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Vulcan Materials (VMC) AI Stock Analysis

DE:VMC

Vulcan Materials

(XETRA:VMC)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Strong profitabilityVulcan’s strong and improving margins indicate meaningful earnings power in its aggregates-led model. Higher profitability provides resources for maintenance, acquisitions, technology, and shareholder returns while helping the company absorb operating cost pressure over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Muted demand and lower shipmentsPersistently soft shipment trends limit volume-driven revenue growth and can reduce operating leverage across quarries and plants. A prolonged muted-demand backdrop also makes the business more dependent on pricing, project timing, and disciplined cost control to expand earnings.

Vulcan Materials (VMC) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%DE:VMC+1.69%EWG+4.43%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 36.44B
Dividend Yield
0.70%
Average Volume (3M)
28
Price to Earnings (P/E)
33.2
Beta (1Y)
0.48
Revenue Growth
-2.95%
EPS Growth
-3.52%
Country
Germany
Employees
11,548
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Construction Materials

Vulcan Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vulcan Materials Company, alongside its affiliated entities, stands as a prominent producer and distributor of construction aggregates, primarily operating within the United States. The company's activities are organized into four distinct divisions:...

Vulcan Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:5.70%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. Management reported underlying EBITDA growth, margin expansion, strong cash generation, substantial shareholder returns, continued acquisition activity, disciplined cost execution, healthy public and private project opportunities, and a mid to high single-digit aggregate pricing outlook for 2027. These positives outweighed the explicitly stated challenges of lower shipments, muted demand, residential weakness, federal funding uncertainty, and approximately $120 million of expected full-year energy headwinds.

Positive Updates

Underlying EBITDA Growth and Resilient Aggregates Strategy
Adjusted EBITDA for the underlying business grew 5% in the third quarter, excluding approximately $40 million of energy cost headwinds and adjusting for prior-year divestitures. Management attributed the performance to improving organic profitability and disciplined bolt-on acquisitions within its aggregates-led strategy.

Negative Updates

Year-over-Year Shipment Decline
Aggregate shipments decreased 3% year over year in the third quarter. Management said seasonally adjusted shipment momentum was similar to the second quarter and consistent with a muted demand environment.

Company Guidance

For 2026, Vulcan expects to deliver another year of earnings growth and approximately $2.4 billion of adjusted EBITDA, despite over $100 million of energy headwinds now expected for the year; energy headwinds were later estimated at probably $120 million, volume is expected to grow very modestly, aggregates unit margin expansion is expected to yield probably 4% for the full year, mixed adjusted price is expected to remain at 5%, costs are expected to be closer to mid single digit for the full year, SAG is expected to be about $30 million lower than the initial range, and CapEx expenditures are likely to be at the lower end of the $750 million-$800 million range. Even with $120 million of energy headwinds for the year, adjusted EBITDA growth is expected to be approximately 3% or closer to 5% on a same store basis. For 2027, the demand backdrop is expected to be similar to 2026, aggregates prices are expected to grow mid to high single digits, inclusive of mix impact, and the company expects a strong opportunity for attractive unit profitability expansion, with more detail to be provided in February.

Vulcan Materials Risk Analysis

Vulcan Materials disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vulcan Materials reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Vulcan Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:VMC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
MLMMLM77Outperform$38.38B13.2523.11%0.62%0.06%125.23%
CRHCRH70Outperform$60.41B17.0014.87%1.70%5.58%5.51%
CXCX69Neutral$16.29B25.434.87%1.00%9.60%-55.05%
EXPEXP62Neutral$5.63B14.4426.87%0.54%1.68%-7.06%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
KNFKNF55Neutral$3.26B23.378.72%―12.13%-8.86%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%DE:VMCCXEXPMLMCRHKNFDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DE:VMC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:VMCVulcan Materials Company250.304.151.69%
CXCemex Sab De Cv10.700.656.43%
EXPEagle Materials183.64-21.14-10.32%
MLMMartin Marietta Materials540.41-75.43-12.25%
CRHCRH (CRH)90.81-25.88-22.18%
KNFKnife River Corporation57.50-3.61-5.91%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.