$144.23B11.5711.95%5.18%3.51%-39.83%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%DE:VODJAMXTVIVVZTMUSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DE:VODJ and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:VODJVodafone Group Plc13.703.8939.67%
AMXAmerica Movil S.a.b. De C.v.24.482.4110.90%
TAt&t Inc21.41-2.00-8.56%
VIVTelefonica Brasil SA11.28-0.05-0.42%
VZVerizon Communications44.737.7220.87%
TMUST Mobile US156.44-42.67-21.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.