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Komatsu (KOMA) AI Stock Analysis

DE:KOMA

Komatsu

(Frankfurt:KOMA)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Solid ProfitabilityKomatsu continues to generate healthy industrial-equipment profitability, providing internal resources for research, customer support, and capital investment. Although margins have moderated from recent highs, the current level still indicates a viable business model with meaningful earnings resilience.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionWeak conversion of accounting profit into cash reduces the funds available for reinvestment, debt reduction, and shareholder returns. It also suggests that working-capital needs or investment demands are absorbing a substantial portion of earnings, limiting near-term financial flexibility.

Komatsu (KOMA) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%DE:KOMA+25.45%EWG+4.43%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 35.00B
Dividend Yield
1.48%
Average Volume (3M)
29
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.1
Beta (1Y)
0.76
Revenue Growth
-1.75%
EPS Growth
-12.67%
Country
Germany
Employees
67,279
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Komatsu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Komatsu Ltd. manufactures and sells construction, mining, and utility equipment in Japan, the Americas, Europe, China, rest of Asia, Oceania, the Middle East, Africa, and CIS countries. It operates in three segments: Construction, Mining and Utility...

Komatsu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 27, 2026(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:-4.35%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 01, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a mixed picture: solid top-line resilience (record net sales, strong aftermarket and pockets of segment profitability) and clear progress on strategic initiatives (AHS milestone, acquisitions, hydrogen and automation POCs). However, profitability trends were weaker — operating income and net income declined materially in FY25 — and the outlook includes significant headwinds from U.S. tariffs, Middle East-related disruptions, inventory build and softer mining and regional demand, with FY26 guidance showing lower sales, profits and a projected ROE below target. The positives (cash generation, strategic milestones, selective segment strength) are meaningful but are balanced by material near-term cost and demand pressures that depress earnings visibility.

Positive Updates

Record Fifth Consecutive Year of Net Sales
Net sales increased 0.7% year-on-year to JPY 4,132.8 billion, marking a record high for the fifth consecutive year.

Negative Updates

Operating Income and Profit Decline
Operating income decreased 13.7% year-on-year to JPY 567.3 billion; operating income ratio fell 2.3 percentage points to 13.7%. Net income attributable to Komatsu declined 14.4% to JPY 376.4 billion.

Company Guidance

The company guided for fiscal 2026 on exchange rates of JPY150/USD, JPY170/EUR and JPY106/AUD and forecast consolidated net sales of JPY 4,118.0 billion (‑0.4% y/y), operating income of JPY 508.0 billion (‑10.5% y/y) and net income of JPY 318.0 billion (‑15.5% y/y), with ROE projected at 9.1%; it plans to keep the dividend at JPY 190/sh (consolidated payout ratio 53.8%) and the Board approved a share repurchase up to JPY 100.0 billion (25 million shares) —bringing total payout including buyback to 85.4%. By segment, C&ME revenue is guided at JPY 3.79 trillion (‑0.4%) with segment profit JPY 440.0 billion (‑10.4%) and a margin of 11.6% (‑1.3 pp); mining equipment sales are set at JPY 1,858.5 billion (‑2.4%) while general construction equipment is JPY 1,919.7 billion (+1.5%). Retail Finance is expected at JPY 127.5 billion (+1.1%) with segment profit JPY 36.0 billion (‑1.6%) and ROA ~2.3%, and Industrial Machinery & Others at JPY 239.0 billion (+0.1%) with profit JPY 37.0 billion (‑2.5%, margin 15.5% ↓0.4 pp). The outlook factors in JPY 67.8 billion of added U.S. tariff costs and JPY 30.0 billion of refunds (net tariff cost ~JPY 37.8 billion), a JPY 90.1 billion assumed sales hit and JPY 18.8 billion cost increase from the Middle East situation, parts sales rising to JPY 1,078.5 billion (+2.2%) with an aftermarket share of ~53%, and higher capex/R&D and fixed costs (wage and R&D increases) to support product and power-source development.

Komatsu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

DE:KOMA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TEXTEX74Outperform$6.31B27.934.71%1.21%40.10%-17.18%
CMICMI72Outperform$68.84B25.4521.89%1.64%2.93%-8.06%
MTWMTW68Neutral$830.51M41.132.92%―8.86%-55.83%
GTESGTES67Neutral$6.03B16.4310.70%―3.98%56.96%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
PCARPCAR58Neutral$53.66B19.4113.76%2.71%-1.48%2.44%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%DE:KOMACMIMTWPCARTEXGTESDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DE:KOMA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:KOMAKomatsu Ltd.35.206.9524.58%
CMICummins Inc500.0968.6915.92%
MTWManitowoc Company23.0312.82125.56%
PCARPaccar101.916.807.14%
TEXTerex Corporation56.1510.6223.31%
GTESGates Industrial Corp23.831.707.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.